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Haiqi Jiang 0003, Ying Ding 0007, Chenjie Pan, Aimin Huang, Rui Chen, Chenyou Fan

Classical time-series forecasting methods rely on learning from a fixed context window of past observations and extrapolating to a fixed number of future steps. They are therefore limited in flexibility and effectiveness in modeling tasks of varying historical lengths or future horizons, requiring re-training for each setting. We propose Contextual Meta-Adaptation (CMA), a unified scheme that captures history contexts and extrapolates future horizons with a single training. CMA integrates denoising diffusion capability which can sequentially generate a future series with maximum likelihood and remains consistent with observed history and past generations. We develop an efficient update strategy using gradient-based meta-learning for full-parameter tuning during training and LoRA adaptation at testing time. We validate our CMA scheme on in-context learning with longer observed history, ex(tend)-context learning with up to 3 times longer future horizons, and transfer-learning across different source-target domains. Our CMA outperforms existing methods by an average of 7% on six academic datasets and a significant 16% improvement on four realistic marketing datasets.

Ju Jia, Jingxuan Yu, Di Wu 0050, Cong Wu 0003, Hengjie Zhu, Lina Wang 0001

Graph prompt learning (GPL) is designed to bridge the gap between graph pretraining models and downstream graph tasks, providing advantages in terms of graph knowledge transfer. However, GPL is vulnerable to poisoned graph attacks that induce abnormal training via adversarial malicious perturbations. We observe that the prevalent meta-gradient attacks, which heavily rely on the training of surrogate graph neural networks (GNNs), fail to account for the impact of perturbations on GPL where the pretrained GNN remains frozen and graph prompt tokens are tuned. Moreover, their gradient-assigned strategies tend to corrupt the topological semantics on a few influential labeled graphs, which in turn diminishes the trustworthiness of the surrogate training. To address this issue, we propose a dynamic equilibrium gradient-assigned attack against GPL, named MetaGpro. To guarantee the transferability of MetaGpro, the surrogate GPL is utilized in our simulation across various downstream tasks. To dynamically equilibrate the relationships between the reliability of surrogate models and instable structures, the over-robust contrastive learning is integrated into the surrogate training. In this way, the gradient bias caused by excessive perturbations of labeled nodes can be effectively mitigated. Subsequently, the topology perturbation generation is exploited to assign more gradient weights to nodes that are closer to the misclassification area. The experimental results reveal that the surrogate GPL outperforms the surrogate GNN in 96% of downstream evaluations, and our MetaGpro reduces the accuracy of GPL by 2%∼20% compared to the state-of-the-art (SOTA) works mostly. The code for our MetaGpro is available here.

Hyunsik Jeon, Satoshi Koide, Yu Wang 0170, Zhankui He, Julian J. McAuley

Conversational recommender systems engage users in dialogues to refine their needs and provide more personalized suggestions. Although textual information suffices for many domains, visually driven categories such as fashion or home decor potentially require detailed visual information related to color, style, or design. To address this challenge, we propose LaViC (Large Vision-Language Conversational Recommendation Framework), a novel approach that integrates compact image representations into dialogue-based recommendation systems. LaViC leverages a large vision-language model in a two-stage process: (1) visual knowledge self-distillation, which condenses product images from thousands of tokens into a small set of visual tokens in a self-distillation manner, significantly reducing computational overhead, and (2) recommendation fine-tuning, which enables the model to incorporate both dialogue context and distilled visual tokens, providing a unified mechanism for capturing textual and visual features. To support rigorous evaluation of visually-aware conversational recommendation, we construct a new dataset by aligning Reddit conversations with Amazon product listings across multiple visually oriented categories (e.g., fashion, beauty, and home). This dataset covers realistic user queries and product appearances in domains where visual details are crucial. Extensive experiments demonstrate that LaViC significantly outperforms text-only conversational recommendation methods and open-source vision-language baselines. Moreover, LaViC achieves competitive or superior accuracy compared to prominent proprietary baselines (e.g., GPT-3.5-turbo, GPT-4o-mini, and GPT-4o), demonstrating the necessity of explicitly using visual data for capturing product attributes and showing the effectiveness of our vision-language integration. Our code and dataset are available at https://github.com/jeon185/LaViC.

Kazuki Ishikawa 0003, Ryota Ozaki 0003, Yohei Kanzaki, Ichiro Takeuchi, Masayuki Karasuyama

Selecting the optimal combination of a machine learning (ML) algorithm and its hyper-parameters is crucial for the development of high-performance ML systems. However, since the combination of ML algorithms and hyper-parameters is enormous, the exhaustive validation requires a significant amount of time. Many existing studies use Bayesian optimization (BO) for accelerating the search. On the other hand, a significant difficulty is that, in general, there exists a different hyper-parameter space for each one of candidate ML algorithms. BO-based approaches typically build a surrogate model independently for each hyper-parameter space, by which sufficient observations are required for all candidate ML algorithms. In this study, our proposed method embeds different hyper-parameter spaces into a shared latent space, in which a surrogate multi-task model for BO is estimated. This approach can share information of observations from different ML algorithms by which efficient optimization is expected with a smaller number of total observations. We further propose the pre-training of the latent space embedding with an adversarial regularization, and a ranking model for selecting an effective pre-trained embedding for a given target dataset. Our empirical study demonstrates effectiveness of the proposed method through datasets from OpenML.

Makoto Imamura

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is a central topic in data mining, with many algorithms proposed, including deep learning and LLM-based methods. However, these are often evaluated on flawed benchmarks with trivial anomalies, unrealistic densities, mislabeled ground truth, and run-to-failure biases. Recent studies using higher-quality datasets show that simpler distance-based methods, such as discords, can outperform deep learning; However, they typically rely on sliding windows with fixed lengths, limiting flexibility. We introduce GDFlex (Generalized Discords with Flexible Subsequence Length), a discord-based method that detects anomalies across multiple time scales using length-normalized Euclidean distance. It also incorporates bias-correction mechanisms to address limitations in Euclidean distance and z-normalization. GDFlex achieves notable accuracy gains over existing methods while remaining scalable, interpretable, and efficient.

Yiqian Huang 0003, Shiqi Zhang 0004, Xiaokui Xiao

Graph-RAG constructs a knowledge graph from text chunks to improve retrieval in Large Language Model (LLM)-based question answering. It is particularly useful in domains such as biomedicine, law, and political science, where retrieval often requires multi-hop reasoning over proprietary documents. Some existing Graph-RAG systems construct KNN graphs based on text chunk relevance, but this coarse-grained approach fails to capture entity relationships within texts, leading to sub-par retrieval and generation quality. To address this, recent solutions leverage LLMs to extract entities and relationships from text chunks, constructing triplet-based knowledge graphs. However, this approach incurs significant indexing costs, especially for large document collections. To ensure a good result accuracy while reducing the indexing cost, we propose KET-RAG, a multi-granular indexing framework. KET-RAG first identifies a small set of key text chunks and leverages an LLM to construct a knowledge graph skeleton. It then builds a text-keyword bipartite graph from all text chunks, serving as a lightweight alternative to a full knowledge graph. During retrieval, KET-RAG searches both structures: it follows the local search strategy of existing Graph-RAG systems on the skeleton while mimicking this search on the bipartite graph to improve retrieval quality. We evaluate 13 solutions on three real-world datasets, demonstrating that KET-RAG outperforms all competitors in indexing cost, retrieval effectiveness, and generation quality. Notably, it achieves comparable or superior retrieval quality to Microsoft's Graph-RAG while reducing indexing costs by over an order of magnitude. Additionally, it improves the generation quality by up to 32.4% while lowering indexing costs by around 20%.

Shaoyuan Huang, Tiancheng Zhang 0009, Zhongtian Zhang, Xiaofei Wang 0001, Lanjun Wang, Xin Wang 0030

Time series forecasting is a critical and practical problem in many real-world applications, especially for industrial scenarios, where load forecasting underpins the intelligent operation of modern systems like clouds, power grids and traffic networks. However, the inherent complexity and dynamics of these systems present significant challenges. Despite advances in methods such as pattern recognition and anti-non-stationarity have led to performance gains, current methods fail to consistently ensure effectiveness across various system scenarios due to the intertwined issues of complex patterns, concept-drift, and few-shot problems. To address these challenges simultaneously, we introduce a novel scheme centered on fundamental waveform, a.k.a., meta-pattern. Specifically, we develop a unique Meta-pattern Pooling mechanism to purify and maintain meta-patterns, capturing the nuanced nature of system loads. Complementing this, the proposed Echo mechanism adaptively leverages the meta-patterns, enabling a flexible and precise pattern reconstruction. Our Meta-pattern Echo transformer (MetaEformer) seamlessly incorporates these mechanisms with the transformer-based predictor, offering end-to-end efficiency and interpretability of core processes. Demonstrating superior performance across eight benchmarks under three system scenarios, MetaEformer marks a significant advantage in accuracy, with a 37% relative improvement on fifteen state-of-the-art baselines.

Zhiwei Hu, Víctor Gutiérrez-Basulto, Zhiliang Xiang, Ru Li 0001, Jeff Z. Pan

Multimodal Entity Linking (MEL) aims to link ambiguous mentions within multimodal contexts to associated entities in a multimodal knowledge base. Existing approaches to MEL introduce multimodal interaction and fusion mechanisms to bridge the modality gap and enable multi-grained semantic matching. However, they do not address two important problems: (i) mention ambiguity, i.e., the lack of semantic content caused by the brevity and omission of key information in the mention's textual context; (ii) dynamic selection of modal content, i.e., to dynamically distinguish the importance of different parts of modal information. To mitigate these issues, we propose a Multi-level Mixture of Experts (MMoE) model for MEL. MMoE has four components: (i) the description-aware mention enhancement module leverages large language models to identify the WikiData descriptions that best match a mention, considering the mention's textual context; (ii) the multimodal feature extraction module adopts multimodal feature encoders to obtain textual and visual embeddings for both mentions and entities; (iii)-(iv) the intra-level mixture of experts and inter-level mixture of experts modules apply a switch mixture of experts mechanism to dynamically and adaptively select features from relevant regions of information. Extensive experiments on WikiMEL, RichpediaMEL and WikiDiverse datasets demonstrate the outstanding performance of MMoE compared to the state-of-the-art. MMoE's code is available at: https://github.com/zhiweihu1103/MEL-MMoE.

Ruofan Hu 0001, Dongyu Zhang, Huayi Zhang, Elke A. Rundensteiner

Learning with noisy labels (LNL) is essential for training deep neural networks with imperfect data. Meta-learning approaches have achieved success by using a clean unbiased labeled set to train a robust model. However, this approach heavily depends on the availability of a clean labeled meta-dataset, which is difficult to obtain in practice. In this work, we thus tackle the challenge of meta-learning for noisy label scenarios without relying on a clean labeled dataset. Our approach leverages the data itself while bypassing the need for labels. Building on the insight that clean samples effectively preserve the consistency of related data structures across the last hidden and the final layer, whereas noisy samples disrupt this consistency, we design the Cross-layer Information Divergence-based Meta Update Strategy (CLID-MU). CLID-MU leverages the alignment of data structures across these diverse feature spaces to evaluate model performance and use this alignment to guide training. Experiments on benchmark datasets with varying amounts of labels under both synthetic and real-world noise demonstrate that CLID-MU outperforms state-of-the-art methods. The code is released at https://github.com/ruofanhu/CLID-MU.

Yupeng Hou, Jiacheng Li 0003, Ashley Shin, Jinsung Jeon, Abhishek Santhanam, Wei Shao, Kaveh Hassani, Ning Yao, Julian J. McAuley

Semantic ID-based recommendation models tokenize each item into a small number of discrete tokens that preserve specific semantics, leading to better performance, scalability, and memory efficiency. While recent models adopt a generative approach, they often suffer from inefficient inference due to the reliance on resource-intensive beam search and multiple forward passes through the neural sequence model. As a result, the length of semantic IDs is typically restricted (e.g., to just 4 tokens), limiting their expressiveness. To address these challenges, we propose RPG, a lightweight framework for semantic ID-based recommendation. The key idea is to produce unordered, long semantic IDs, allowing the model to predict all tokens in parallel. We train the model to predict each token independently using a multi-token prediction loss, directly integrating semantics into the learning objective. During inference, we construct a graph connecting similar semantic IDs and guide decoding to avoid generating invalid IDs. Experiments show that scaling up semantic ID length to 64 enables RPG to outperform generative baselines by an average of 12.6% on the NDCG@10, while also improving inference efficiency. Code is available at: https://github.com/facebookresearch/RPG_KDD2025.

Asela Hevapathige, Ahad N. Zehmakan, Qing Wang 0002

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have demonstrated strong representation learning capabilities for graph-based tasks. Recent advances on GNNs leverage geometric properties, such as curvature, to enhance their representation capabilities by modeling complex connectivity patterns and information flow within graphs. However, most existing approaches primarily focus on discrete graph topology, overlooking diffusion dynamics and task-specific dependencies essential for effective learning. To address this, we propose a learnable integration of Bakry-Émery curvature, which captures both structural and diffusion aspects of information propagation. We develop an efficient, learnable approximation strategy, making curvature computation scalable for large graphs. Furthermore, we introduce an adaptive depth mechanism that dynamically adjusts message-passing layers per vertex based on its curvature, ensuring efficient propagation. Our theoretical analysis establishes a link between curvature and feature distinctiveness, showing that high-curvature vertices require fewer layers, while low-curvature ones benefit from deeper propagation. Extensive experiments on diverse downstream tasks validate the effectiveness of our approach, showing that the proposed depth-adaptive mechanism consistently uplifts the performance of a wide range of GNN architectures.

Zijian He, Reyna Abhyankar, Vikranth Srivatsa, Yiying Zhang 0005

Today's gen-AI workflows that involve multiple ML model calls, tool/API calls, data retrieval, or generic code execution are often tuned manually in an ad-hoc way that is both time-consuming and error-prone. In this paper, we propose a systematic approach for automatically tuning gen-AI workflows. Our key insight is that gen-AI workflows can benefit from structure, operator, and prompt changes, but unique properties of gen-AI workflows require new optimization techniques. We propose AdaSeek, an adaptive hierarchical search algorithm for autotuning gen-AI workflows. AdaSeek organizes workflow tuning methods into different layers based on the user-specified total search budget and distributes the budget across different layers based on the complexity of each layer. During its hierarchical search, AdaSeek redistributes the search budget from less useful to more promising tuning configurations based on workflow-level evaluation results. We implement AdaSeek in a workflow autotuning framework called Cognify and evaluate Cognify using six types of workflows such as RAG-based QA and text-to-SQL transformation. Overall, Cognify improves these workflows' generation quality by up to 2.8×, reduces execution monetary cost by up to 10×, and reduces end-to-end latency by 2.7×.

Yunhang He, Cong Xu 0005, Jun Wang 0006, Wei Zhang 0056

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have demonstrated their superiority in collaborative filtering, where the user-item (U-I) interaction bipartite graph serves as the fundamental data format. However, when graph-structured side information (e.g., multimodal similarity graphs or social networks) is integrated into the U-I bipartite graph, existing graph collaborative filtering methods fall short of achieving satisfactory performance. We quantitatively analyze this problem from a spectral perspective. Recall that a bipartite graph possesses a full spectrum within the range of [-1, 1], with the highest frequency exactly achievable at -1 and the lowest frequency at 1; however, we observe as more side information is incorporated, the highest frequency of the augmented adjacency matrix progressively shifts rightward. This spectrum shift phenomenon has caused previous approaches built for the full spectrum [-1, 1] to assign mismatched importance to different frequencies. To this end, we propose Spectrum Shift Correction (dubbed SSC), incorporating shifting and scaling factors to enable spectral GNNs to adapt to the shifted spectrum. Unlike previous paradigms of leveraging side information, which necessitate tailored designs for diverse data types, SSC directly connects traditional graph collaborative filtering with any graph-structured side information. Experiments on social and multimodal recommendation demonstrate the effectiveness of SSC, achieving relative improvements of up to 23% without incurring any additional computational overhead. Our code is available at https://github.com/yhhe2004/SSC-KDD.

Yuanpeng He, Lijian Li 0003, Tianxiang Zhan, Chi-Man Pun, Wenpin Jiao, Zhi Jin 0001

Although current semi-supervised medical segmentation methods can achieve decent performance, they are still affected by the uncertainty in unlabeled data and model predictions, and there is currently a lack of effective strategies that can explore the uncertain aspects of both simultaneously. To address the aforementioned issues, we propose Evidential Prototype Learning (EPL), which utilizes an extended probabilistic framework to effectively fuse voxel-level evidential predictions from different classifiers and achieves prototype fusion utilization of labeled and unlabeled data under a generalized evidential framework, leveraging voxel-level dual uncertainty masking. The uncertainty measure not only enables the model to self-correct predictions but also improves the guided learning process with pseudo-labels and is able to feed back into the construction of hidden features. The method proposed in this paper has been experimented on LA, Pancreas-CT and TBAD datasets, achieving the state-of-the-art performance in three different labeled ratios, which strongly demonstrates the effectiveness of our strategy. The source code will be made publicly available.

Yingzhi He, Xiaohao Liu, An Zhang 0003, Yunshan Ma 0002, Tat-Seng Chua

Sequential recommendation aims to predict users' future interactions by modeling collaborative filtering (CF) signals from historical behaviors of similar users or items. Traditional sequential recommenders predominantly rely on ID-based embeddings, which capture CF signals through high-order co-occurrence patterns. However, these embeddings depend solely on past interactions, lacking transferable knowledge to generalize to unseen domains. Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have motivated text-based recommendation approaches that derive item representations from textual descriptions. While these methods enhance generalization, they fail to encode CF signals-i.e., latent item correlations and preference patterns-crucial for effective recommendation. We argue that an ideal embedding model should seamlessly integrate CF signals with rich semantic representations to improve both in-domain and out-of-domain recommendation performance. To this end, we propose LLM2Rec, a novel embedding model tailored for sequential recommendation, integrating the rich semantic understanding of LLMs with CF awareness. Our approach follows a two-stage training framework: (1) Collaborative Supervised Fine-tuning, which adapts LLMs to infer item relationships based on historical interactions, and (2) Item-level Embedding Modeling, which refines these specialized LLMs into structured item embedding models that encode both semantic and collaborative information. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that LLM2Rec effectively improves recommendation quality across both in-domain and out-of-domain settings. Our findings highlight the potential of leveraging LLMs to build more robust, generalizable embedding models for sequential recommendation. Our codes are available at: https://github.com/HappyPointer/LLM2Rec.

Jesse He, Akbar Rafiey, Gal Mishne, Yusu Wang 0001

In recent years, the remarkable success of graph neural networks (GNNs) on graph-structured data has prompted a surge of methods for explaining GNN predictions. However, the state-of-the-art for GNN explainability remains in flux. Different comparisons find mixed results for different methods, with many explainers struggling on more complex GNN architectures and tasks. This presents an urgent need for a more careful theoretical analysis of competing GNN explanation methods. In this work we take a closer look at GNN explanations in two different settings: input-level explanations, which produce explanatory subgraphs of the input graph, and layerwise explanations, which produce explanatory subgraphs of the computation graph. We establish the first theoretical connections between the popular perturbation-based and classical gradient-based methods, as well as point out connections between other recently proposed methods. At the input level, we demonstrate conditions under which GNNExplainer can be approximated by a simple heuristic based on the sign of the edge gradients. In the layerwise setting, we point out that edge gradients are equivalent to occlusion search for linear GNNs. Finally, we demonstrate how our theoretical results manifest in practice with experiments on both synthetic and real datasets.

Chuan He 0005, Yongchao Liu 0004, Qiang Li 0054, Weiqiang Wang 0002, Xing Fu, Xinyi Fu, Chuntao Hong, Xinwei Yao 0001

Sequential recommendation (SR) aims to predict the next purchasing item according to users' dynamic preference learned from their historical user-item interactions. To improve the performance of recommendation, learning dynamic heterogeneous cross-type behavior dependencies is indispensable for recommender system. However, there still exists some challenges in Multi-Behavior Sequential Recommendation (MBSR). On the one hand, existing methods only model heterogeneous multi-behavior dependencies at behavior-level or item-level, and modeling interaction-level dependencies is still a challenge. On the other hand, the dynamic multi-grained behavior-aware preference is hard to capture in interaction sequences, which reflects interaction-aware sequential pattern. To tackle these challenges, we propose a Multi-Grained Preference enhanced Transformer framework (M-GPT). First, M-GPT constructs an interaction-level graph of historical cross-typed interactions in a sequence. Then graph convolution is performed to derive interaction-level multi-behavior dependency representation repeatedly, in which the complex correlation between historical cross-typed interactions at specific orders can be well learned. Secondly, a novel multifaceted transformer architecture equipped with multi-grained user preference extraction is proposed to encode the interaction-aware sequential pattern enhanced by capturing temporal behavior-aware multi-grained preference . Experiments on the real-world datasets indicate that our method M-GPT consistently outperforms various state-of-the-art recommendation methods. Our code is available at: https://github.com/hchchchchchchc/MGPT.

Buyun He, Xiaorui Jiang, Qi Wu 0021, Hao Liu 0007, Yingguang Yang, Yong Liao 0003

Detecting social media bots is essential for maintaining the security and trustworthiness of social networks. While contemporary graph-based detection methods demonstrate promising results, their practical application is limited by label reliance and poor generalization capability across diverse communities. Generative Graph Self-Supervised Learning (GSL) presents a promising paradigm to overcome these limitations, yet existing approaches predominantly follow the homophily assumption and fail to capture the global patterns in the graph, which potentially diminishes their effectiveness when facing the challenges of interaction camouflage and distributed deployment in bot detection scenarios. To this end, we propose BotHP, a generative GSL framework tailored to boost graph-based bot detectors through heterophily-aware representation learning and prototype-guided cluster discovery. Specifically, BotHP leverages a dual-encoder architecture, consisting of a graph-aware encoder to capture node commonality and a graph-agnostic encoder to preserve node uniqueness. This enables the simultaneous modeling of both homophily and heterophily, effectively countering the interaction camouflage issue. Additionally, BotHP incorporates a prototype-guided cluster discovery pretext task to model the latent global consistency of bot clusters and identify spatially dispersed yet semantically aligned bot collectives. Extensive experiments on two real-world bot detection benchmarks demonstrate that BotHP consistently boosts graph-based bot detectors, improving detection performance, alleviating label reliance, and enhancing generalization capability.

Pavithra Harsha, Chitra Subramanian, Naoki Abe, Shivaram Subramanian, Amadou Ba, Kevin Arturo Fernández Román, Mauricio Longinos Garrido, Chandrasekhar Narayanaswami 0001

We address the contextual bandit problem for high-dimensional combinatorial action spaces involving a class of structured discrete constrained optimization problems. In this setting, key quantities within the optimization formulation, such as performance indicators contributing to the objective or constraints, must be estimated from data during the trial sequence of optimized actions. These problems frequently arise in the many operations management domains including IT resource allocation and retail assortment price optimization. We propose a novel, practical, and transparent approach based on general-purpose regression oracles, leveraging Inverse Gap Weighting (IGW) for seamless integration within an optimization framework. IGW sampling is efficiently managed by: (a) a column generation reformulation of the underlying Mixed Integer Programming (MIP) model which allows for flexible lower-level predictors, causal coherence, and efficient representation of large action spaces;(b) a diverse solution pool generation to balance the exploration-exploitation trade-off in large action spaces. To address non-smoothness in the reward function due to optimization constraints, we incorporate a risk-averse phased learning strategy. We validate our approach on a real-world auto-scaling problem in IT automation, achieving a significant reduction in cumulative regret through skillful exploration, with additional gains from risk-averse methods that effectively manage constraint violations.

Qi Hao 0001, Yue Gao 0015, Runchang Liang, Yunhe Zhang 0001, Pengyang Wang

Variable Subset Forecasting (VSF) poses critical challenges in time series analysis when entire variables become unavailable during inference. Existing imputation methods relying on inter-variable correlations fail catastrophically in VSF due to two inherent limitations: (1) Missing variable collapse, where the complete absence of certain variables invalidates correlation-based dependency learning, and (2) Temporal covariate shift, where time-evolving data distributions destabilize correlation patterns learned from training data. To address these fundamental issues, we propose Generative Imputation with Multi-level Causal Consistency (GIMCC ), establishing causality-driven imputation as the first principled solution for VSF. Our key innovation lies in enforcing causal invariance through dual consistency constraints: global causal isomorphism ensures the imputed variables preserve the ground-truth causal graph structure of the complete system, while local causal subgraph alignment maintains consistency between observed variables and their causal neighborhood dependencies. By decoupling causality from spurious correlations, GIMCC provides time-invariant imputation signals robust to distribution shifts, which explicitly preserves causal relationships via multivariate spectral convolutions. Extensive experiments across five real-world domains demonstrate that GIMCC achieves average improvements of 20-60% in MAE/RMSE over correlation-based imputation baselines, remarkably outperforming full-variable training ( Oracle ) in temporal covariate shift scenarios. Our work bridges the critical gap between causal analysis and practical forecasting systems under variable absence, offering theoretically grounded guarantees for real-world deployment.