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ICLR 2026PosterAccept (Poster)

Minimax-Optimal Aggregation for Density Ratio Estimation

Lukas Gruber, Markus Holzleitner, Sepp Hochreiter, Werner Zellinger

Ellis Unit / University Linz · LIT AI Lab / University Linz · LIT AI Lab, Johannes Kepler University Linz AND Institute of Advanced Reserch in Artificial Intelligence · RICAM, Austrian Academy of Sciences

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摘要

Density ratio estimation (DRE) is fundamental in machine learning and statistics, with applications in domain adaptation and two-sample testing. However, DRE methods are highly sensitive to hyperparameter selection, with suboptimal choices often resulting in poor convergence rates and empirical performance. To address this issue, we propose a novel model aggregation algorithm for DRE that trains multiple models with different hyperparameter settings and aggregates them. Our aggregation provably achieves minimax-optimal error convergence without requiring prior knowledge of the smoothness of the unknown density ratio. Our method surpasses cross-validation-based model selection and model averaging baselines for DRE on standard benchmarks for DRE and large-scale domain adaptation tasks, setting a new state of the art on image and text data.