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NeurIPS 2025{location} Poster

Estimation and Inference in Distributional Reinforcement Learning

Liangyu Zhang, Yang Peng, Jiadong Liang, Wenhao Yang, Zhihua Zhang

Shanghai University of Finance and Economics · Peking University

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摘要

In this paper, we study distributional reinforcement learning from the perspective of statistical efficiency. We investigate distributional policy evaluation, aiming to estimate the complete return distribution (denoted \eta^\pi) attained by a given policy \pi. We use the certainty-equivalence method to construct our estimator \hat\eta^\pi_n, based on a generative model. In this circumstance we need a dataset of size \widetilde O(|\mathcal{S}||\mathcal{A}|{\varepsilon^{-2p}(1-\gamma)^{-(2p+2)}}) to guarantee the supremum p-Wasserstein metric between \hat\eta^\pi_n and \eta^\pi less than \varepsilon with high probability. This implies the distributional policy evaluation problem can be solved with sample efficiency. Also, we show that under different mild assumptions a dataset of size \widetilde O({|\mathcal{S}||\mathcal{A}|}{\varepsilon^{-2}(1-\gamma)^{-4}}) suffices to ensure the supremum Kolmogorov-Smirnov metric and supremum total variation metric between \hat\eta^\pi_n and \eta^\pi is below \varepsilon with high probability. Furthermore, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of \hat\eta^\pi_n. We demonstrate that the ``empirical process'' \sqrt{n}(\hat\eta^\pi_n-\eta^\pi) converges weakly to a Gaussian process in the space of bounded functionals on a Lipschitz function class \ell^\infty(\mathcal{F}_{W_1}), also in the space of bounded functionals on an indicator function class \ell^\infty(\mathcal{F}_{\textup{KS}}) and a bounded measurable function class \ell^\infty(\mathcal{F}_{\textup{TV}}) when some mild conditions hold.