Ranking Time Series using a Time Warping Ideal Point Model

摘要

Expert-annotated time series datasets often suffer from low agreement, especially in medical applications where decisions rely on subjective criteria and inconsistent thresholds. Such variability degrades annotation quality and thus limits the reliability of supervised classification models. To address this, we propose to rely on a pairwise comparison-based approach, which provides a more robust alternative to individual annotation, since relative judgments are typically easier and yield higher consistency. The problem is thus transformed into a ranking problem and we introduce an ideal point model adapted to time series data using elastic similarity measures such as Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) and Time Warp Edit Distance (TWED). We prove Lipschitz continuity of these distances and demonstrate several convergence guarantees for this model. To facilitate gradient-based optimization, we also introduce a differentiable version of the TWED. Finally, we show through multiple experiments that our approach produces accurate and robust rankings under noisy annotation conditions.