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Social Aspects · Trustworthy Machine Learning

Zhi Wen Soi, Chaoyi Zhu, Fouad Abiad, Aditya Shankar, Jeroen Galjaard, Huijuan Wang, Lydia Chen

Synthetic time series generated by diffusion models enable sharing privacy-sensitive datasets, such as patients' functional MRI records. Key criteria for synthetic data include high data utility and traceability to verify the data source. Recent watermarking methods embed in homogeneous latent spaces, but state-of-the-art time series generators operate in data space, making latent-based watermarking incompatible. This creates the challenge of watermarking directly in data space while handling feature heterogeneity and temporal dependencies. We propose TimeWak, the first watermarking algorithm for multivariate time series diffusion models. To handle temporal dependence and spatial heterogeneity, TimeWak embeds a temporal chained-hashing watermark directly within the temporal-feature data space. The other unique feature is the $\epsilon$-exact inversion, which addresses the non-uniform reconstruction error distribution across features from inverting the diffusion process to detect watermarks. We derive the error bound of inverting multivariate time series while preserving robust watermark detectability. We extensively evaluate TimeWak on its impact on synthetic data quality, watermark detectability, and robustness under various post-editing attacks, against five datasets and baselines of different temporal lengths. Our results show that TimeWak achieves improvements of 61.96% in context-FID score, and 8.44% in correlational scores against the strongest state-of-the-art baseline, while remaining consistently detectable.

Theory · Learning Theory

Touqeer Ahmad, Mohammadreza Mousavi Kalan, François Portier, Gilles Stupfler

Synthetic oversampling of minority examples using SMOTE and its variants is a leading strategy for addressing imbalanced classification problems. Despite the success of this approach in practice, its theoretical foundations remain underexplored. We develop a theoretical framework to analyze the behavior of SMOTE and related methods when classifiers are trained on synthetic data. We first derive a uniform concentration bound on the discrepancy between the empirical risk over synthetic minority samples and the population risk on the true minority distribution. We then provide a nonparametric excess risk guarantee for kernel-based classifiers trained using such synthetic data. These results lead to practical guidelines for better parameter tuning of both SMOTE and the downstream learning algorithm. Numerical experiments are provided to illustrate and support the theoretical findings.

Optimization

Junhyung Lyle Kim, Brandon Augustino, Dylan Herman, Enrico Fontana, Jacob Watkins, Marco Pistoia, Shouvanik Chakrabarti

We study quantum algorithms based on quantum (sub)gradient estimation using noisy function evaluation oracles, and demonstrate the first dimension-independent query complexities (up to poly-logarithmic factors) for zeroth-order convex optimization in both smooth and nonsmooth settings. Interestingly, only using noisy function evaluation oracles, we match the first-order query complexities of classical gradient descent, thereby exhibiting exponential separation between quantum and classical zeroth-order optimization. We then generalize these algorithms to work in non-Euclidean settings by using quantum (sub)gradient estimation to instantiate mirror descent and its variants, including dual averaging and mirror prox. By leveraging a connection between semidefinite programming and eigenvalue optimization, we use our quantum mirror descent method to give a new quantum algorithm for solving semidefinite programs, linear programs, and zero-sum games. We identify a parameter regime in which our zero-sum games algorithm is faster than any existing classical or quantum approach.

Computer Vision · 3D Rendering & Reconstruction

Nicolas von Lützow, Matthias Niessner

Volumetric rendering has become central to modern novel view synthesis methods, which use differentiable rendering to optimize 3D scene representations directly from observed views. While many recent works build on NeRF or 3D Gaussians, we explore an alternative volumetric scene representation. More specifically, we introduce two new scene representations based on linear primitives - octahedra and tetrahedra - both of which define homogeneous volumes bounded by triangular faces. To optimize these primitives, we present a differentiable rasterizer that runs efficiently on GPUs, allowing end-to-end gradient-based optimization while maintaining real-time rendering capabilities. Through experiments on real-world datasets, we demonstrate comparable performance to state-of-the-art volumetric methods while requiring fewer primitives to achieve similar reconstruction fidelity. Our findings deepen the understanding of 3D representations by providing insights into the fidelity and performance characteristics of transparent polyhedra and suggest that adopting novel primitives can expand the available design space.

General Machine Learning · Transfer, Multitask and Meta-learning

Kaicheng Zhang, Sinian Zhang, Doudou Zhou, Yidong Zhou

Transfer learning is a powerful paradigm for leveraging knowledge from source domains to enhance learning in a target domain. However, traditional transfer learning approaches often focus on scalar or multivariate data within Euclidean spaces, limiting their applicability to complex data structures such as probability distributions. To address this, we introduce a novel framework for transfer learning in regression models, where outputs are probability distributions residing in the Wasserstein space. When the informative subset of transferable source domains is known, we propose an estimator with provable asymptotic convergence rates, quantifying the impact of domain similarity on transfer efficiency. For cases where the informative subset is unknown, we develop a data-driven transfer learning procedure designed to mitigate negative transfer. The proposed methods are supported by rigorous theoretical analysis and are validated through extensive simulations and real-world applications.

Applications · Language, Speech and Dialog

Xin Su, Sungduk Yu, Phillip Howard, Steven Bethard

Time normalization is the task of converting natural language temporal expressions into machine-readable representations. It underpins many downstream applications in information retrieval, question answering, and clinical decision-making. Traditional systems based on the ISO-TimeML schema limit expressivity and struggle with complex constructs such as compositional, event-relative, and multi-span time expressions. In this work, we introduce a novel formulation of time normalization as a code generation task grounded in the SCATE framework, which defines temporal semantics through symbolic and compositional operators. We implement a fully executable SCATE Python library and demonstrate that large language models (LLMs) can generate executable SCATE code. Leveraging this capability, we develop an automatic data augmentation pipeline using LLMs to synthesize large-scale annotated data with code-level validation. Our experiments show that small, locally deployable models trained on this augmented data can achieve strong performance, outperforming even their LLM parents and enabling practical, accurate, and interpretable time normalization.

Applications · Genetics, Cell Biology, etc

Dongyi Wang, Yuanwei Jiang, Zhenyi Zhang, Xiang Gu, Peijie Zhou, Jian Sun

Learning the underlying dynamics of single cells from snapshot data has gained increasing attention in scientific and machine learning research. The destructive measurement technique and cell proliferation/death result in unpaired and unbalanced data between snapshots, making the learning of the underlying dynamics challenging. In this paper, we propose joint Velocity-Growth Flow Matching (VGFM), a novel paradigm that jointly learns state transition and mass growth of single-cell populations via flow matching. VGFM builds an ideal single-cell dynamics containing velocity of state and growth of mass, driven by a presented two-period dynamic understanding of the static semi-relaxed optimal transport, a mathematical tool that seeks the coupling between unpaired and unbalanced data. To enable practical usage, we approximate the ideal dynamics using neural networks, forming our joint velocity and growth matching framework. A distribution fitting loss is also employed in VGFM to further improve the fitting performance for snapshot data. Extensive experimental results on both synthetic and real datasets demonstrate that VGFM can capture the underlying biological dynamics accounting for mass and state variations over time, outperforming existing approaches for single-cell dynamics modeling.

Deep Learning · Everything Else

Boyu Chen, Zhixiang Zhou, Liuhua Peng, Zhonglei Wang

Limited labeling budget severely impedes data-driven research, such as medical analysis, remote sensing and population census, and active inference is a solution to this problem. Prior works utilizing independent sampling have achieved improvements over uniform sampling, but its insufficient usage of available information undermines its statistical efficiency. In this paper, we propose balanced active inference, a novel algorithm that incorporates balanced constraints based on model uncertainty utilizing the cube method for label selection. Under regularity conditions, we establish its asymptotic properties and also prove that the statistical efficiency of the proposed algorithm is higher than its alternatives. Various numerical experiments, including regression and classification in both synthetic setups and real data analysis, demonstrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms its alternatives while guaranteeing nominal coverage.

General Machine Learning · Representation Learning

Zhuang Qi, Ying-Peng Tang, Lei Meng, Han Yu, Xiaoxiao Li, Xiangxu Meng

Federated Class Incremental Learning (FCIL) aims to collaboratively process continuously increasing incoming tasks across multiple clients. Among various approaches, data replay has become a promising solution, which can alleviate forgetting by reintroducing representative samples from previous tasks. However, their performance is typically limited by class imbalance, both within the replay buffer due to limited global awareness and between replayed and newly arrived classes. To address this issue, we propose a class-wise balancing data replay method for FCIL (FedCBDR), which employs a global coordination mechanism for class-level memory construction and reweights the learning objective to alleviate the aforementioned imbalances. Specifically, FedCBDR has two key components: 1) the global-perspective data replay module reconstructs global representations of prior task knowledge in a privacy-preserving manner, which then guides a class-aware and importance-sensitive sampling strategy to achieve balanced replay; 2) Subsequently, to handle class imbalance across tasks, the task-aware temperature scaling module adaptively adjusts the temperature of logits at both class and instance levels based on task dynamics, which reduces the model’s overconfidence in majority classes while enhancing its sensitivity to minority classes. Experimental results verified that FedCBDR achieves balanced class-wise sampling under heterogeneous data distributions and improves generalization under task imbalance between earlier and recent tasks, yielding a 2%-15% Top-1 accuracy improvement over six state-of-the-art methods.

Optimization · Discrete Optimization

Iasonas Nikolaou, Miltiadis Stouras, Stratis Ioannidis, Evimaria Terzi

Given a collection of monotone submodular functions, the goal of Two-Stage Submodular Maximization (2SSM) (Balkanski et al. 2016) is to restrict the ground set so an objective selected u.a.r. from the collection attains a high maximal value, on average, when optimized over the restricted ground set. We introduce the Online Two-Stage Submodular Maximization (O2SSM) problem, in which the submodular objectives are revealed in an online fashion. We study this problem for weighted threshold potential functions, a large and important subclass of monotone submodular functions that includes influence maximization, data summarization, and facility location, to name a few. We design an algorithm that achieves sublinear $(1 - 1/e)^2$-regret under general matroid constraints and $(1 - 1/e)(1-e^{-k}k^k/k!)$-regret in the case of uniform matroids of rank $k$; the latter also yields a state-of-the-art bound for the (offline) 2SSM problem. We empirically validate the performance of our online algorithm with experiments on real datasets.

Applications · Language, Speech and Dialog

Huacan Wang, Ziyi Ni, Shuo Zhang, Shuo Lu, Sen Hu, Ziyang He, Chen Hu, Jiaye Lin, Yifu Guo, Yuntao Du 等

The ultimate goal of code agents is to solve complex tasks autonomously. Although large language models (LLMs) have made substantial progress in code generation, real-world tasks typically demand full-fledged code repositories rather than simple scripts. Building such repositories from scratch remains a major challenge. Fortunately, GitHub hosts a vast, evolving collection of open-source repositories, which developers frequently reuse as modular components for complex tasks. Yet, existing frameworks like OpenHands and SWE-Agent still struggle to effectively leverage these valuable resources. Relying solely on README files provides insufficient guidance, and deeper exploration reveals two core obstacles: overwhelming information and tangled dependencies of repositories, both constrained by the limited context windows of current LLMs. To tackle these issues, we propose RepoMaster, an autonomous agent framework designed to explore and reuse GitHub repositories for solving complex tasks. For efficient understanding, RepoMaster constructs function-call graphs, module-dependency graphs, and hierarchical code trees to identify essential components, providing only identified core elements to the LLMs rather than the entire repository. During autonomous execution, it progressively explores related components using our exploration tools and prunes information to optimize context usage. Evaluated on the adjusted MLE-bench, RepoMaster achieves a 110\% relative boost in valid submissions over the strongest baseline OpenHands. On our newly released GitTaskBench, RepoMaster lifts the task-pass rate from 40.7% to 62.9% while reducing token usage by 95%. Our code and demonstration materials are publicly available at https://github.com/QuantaAlpha/RepoMaster.

Deep Learning · Everything Else

Yi Ding, Ruqi Zhang

Reasoning Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have shown promising performance on complex multimodal tasks. However, they still face significant challenges: they are highly sensitive to reasoning errors, require large volumes of annotated data or accurate verifiers, and struggle to generalize beyond specific domains. To address these limitations, we explore self-correction as a strategy to enhance reasoning VLMs. We first conduct an in-depth analysis of reasoning VLMs’ self-correction abilities and identify key gaps. Based on our findings, we introduce \emph{Sherlock}, a self-correction and self-improvement training framework. \emph{Sherlock} introduces a trajectory-level self-correction objective, a preference data construction method based on visual perturbation, and a dynamic $\beta$ for preference tuning. Once the model acquires self-correction capabilities using only 20k randomly sampled annotated data, it continues to self-improve without external supervision. Built on the Llama3.2-Vision-11B model, \emph{Sherlock} achieves remarkable results across eight benchmarks, reaching an average accuracy of 64.1 with direct generation and 65.4 after self-correction. It outperforms LLaVA-CoT (63.2), Mulberry (63.9), and LlamaV-o1 (63.4) while using less than 20\% of the annotated data.

Theory · Learning Theory

Jingyuan Liu, Hao Qiu, Lin Yang, Mengfan Xu

We study the distributed multi-agent multi-armed bandit problem with heterogeneous rewards over random communication graphs. Uniquely, at each time step $t$ agents communicate over a time-varying random graph $\mathcal{G}\_t$ generated by applying the Erdős–Rényi model to a fixed connected base graph $\mathcal{G}$ (for classical Erdos-Rényi graphs, $\mathcal{G}$ is a complete graph), where each potential edge in $\mathcal{G}$ is randomly and independently present with the link probability $p$. Notably, the resulting random graph is not necessarily connected at each time step. Each agent's arm rewards follow time-invariant distributions, and the reward distribution for the same arm may differ across agents. The goal is to minimize the cumulative expected regret relative to the global mean reward of each arm, defined as the average of that arm’s mean rewards across all agents. To this end, we propose a fully distributed algorithm that integrates the arm elimination strategy with the random gossip algorithm. We theoretically show that the regret upper bound is of order $\log T$ and is highly interpretable, where $T$ is the time horizon. It includes the optimal centralized regret $\mathcal O\left(\sum_{k: \Delta_k>0} \frac{\log T}{\Delta_k}\right)$ and an additional term $\mathcal O\left(\frac{N^2 \log T}{p \lambda_{N-1}(\operatorname{Lap}(\mathcal{G}))} + \frac{KN^2 \log T}{p}\right)$ where $N$ and $K$ denote the total number of agents and arms, respectively. This term reflects the impact of $\mathcal G$'s algebraic connectivity $\lambda_{N-1}(\operatorname{Lap}(\mathcal{G}))$ and the link probability $p$, and thus highlights a fundamental trade-off between communication efficiency and regret. As a by-product, we show a nearly optimal regret lower bound. Finally, our numerical experiments not only show the superiority of our algorithm over existing benchmarks, but also validate the theoretical regret scaling with problem complexity.

General Machine Learning · Causality

Vydhourie Thiyageswaran, Tyler H. McCormick, Jennifer Brennan

Randomized controlled trials often suffer from interference, a violation of the Stable Unit Treatment Value Assumption (SUTVA), where a unit's outcome is influenced by its neighbors' treatment assignments. This interference biases naive estimators of the average treatment effect (ATE). A popular method to achieve unbiasedness pairs the Horvitz-Thompson estimator of the ATE with a known exposure mapping, a function that identifies units in a given randomization unaffected by interference. For example, an exposure mapping may stipulate that a unit experiences no further interference if at least an $h$-fraction of its neighbors share its treatment status. However, selecting this threshold $h$ is challenging, requiring domain expertise; in its absence, fixed thresholds such as $h = 1$ are often used. In this work, we propose a data-adaptive method to select the $h$-fractional threshold that minimizes the mean-squared-error (MSE) of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator. Our approach estimates the bias and variance of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator paired with candidate thresholds by leveraging a first-order approximation, specifically, linear regression of potential outcomes on exposures. We present simulations illustrating that our method improves upon non-adaptive threshold choices, and an adapted Lepski's method. We further illustrate the performance of our estimator by running experiments with synthetic outcomes on a real village network dataset, and on a publicly-available Amazon product similarity graph. Furthermore, we demonstrate that our method remains robust to deviations from the linear potential outcomes model.

Theory · Learning Theory

Hongjie Chen, Jingqiu Ding, Yiding Hua, Stefan Tiegel

We study the problem of robustly estimating the edge density of Erdos Renyi random graphs $\mathbb{G}(n, d^\circ/n)$ when an adversary can arbitrarily add or remove edges incident to an $\eta$-fraction of the nodes. We develop the first polynomial-time algorithm for this problem that estimates $d^\circ$ up to an additive error $O\left({[\sqrt{\log(n) / n} + \eta\sqrt{\log(1/\eta)} ] \cdot \sqrt{d^\circ} + \eta \log(1/\eta)}\right)$. Our error guarantee matches information-theoretic lower bounds up to factors of $\log(1/\eta)$. Moreover, our estimator works for all $d^\circ \geq \Omega(1)$ and achieves optimal breakdown point $\eta = 1/2$. Previous algorithms [Acharya et al 2022, Chen et al 2024], including inefficient ones, incur significantly suboptimal errors. Furthermore, even admitting suboptimal error guarantees, only inefficient algorithms achieve optimal breakdown point. Our algorithm is based on the sum-of-squares (SoS) hierarchy. A key ingredient is to construct constant-degree SoS certificates for concentration of the number of edges incident to small sets in $\mathbb{G}(n, d^\circ/n)$. Crucially, we show that these certificates also exist in the sparse regime, when $d^\circ = o(\log n)$, a regime in which the performance of previous algorithms was significantly suboptimal.

Theory · Game Theory

Yang Cai, Haipeng Luo, Chen-Yu Wei, Weiqiang Zheng

The convergence of online learning algorithms in games under self-play is a fundamental question in game theory and machine learning. Among various notions of convergence, last-iterate convergence is particularly desirable, as it reflects the actual decisions made by the learners and captures the day-to-day behavior of the learning dynamics. While many algorithms are known to converge in the average-iterate, achieving last-iterate convergence typically requires considerably more effort in both the design and the analysis of the algorithm. Somewhat surprisingly, we show in this paper that for a large family of games, there exists a simple black-box reduction that transforms the average iterates of an uncoupled learning dynamics into the last iterates of a new uncoupled learning dynamics, thus also providing a reduction from last-iterate convergence to average-iterate convergence. Our reduction applies to games where each player’s utility is linear in both their own strategy and the joint strategy of all opponents. This family includes two-player bimatrix games and generalizations such as multi-player polymatrix games. By applying our reduction to the Optimistic Multiplicative Weights Update algorithm, we obtain new state-of-the-art last-iterate convergence rates for uncoupled learning dynamics in multi-player zero-sum polymatrix games: (1) an $O(\frac{\log d}{T})$ last-iterate convergence rate under gradient feedback, representing an exponential improvement in the dependence on the dimension $d$ (i.e., the maximum number of actions available to either player); and (2) an $\tilde{O}(d^{\frac{1}{5}}T^{-\frac{1}{5}})$ last-iterate convergence rate under bandit feedback, improving upon the previous best rates of $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{d}T^{-\frac{1}{8}})$ and $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{d}T^{-\frac{1}{6}})$.

Theory · Learning Theory

Arthur da Cunha, Mikael Møller Høgsgaard, Andrea Paudice, Yuxin Sun

Boosting is a key method in statistical learning, allowing for converting weak learners into strong ones. While well studied in the realizable case, the statistical properties of weak-to-strong learning remain less understood in the agnostic setting, where there are no assumptions on the distribution of the labels. In this work, we propose a new agnostic boosting algorithm with substantially improved sample complexity compared to prior works under very general assumptions. Our approach is based on a reduction to the realizable case, followed by a margin-based filtering of high-quality hypotheses. Furthermore, we show a nearly-matching lower bound, settling the sample complexity of agnostic boosting up to logarithmic factors.

General Machine Learning · Transfer, Multitask and Meta-learning

Matan Tsipory, Ran Levinstein, Itay Evron, Mark Kong, Deanna Needell, Daniel Soudry

We analyze task orderings in continual learning for linear regression, assuming joint realizability of training data. We focus on orderings that greedily maximize dissimilarity between consecutive tasks, a concept briefly explored in prior work but still surrounded by open questions. Using tools from the Kaczmarz method literature, we formalize such orderings and develop geometric and algebraic intuitions around them. Empirically, we demonstrate that greedy orderings converge faster than random ones in terms of the average loss across tasks, both for linear regression with random data and for linear probing on CIFAR-100 classification tasks. Analytically, in a high-rank regression setting, we prove a loss bound for greedy orderings analogous to that of random ones. However, under general rank, we establish a repetition-dependent separation. Specifically, while prior work showed that for random orderings, with or without replacement, the average loss after $k$ iterations is bounded by $\\mathcal{O}(1/\\sqrt{k})$—we prove that single-pass greedy orderings may fail catastrophically, whereas those allowing repetition converge at rate $\\mathcal{O}(1/\\sqrt[3]{k})$. Overall, we reveal nuances within and between greedy and random orderings.

Theory · Learning Theory

Yu Huang, Zixin Wen, Aarti Singh, Yuejie Chi, Yuxin Chen

The ability to reason lies at the core of artificial intelligence (AI), and challenging problems usually call for deeper and longer reasoning to tackle. A crucial question about AI reasoning is whether models can extrapolate learned reasoning patterns to solve harder tasks that require longer chain-of-thoughts (CoT). In this work, we present a theoretical analysis of transformers trained via gradient descent on synthetic data for various state tracking tasks, revealing how length-generalizable reasoning can emerge. Specifically, we prove that: (i) for tasks with simple algebraic structure such as cyclic-group composition, transformers trained on short, constant-length chains learn a solution pattern that extrapolates to much longer chains; and (ii) for more complex tasks such as symmetric-group composition, a recursive self-training curriculum bootstraps longer reasoning and generalizes well beyond the training horizon, up to the natural limit of our setting. Our results demonstrate that transformers can learn sequential reasoning skills that scale with problem complexity. Moreover, we provide the first optimization-based guarantee demonstrating that constant-depth transformers can learn the state tracking problems in $\mathsf{NC}^1$, which exceeds the prior barrier limited to $\mathsf{TC}^0$, unless the famous conjecture $\mathsf{TC}^0 \neq \mathsf{NC}^1$ is false.

Theory · Learning Theory

Ziyang Wei, Jiaqi Li, Zhipeng Lou, Wei Biao Wu

We establish a comprehensive finite-sample and asymptotic theory for stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with constant learning rates. First, we propose a novel linear approximation technique to provide a quenched central limit theorem (CLT) for SGD iterates with refined tail properties, showing that regardless of the chosen initialization, the fluctuations of the algorithm around its target point converge to a multivariate normal distribution. Our conditions are substantially milder than those required in the classical CLTs for SGD, yet offering a stronger convergence result. Furthermore, we derive the first Berry-Esseen bound -- the Gaussian approximation error -- for the constant learning-rate SGD, which is sharp compared to the decaying learning-rate schemes in the literature. Beyond the moment convergence, we also provide the Nagaev-type inequality for the SGD tail probabilities by adopting the autoregressive approximation techniques, which entails non-asymptotic large-deviation guarantees. These results are verified via numerical simulations, paving the way for theoretically grounded uncertainty quantification, especially with non-asymptotic validity.