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Theory · Learning Theory

Yixiao Huang, Hanlin Zhu, Tianyu Guo, Jiantao Jiao, Somayeh Sojoudi, Michael Jordan, Stuart J Russell, Song Mei

Large language models (LLMs) can acquire new knowledge through fine-tuning, but this process exhibits a puzzling duality: models can generalize remarkably from new facts, yet are also prone to hallucinating incorrect information. However, the reasons for this phenomenon remain poorly understood. In this work, we argue that both behaviors stem from a single mechanism known as out-of-context reasoning (OCR): the ability to deduce implications by associating concepts, even those without a causal link. Our experiments across five prominent LLMs confirm that OCR indeed drives both generalization and hallucination, depending on whether the associated concepts are causally related. To build a rigorous theoretical understanding of this phenomenon, we then formalize OCR as a synthetic factual recall task. We empirically show that a one-layer single-head attention-only transformer with factorized output and value matrices can learn to solve this task, while a model with combined weights cannot, highlighting the crucial role of matrix factorization. Our theoretical analysis shows that the OCR capability can be attributed to the implicit bias of gradient descent, which favors solutions that minimize the nuclear norm of the combined output-value matrix. This structure explains why the model learns to associate facts and implications with high sample efficiency, regardless of whether the correlation is causal or merely spurious. Ultimately, our work provides a theoretical foundation for understanding the OCR phenomenon, offering a new lens for analyzing and mitigating undesirable behaviors from knowledge injection.

Computer Vision · Vision Models & Multimodal

Shaojie Zhang, Ruoceng Zhang, Pei Fu, Shaokang Wang, Jiahui Yang, Xin Du, ShiqiCui, Bin Qin, Ying Huang, Zhenbo Luo 等

In the field of AI-driven human-GUI interaction automation, while rapid advances in multimodal large language models and reinforcement fine-tuning techniques have yielded remarkable progress, a fundamental challenge persists: their interaction logic significantly deviates from natural human-GUI communication patterns. To address this gap, we propose Blink–Think–Link (BTL), a brain-inspired framework for human-GUI interaction that mimics the human cognitive process between users and graphical interfaces. The system decomposes interactions into three biologically plausible phases: (1) \textbf{Blink} - rapid detection and attention to relevant screen areas, analogous to saccadic eye movements; (2) \textbf{Think} - higher-level reasoning and decision-making, mirroring cognitive planning; and (3) \textbf{Link} - generation of executable commands for precise motor control, emulating human action selection mechanisms. Additionally, we introduce two key technical innovations for BTL framework: (1) Blink Data Generation - an automated annotation pipeline specifically optimized for blink data, and (2) {BTL Reward – the first rule-based reward mechanism that enables reinforcement learning driven by both process and outcome.} Building upon this framework, we develop a GUI agent model named BTL-UI, which demonstrates competitive performance across both static GUI understanding and dynamic interaction tasks in comprehensive benchmarks. These results provide conclusive empirical validation of the framework's efficacy in developing advanced GUI agents.

Applications · Chemistry and Drug Discovery

Mianchu Wang, Giovanni Montana

Retrosynthesis planning aims to decompose target molecules into available building blocks, forming a synthetic tree where each internal node represents an intermediate compound and each leaf ideally corresponds to a purchasable reactant. However, this tree becomes invalid if any leaf node is not a valid building block, making the planning process vulnerable to the "weakest link" in the synthetic route. Existing methods often optimise for average performance across branches, failing to account for this worst-case sensitivity. In this paper, we reframe retrosynthesis as a worst-path optimisation problem within tree-structured Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). We prove that this formulation admits a unique optimal solution and provides monotonic improvement guarantees. Building on this insight, we introduce Interactive Retrosynthesis Planning (InterRetro), a method that interacts with the tree MDP, learns a value function for worst-path outcomes, and improves its policy through self-imitation, preferentially reinforcing past decisions with high estimated advantage. Empirically, InterRetro achieves state-of-the-art results — solving 100\% of targets on the Retro*-190 benchmark, shortening synthetic routes by 4.9\%, and achieving promising performance using only 10\% of the training data.

Deep Learning · Everything Else

Pengyue Jia, Seongheon Park, Song Gao, Xiangyu Zhao, Sharon Li

Worldwide image geolocalization—the task of predicting GPS coordinates from images taken anywhere on Earth—poses a fundamental challenge due to the vast diversity in visual content across regions. While recent approaches adopt a two-stage pipeline of retrieving candidates and selecting the best match, they typically rely on simplistic similarity heuristics and point-wise supervision, failing to model spatial relationships among candidates. In this paper, we propose **GeoRanker**, a distance-aware ranking framework that leverages large vision-language models to jointly encode query–candidate interactions and predict geographic proximity. In addition, we introduce a *multi-order distance loss* that ranks both absolute and relative distances, enabling the model to reason over structured spatial relationships. To support this, we curate GeoRanking, the first dataset explicitly designed for geographic ranking tasks with multimodal candidate information. GeoRanker achieves state-of-the-art results on two well-established benchmarks (IM2GPS3K and YFCC4K), significantly outperforming current best methods. We also release our code, checkpoint, and dataset online for ease of reproduction.

Deep Learning · Everything Else

Yuan Guo, Qian Ma, Hui Li, Qiao Ning, Furui Zhan, Yu Gu, Ge Yu, Shikai Guo

Multi-modal Knowledge Graph Completion (MMKGC) aims to predict missing entities, relations, or attributes in knowledge graphs by collaboratively modeling the triple structure and multimodal information (e.g., text, images, videos) associated with entities. This approach facilitates the automatic discovery of previously unobserved factual knowledge. However, existing MMKGC methods encounter several critical challenges: (i) the imbalance of inter-entity information across different modalities; (ii) the heterogeneity of intra-entity multimodal information; and (iii) for a given entity, the informational contributions of different modalities are inconsistent across contexts. In this paper, we propose a novel **L**arge model-driven **B**alanced **M**ultimodal **K**nowledge **G**raph **C**ompletion framework, termed LBMKGC. Subsequently, to bridge the semantic gap between heterogeneous modalities, LBMKGC aligns the multimodal embeddings of entities semantically by using the CLIP (Contrastive Language-Image Pre-Training) model. Furthermore, LBMKGC adaptively fuses multimodal embeddings with relational guidance by distinguishing between the perceptual and conceptual attributes of triples. Finally, extensive experiments conducted against 21 state-of-the-art baselines demonstrate that LBMKGC achieves superior performance across diverse datasets and scenarios while maintaining efficiency and generalizability. Our code and data are publicly available at: https://github.com/guoynow/LBMKGC.

General Machine Learning · Representation Learning

Navita Goyal, Hal Daumé III, Alexandre Drouin, Dhanya Sridhar

Language model activations entangle concepts that mediate their behavior, making it difficult to interpret these factors, which has implications for generalizability and robustness. We introduce an approach for disentangling these concepts without supervision. Existing methods for concept discovery often rely on external labels, contrastive prompts, or known causal structures, which limits their scalability and biases them toward predefined, easily annotatable features. In contrast, we propose a new unsupervised algorithm that identifies causal differentiating concepts—interpretable latent directions in LM activations that must be changed to elicit a different model behavior. These concepts are discovered using a constrained contrastive learning objective, guided by the insight that eliciting a target behavior requires only sparse changes to the underlying concepts. We formalize this notion and show that, under a particular assumption about the sparsity of these causal differentiating concepts, our method learns disentangled representations that align with human-interpretable factors influencing LM decisions. We empirically show the ability of our method to recover ground-truth causal factors in synthetic and semi-synthetic settings. Additionally, we illustrate the utility of our method through a case study on refusal behavior in language models. Our approach offers a scalable and interpretable lens into the internal workings of LMs, providing a principled foundation for interpreting language model behavior.

Social Aspects · Accountability, Transparency and Interpretability

Wenbo Shang, Zihan Feng, Yang Yajun, Xin Huang

Information diffusion prediction, which aims to forecast future infected users during the information spreading process on social platforms, is a challenging and critical task for public opinion analysis. With the development of social platforms, mass communication has become increasingly widespread. However, most existing methods based on GNNs and sequence models mainly focus on structural and temporal patterns in social networks, suffering from spurious diffusion connections and insufficient information for the diffusion analysis. We leverage strong reasoning capability of LLMs and develop a LL**M**-based causal framework for d**i**ffusion inf**l**uence **d**erivation (MILD). Comprehensively integrating four key factors of social diffusion, i.e., connections, active timelines, user profiles, and comments, MILD causally infers authentic diffusion links to construct a diffusion influence graph $G_I$. To validate the quality and reliability of our constructed graph $G_I$, we proposed a newly designed set of evaluation metrics w.r.t. diffusion prediction. We show MILD provides a reliable information diffusion structure that 12% absolutely better than the social network structure and achieves the state-of-the-art performance on diffusion prediction. MILD is expected to contribute to high-quality, more explainable, and more trustworthy public opinion analysis.

Optimization · Large Scale, Parallel and Distributed

Zedong Liu, Shenggan Cheng, Guangming Tan, Yang You, Dingwen Tao

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) extend LLMs to handle images, videos, and audio by incorporating feature extractors and projection modules. However, these additional components—combined with complex inference pipelines and heterogeneous workloads—introduce significant inference overhead. Therefore, efficiently serving MLLMs remains a major challenge. Current tightly coupled serving architectures struggle to distinguish between mixed request types or adapt parallelism strategies to different inference stages, leading to increased time-to-first-token (TTFT) and poor resource utilization. To address this, we introduce Elastic Multimodal Parallelism (EMP), a new serving paradigm that elastically adapts to resource heterogeneity across request types and inference stages. Building upon EMP, we develop ElasticMM, an MLLM serving system that (1) separates requests into independent modality groups with dynamic resource allocation via a modality-aware load balancer; (2) decouples inference stages and enables parallelism adjustment and adaptive scaling via elastic partition scheduling; and (3) improves inference efficiency through unified multimodal prefix caching and non-blocking encoding. Experiments on diverse real-world datasets show that ElasticMM outperforms state-of-the-art (SOTA) serving systems, reducing TTFT by up to 4.2$\times$ and achieving 3.2–4.5$\times$ higher throughput while meeting service-level objectives (SLOs).

Deep Learning · Everything Else

Vedang Lad, Jin Hwa Lee, Wes Gurnee, Max Tegmark

We investigate the robustness of Large Language Models (LLMs) to structural interventions by deleting and swapping adjacent layers during inference. Surprisingly, models retain 72–95\% of their original top-1 prediction accuracy without any fine-tuning. We find that performance degradation is not uniform across layers: interventions to the early and final layers cause the most degradation, while the model is remarkably robust to dropping middle layers. This pattern of localized sensitivity motivates our hypothesis of four stages of inference, observed across diverse model families and sizes: (1) detokenization, where local context is integrated to lift raw token embeddings into higher-level representations; (2) feature engineering, where task- and entity-specific features are iteratively refined; (3) prediction ensembling, where hidden states are aggregated into plausible next-token predictions; and (4) residual calibration, where irrelevant features are suppressed to finalize the output distribution. Synthesizing behavioral and mechanistic evidence, we provide a hypothesis for interpreting depth-dependent computations in LLMs.

General Machine Learning · Causality

Tara Anand, Adèle Ribeiro, Jin Tian, George Hripcsak, Elias Bareinboim

Causal discovery methods are powerful tools for uncovering the structure of relationships among variables, yet they face significant challenges in scalability and interpretability, especially in high-dimensional settings. In many domains, researchers are not only interested in causal links between individual variables, but also in relationships among sets or clusters of variables. Learning causal structure at the cluster level can both reveal higher-order relationships of interest and improve scalability. In this work, we introduce an approach for causal discovery over clusters in Markov causal systems. We propose a new graphical model that encodes knowledge of relationships between user-defined clusters while fully representing independencies and dependencies over clusters, faithful to a given distribution. We then define and characterize a graphical equivalence class of these models that share cluster-level independence information. Lastly, we present a sound and complete algorithm for causal discovery to represent learnable causal relationships between clusters of variables.

Theory · Learning Theory

Wei Shi, Yuan Cao

Transformers have proven highly effective across various applications, especially in handling sequential data such as natural languages and time series. However, transformer models often lack clear interpretability, and the success of transformers has not been well understood in theory. In this paper, we study the capability and interpretability of transformers in learning a family of classic statistical models, namely random walks on circles. We theoretically demonstrate that, after training with gradient descent, a one-layer transformer model can achieve optimal accuracy in predicting random walks. Importantly, our analysis reveals that the trained model is interpretable: the trained softmax attention serves as a token selector, focusing on the direct parent state; subsequently, the value matrix executes a one-step probability transition to predict the location of the next state based on this parent state. We also show that certain edge cases not covered by our theory are indeed failure cases, demonstrating that our theoretical conditions are tight. By investigating these success and failure cases, it is revealed that gradient descent with small initialization may fail or struggle to converge to a good solution in certain simple tasks even beyond random walks. Experiments are conducted to support our theoretical findings.

Theory · Learning Theory

Leonardo Defilippis, Yatin Dandi, Pierre Mergny, Florent Krzakala, Bruno Loureiro

We consider the problem of how many samples from a Gaussian multi-index model are required to weakly reconstruct the relevant index subspace. Despite its increasing popularity as a testbed for investigating the computational complexity of neural networks, results beyond the single-index setting remain elusive. In this work, we introduce spectral algorithms based on the linearization of a message passing scheme tailored to this problem. Our main contribution is to show that the proposed methods achieve the optimal reconstruction threshold. Leveraging a high-dimensional characterization of the algorithms, we show that above the critical threshold the leading eigenvector correlates with the relevant index subspace, a phenomenon reminiscent of the Baik–Ben Arous–Peche (BBP) transition in spiked models arising in random matrix theory. Supported by numerical experiments and a rigorous theoretical framework, our work bridges critical gaps in the computational limits of weak learnability in multi-index model.

Social Aspects · Accountability, Transparency and Interpretability

Denis Sutter, Julian Minder, Thomas Hofmann, Tiago Pimentel

The concept of causal abstraction got recently popularised to demystify the opaque decision-making processes of machine learning models; in short, a neural network can be abstracted as a higher-level algorithm if there exists a function which allows us to map between them. Notably, most interpretability papers implement these maps as linear functions, motivated by the linear representation hypothesis: the idea that features are encoded linearly in a model's representations. However, this linearity constraint is not required by the definition of causal abstraction. In this work, we critically examine the concept of causal abstraction by considering arbitrarily powerful alignment maps. In particular, we prove that under reasonable assumptions, any neural network can be mapped to any algorithm, rendering this unrestricted notion of causal abstraction trivial and uninformative. We complement these theoretical findings with empirical evidence, demonstrating that it is possible to perfectly map models to algorithms even when these models are incapable of solving the actual task; e.g., on an experiment using randomly initialised language models, our alignment maps reach 100\% interchange-intervention accuracy on the indirect object identification task. This raises the non-linear representation dilemma: if we lift the linearity constraint imposed to alignment maps in causal abstraction analyses, we are left with no principled way to balance the inherent trade-off between these maps' complexity and accuracy. Together, these results suggest an answer to our title's question: causal abstraction is not enough for mechanistic interpretability, as it becomes vacuous without assumptions about how models encode information. Studying the connection between this information-encoding assumption and causal abstraction should lead to exciting future work.

Computer Vision · Everything Else

Huaijin Pi, Zhi Cen, Zhiyang Dou, Taku Komura

Synthesizing whole-body manipulation of articulated objects, including body motion, hand motion, and object motion, is a critical yet challenging task with broad applications in virtual humans and robotics. The core challenges are twofold. First, achieving realistic whole-body motion requires tight coordination between the hands and the rest of the body, as their movements are interdependent during manipulation. Second, articulated object manipulation typically involves high degrees of freedom and demands higher precision, often requiring the fingers to be placed at specific regions to actuate movable parts. To address these challenges, we propose a novel coordinated diffusion noise optimization framework. Specifically, we perform noise-space optimization over three specialized diffusion models for the body, left hand, and right hand, each trained on its own motion dataset to improve generalization. Coordination naturally emerges through gradient flow along the human kinematic chain, allowing the global body posture to adapt in response to hand motion objectives with high fidelity. To further enhance precision in hand-object interaction, we adopt a unified representation based on basis point sets (BPS), where end-effector positions are encoded as distances to the same BPS used for object geometry. This unified representation captures fine-grained spatial relationships between the hand and articulated object parts, and the resulting trajectories serve as targets to guide the optimization of diffusion noise, producing highly accurate interaction motion. We conduct extensive experiments demonstrating that our method outperforms existing approaches in motion quality and physical plausibility, and enables various capabilities such as object pose control, simultaneous walking and manipulation, and whole-body generation from hand-only data. The code will be released for reproducibility.

Applications · Neuroscience, Cognitive Science

Weijian Mai, Jiamin Wu, Yu Zhu, Zhouheng Yao, Dongzhan Zhou, Andrew Luo, Qihao Zheng, Wanli Ouyang, Chunfeng Song

Deciphering how visual stimuli are transformed into cortical responses is a fundamental challenge in computational neuroscience. This visual-to-neural mapping is inherently a one-to-many relationship, as identical visual inputs reliably evoke variable hemodynamic responses across trials, contexts, and subjects. However, existing deterministic methods struggle to simultaneously model this biological variability while capturing the underlying functional consistency that encodes stimulus information. To address these limitations, we propose SynBrain, a generative framework that simulates the transformation from visual semantics to neural responses in a probabilistic and biologically interpretable manner. SynBrain introduces two key components: (i) BrainVAE models neural representations as continuous probability distributions via probabilistic learning while maintaining functional consistency through visual semantic constraints; (ii) A Semantic-to-Neural Mapper acts as a semantic transmission pathway, projecting visual semantics into the neural response manifold to facilitate high-fidelity fMRI synthesis. Experimental results demonstrate that SynBrain surpasses state-of-the-art methods in subject-specific visual-to-fMRI encoding performance. Furthermore, SynBrain adapts efficiently to new subjects with few-shot data and synthesizes high-quality fMRI signals that are effective in improving data-limited fMRI-to-image decoding performance. Beyond that, SynBrain reveals functional consistency across trials and subjects, with synthesized signals capturing interpretable patterns shaped by biological neural variability. Our code is available at https://github.com/MichaelMaiii/SynBrain.

Applications · Robotics

Xiaogang Jia, Qian Wang, Anrui Wang, Han Wang, Balázs Gyenes, Emiliyan Gospodinov, Xinkai Jiang, Ge Li, Hongyi Zhou, Weiran Liao 等

Robotic manipulation systems benefit from complementary sensing modalities, where each provides unique environmental information. Point clouds capture detailed geometric structure, while RGB images provide rich semantic context. Current point cloud methods struggle to capture fine-grained detail, especially for complex tasks, which RGB methods lack geometric awareness, which hinders their precision and generalization. We introduce PointMapPolicy, a novel approach that conditions diffusion policies on structured grids of points without downsampling. The resulting data type makes it easier to extract shape and spatial relationships from observations, and can be transformed between reference frames. Yet due to their structure in a regular grid, we enable the use of established computer vision techniques directly to 3D data. Using xLSTM as a backbone, our model efficiently fuses the point maps with RGB data for enhanced multi-modal perception. Through extensive experiments on the RoboCasa and CALVIN benchmarks and real robot evaluations, we demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance across diverse manipulation tasks. The overview and demos are available on our project page: https://point-map.github.io/Point-Map/

Social Aspects · Trustworthy Machine Learning

Seongheon Park, Sharon Li

Object hallucination in large vision-language models presents a significant challenge to their safe deployment in real-world applications. Recent works have proposed object-level hallucination scores to estimate the likelihood of object hallucination; however, these methods typically adopt either a global or local perspective in isolation, which may limit detection reliability. In this paper, we introduce GLSim, a novel training-free object hallucination detection framework that leverages complementary global and local embedding similarity signals between image and text modalities, enabling more accurate and reliable hallucination detection in diverse scenarios. We comprehensively benchmark existing object hallucination detection methods and demonstrate that GLSim achieves superior detection performance, outperforming competitive baselines by a significant margin.

Deep Learning · Robustness

Adriel Sosa Marco, John D. Kirwan, Alexia Toumpa, Simos Gerasimou

Quantifying uncertainty in deep regression models is important both for understanding the confidence of the model and for safe decision-making in high-risk domains. Existing approaches that yield prediction intervals overlook distributional information, neglecting the effect of multimodal or asymmetric distributions on decision-making. Similarly, full or approximated Bayesian methods, while yielding the predictive posterior density, demand major modifications to the model architecture and retraining. We introduce MCNF, a novel post hoc uncertainty quantification method that produces both prediction intervals and the full conditioned predictive distribution. MCNF operates on top of the underlying trained predictive model; thus, no predictive model retraining is needed. We provide experimental evidence that the MCNF-based uncertainty estimate is well calibrated, is competitive with state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification methods, and provides richer information for downstream decision-making tasks

Reinforcement Learning · Everything Else

Wenkai Fang, Shunyu Liu, Yang Zhou, Kongcheng Zhang, Tongya Zheng, Kaixuan Chen, Mingli Song, Dacheng Tao

Recent advances have demonstrated the effectiveness of Reinforcement Learning (RL) in improving the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, existing works inevitably rely on high-quality instructions and verifiable rewards for effective training, both of which are often difficult to obtain in specialized domains. In this paper, we propose Self-play Reinforcement Learning (SeRL) to bootstrap LLM training with limited initial data. Specifically, SeRL comprises two complementary modules: self-instruction and self-rewarding. The former module generates additional instructions based on the available data at each training step, employing comprehensive online filtering strategies to ensure instruction quality, diversity, and difficulty. The latter module introduces a simple yet effective majority-voting mechanism to estimate response rewards for additional instructions, eliminating the need for external annotations. Finally, SeRL performs conventional RL based on the generated data, facilitating iterative self-play learning. Extensive experiments on various reasoning benchmarks and across different LLM backbones demonstrate that the proposed SeRL yields results superior to its counterparts and achieves performance on par with those obtained by high-quality data with verifiable rewards. Our code is available at https://github.com/wantbook-book/SeRL.

Yuxin Chen, Yiran Zhao, Yang Zhang, An Zhang, Kenji Kawaguchi, Shafiq Joty, Junnan Li, Tat-Seng Chua, Michael Qizhe Shieh, Wenxuan Zhang

As large language models (LLMs) continue to advance, their capacity to function effectively across a diverse range of languages has shown marked improvement. Preliminary studies observe that the hidden activations of LLMs often resemble English, even when responding to non-English prompts. This has led to the widespread assumption that LLMs may ``think'' in English. However, more recent results showing strong multilingual performance, even surpassing English performance on specific tasks in other languages, challenge this view. In this work, we find that LLMs progressively develop a core language-agnostic parameter space—a remarkably small subset of parameters whose deactivation results in significant performance degradation across all languages. This compact yet critical set of parameters underlies the model’s ability to generalize beyond individual languages, supporting the emergence of abstract thought that is not tied to any specific linguistic system. Specifically, we identify language-related neurons—those are consistently activated during the processing of particular languages, and categorize them as either shared (active across multiple languages) or exclusive (specific to one). As LLMs undergo continued development over time, we observe a marked increase in both the proportion and functional importance of shared neurons, while exclusive neurons progressively diminish in influence. These shared neurons constitute the backbone of the core language-agnostic parameter space, supporting the emergence of abstract thought. Motivated by these insights, we propose neuron-specific training strategies tailored to LLMs' language-agnostic levels at different development stages. Experiments across diverse LLM families support our approach. Our codes are available at https://anonymous.4open.science/status/S-C393.