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Applications · Time Series

Zhongzheng Qiao, SHENG PAN, Anni Wang, Viktoriya Zhukova, Yong Liu, Xudong Jiang, Qingsong Wen, Mingsheng Long, Ming Jin, Chenghao Liu

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are revolutionizing the forecasting landscape from specific dataset modeling to generalizable task evaluation. However, we contend that existing benchmarks exhibit common limitations in four dimensions: constrained data composition dominated by reused legacy sources, compromised data integrity lacking rigorous quality assurance, misaligned task formulations detached from real-world contexts, and rigid analysis perspectives that obscure generalizable insights. To bridge these gaps, we introduce **TIME**, a next-generation task-centric benchmark comprising 50 fresh datasets and 98 forecasting tasks, tailored for strict zero-shot TSFM evaluation free from data leakage. Integrating large language models and human expertise, we establish a rigorous human-in-the-loop benchmark construction pipeline to ensure high data integrity and redefine task formulation by aligning forecasting configurations with real-world operational requirements and variate predictability. Furthermore, we propose a novel pattern-level evaluation perspective that moves beyond traditional dataset-level evaluations based on static meta labels. By leveraging structural time series features to characterize intrinsic temporal properties, this approach offers generalizable insights into model capabilities across diverse patterns. We evaluate 12 representative TSFMs and establish a multi-granular leaderboard to facilitate in-depth analysis and visualized inspection.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Donggyu Lee, Taekyung Lee, Jaewoong Choi

We investigate unpaired image inverse problems, a challenging setting where only independent, non-paired sets of noisy measurements and clean target signals are available for training. We propose a novel inverse problem solver based on Unbalanced Optimal Transport, called ***Unbalanced Optimal Transport Map for Inverse Problems (UOTIP)***. Our method formulates the reconstruction task—predicting clean target signals from noisy measurements—as learning a UOT Map from noisy measurement distribution to clean signal distribution by incorporating a likelihood-based cost function. By relaxing the exact marginal constraint, the UOT framework provides key advantages to our model: robustness to multi-level observation noise, adaptability to class imbalance between noisy and clean datasets, and generalizability to diverse noise-type scenarios. Furthermore, we theoretically demonstrate that incorporating a quadratic cost term ensures the existence and uniqueness of the transport map by satisfying the twist condition, even for ill-posed inverse problems. Our experiments demonstrate that UOTIP achieves state-of-the-art performance on unpaired image inverse problem benchmarks, across linear and nonlinear inverse problems.

Applications · Time Series

Zhao Tan, Yiji Zhao, Shiyu Wang, Chang Xu, Yuxuan Liang, Xiping Liu, Shirui Pan, Ming Jin

Natural Language Querying for Time Series Databases (NLQ4TSDB) aims to assist non-expert users retrieve meaningful events, intervals, and summaries from massive temporal records. However, existing Text-to-SQL methods are not designed for continuous morphological intents such as shapes or anomalies, while time series models struggle to handle ultra-long histories. To address these challenges, we propose Sonar-TS, a neuro-symbolic framework that tackles NLQ4TSDB via a "Search-Then-Verify" pipeline. Analogous to active sonar, it utilizes a feature index to "ping'' candidate windows via SQL, followed by generated Python programs to "lock on'' and verify candidates against raw signals. To enable effective evaluation, we introduce NLQTSBench, the first large-scale benchmark designed for NLQ over TSDB-scale histories. Our experiments highlight the unique challenges within this domain and demonstrate that Sonar-TS effectively navigates complex temporal queries where traditional methods fail. This work presents the first systematic study of NLQ4TSDB, offering a general framework and evaluation standard to facilitate future research.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Ruijia Zhang, Jiacheng Zhu, Hanqing Zhu, Laixi Shi

Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) and its variants enable parameter-efficient fine-tuning of large language models under the supervised fine-tuning (SFT) paradigm. However, their efficacy and behavior under Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) are less well understood. In particular, two structurally initialized LoRA variants, PiSSA and MiLoRA, which outperform standard LoRA under SFT, can underperform standard LoRA under RLVR and may even exhibit training instability. These observations suggest that how to initialize the low-rank matrices in RLVR remains unclear. In this work, we develop a theoretical analysis of LoRA in RLVR, showing that orthonormal initialization achieves the minimal gap between LoRA’s outcome and that of full fine-tuning. Guided by this insight, we propose geometry-preserving orthonormal initialization for low-rank adaptation in RLVR, leading to two new variants, LoRA-RLPO and LoRA-RLMO. Experiments on mathematical reasoning benchmarks show that our orthonormal initialization stabilizes RLVR training and outperforms standard LoRA, contrasting with PiSSA and MiLoRA. Finally, our unified analysis also explains why PiSSA and MiLoRA can underperform in RLVR, which may be of independent interest.

Applications · Neuroscience, Cognitive Science

Bozhou Li, Chubo Liu, Yan Ding, Yufeng Zhang, Zhuo Tang, Kenli Li

ANN-to-SNN conversion offers energy-efficient inference but faces a fidelity-latency trade-off due to open-loop error accumulation. While conversion-aware training mitigates this, it sacrifices the generality of using off-the-shelf ANNs. We propose a closed-loop fine-tuning framework that calibrates these errors without altering the source model. Our approach employs a Dual Alignment Mechanism, utilizing global Kullback-Leibler divergence for output distillation and introducing an adaptive local Centered Kernel Alignment constraint, weighted by initial conversion loss, for feature alignment. We uncover a critical time-dependent dynamic: local constraints are essential for stabilizing representations in low-latency regimes (e.g., $T=8$) where global gradients are unstable, whereas global alignment drives fidelity at higher time steps. Experiments on CIFAR-10 demonstrate that our method achieves over 99\% of source ANN accuracy at $T=32$ (e.g., ResNet-18: 96.38\% vs.\ 96.39\%). Furthermore, this fine-tuning acts as a regularizer, yielding SNNs with input noise robustness that matches or exceeds the source ANN.

Social Aspects · Safety

Sudarshan Regmi

The ability of the deep learning model to recognize when a sample falls outside its learned distribution is critical for safe and reliable deployment. Recent state-of-the-art out-of-distribution (OOD) detection methods leverage activation shaping to improve the separation between in-distribution (ID) and OOD inputs. These approaches resort to sample-specific scaling but apply a static percentile threshold across all samples regardless of their nature. In this work, we propose AdaSCALE, an adaptive scaling procedure that dynamically adjusts the percentile threshold based on a sample's estimated OOD likelihood. This estimation leverages our key observation that OOD samples exhibit significantly more pronounced activation shifts at high-magnitude activations under minor perturbation compared to ID samples. AdaSCALE enables stronger scaling for likely ID samples and weaker scaling for likely OOD samples, creating highly separable energy scores. Our approach achieves state-of-the-art OOD detection performance, outperforming the latest rival OptFS by **14.94%** in near-OOD and **21.67%** in far-OOD datasets in average FPR@95 metric in the ImageNet-1k benchmark across eight diverse architectures.

Applications · Language, Speech and Dialog

Chunsan Hong, Sanghyun Lee, Jong Chul YE

Masked diffusion models (MDMs) are a potential alternative to autoregressive models (ARMs) for language generation, but generation quality depends critically on the generation order. Prior work either hard-codes an ordering (e.g., blockwise left-to-right) or learns an ordering policy for a pretrained MDM, which incurs extra cost and can yield suboptimal solutions due to the two-stage optimization. Motivated by this, we propose order-expressive masked diffusion model (OeMDM) for a broad class of diffusion generative processes with various generation orders, enabling the interpretation of MDM, ARM, and block diffusion in a single framework. Furthermore, building on OeMDM, we introduce learnable-order masked diffusion model (LoMDM), which jointly learns the generation ordering and diffusion backbone through a single objective from scratch, enabling the diffusion model to generate text in context-dependent ordering. Empirically, we confirm that LoMDM outperforms various discrete diffusion models across multiple language modeling benchmarks.

Applications · Everything Else

Shirley Wu, Evelyn Choi, Arpandeep Khatua, Zhanghan Wang, Joy He-Yueya, Cyril Weerasooriya, Wei Wei, Diyi Yang, Jure Leskovec, James Zou

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate how specific users respond to any context, enabling more user-centric applications that rely on user feedback. However, existing user simulators mostly imitate surface-level patterns and language styles, which fails to reflect the underlying state of real users (e.g., beliefs, emotions). To address these limitations, we propose a novel training framework, HumanLM, which builds user simulators that accurately reflect real users. Our key insight is, in addition to generating responses, we generate natural-language latent states that align with the ground truth responses through reinforcement learning. These latent states correspond to a set of state dimensions which psychologically lead to how real users respond. HumanLM further synthesizes these aligned latent states into responses that accurately represent real users. For extensive evaluation, we develop Humanual, a comprehensive benchmark on simulating real users based on public data. Humanual consists of six large-scale datasets with 26k users and 216k responses in total. It spans diverse tasks such as generating user responses to daily life issues, political blogs, and chat sessions with LLM assistants. Across the datasets, HumanLM significantly outperforms the best alternative approaches by an average relative improvement of 16.3% on alignment score from an LLM judge. In a real-time simulation study with 37 participants, HumanLM achieves the highest scores on similarity with real user responses and human-likeness.

Deep Learning · Sequential Models, Time series

Bohan Wang, Zewen Liu, Lu Lin, Hui Liu, Li Xiong, Ming Jin, Wei Jin

Interpretable time series deep learning systems are often assessed by checking temporal consistency on explanations, implicitly treating this as evidence of robustness. We show that this assumption can fail: Predictions and explanations can be adversarially decoupled, enabling targeted misclassification while the explanation remains plausible and consistent with a chosen reference rationale. We propose TSEF (Time Series Explanation Fooler), a dual-target attack that jointly manipulates the classifier and explainer outputs. In contrast to single-objective misclassification attacks that disrupt explanation structure and spread attribution mass broadly, TSEF achieves targeted prediction changes while keeping explanations consistent with the reference. Across multiple datasets and explainer backbones, our results consistently reveal that explanation stability is a misleading proxy for decision robustness and motivate coupling-aware robustness evaluations for trustworthy time series deployments.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Yu Wang, Minghao Liu, Jiayun Wang, Jinrui Huang, Ankit Shah, Wei Wei

Inference time optimization techniques, such as repeated sampling, have significantly advanced the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, the critical role of model uncertainty remains largely underexplored in these optimization strategies. In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of confidence along reasoning trajectories and for first time reveal a surprising and unique pattern: correct answer traces tend to exhibit confidence improvement over time (positive confidence gain), while incorrect traces show attenuated or declining confidence as reasoning proceeds. Based on this observation, we propose Confidence Dynamic Gain (CDG) based voting, which incorporates how the confidence trajectory of the response evolves along the reasoning chain. Experiments across four open-source architectures (DeepSeek-R1, gpt-oss, Gemma-3, Qwen-QwQ) on the AIME24/25, HMMT25, and BRUMO25 benchmarks demonstrate that CDG yields a significant performance boost over baselines. These results demonstrate that our method provides a robust discriminative signal for improving answer selection in LLM reasoning. We also provide theoretical insights for this phenomenon. Code is in the supplementary material.

Theory · Optimization

Srećko Ðurašinović, Jean B Lasserre, Victor Magron

Mixture models, such as Gaussian mixture models (GMMs), are widely used in machine learning to represent complex data distributions. A key challenge, especially in high-dimensional settings, is to determine the mixture order and estimate the mixture parameters. We study the problem of approximating a target measure, available only through finitely many of its moments, by a mixture of distributions from a parametric family (e.g., Gaussian, exponential, Poisson), with approximation quality measured by the 2-Wasserstein ($\operatorname{W_2}$) or the total variation ($\operatorname{TV}$) distance. Unlike many existing approaches, the parameter set is not assumed to be finite; it is modeled as a compact basic semi-algebraic set. We introduce a hierarchy of semidefinite relaxations with asymptotic convergence to the desired optimal value. In addition, when a certain rank condition is satisfied, the convergence is even finite and recovery of an optimal mixing measure is obtained. We also present an application to clustering, where our framework serves either as a stand-alone method or as a preprocessing step that yields both the number of clusters and strong initial parameter estimates, thereby accelerating convergence of standard (local) clustering algorithms

Applications · Health / Medicine

Jun Li, ZIWEI QIN

Semi-supervised learning has become a dominant paradigm for reducing annotation costs. However, we argue that the current progress is clouded by a dual problem of overconfidence. Algorithmically, prevailing pseudo-labeling frameworks often conflate prediction confidence with uncertainty, leading to severe confirmation bias and poorly calibrated models. Methodologically, since multiple benchmark datasets lack validation sets, some studies repurpose test sets as validation sets, leading to inflated results. Subsequent methods, compelled to employ the same strategy to surpass reported SOTA, trigger an arms race of overfitting. Exciting numerical gains may reflect test overfitting rather than genuine progress. Thus, we propose TCSeg, a tri-space calibrated segmentation framework founded on a principled dual-axis reliability assessment engine. It explicitly decouples confidence from uncertainty and uses this signal to detect and correct confirmation bias across feature, probability, and image spaces in a collaborative manner. Across three benchmarks, TCSeg delivers consistently strong performance at both the best and final checkpoints, and we report results under a multi-run protocol to reset the benchmark with a more realistic perspective. Core code is available: https://github.com/BubbleDirk/temporary_anonymous_tcseg.

General Machine Learning · Transfer, Multitask and Meta-learning

Yuchao Zhang, Eric Wang, Fan Zhang, Haoxuan Li, Yisen Wang, Zhouchen Lin, Jun Wang, QIRUI MI, Mengyue Yang

Memory-based test-time adaptation (TTA) assigns streaming test samples into class-specific memory slots based on pseudo-labels predicted by models like CLIP, and retrieves them to facilitate subsequent predictions under distribution shift. However, this process introduces two challenges: ❶ **Each sample is hard-assigned to a single class based on CLIP's prediction**, where inaccurate CLIP prediction leads to memory contamination that biases subsequent prediction. ❷ **Samples are evicted under biased selection due to fixed memory capacity**, which risks discarding informative samples and undermining the efficacy of the memory. To address these challenges, we propose **A$^{2}$Memory** (**A**ttributive-**A**ssociative **Memory** for Test-time Adaptation). For challenge ❶ , we propose *Attribute-centric Memory Construction* that builds prior textual representations from class-shared representative and diverse visual attributes, and applies soft assignment to generate surrogate visual representations. For challenge ❷, we design *Class-wise Associative Memory* that dynamically compresses streaming samples into fixed-capacity memory through gradient-based optimization and data-dependent retention, then retrieves sample-adaptive class prototypes for reliable inference. Extensive experiments demonstrate consistent improvements over state-of-the-art methods across 15 benchmarks.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Yue Pei, Hongming Zhang, Jiarui Guan, Jusheng Zhang, Liang Lin, Haogang Zhu, Ziliang Chen

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as planners for cooperative embodied agents, but multi-agent settings amplify inconsistency under partial observability and make explicit communication costly or even unavailable. Many existing approaches rely on online message passing; when communication is removed, agents often fall back to independent local planning that suffers from tacit miscoordination. We introduce Contextual Tacit Communication, a training-free protocol that aligns decentralized decisions with a joint LLM value score without explicit message actions. Our method measures context-conditioned value rectifications via residual banding to pinpoint miscoordination actions and amortizes the resulting coordination signals into a retrieval-augmented Tacit Rule Memory that provides prompt-level cooperation rules at execution time. Experiments on VIKI, C-WAH, and TDW-MAT show that our approach improves cooperation performance over baselines while reducing runtime overhead compared with communication-based methods.

Applications · Health / Medicine

Ziyuan Gao

Medical image segmentation faces a fundamental challenge in continual learning: data arrives sequentially from heterogeneous sources, yet effective continual learning requires discovering which tasks share sufficient structure to benefit from joint learning. Existing methods either apply uniform constraints across all tasks, causing catastrophic forgetting when tasks conflict, or require predefined task groupings that cannot anticipate future task diversity. We introduce MedCRP-CL, a framework that performs online task structure discovery and structure-aware continual learning. Leveraging the Chinese Restaurant Process (CRP), our method dynamically infers task groupings from clinical text prompts as tasks arrive, without requiring predefined cluster counts or access to future tasks. We term these discovered groupings semantic modalities, as they capture finer-grained structure than physical imaging modalities by integrating anatomical region and pathological context. Guided by this discovered structure, we maintain semantic modality-specific LoRA adapters regularized by intra-modality EWC, ensuring parameter isolation across dissimilar task groups while facilitating knowledge transfer within similar ones. The framework is also replay-free, storing only aggregate statistics rather than raw patient data. Experiments on 16 medical segmentation tasks across four imaging modalities demonstrate that MedCRP-CL achieves 73.3\% Dice score with only 4.1\% forgetting, outperforming the best baseline by 8.0\% while requiring 6$\times$ fewer parameters. Code is provided as supplemental material for review and will be publicly released upon acceptance.

General Machine Learning · Evaluation

Ivory Yang, Soroush Vosoughi

As endangered languages disappear, Machine Learning (ML) increasingly frames their revitalization as a problem of scale, emphasizing more data, larger models, and broader coverage. We posit that scale is not the limiting constraint in endangered language revitalization, and that progress lies in methodological and evaluative reorientation. Evidence from Language Identification (LID), Optical Character Recognition (OCR), and synthetic data generation shows that benchmark-driven scaling produces brittle or culturally misaligned outcomes, as evaluation and modeling lack epistemic fit. Advancement in this domain lies in rethinking methodology, by grounding evaluation in cultural fidelity, community trust, and situated use rather than abstract accuracy. The revitalization of endangered languages is not about the universality of success, but the specificity of care afforded to each language and community.

Applications · Computer Vision

Yuming ZHAO, Junhui Hou, Qijian Zhang, Jia Qin, Ying He

Geometric analysis fundamentally distinguishes between extrinsic and intrinsic perspectives. The dominant paradigm in current 3D representation learning relies on either extrinsic spatial structures or high-level semantics, struggling to capture the essence of shape identity and underlying manifold topology. To bridge this gap, we introduce a novel 3D representation learning paradigm, namely PRISM, for Pre-training, which learns isometric embeddings by Recovering the Intrinsic Surface geodesic Metric. PRISM incorporates a topology-enforcing objective that explicitly constrains the structure of latent space, alongside a specialized two-stage training recipe mitigating sample imbalance inherent in the distribution of geodesic distances. Experiments demonstrate that our approach shows satisfactory accuracy, robustness, and high efficiency in geodesic distance prediction and achieves superior performance across diverse downstream tasks, including shape recognition, surface parameterization, and non-rigid correspondence. Our code will be made publicly available.

Deep Learning · Robustness

Youssef Saied, François Fleuret

Normalization Equivariance (NE), equivariance to global contrast and brightness transforms, improves robustness to distribution shift in image-to-image prediction. Existing methods enforce this prior by constraining internal layers to NE-compatible families, limiting compatibility with standard components (e.g., attention, LayerNorm) and adding runtime cost. We prove that a function is NE if and only if it admits a normalize-process-denormalize factorization. Using this characterization, we construct a parameter-free wrapper (WNE) that enforces input-output NE around any backbone, including transformers. On blind denoising, wrapping CNN and transformer architectures improves robustness under noise-level mismatch with no measurable overhead on GPU, while architectural NE baselines incur up to a $1.6\times$ slowdown.

Theory · Game Theory

Bana Sadi, Eden Saig, Nir Rosenfeld

Prediction algorithms are increasingly used to inform decisions about humans, but maximizing accuracy—the standard learning objective—is not necessarily optimal for this purpose. Instead, we propose optimizing social welfare, defined as the average gain users receive from correct predictions. Welfare enables to express, and therefore account for, heterogeneity in how much users benefit from accuracy. But since these valuations are private and users can benefit from overreporting them, learning must simultaneously elicit truthful values and optimize welfare with respect to them. To this end, we propose a novel learning algorithm that incorporates a truthful auction. We show how to compute allocations and prices efficiently, and bound the number of paying users—which surprisingly is independent of the sample size. We conclude with experiments on real and synthetic data that demonstrate our algorithm and explore the connections between welfare and accuracy.

Deep Learning · Graph Neural Networks

Shuyang Fang, Yuqin Huang, Zelong Yang, Yintao Cai, Xiaoping Min

Hypergraph Neural Networks (HNNs) have emerged as powerful tools for modeling complex high-order correlations. Most existing HNNs adhere to a two-stage message passing paradigm, where node feature propagation is mediated by hyperedges. In this paper, we identify two fundamental theoretical limitations inherent to this paradigm, which we term rank collapse and hyperedge semantic dependency. To address these challenges, we propose the Multi-Channel Hypergraph Neural Network (MC-HNN). We design a multi-channel message passing mechanism to maintain high-rank representations, while simultaneously introducing a latent hyperedge type encoding mechanism to inject an independent degree of freedom into hyperedge representations. Both theoretical insights and empirical experiments demonstrate that MC-HNN effectively mitigates the limitations of the prevailing paradigm and achieves superior performance.