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2,245篇论文匹配“Statistical Methods”
第 11 / 113 页

Chen Feng, Zhuo Zhi, Zhao Huang, Jiawei Ge, Ling Xiao, Nicu Sebe, Georgios Tzimiropoulos, Ioannis Patras

Statistically consistent methods based on the noise transition matrix (T) offer a theoretically grounded solution to Learning with Noisy Labels (LNL), with guarantees of convergence to the optimal clean-data classifier. In practice, however, these methods are often outperformed by empirical approaches such as sample selection, and this gap is usually attributed to the difficulty of accurately estimating T. The common assumption is that, given a perfect T, noise-correction methods would recover their theoretical advantage. In this work, we put this longstanding hypothesis to a decisive test. We conduct experiments under idealized conditions, providing correction methods with a perfect, oracle transition matrix. Even under these ideal conditions, we observe that these methods still suffer from performance collapse during training. This compellingly demonstrates that the failure is not fundamentally a T-estimation problem, but stems from a more deeply rooted flaw. To explain this behaviour, we provide a unified analysis that links three levels: macroscopic convergence states, microscopic optimisation dynamics, and information-theoretic limits on what can be learned from noisy labels. Together, these results give a formal account of why ideal noise correction fails and offer concrete guidance for designing more reliable methods for learning with noisy labels.

Harel Yadid, Meir Yossef Levi, Roy Betser, Guy Gilboa

All classifiers, including state-of-the-art vision models, possess invariants, partially rooted in the geometry of their linear mappings. These invariants, which reside in the null-space of the classifier, induce equivalent sets of inputs that map to identical outputs. The semantic content of these invariants remains vague, as existing approaches struggle to provide human-interpretable information. To address this gap, we present Semantic Interpretation of the Null-space Geometry (SING), a method that constructs equivalent images, with respect to the network, and assigns semantic interpretations to the available variations. We use a mapping from network features to multi-modal vision language models. This allows us to obtain natural language descriptions and visual examples of the induced semantic shifts. SING can be applied to a single image, uncovering local invariants, or to sets of images, allowing a breadth of statistical analysis at the class and model levels. For example, our method reveals that ResNet50 leaks relevant semantic attributes to the null space, whereas DINO-ViT, a ViT pretrained with self-supervised DINO, is superior in maintaining class semantics across the invariant space. Code is available at https://tinyurl.com/github-SING.

Kushal Vyas, Alper Kayabasi, Daniel Kim, Vishwanath Saragadam, Ashok Veeraraghavan, Guha Balakrishnan

The approximation and convergence properties of implicit neural representations (INRs) are known to be highly sensitive to parameter initialization strategies. While several data-driven initialization methods demonstrate significant improvements over standard random sampling, the reasons for their success -- specifically, whether they encode classical statistical signal priors or more complex features -- remain poorly understood. In this study, we explore this phenomenon through a series of experimental analyses leveraging noise pretraining. We pretrain INRs on diverse noise classes (e.g., Gaussian, Dead Leaves, Spectral) and measure their ability to both fit unseen signals and encode priors for an inverse imaging task (denoising). Our analyses on image and video data reveal a surprising finding: simply pretraining on unstructured noise (Uniform, Gaussian) dramatically improves signal fitting capacity compared to all other baselines. However, unstructured noise also yields poor deep image priors for denoising. In contrast, we also find that noise with the classic 1/|f^\alpha| spectral structure of natural images achieves an excellent balance of signal fitting and inverse imaging capabilities, performing on par with the best data-driven initialization methods. This finding enables more efficient INR training in applications lacking sufficient prior domain-specific data.

Xue Wang, Zheng Guan, Wenhua Qian, Chengchao Wang, Runzhuo Ma

Multi-modal image fusion integrates complementary information from different modalities into a unified representation. Current methods predominantly optimize statistical correlations between modalities, often capturing dataset-induced spurious associations that degrade under distribution shifts. In this paper, we propose an intervention-based framework inspired by causal principles to identify robust cross-modal dependencies. Drawing insights from Pearl's causal hierarchy, we design three principled intervention strategies to probe different aspects of modal relationships: i) complementary masking with spatially disjoint perturbations tests whether modalities can genuinely compensate for each other's missing information, ii) random masking of identical regions identifies feature subsets that remain informative under partial observability, and iii) modality dropout evaluates the irreplaceable contribution of each modality. Based on these interventions, we introduce a Causal Feature Integrator (CFI) that learns to identify and prioritize intervention-stable features maintaining importance across different perturbation patterns through adaptive invariance gating, thereby capturing robust modal dependencies rather than spurious correlations. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method achieves SOTA performance on both public benchmarks and downstream high-level vision tasks. The Code can be available.

Jiacheng Tang, Zhiyuan Zhou, Zhuolin He, Jia Zhang, Kai Zhang, Jian Pu

Planning-oriented end-to-end driving models show great promise, yet they fundamentally learn statistical correlations instead of true causal relationships. This vulnerability leads to causal confusion, where models exploit dataset biases as shortcuts, critically harming their reliability and safety in complex scenarios. To address this, we introduce CausalVAD, a de-confounding training framework that leverages causal intervention. At its core, we design the sparse causal intervention scheme (SCIS), a lightweight, plug-and-play module to instantiate the backdoor adjustment theory in neural networks. SCIS constructs a dictionary of prototypes representing latent driving contexts. It then uses this dictionary to intervene on the model's sparse vectorized queries. This step actively eliminates spurious associations induced by confounders, thereby eliminating spurious factors from the representations for downstream tasks. Extensive experiments on benchmarks like nuScenes show CausalVAD achieves state-of-the-art planning accuracy and safety. Furthermore, our method demonstrates superior robustness against both data bias and noisy scenarios configured to induce causal confusion.

Kewei Gao, Jiayi Xie, Zhengda Shen, Weijun Qin, Lingxiang Jia, Kejia Chen, Zunlei Feng, Yijun Bei

Label-free image anomaly detection is difficult because anomalies must be separated from intra-normal variability. Diffusion models learn a manifold for normal data, and, under the common assumption that off-manifold anomalies are harder to generate and yield larger prediction errors, many methods build detectors from prediction residuals; yet reverse-process stochasticity and complex but normal structure also produce large residuals, so magnitude alone is non-diagnostic. To clarify what is recoverable from such noisy residuals, the theory examines how residual signals propagate through later reverse steps, showing that variability consistent with normal statistics is gradually absorbed toward stationarity, whereas anomalous regions retain an additional non-stationary signal that persists. Building on this insight, the Residual-Evolution Field (REF) isolates this persistent signal, with labeled source data calibrating the extractor and Cross-domain Field Alignment (CFA) transferring it to unlabeled targets. A theoretical framework with formal analysis is established, and experiments across multiple benchmarks under substantial domain shifts demonstrate state-of-the-art performance, improving over strong baselines by 2.01-14 percentage points (pp).

Xingyu Lu, Yumeng Ma, Xiang Zhou, Shengli Gan, Guiying Deng, Yang Wen, Yanbing Liu

The widespread application of LLMs has made MGT detection increasingly important in cyberspace security and governance. The existing detection paradigms mainly focus on statistical likelihood or deep embeddings. However, in complex applications such as short texts, derivative works, and cross-domain content, the discriminative capabilities fragility of these conventional methods increases significantly with the development of LLMs. Conversely, our research reveals that LLMs exhibit inherent style inertia. To address these limitations, this study attempts to synergize stylometrics and semantics for identifying MGT. This approach draws from the forensic perspective of experts who detect human imitation by focusing on stylistic nuances. Based on the above inspiration, we propose Stylometric-Semantic LLM Attribution (SSLA), a framework that extracts model-specific stylistic fingerprints across lexical, syntactic, and structural dimensions. SSLA employs a dual-path attention fusion architecture to dynamically integrate explicit stylistic signals with implicit semantic encodings. Extensive experiments across six LLM families demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance. Notably, SSLA achieves a Macro-F1 score of 95.6% on the challenging Wikipedia dataset, demonstrating exceptional robustness and surpassing state-of-the-art baselines like OTBDetector.

Pinlong Zhao, Huijun Tang, Pengfei Jiao, Mengyang Li

Sampling methods for large language models select candidate tokens based on logit statistics, implicitly assuming that high logits indicate desirable outputs. We identify the Logit Conflation Problem, where a token’s logit aggregates prompt-independent factors, including linguistic fluency and parametric associations, with prompt-relevance. However, only prompt-relevance determines instruction-following quality. We propose SEAL-Sampling (Signal Extraction for Active ReLevance) to isolate this component through attention-weighted attribution. Our framework defines prompt-relevance as the causal effect of prompt content on token logits and establishes attention patterns as an efficient proxy. Experiments on LLaMA-3 demonstrate significant improvements over top-nσ, with gains of 1.8% on AlpacaEval 2.0 and 2.2% on IFEval. Furthermore, attribution scores correlate weakly with raw logits, confirming the extraction of an orthogonal signal. The method is training-free and introduces minimal latency, adding less than 12ms overhead per token.

Mingkuan Zhao, Wentao Hu, Tianchen Huang, Yuheng Min, Suquan Chen, Yide Gao, Yanbo Zhai, Shuangyong Song, Xuelong Li

Hallucination in Large Language Models (LLMs)—characterized by the generation of content inconsistent with contextual facts or logical constraints—remains a persistent challenge for reliable deployment. In this work, we address this issue through a geometric framework rooted in the linear representation hypothesis. We propose that hallucinations manifest as orthogonal noise relative to the semantic manifold of the residual stream. Specifically, we hypothesize that while attention heads ideally propagate information congruent with the context subspace, hallucinations arise when specific heads introduce components orthogonal to this subspace, disrupting the coherence of the latent representation. Based on this formulation, we introduce Dynamic Contextual Orthogonalization (DCO), an inference-time intervention method. DCO utilizes the input residual stream as a dynamic context anchor to perform orthogonal decomposition on attention head outputs. To distinguish between context-aligned semantic updates and divergent noise, DCO employs a layer-wise Z-score suppression mechanism that selectively attenuates outlier orthogonal components based on statistical distributions. Evaluations on Llama-3-8B and 70B across benchmarks such as XSum, NQ-Swap, and IFEval demonstrate that DCO achieves superior contextual faithfulness compared to state-of-the-art intervention baselines. Furthermore, DCO maintains high performance on knowledge-intensive tasks like TriviaQA and TruthfulQA, effectively mitigating the trade-off between hallucination suppression and parametric knowledge retention often observed in existing methods. Our findings validate the geometric interpretation of hallucinations and establish DCO as a computationally efficient approach for enforcing manifold alignment.Our code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/DCO-4AB0

Yixuan Liu, Yicheng Zhang

The Science of Science (SciSci) examines how scientific knowledge is generated, evaluated, and transformed by utilizing large-scale scholarly and bibliometric data. As these data grow in scale and complexity, analysis has increasingly relied on statistical, network-based, machine learning methods, and is now seeing growing involvement of AI agents. This emerging class of such agents, ranging from multi-agent simulations of scientific behavior to tool-augmented systems for empirical analysis, is beginning to reshape how SciSci research is conducted. In this survey, we propose a task-centered taxonomy, distinguishing *agents as simulations*, which model citation, collaboration, and community dynamics, from *agents as tools*, which assist empirical analysis and scientific workflows. We review agent architectures, learning mechanisms, evaluation, and SciSci benchmarks, and examine open challenges related to reliability, data quality, and bias. Our survey aims to clarify the landscape of AI agents in SciSci and to support the development of reliable and scientifically useful AI systems for studying science and scientific communities.

Dongning Rao, Zhihua Liang, Zhihua Jiang

Empathy is key to many professions. In recognition of this, the workshops on computational approaches to subjectivity, sentiment, and social media analysis (WASSA) hosted competitions to evaluate empathy in dialogue. While fine-tuning has proved successful in the competition, there are at least three shortcomings. First, novel metrics for empathy are absent. Second, classical dialogue evaluation metrics require further investigation. Third, the ensemble’s potential remained underdeveloped. To address these issues, we propose the EMPATH framework, which combines fine-tuned models, large language models, classical dialogue evaluation metrics, and a novel metric. The novel metric, ED, encourages the response’s emotional tone to be contextually appropriate. E.g., if the user expresses joy, a cheerful reaction should receive a higher ranking. Furthermore, we introduce a new robust and label-free ensemble strategy, HO, which integrates sub-metrics with the lowest correlation coefficient first. In addition to evaluating on the WASSA benchmark, we test EMPATH’s generalizability using the EmpatheticExchanges dataset (EX). Our experiment results demonstrate that EMPATH yields the best results on the competition dataset, and ablation studies validate our component selection. On EX, the Pearson correlation coefficient for the winner of WASSA 2024 is 0.4066, while EMPATH shows a statistically significant 8% improvement (i.e., 0.4860).

Hyungjun Yoon, Mohammad Malekzadeh, Sung-Ju Lee, Fahim Kawsar, Lorena Qendro

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly grounded in sensor data to perceive and reason about human physiology and the physical world. However, accurately interpreting heterogeneous multimodal sensor data remains a fundamental challenge. We show that a single monolithic LLM often fails to reason coherently across modalities, leading to incomplete interpretations and prior-knowledge bias. We introduce ConSensus, a training-free multi-agent collaboration framework that decomposes multimodal sensing tasks into specialized, modality-aware agents. To aggregate agent-level interpretations, we propose a hybrid fusion mechanism that balances semantic aggregation, which enables cross-modal reasoning and contextual understanding, with statistical consensus, which provides robustness through agreement across modalities. While each approach has complementary failure modes, their combination enables reliable inference under sensor noise and missing data. We evaluate ConSensus on five diverse multimodal sensing benchmarks, demonstrating an average accuracy improvement of 7.1% over the single-agent baseline. Furthermore, ConSensus matches or exceeds the performance of iterative multi-agent debate methods while achieving a 12.7 times reduction in average fusion token cost through a single-round hybrid fusion protocol, yielding a robust and efficient solution for real-world multimodal sensing tasks. The source code is available at https://github.com/nokia/multi-agent-collaboration-for-multimodal-sensing.

Yingsong Ning, Fu Zhang, Jingwei Cheng, Jiashun Peng, Xiaoke Wang

Temporal knowledge graph (TKG) forecasting aims to infer future facts from historical observations in time-evolving graphs. Traditional rule-based methods often rely on statistical co-occurrences and extensive path enumeration, suffering from rule sparsity and search-space explosion, while recent LLM-based rule reasoning can produce linguistically plausible rules that are weakly constrained by graph evidence and thus may reflect spurious correlations or violate temporal constraints.To address these challenges, we propose Critic-Guided Rule Induction (CRI), which treats temporal rules as rule hypotheses to be examined and adopts a decoupled Generation-Discrimination pipeline to induce rules that are both high-coverage and high-precision. CRI first mines seed rules and path evidence from the historical graph and uses an LLM-based generator to abstract and generalize them into broader raw rule hypotheses. It then introduces a Fact-Grounded Rule Evaluator to perform fact-grounded discrimination of rule hypotheses from complementary perspectives together with necessary temporal and statistical constraints. Finally, CRI performs symbolic reasoning over the refined rule set to produce forecasts with traceable reasoning evidence. Experiments on three benchmarks show that CRI outperforms strong baselines, achieving state-of-the-art performance on TKG forecasting.

Jinsong Shu, Chenyang Wu, Zhongle Xie, Baokun Wang, Lidan Shou

Key-Value (KV) caching is essential for efficient inference in multimodal large language models (MLLMs), yet its memory footprint grows linearly with context length and becomes a major bottleneck due to the large number of visual tokens. Recent prefill-stage KV selection methods estimate KV importance from prefilling statistics, implicitly assuming that prefilling-time queries are representative of those encountered during decoding. We show that this assumption breaks down in multimodal inference, where decoding-time queries exhibit substantially larger variance than prefilling-stage representations, leading to unstable KV importance estimation under tight cache budgets. As a result, small ranking errors can disproportionately discard semantically critical visual tokens and degrade grounding and reasoning performance. We propose MM-ShiftKV, a training-free, decode-aware and strictly prefill-only KV selection method. MM-ShiftKV approximates decoding-time query behavior during prefilling by constructing variance-expanded query proxies and estimates prompt KV importance based on their aggregated attention mass. Experiments on multimodal benchmarks demonstrate that MM-ShiftKV consistently outperforms existing methods under strict KV-cache budgets.

Guanhua Huang, Tingqiang Xu, Mingze Wang, Qi Yi, Xue Gong, Siheng Li, Ruibin Xiong, Kejiao Li, Yuhao Jiang, Bo Zhou

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has propelled Large Language Models in complex reasoning, yet its scalability is often hindered by a training bottleneck where performance plateaus as policy entropy collapses, signaling a loss of exploration. While previous methods attempt to maintain high entropy, we argue that unselective entropy maximization risks amplifying irrelevant noise rather than fostering meaningful exploration. In this paper, we identify a deeper issue: the gradual elimination of valuable low-probability exploratory tokens, which we term reasoning sparks, driven by RLVR over-penalization. To address this, we introduce Low-probability Regularization (Lp-Reg). Leveraging the statistical distinction where reasoning sparks exhibit higher probabilities than noise, Lp-Reg filters out the extremely low-probability noise tokens and prevents the suppression of potentially valuable low-probability candidates. Experiments demonstrate that Lp-Reg enables stable on-policy training for over 3,000 steps (81,204 GPU-hours), sustaining exploration in regimes where baselines typically collapse. Validated across extensive evaluations totaling over 300,000 cumulative GPU-hours, Lp-Reg demonstrates highly competitive performance in off-policy settings and consistently achieves state-of-the-art results in on-policy training across diverse model families, sizes, and domains, with relative accuracy improvements ranging from 3.06% to 7.98%.

Wenzhao Cao, Yaofei Wang, Donghui Hu

Recent advances in Large Language Models have fostered a new class of generative linguistic steganography, claim “provably secure” by theoretically aligning the steganographic distribution with the language model’s natural distribution. We challenge this premise by exposing Low-Probability Vanishing (LPV), an inevitable vulnerability arising from finite-precision arithmetic. To exploit this, we propose RRNs-HT, a novel steganalysis framework based on Representative Random Numbers and Hypothesis Testing, which transforms the detection task from semantic classification to a statistical audit of the sampling mechanism. Crucially, unlike previous work that contrasts machine text against human text, we validate our method in a rigorous homologous setting to strictly isolate sampling artifacts. Experiments demonstrate that RRNs-HT effectively breaks the security of AC and Meteor with high detection accuracy, whereas state-of-the-art semantic steganalyzers degrade to random guessing. Our findings prove that theoretical security is unattainable in practice without addressing finite-precision leakage.

Renxing Chen, Ziwei Xiang, Peisong Wang, Hongjian Fang, Meng Li, Fanhu Zeng, Yanan Zhu, Peipei Yang, Xu-Yao Zhang, Jian Cheng

Parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) has become a prevalent approach for adapting large language models (LLMs). However, low-rank adaptation methods face an inherent trade-off: improving target task performance can compromise pre-trained world knowledge, while aggressively constraining updates to preserve world knowledge may hinder improvements in the target task. Furthermore, most current methods fail to account for layer-wise differences in adaptation sensitivity, resulting in suboptimal preservation of world knowledge and task adaptation. To address these challenge, we propose Fisher-Optimized Adaptive Low Rank and Singular-VectorSelection (FARSS), an effective framework for knowledge-preserving fine-tuning. This framework introduces two key innovations. First, we propose a Fisher-guided adaptive rank allocation strategy, which assigns smaller ranks to shallow layers that are critical for preserving world knowledge, and larger ranks to deep layers that are essential for task adaptation. Second, we introduce a task-aware initialization method that integrates singular value information with layer-specific second-order statistics estimated from activation and gradient covariances, enabling efficient and task-sensitive low-rank updates. We evaluated several models across various tasks, and the experimental results show that our approach outperforms existing PEFT methods, including LoRA, Corda, and KaSA, achieving a balance between preserving world knowledge and enhancing target task performance. The code is available at https://github.com/chenyehuang/FARSS.

Kangyang Luo, Shuzheng Si, Yuzhuo Bai, Cheng Gao, Zhitong Wang, Cheng Huang, Yingli Shen, Yufeng Han, Wenhao Li, Cunliang Kong 等

In the era of large language models (LLMs), supervised neural methods remain the state-of-the-art (SOTA) for Coreference Resolution. Yet, their full potential is underexplored, particularly in incremental clustering, which faces the critical challenge of balancing efficiency with performance for long texts. To address the limitation, we propose MEIC-DT, a novel dual-threshold, memory-efficient incremental clustering approach based on a lightweight Transformer. MEIC-DT features a dual-threshold constraint mechanism designed to precisely control the Transformer’s input scale within a predefined memory budget. This mechanism incorporates two key components: a Statistics-Aware Eviction Strategy (SAES) and an Internal Regularization Policy (IRP). The SAES utilizes distinct statistical profiles from the training and inference phases for intelligent cache management. The IRP strategically condenses clusters by selecting the most representative mentions, thereby preserving semantic integrity. Extensive experiments on common benchmarks demonstrate that MEIC-DT achieves highly competitive coreference performance under stringent memory constraints.

Mingjian Yang, Yong Wang, Peng Liu, Wen Yin

Multimodal Emotion Recognition in Conversation (MERC) relies on integrating heterogeneous signals, yet real-world modality missingness frequently disrupts these systems. We contend that missingness is not merely a loss of data fidelity but a rupture of the fine-grained inter-modal causal chains essential for reasoning. Existing methods, which primarily focus on statistical reconstruction, often fail to bridge these logical gaps, effectively leaving semantic holes. To address this, we propose the Causal-Enhanced Mixture-of-Experts and Hypergraph Network (CaM-HG), employing a "restore-then-mine" paradigm. First, a Causal-Enhanced MoE module conditions experts on historical context to synthesize missing features that are both realistic and causally consistent, thereby patching the broken topology. Subsequently, an Asymmetric Causal Dynamic Hypergraph mines high-order correlations from the restored graph while enforcing strict temporal causality. Experiments on IEMOCAP, CMU-MOSI, and CMU-MOSEI show consistent improvements in terms of WAF1 and accuracy over strong baselines, e.g., surpassing SOTA benchmarks by 1.43% and 1.25% on IEMOCAP. The source code is included in the supplementary material.

Dehai Min, Kailin Zhang, Tongtong Wu, Lu Cheng

Dynamic Retrieval-Augmented Generation adaptively determines when to retrieve during generation to mitigate hallucinations in large language models (LLMs). However, existing methods rely on model-internal signals (e.g., logits, entropy), which are fundamentally unreliable because LLMs are typically ill-calibrated and often exhibit high confidence in erroneous outputs. We propose QuCo-RAG, which shifts from subjective confidence to objective statistics computed from pre-training data. Our method quantifies uncertainty through two stages: (1) before generation, we identify low-frequency entities indicating long-tail knowledge gaps; (2) during generation, we verify entity co-occurrence in the pre-training corpus, where zero co-occurrence often signals hallucination risk. Both stages leverage Infini-gram for millisecond-latency queries over 4 trillion tokens, triggering retrieval when uncertainty is high. Experiments on multi-hop QA benchmarks show QuCo-RAG achieves EM gains of 5–12 points over state-of-the-art baselines with OLMo-2 models, and transfers effectively to models with undisclosed pre-training data (Llama-3, Qwen2.5, GPT-4.1/5-chat), improving EM by up to 14 points. Generalization to long-form generation and biomedical QA further validates the robustness of our paradigm. These results establish corpus-grounded verification as a principled, practically model-agnostic paradigm for dynamic RAG.