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Social Aspects · Privacy-preserving Statistics and Machine Learning

Dung Nguyen, Anil Vullikanti

Stochastic block models (SBMs) are a very commonly studied network model for community detection algorithms. In the standard form of an SBM, the $n$ vertices (or nodes) of a graph are generally divided into multiple pre-determined communities (or clusters). Connections between pairs of vertices are generated randomly and independently with pre-defined probabilities, which depend on the communities containing the two nodes. A fundamental problem in SBMs is the recovery of the community structure, and sharp information-theoretic bounds are known for recoverability for many versions of SBMs. Our focus here is the recoverability problem in SBMs when the network is private. Under the edge differential privacy model, we derive conditions for exact recoverability in three different versions of SBMs, namely Asymmetric SBM (when communities have non-uniform sizes), General Structure SBM (with outliers), and Censored SBM (with edge features). Our private algorithms have polynomial running time w.r.t. the input graph's size, and match the recovery thresholds of the non-private setting when $\epsilon\rightarrow\infty$. In contrast, the previous best results for recoverability in SBMs only hold for the symmetric case (equal size communities), and run in quasi-polynomial time, or in polynomial time with recovery thresholds being tight up to some constants from the non-private settings.

Tam Nguyen, Cesar Uribe, Tan Nguyen, Richard Baraniuk

In this work, we address two main shortcomings of transformer architectures: input corruption and rank collapse in their output representation. We unveil self-attention as an autonomous state-space model that inherently promotes smoothness in its solutions, leading to lower-rank outputs and diminished representation capacity. Moreover, the steady-state solution of the model is sensitive to input perturbations. We incorporate a Proportional-Integral-Derivative (PID) closed-loop feedback control system with a reference point into the model to improve robustness and representation capacity. This integration aims to preserve high-frequency details while bolstering model stability, rendering it more noise-resilient. The resulting controlled state-space model is theoretically proven robust and adept at addressing the rank collapse. Motivated by this control framework, we derive a novel class of transformers, PID-controlled Transformer (PIDformer), aimed at improving robustness and mitigating the rank-collapse issue inherent in softmax transformers. We empirically evaluate the model for advantages and robustness against baseline transformers across various practical tasks, including object classification, image segmentation, and language modeling.

Theory · Learning Theory

Huy Nguyen, Nhat Ho, Alessandro Rinaldo

Mixture of experts (MoE) model is a statistical machine learning design that aggregates multiple expert networks using a softmax gating function in order to form a more intricate and expressive model. Despite being commonly used in several applications owing to their scalability, the mathematical and statistical properties of MoE models are complex and difficult to analyze. As a result, previous theoretical works have primarily focused on probabilistic MoE models by imposing the impractical assumption that the data are generated from a Gaussian MoE model. In this work, we investigate the performance of the least squares estimators (LSE) under a deterministic MoE model where the data are sampled according to a regression model, a setting that has remained largely unexplored. We establish a condition called strong identifiability to characterize the convergence behavior of various types of expert functions. We demonstrate that the rates for estimating strongly identifiable experts, namely the widely used feed forward networks with activation functions $\mathrm{sigmoid}(\cdot)$ and $\tanh(\cdot)$, are substantially faster than those of polynomial experts, which we show to exhibit a surprising slow estimation rate. Our findings have important practical implications for expert selection.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Online Learning, Active Learning and Bandits

Quan Nguyen, Adji Bousso Dieng

Experimental design techniques such as active search and Bayesian optimization are widely used in the natural sciences for data collection and discovery. However, existing techniques tend to favor exploitation over exploration of the search space, which causes them to get stuck in local optima. This _collapse_ problem prevents experimental design algorithms from yielding diverse high-quality data. In this paper, we extend the Vendi scores—a family of interpretable similarity-based diversity metrics—to account for quality. We then leverage these *quality-weighted Vendi scores* to tackle experimental design problems across various applications, including drug discovery, materials discovery, and reinforcement learning. We found that quality-weighted Vendi scores allow us to construct policies for experimental design that flexibly balance quality and diversity, and ultimately assemble rich and diverse sets of high-performing data points. Our algorithms led to a 70%–170% increase in the number of effective discoveries compared to baselines.

Deep Learning

Aviv Navon, Aviv Shamsian, Ethan Fetaya, Gal Chechik, Nadav Dym, Haggai Maron

Permutation symmetries of deep networks make basic operations like model merging and similarity estimation challenging. In many cases, aligning the weights of the networks, i.e., finding optimal permutations between their weights, is necessary. Unfortunately, weight alignment is an NP-hard problem. Prior research has mainly focused on solving relaxed versions of the alignment problem, leading to either time-consuming methods or sub-optimal solutions. To accelerate the alignment process and improve its quality, we propose a novel framework aimed at learning to solve the weight alignment problem, which we name Deep-Align. To that end, we first prove that weight alignment adheres to two fundamental symmetries and then, propose a deep architecture that respects these symmetries. Notably, our framework does not require any labeled data. We provide a theoretical analysis of our approach and evaluate Deep-Align on several types of network architectures and learning setups. Our experimental results indicate that a feed-forward pass with Deep-Align produces better or equivalent alignments compared to those produced by current optimization algorithms. Additionally, our alignments can be used as an effective initialization for other methods, leading to improved solutions with a significant speedup in convergence.

Probabilistic Methods

Ryosuke Nagumo, Hironori Fujisawa

We develop two density ratio estimation (DRE) methods with robustness to outliers. These are based on the divergence with a weight function to weaken the adverse effects of outliers. One is based on the Unnormalized Kullback-Leibler divergence, called Weighted DRE, and its optimization is a convex problem. The other is based on the γ-divergence, called γ-DRE, which improves a normalizing term problem of Weighted DRE. Its optimization is a DC (Difference of Convex functions) problem and needs more computation than a convex problem. These methods have doubly strong robustness, which means robustness to the heavy contamination of both the reference and target distributions. Numerical experiments show that our proposals are more robust than the previous methods.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Lokesh Nagalapatti, Pranava Singhal, Avishek Ghosh, Sunita Sarawagi

Given a dataset of individuals each described by a covariate vector, a treatment, and an observed outcome on the treatment, the goal of the individual treatment effect (ITE) estimation task is to predict outcome changes resulting from a change in treatment. A fundamental challenge is that in the observational data, a covariate’s outcome is observed only under one treatment, whereas we need to infer the difference in outcomes under two different treatments. Several existing approaches address this issue through training with inferred pseudo-outcomes, but their success relies on the quality of these pseudo-outcomes. We propose PairNet, a novel ITE estimation training strategy that minimizes losses over pairs of examples based on their factual observed outcomes. Theoretical analysis for binary treatments reveals that PairNet is a consistent estimator of ITE risk, and achieves smaller generalization error than baseline models. Empirical comparison with thirteen existing methods across eight benchmarks, covering both discrete and continuous treatments, shows that PairNet achieves significantly lower ITE error compared to the baselines. Also, it is model-agnostic and easy to implement.

Probabilistic Methods · Graphical Models

Seth Nabarro, Mark van der Wilk, Andrew Davison

We propose an approach to do learning in Gaussian factor graphs. We treat all relevant quantities (inputs, outputs, parameters, activations) as random variables in a graphical model, and view training and prediction as inference problems with different observed nodes. Our experiments show that these problems can be efficiently solved with belief propagation (BP), whose updates are inherently local, presenting exciting opportunities for distributed and asynchronous training. Our approach can be scaled to deep networks and provides a natural means to do continual learning: use the BP-estimated posterior of the current task as a prior for the next. On a video denoising task we demonstrate the benefit of learnable parameters over a classical factor graph approach and we show encouraging performance of deep factor graphs for continual image classification.

Reinforcement Learning

Mirco Mutti, Aviv Tamar

Meta reinforcement learning sets a distribution over a set of tasks on which the agent can train at will, then is asked to learn an optimal policy for any test task efficiently. In this paper, we consider a finite set of tasks modeled through Markov decision processes with various dynamics. We assume to have endured a long training phase, from which the set of tasks is perfectly recovered, and we focus on regret minimization against the optimal policy in the unknown test task. Under a separation condition that states the existence of a state-action pair revealing a task against another, Chen et al. (2022) show that $O(M^2 \log(H))$ regret can be achieved, where $M, H$ are the number of tasks in the set and test episodes, respectively. In our first contribution, we demonstrate that the latter rate is nearly optimal by developing a novel lower bound for test-time regret minimization under separation, showing that a linear dependence with $M$ is unavoidable. Then, we present a family of stronger yet reasonable assumptions beyond separation, which we call strong identifiability, enabling algorithms achieving fast rates $\log (H)$ and sublinear dependence with $M$ simultaneously. Our paper provides a new understanding of the statistical barriers of test-time regret minimization and when fast rates can be achieved.

Theory · Online Learning and Bandits

Marco Mussi, Alessandro Montenegro, Francesco Trovò, Marcello Restelli, Alberto Maria Metelli

Stochastic Rising Bandits (SRBs) model sequential decision-making problems in which the expected reward of the available options increases every time they are selected. This setting captures a wide range of scenarios in which the available options are learning entities whose performance improves (in expectation) over time (e.g., online best model selection). While previous works addressed the regret minimization problem, this paper focuses on the fixed-budget Best Arm Identification (BAI) problem for SRBs. In this scenario, given a fixed budget of rounds, we are asked to provide a recommendation about the best option at the end of the identification process. We propose two algorithms to tackle the above-mentioned setting, namely R-UCBE, which resorts to a UCB-like approach, and R-SR, which employs a successive reject procedure. Then, we prove that, with a sufficiently large budget, they provide guarantees on the probability of properly identifying the optimal option at the end of the learning process and on the simple regret. Furthermore, we derive a lower bound on the error probability, matched by our R-SR (up to constants), and illustrate how the need for a sufficiently large budget is unavoidable in the SRB setting. Finally, we numerically validate the proposed algorithms in both synthetic and realistic environments.

Theory · Online Learning and Bandits

Marco Mussi, Simone Drago, Marcello Restelli, Alberto Maria Metelli

In several real-world sequential decision problems, at every step, the learner is required to select different actions. Every action affects a specific part of the system and generates an observable intermediate effect. In this paper, we introduce the Factored-Reward Bandits (FRBs), a novel setting able to effectively capture and exploit the structure of this class of scenarios, where the reward is computed as the product of the action intermediate observations. We characterize the statistical complexity of the learning problem in the FRBs, by deriving worst-case and asymptotic instance-dependent regret lower bounds. Then, we devise and analyze two regret minimization algorithms. The former, F-UCB, is an anytime optimistic approach matching the worst-case lower bound (up to logarithmic factors) but fails to perform optimally from the instance-dependent perspective. The latter, F-Track, is a bound-tracking approach, that enjoys optimal asymptotic instance-dependent regret guarantees.

Shikhar Murty, Christopher Manning, Peter Shaw, Mandar Joshi, Kenton Lee

Following natural language instructions by executing actions in digital environments (e.g. web-browsers and REST APIs) is a challenging task for language model (LM) agents. Unfortunately, LM agents often fail to generalize to new environments without human demonstrations. This work presents BAGEL, a method for bootstrapping LM agents without human supervision. BAGEL converts a seed set of randomly explored trajectories to synthetic demonstrations via round-trips between two noisy LM components: an LM labeler which converts a trajectory into a synthetic instruction, and a zero-shot LM agent which maps the synthetic instruction into a refined trajectory. By performing these round-trips iteratively, BAGEL quickly converts the initial distribution of trajectories towards those that are well-described by natural language. We adapt the base LM agent at test time with in-context learning by retrieving relevant BAGEL demonstrations based on the instruction, and find improvements of over 2-13% absolute on ToolQA and MiniWob++, with up to 13x reduction in execution failures.

Optimization · Large Scale, Parallel and Distributed

Alexander Munteanu, Simon Omlor

The turnstile data stream model offers the most flexible framework where data can be manipulated dynamically, i.e., rows, columns, and even single entries of an input matrix can be added, deleted, or updated multiple times in a data stream. We develop a novel algorithm for sampling rows $a_i$ of a matrix $A\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times d}$, proportional to their $\ell_p$ norm, when $A$ is presented in a turnstile data stream. Our algorithm not only returns the set of sampled row indexes, it also returns slightly perturbed rows $\tilde{a}_i \approx a_i$, and approximates their sampling probabilities up to $\varepsilon$ relative error. When combined with preconditioning techniques, our algorithm extends to $\ell_p$ leverage score sampling over turnstile data streams. With these properties in place, it allows us to simulate subsampling constructions of coresets for important regression problems to operate over turnstile data streams with very little overhead compared to their respective off-line subsampling algorithms. For logistic regression, our framework yields the first algorithm that achieves a $(1+\varepsilon)$ approximation and works in a turnstile data stream using polynomial sketch/subsample size, improving over $O(1)$ approximations, or $\exp(1/\varepsilon)$ sketch size of previous work. We compare experimentally to plain oblivious sketching and plain leverage score sampling algorithms for $\ell_p$ and logistic regression.

Theory · Learning Theory

Alexander Munteanu, Simon Omlor

Data subsampling is one of the most natural methods to approximate a massively large data set by a small representative proxy. In particular, sensitivity sampling received a lot of attention, which samples points proportional to an individual importance measure called sensitivity. This framework reduces in very general settings the size of data to roughly the VC dimension $d$ times the total sensitivity $\mathfrak S$ while providing strong $(1\pm\varepsilon)$ guarantees on the quality of approximation. The recent work of Woodruff & Yasuda (2023c) improved substantially over the general $\tilde O(\varepsilon^{-2}\mathfrak Sd)$ bound for the important problem of $\ell_p$ subspace embeddings to $\tilde O(\varepsilon^{-2}\mathfrak S^{2/p})$ for $p\in[1,2]$. Their result was subsumed by an earlier $\tilde O(\varepsilon^{-2}\mathfrak Sd^{1-p/2})$ bound which was implicitly given in the work of Chen & Derezinski (2021). We show that their result is tight when sampling according to plain $\ell_p$ sensitivities. We observe that by augmenting the $\ell_p$ sensitivities by $\ell_2$ sensitivities, we obtain better bounds improving over the aforementioned results to optimal linear $\tilde O(\varepsilon^{-2}(\mathfrak S+d)) = \tilde O(\varepsilon^{-2}d)$ sampling complexity for all $p \in [1,2]$. In particular, this resolves an open question of Woodruff & Yasuda (2023c) in the affirmative for $p \in [1,2]$ and brings sensitivity subsampling into the regime that was previously only known to be possible using Lewis weights (Cohen & Peng, 2015). As an application of our main result, we also obtain an $\tilde O(\varepsilon^{-2}\mu d)$ sensitivity sampling bound for logistic regression, where $\mu$ is a natural complexity measure for this problem. This improves over the previous $\tilde O(\varepsilon^{-2}\mu^2 d)$ bound of Mai et al. (2021) which was based on Lewis weights subsampling.

Reinforcement Learning · Online

Adrian Müller, Pragnya Alatur, Volkan Cevher, Giorgia Ramponi, Niao He

Constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs) are a common way to model safety constraints in reinforcement learning. State-of-the-art methods for efficiently solving CMDPs are based on primal-dual algorithms. For these algorithms, all currently known regret bounds allow for *error cancellations* --- one can compensate for a constraint violation in one round with a strict constraint satisfaction in another. This makes the online learning process unsafe since it only guarantees safety for the final (mixture) policy but not during learning. As Efroni et al. (2020) pointed out, it is an open question whether primal-dual algorithms can provably achieve sublinear regret if we do not allow error cancellations. In this paper, we give the first affirmative answer. We first generalize a result on last-iterate convergence of regularized primal-dual schemes to CMDPs with multiple constraints. Building upon this insight, we propose a model-based primal-dual algorithm to learn in an unknown CMDP. We prove that our algorithm achieves sublinear regret without error cancellations.

Applications · Neuroscience, Cognitive Science

Noga Mudrik, Gal Mishne, Adam Charles

Time series data across scientific domains are often collected under distinct states (e.g., tasks), wherein latent processes (e.g., biological factors) create complex inter- and intra-state variability. A key approach to capture this complexity is to uncover fundamental interpretable units within the data, Building Blocks (BBs), which modulate their activity and adjust their structure across observations. Existing methods for identifying BBs in multi-way data often overlook inter- vs. intra-state variability, produce uninterpretable components, or do not align with properties of real-world data, such as missing samples and sessions of different duration. Here, we present a framework for Similarity-driven Building Block Inference using Graphs across States (SiBBlInGS). SiBBlInGS offers a graph-based dictionary learning approach for discovering sparse BBs along with their temporal traces, based on co-activity patterns and inter- vs. intra-state relationships. Moreover, SiBBlInGS captures per-trial temporal variability and controlled cross-state structural BB adaptations, identifies state-specific vs. state-invariant components, and accommodates variability in the number and duration of observed sessions across states. We demonstrate SiBBlInGS's ability to reveal insights into complex phenomena as well as its robustness to noise and missing samples through several synthetic and real-world examples, including web search and neural data.

Applications · Physics

Chandra Mouli Sekar, Danielle Robinson, Shima Alizadeh, Gaurav Gupta, Andrew Stuart, Michael Mahoney, Yuyang Wang

Existing work in scientific machine learning (SciML) has shown that data-driven learning of solution operators can provide a fast approximate alternative to classical numerical partial differential equation (PDE) solvers. Of these, Neural Operators (NOs) have emerged as particularly promising. We observe that several uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for NOs fail for test inputs that are even moderately out-of-domain (OOD), even when the model approximates the solution well for in-domain tasks. To address this limitation, we show that ensembling several NOs can identify high-error regions and provide good uncertainty estimates that are well-correlated with prediction errors. Based on this, we propose a cost-effective alternative, DiverseNO, that mimics the properties of the ensemble by encouraging diverse predictions from its multiple heads in the last feed-forward layer. We then introduce Operator-ProbConserv, a method that uses these well-calibrated UQ estimates within the ProbConserv framework to update the model. Our empirical results show that Operator-ProbConserv enhances OOD model performance for a variety of challenging PDE problems and satisfies physical constraints such as conservation laws.

Social Aspects · Everything Else

Meredith Morris, Jascha Sohl-Dickstein, Noah Fiedel, Tris Warkentin, Allan Dafoe, Aleksandra Faust, Clement Farabet, Shane Legg

We propose a framework for classifying the capabilities and behavior of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) models and their precursors. This framework introduces levels of AGI performance, generality, and autonomy, providing a common language to compare models, assess risks, and measure progress along the path to AGI. To develop our framework, we analyze existing definitions of AGI, and distill six principles that a useful ontology for AGI should satisfy. With these principles in mind, we propose “Levels of AGI” based on depth (performance) and breadth (generality) of capabilities, and reflect on how current systems fit into this ontology. We discuss the challenging requirements for future benchmarks that quantify the behavior and capabilities of AGI models against these levels. Finally, we discuss how these levels of AGI interact with deployment considerations such as autonomy and risk, and emphasize the importance of carefully selecting Human-AI Interaction paradigms for responsible and safe deployment of highly capable AI systems.

Deep Learning · Other Representation Learning

Hiroshi Morioka, Aapo Hyvarinen

A topic of great current interest is Causal Representation Learning (CRL), whose goal is to learn a causal model for hidden features in a data-driven manner. Unfortunately, CRL is severely ill-posed since it is a combination of the two notoriously ill-posed problems of representation learning and causal discovery. Yet, finding practical identifiability conditions that guarantee a unique solution is crucial for its practical applicability. Most approaches so far have been based on assumptions on the latent causal mechanisms, such as temporal causality, or existence of supervision or interventions; these can be too restrictive in actual applications. Here, we show identifiability based on novel, weak constraints, which requires no temporal structure, intervention, nor weak supervision. The approach is based on assuming the observational mixing exhibits a suitable grouping of the observational variables. We also propose a novel self-supervised estimation framework consistent with the model, prove its statistical consistency, and experimentally show its superior CRL performances compared to the state-of-the-art baselines. We further demonstrate its robustness against latent confounders and causal cycles.

Reinforcement Learning · Policy Search

Alessandro Montenegro, Marco Mussi, Alberto Maria Metelli, Matteo Papini

Policy gradient (PG) methods are successful approaches to deal with continuous reinforcement learning (RL) problems. They learn stochastic parametric (hyper)policies by either exploring in the space of actions or in the space of parameters. Stochastic controllers, however, are often undesirable from a practical perspective because of their lack of robustness, safety, and traceability. In common practice, stochastic (hyper)policies are learned only to deploy their deterministic version. In this paper, we make a step towards the theoretical understanding of this practice. After introducing a novel framework for modeling this scenario, we study the global convergence to the best deterministic policy, under (weak) gradient domination assumptions. Then, we illustrate how to tune the exploration level used for learning to optimize the trade-off between the sample complexity and the performance of the deployed deterministic policy. Finally, we quantitatively compare action-based and parameter-based exploration, giving a formal guise to intuitive results.