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ICML 2026PosterAccept (regular)

Position: Interpretability in Deep Time Series Models Demands Semantic Alignment

Giovanni De Felice, Riccardo D`Elia, Alberto Termine, Pietro Barbiero, Giuseppe Marra, Silvia Santini

Università della Svizzera Italiana · SUPSI, IDSIA USI-SUPSI · SUPSI - University of Applied Sciences Southern Switzerland · IBM Research · KU Leuven · Universita della Svizzera Italiana

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摘要

Deep time series models continue to improve predictive performance, yet their deployment remains limited by their black-box nature. In response, existing interpretability approaches in the field keep focusing on explaining the internal model computations, without addressing whether they align or not with how a human would reason about the studied phenomenon. Instead, we state interpretability in deep time series models should pursue semantic alignment: predictions should be expressed in terms of variables that are meaningful to the end user, mediated by spatial and temporal mechanisms that admit user-dependent constraints. In this paper, we formalize this requirement and require that, once established, semantic alignment must be preserved under temporal evolution: a constraint with no analog in static settings. Provided with this definition, we outline a blueprint for semantically aligned deep time series models, identify properties that support trust, and discuss implications for model design.