论文检索

输入标题、作者或关键词,从 1,526 篇学术成果中精准定位

会议来源 全部会议

机器学习与综合 AI

自然语言处理

计算机视觉

数据挖掘与 Web

多媒体与图形学

未选择时检索全部会议
支持跨会议组合检索,PDF 均跳转至官方来源
1,526篇论文匹配“Interpretability and Visualization”
第 23 / 77 页

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Sunghyun Kim, Jaehoon Hahm, Jeongwoo Shin, Joonseok Lee

Geometry-aware generative models and novel view synthesis approaches have shown strong potential in visual fidelity and consistency. In parallel, equivariant representation learning has emerged as a powerful framework for constructing latent spaces where analytically known group transformations could act directly, capturing geometric structure in data and enhancing both interpretability and generalization in novel view synthesis. However, we identify that existing approaches often suffer from \textit{latent misalignment}, a discrepancy between the intended group action and the actually required transformations in the latent space. Consequently, the learned latents often fail to consistently preserve the equivariant relations imposed by the underlying group symmetry. To address this, we propose \emph{Residual Latent Flow}, a flow-based framework that corrects the misaligned latents, thereby improving compliance with the underlying equivariance relation. Our comprehensive experiments show that our method significantly reduces latent misalignment and improves novel view synthesis quality, under rotation groups $\mathrm{SO}(n)$.

Theory · Interpretability and Visualization

Siwei Wang, Yifei Shen, Haoran Sun, Shi Feng, Shang-Hua Teng, Li Dong, Yaru Hao, Wei Chen

Recent reinforcement learning (RL) methods have substantially enhanced the planning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs), yet the theoretical basis for their effectiveness remains elusive. In this work, we investigate RL's benefits and limitations through a tractable graph-based abstraction, focusing on policy gradient (PG) and Q-learning methods. Our theoretical analyses reveal that supervised fine-tuning (SFT) may introduce co-occurrence-based spurious solutions, whereas RL achieves correct planning primarily through exploration, underscoring exploration’s role in enabling better generalization. However, we also show that PG suffers from diversity collapse, where output diversity decreases during training and persists even after perfect accuracy is attained. By contrast, Q-learning provides two key advantages: off-policy learning and diversity preservation at convergence. We further demonstrate that careful reward design is necessary to prevent Q-value bias in Q-learning. Finally, applying our framework to the real-world planning benchmark Blocksworld, we confirm that these behaviors manifest in practice.

Fangyi Chen, Yaojie Shen, Lu Xu, Ye Yuan, Shu Zhang, Yulei Niu, Longyin Wen

Precise, object-aware control over visual content is essential for advanced image editing and compositional generation. Yet, most existing approaches operate on entire images holistically, limiting the ability to isolate and manipulate individual scene elements. In contrast, layered representations, where scenes are explicitly separated into objects, environmental context, and visual effects, provide a more intuitive and structured framework for interpreting and editing visual content. To bridge this gap and enable both compositional understanding and controllable editing, we introduce the Referring Layer Decomposition (RLD) task, which predicts complete RGBA layers from a single RGB image, conditioned on flexible user prompts, such as spatial inputs (e.g., points, boxes, masks), natural language descriptions, or combinations thereof. At the core is the RefLade, a large-scale dataset comprising 1.11M image–layer–prompt triplets produced by our scalable data engine, along with 100K manually curated, high-fidelity layers. Coupled with a perceptually grounded, human-preference-aligned automatic evaluation protocol, RefLade establishes RLD as a well-defined and benchmarkable research task. Building on this foundation, we present RefLayer, a simple baseline designed for prompt-conditioned layer decomposition, achieving high visual fidelity and semantic alignment. Extensive experiments show our approach enables effective training, reliable evaluation, and high-quality image decomposition, while exhibiting strong zero-shot generalization capabilities. The project will be released at https://yaojie-shen.github.io/project/RLD/

Computer Vision · Image and Video Generation

Yongyuan Liang, Wei Chow, Feng Li, Ziqiao Ma, Xiyao Wang, Jiageng Mao, Jiuhai Chen, Jiatao Gu, Yue Wang, Furong Huang

Unified multimodal models (UMMs) have emerged as a powerful paradigm for seamlessly unifying text and image understanding and generation. However, prevailing evaluations treat these abilities in isolation, such that tasks with multimodal inputs and outputs are scored primarily through unimodal reasoning, i.e., textual benchmarks emphasize language-based reasoning, while visual benchmarks emphasize reasoning outcomes manifested in the pixels. We introduce ROVER to address this pressing need to test reciprocal cross-modal reasoning, the use of one modality to guide, verify, or refine outputs in the other, an ability central to the vision of unified multimodal intelligence. ROVER is a human-annotated benchmark that explicitly targets reciprocal cross-modal reasoning, which contains 1,312 tasks grounded in 1,876 images, spanning two complementary settings. Verbally-augmented reasoning for visual generation evaluates whether models can use verbal prompts and reasoning chains to guide faithful image synthesis. Visually-augmented reasoning for verbal generation evaluates whether models can generate intermediate visualizations that strengthen their own reasoning processes for question answering. Experiments on 17 unified models reveal two key findings: (i) Cross-modal reasoning determines visual generation quality, with interleaved models significantly outperforming non-interleaved ones; notably, combining strong unimodal models fails to achieve comparable reasoning. (ii) Models show dissociation between physical and symbolic reasoning: they succeed at interpreting perceptual concepts literally but fail to construct visual abstractions for symbolic tasks, where faulty reasoning harms performance. These results highlight reciprocal cross-modal reasoning as a critical frontier for enabling true omnimodal generation. Homepage: https://roverbench.github.io

Theory · Interpretability and Visualization

Yufa Zhou, Yixiao Wang, Xunjian Yin, Shuyan Zhou, Anru Zhang

We study how large language models (LLMs) "think" through their representation space. We propose a novel geometric framework that models an LLM's reasoning as flows---embedding trajectories evolving where logic goes. We disentangle logical structure from semantics by employing the same natural deduction propositions with varied semantic carriers, allowing us to test whether LLMs internalize logic beyond surface form. This perspective connects reasoning with geometric quantities such as position, velocity, and curvature, enabling formal analysis in representation and concept spaces. Our theory establishes: (1) LLM reasoning corresponds to smooth flows in representation space, and (2) logical statements act as local controllers of these flows' velocities. Using learned representation proxies, we design controlled experiments to visualize and quantify reasoning flows, providing empirical validation of our theoretical framework. Our findings indicate that training solely via next-token prediction can lead LLMs to internalize logical invariants as higher-order geometry in representation space, challenging the "stochastic parrot" argument. Experiments across Qwen and LLaMA model families further suggest the presence of a general, possibly universal, representational law underlying machine understanding and human linguistic regularities, largely independent of specific training recipes or model architectures. Our work serves as both a conceptual foundation and practical tools for studying reasoning phenomena, offering a new lens for interpretability and formal analysis of LLMs' behavior.

Optimization · Everything Else

Jiwan Chung, SAEJIN KIM, Yongrae Jo, Jaewoo Park, Dongjun Min, Youngjae Yu

Large language models (LLMs) operate as autoregressive predictors over discrete token vocabularies, a formulation that has enabled their adaptation far beyond natural language to vision, robotics, and multimodal reasoning. However, training against one-hot targets disregards metric relationships between tokens and limits effectiveness on tasks where distance is meaningful, such as numerical values, spatial coordinates, or quantized embeddings. We introduce DIST2Loss, a distance-aware objective for discrete autoregressive models that replaces one-hot targets with reward-weighted distributions derived from predefined token distances. DIST2Loss can be interpreted as the closed-form solution to entropy-regularized policy optimization with known per-token rewards, retaining the core mechanism of reinforcement learning while avoiding sampling, rollouts, and instability. Our experiments show that DIST2Loss improves data efficiency and downstream performance across diverse domains. It yields tighter bounding boxes in visual grounding, accelerates robotic manipulation by improving action learning, enhances reward modeling for LLM alignment, and strengthens vector-quantized image generation. These results demonstrate that distance-aware supervision offers a simple and general alternative to one-hot supervision for discrete autoregressive models.

Social Aspects · Accountability, Transparency and Interpretability

Nina Weng, Aasa Feragen, Siavash Bigdeli

Uncovering the opacity of diffusion-based generative models is urgently needed, as their applications continue to expand while their underlying procedures largely remain a black box. With a critical question -- how can the diffusion generation process be interpreted and understood? -- we proposed *Patronus*, an interpretable diffusion model that incorporates a prototypical network to encode semantics in visual patches, revealing *what* visual patterns are learned and *where* and *when* they emerge throughout denoising. This interpretability of Patronus provides deeper insights into the generative mechanism, enabling the detection of shortcut learning via unwanted correlations and the tracing of semantic emergence across timesteps. We evaluate *Patronus* on four natural image datasets and one medical imaging dataset, demonstrating both faithful interpretability and strong generative performance. With this work, we open new avenues for understanding and steering diffusion models through prototype-based interpretability. Our code is available at [nina-weng.github.io/patronus.github.io](https://nina-weng.github.io/patronus.github.io/).

Computer Vision · Image and Video Generation

Hongxiang Li, Yaowei Li, Bin Lin, Yuwei Niu, Yuhang Yang, Xiaoshuang Huang, Jiayin Cai, Xiaolong Jiang, Yao Hu, Long Chen

Unified multimodal models integrate the reasoning capacity of large language models with both image understanding and generation, showing great promise for advanced multimodal intelligence. However, the community still lacks a rigorous reasoning-centric benchmark to systematically evaluate the alignment between understanding and generation, and their generalization potential in complex visual tasks. To this end, we introduce \textbf{GIR-Bench}, a comprehensive benchmark that evaluates unified models across three complementary perspectives. Firstly, we explore whether models can consistently leverage the same knowledge for both understanding and generation (GIR-Bench-Uni). Secondly, we investigate whether models can perform reasoning-centric text-to-image generation that requires applying logical constraints and implicit knowledge to generate faithful visual content (GIR-Bench-T2I). Thirdly, we evaluate whether models can handle multi-step reasoning in editing (GIR-Bench-Edit). For each subset, we carefully design different task-specific evaluation pipelines tailored for each task. This enables fine-grained and interpretable evaluation while mitigating biases from the prevalent MLLM-as-a-Judge paradigm. Extensive ablations over various unified models and generation-only systems have shown that: Although unified models are more capable of reasoning-driven visual tasks, they still exhibit a persistent gap between understanding and generation. The data and code for GIR-Bench are available at \url{https://anonymous.4open.science/r/GIR-Bench-7E40}.

Computer Vision · Vision Models & Multimodal

Jiaang Li, Yifei Yuan, Wenyan Li, Mohammad Aliannejadi, Daniel Hershcovich, Anders Søgaard, Ivan Vulić, Wenxuan Zhang, Paul Liang, Yang Deng 等

As vision-language models (VLMs) become increasingly integrated into daily life, the need for accurate visual culture understanding is becoming critical. Yet, these models frequently fall short in interpreting cultural nuances effectively. Prior work has demonstrated the effectiveness of retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) in enhancing cultural understanding in text-only settings, while its application in multimodal scenarios remains underexplored. To bridge this gap, we introduce RAVENEA (Retrieval-Augmented Visual culturE uNdErstAnding), a new benchmark designed to advance visual culture understanding through retrieval, focusing on two tasks: culture-focused visual question answering (cVQA) and culture-informed image captioning (cIC). RAVENEA extends existing datasets by integrating over 11,396 unique Wikipedia documents curated and ranked by human annotators. Through the extensive evaluation on seven multimodal retrievers and fifteen VLMs, RAVENEA reveals some undiscovered findings: (i) In general, cultural grounding annotations can enhance multimodal retrieval and corresponding downstream tasks. (ii) VLMs, when augmented with culture-aware retrieval, generally outperform their non-augmented counterparts (by averaging +6% on cVQA and +11% on cIC). (iii) Performance of culture-aware retrieval augmented varies widely across countries. These findings highlight the limitations of current multimodal retrievers and VLMs, underscoring the need to enhance visual culture understanding within RAG systems. We believe RAVENEA offers a valuable resource for advancing research on retrieval-augmented visual culture understanding.

Computer Vision · Vision Models & Multimodal

Ye Liu, Kevin Qinghong Lin, Chang-Wen Chen, Mike Zheng Shou

Videos, with their unique temporal dimension, demand precise grounded understanding, where answers are directly linked to visual, interpretable evidence. Despite significant breakthroughs in text-based reasoning with large language models, multi-modal reasoning - especially for videos - remains limited. In this work, we fill this gap by introducing VideoMind, a novel video-language agent for temporal-grounded video reasoning. Our method involves two key innovations: (1) We identify four essential capabilities for grounded video reasoning and propose a role-based agentic workflow, comprising a planner to coordinate roles, a grounder for temporal event localization, a verifier to assess event candidates, and an answerer for question answering. (2) To efficiently integrate these roles during inference, we propose a novel Chain-of-LoRA mechanism, where a unified base model with multiple LoRA adapters is leveraged to enable seamless role switching, balancing efficiency and flexibility. Extensive experiments on 15 benchmarks across Grounded VideoQA, Video Temporal Grounding, and General VideoQA tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed scheme in advancing video agent, test-time scaling, and long-form video reasoning. Code, models, datasets, and demos are available at https://videomind.github.io/.

Deep Learning · Theory

Yoonsoo Nam, Nayara Fonseca, Seok Hyeong Lee, Chris Mingard, Niclas Göring, Ouns El Harzli, Abdurrahman Erturk, Soufiane Hayou, Ard Louis

Dynamic feature transformation (the rich regime) does not always align with predictive performance (better representation), yet accuracy is often used as a proxy for richness, limiting analysis of their relationship. We propose a computationally efficient, performance-independent metric of richness grounded in the low-rank bias of rich dynamics, which recovers neural collapse as a special case. The metric is empirically more stable than existing alternatives and captures known lazy-to-rich transitions (e.g., grokking) without relying on accuracy. We further use it to examine how training factors (e.g., learning rate) relate to richness, confirming recognized assumptions and highlighting new observations (e.g., batch normalization promote rich dynamics). An eigendecomposition-based visualization is also introduced to support interpretability, together providing a diagnostic tool for studying the relationship between training factors, dynamics, and representations.

Deep Learning · Theory

Jie Hui, Zhenxiang Zhang, Wenyu Mi, Jianji Wang

Despite the importance of global contextual modeling in visual tasks, a rigorous mathematical definition remains absent, and the concept is still largely described in heuristic or empirical terms. Existing methods either rely on computationally expensive attention mechanisms or are constrained by the recursive modeling nature of State Space Models (SSMs), making it challenging to achieve both efficiency and true global perception. To address this, we first propose a mathematical definition of global modeling for visual images, providing a theoretical foundation for designing globally-aware and interpretable models. Based on in-depth analysis of SSMs and frequency-domain modeling principles, we construct a complete theoretical framework that overcomes the limitations imposed by SSMs' recursive modeling mechanism from a frequency perspective, thereby adapting SSMs for global perception in image modeling. Guided by this framework, we design the Global-aware SSM (GSSM) module and formally prove that it satisfies definitional requirements of global image modeling. GSSM leverages a Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT)-based modulation mechanism, providing precise front-end control over the SSM's modeling behavior, and enabling efficient global image modeling with linear-logarithmic complexity. Building upon GSSM, we develop GMamba, a plug-and-play module that can be seamlessly integrated at any stage of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). Extensive experiments across multiple tasks, including object detection, semantic segmentation, and instance segmentation, across diverse model architectures, demonstrate that GMamba consistently outperforms existing global modeling modules, validating both the effectiveness of our theoretical framework and the rigor of proposed definition. Code is available at \url{https://github.com/Xinmu-Tantai/GMamba-GSSM}

Theory · Interpretability and Visualization

Xingshu Chen, Yifeng Guo, Jin-Hong Du

Quantifying feature importance with valid statistical uncertainty is central to interpretable machine learning, yet classical model-agnostic methods often fail under feature correlation, producing unreliable attributions and compromising inference. Statistical approaches that address correlation through feature decorrelation have shown promise but remain restricted to $\ell_2$ loss, limiting their applicability across diverse machine learning tasks. We introduce Flow-Disentangled Feature Importance (FDFI), a model-agnostic framework that resolves these limitations by combining principled statistical inference with computational flexibility. FDFI leverages flow matching to learn flexible disentanglement maps that not only handle arbitrary feature distributions but also provide an interpretable pathway for understanding how importance is attributed through the data's correlation structure. The framework generalizes the decorrelation-based attribution to general differentiable loss functions, enabling statistically valid importance assessment for black-box predictors across regression and classification. We establish statistical inference theory, deriving semiparametric efficiency of FDFI estimators, which enables valid confidence intervals and hypothesis testing with Type I error control. Experiments demonstrate that FDFI achieves substantially higher statistical power than removal-based and conditional permutation approaches, while maintaining robust and interpretable attributions even under severe interdependence. These findings hold across synthetic benchmarks and a broad collection of real datasets spanning diverse domains.

Theory · Interpretability and Visualization

Garrett Baker, George Wang, Jesse Hoogland, Vinayak Pathak, Daniel Murfet

We develop a linear response framework for interpretability that treats a neural network as a Bayesian statistical mechanical system. A small perturbation of the data distribution, for example shifting the Pile toward GitHub or legal text, induces a first-order change in the posterior expectation of an observable localized on a chosen component of the network. The resulting susceptibility can be estimated efficiently with local SGLD samples and factorizes into signed, per-token contributions that serve as attribution scores. We combine these susceptibilities into a response matrix whose low-rank structure separates functional modules such as multigram and induction heads in a 3M-parameter transformer.

Theory · Interpretability and Visualization

Zhenshuo Zhang, Minxuan Duan, Hongyang Zhang

Modern AI agents such as large language models are trained on diverse tasks---translation, code generation, mathematical reasoning, and text prediction---simultaneously. A key question is to quantify how each individual training task influences performance on a target task, a problem we refer to as task attribution. The direct approach, leave-one-out retraining, measures the effect of removing each task, but is computationally infeasible at scale. An alternative approach that builds surrogate models to predict a target task's performance for any subset of training tasks has emerged in recent literature. Prior work focuses on linear surrogate models, which capture first-order relationships, but miss nonlinear interactions such as synergy, antagonism, or XOR-type effects. In this paper, we first consider a unified task weighting framework for analyzing task attribution methods, and show a new connection between linear surrogate models and influence functions through a second-order analysis. Then, we introduce kernel surrogate models, which more effectively represent second-order task interactions. To efficiently learn the kernel surrogate, we develop a gradient-based estimation procedure that leverages a first-order approximation of pretrained models; empirically, this yields accurate surrogate estimates with less than 2% relative error without repeated retraining. Experiments across multiple domains---including mathematical reasoning in transformers, in-context learning, and multi-objective reinforcement learning---demonstrate the effectiveness of kernel surrogate models. They achieve a 25% higher correlation with the leave-one-out ground truth than linear surrogates and influence-function baselines, enabling more accurate and scalable task attribution. When used for downstream task selection, kernel surrogate models further yield a 40% improvement in demonstration selection for in-context learning and multi-objective reinforcement learning benchmarks.

Theory · Interpretability and Visualization

Amanuel Tesfaye, Zeno Kujawa, Rajmohan Rajaraman, Ravi Sundaram

In this paper, we establish a dimension- and precision-independent impossibility result for a simplified transformer model. Due to their size, a comprehensive understanding of the internal operations of frontier large language models (LLMs) is beyond the reach of current methods, but research into small and interpretable models has proven successful. We study the representational limits of attention, the core of transformer models, through the lens of the Endpoint Selection Problem (ESP), a simple yet expressive learning task defined over arcs of a directed graph. Our main theoretical results are twofold: (i) 1-head, 1-layer, attention-only transformers cannot solve ESP on any graph containing a cycle, even with unbounded dimension and precision; but, all DAGs (Directed Acyclic Graph) are solvable with zero error (ii) in contrast, a 2-head, 1-layer, attention-only transformer can solve ESP on arbitrary directed graphs with constant embedding dimension and logarithmic precision. Prior lower bounds were conditional on bounds on dimension and precision. Through a transformation, we extend our impossibility result from ESP to the much studied 2-hop induction head problem. Further, we uncover a surprising connection to NP-completeness by showing that the optimal error of the 1-head transformer is exactly related to the size of MAS (Maximum Acyclic Subgraph) and hence inapproximable. Finally, we validate our theory with experiments and observe that gradient-based optimization can reliably find 1-head solutions for DAGs and 2-head solutions for arbitrary graphs with cycles, whereas 1-head models struggle to reach the optimal solution in graphs with cycles. We believe that our techniques are of independent interest and have the potential to establish a new fine-grained hierarchy of transformer architectures, each with greater problem-solving power than the last.

Theory · Interpretability and Visualization

Luca Baroni, Galvin Khara, Joachim Schaeffer, Marat Subkhankulov, Stefan Heimersheim

Layer-wise normalization (LN) is an essential component of virtually all transformer-based large language models. While its effects on training stability are well documented, its role at inference time is poorly understood. Additionally, LN layers hinder mechanistic interpretability by introducing additional nonlinearities and increasing the interconnectedness of individual model components. Here, we show that all LN layers can be removed via fine-tuning from every GPT-2 model with only a small increase in validation loss (e.g. +0.03 cross-entropy loss for GPT-2 XL). Thus, LN is not essential at inference to maintain comparable performance in these models. We find that the amount of fine-tuning data needed for LN removal grows sublinearly with model parameters, suggesting scaling to larger models is feasible. We release a suite of LN-free GPT-2 models on Hugging Face. Furthermore, we test interpretability techniques on LN-free models. Direct logit attribution now gives the exact direct effect of individual components, while the accuracy of attribution patching does not significantly improve. We also confirm that GPT-2's "confidence neurons" are inactive in the LN-free models. Our work clarifies the role of LN layers in language modeling, showing that GPT-2-class models can function without LN layers. We hope that our LN-free analogs of the GPT-2 family of models will enable more precise interpretability research and improve our understanding of language models.

Theory · Interpretability and Visualization

Tian Yu Liu, Stefano Soatto

The semantic similarity between sample expressions measures the distance between their latent `meaning'.These meanings are themselves typically represented by textual expressions. We propose a novel approach whereby the semantic similarity among textual expressions is based not on other expressions they can be rephrased as, but rather based on the imagery they evoke. While this is not possible with humans, generative models allow us to easily visualize and compare generated images, or their distribution, evoked by a textual prompt. Therefore, we characterize the semantic similarity between two textual expressions simply as the distance between image distributions they induce, or 'conjure.' We show that by choosing the Jeffreys divergence between the reverse-time diffusion stochastic differential equations (SDEs) induced by each textual expression, this can be directly computed via Monte-Carlo sampling. Our method contributes a novel perspective on semantic similarity that not only aligns with human-annotated scores, but also opens up new avenues for the evaluation of text-conditioned generative models while offering better interpretability of their learnt representations.

Theory · Interpretability and Visualization

Chi-Ning Chou, Artem Kirsanov, Yao-Yuan Yang, SueYeon Chung

Generalization—the ability to perform well beyond the training context—is a hallmark of biological and artificial intelligence, yet anticipating unseen failures remains a central challenge. Conventional approaches often take a "bottom-up" mechanistic route by reverse-engineering interpretable features or circuits to build explanatory models. While insightful, these methods often struggle to provide the high-level, predictive signals for anticipating failure in real-world deployment. Here, we propose using a "top-down" approach to studying generalization failures inspired by medical biomarkers: identifying system-level measurements that serve as robust indicators of a model’s future performance. Rather than mapping out detailed internal mechanisms, we systematically design and test network markers to probe structure–function links, identify prognostic indicators, and validate predictions in real-world settings. In image classification, we find that task-relevant geometric properties of in-distribution (ID) object manifolds consistently forecast poor out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization. In particular, reductions in two geometric measures—effective manifold dimensionality and utility—predict weaker OOD performance across diverse architectures, optimizers, and datasets. We apply this finding to transfer learning with ImageNet-pretrained models. We consistently find that the same geometric patterns predict OOD transfer performance more reliably than ID accuracy. This work demonstrates that representational geometry can expose hidden vulnerabilities, offering more robust guidance for model selection and AI interpretability.

Computer Vision · Vision Models & Multimodal

Yasser HAMIDULLAH, Koel Dutta Chowdhury, Yusser Al Ghussin, Shakib Yazdani, Cennet Oguz, Josef Genabith, Cristina España-Bonet

Hallucination, where models generate fluent text unsupported by visual evidence, remains a major flaw in vision–language models and is particularly critical in sign language translation (SLT). In SLT, meaning depends on precise grounding in video, and gloss-free models are especially vulnerable because they map continuous signer movements directly into natural language without intermediate gloss supervision that serves as alignment. We argue that hallucinations arise when models rely on language priors rather than visual input. To capture this, we propose a token-level reliability measure that quantifies how much the decoder uses visual information. Our method combines feature-based sensitivity, which measures internal changes when video is masked, with counterfactual signals, which capture probability differences between clean and altered video inputs. These signals are aggregated into a sentence-level reliability score, providing a compact and interpretable measure of visual grounding. We evaluate the proposed measure on two SLT benchmarks (PHOENIX-2014T and CSL-Daily) with both gloss-based and gloss-free models. Our results show that reliability predicts hallucination rates, generalizes across datasets and architectures, and decreases under visual degradations. Beyond these quantitative trends, we also find that reliability distinguishes grounded tokens from guessed ones, allowing risk estimation without references; when combined with text-based signals (confidence, perplexity, or entropy), it further improves hallucination risk estimation. Qualitative analysis highlights why gloss-free models are more susceptible to hallucinations. Taken together, our findings establish reliability as a practical and reusable tool for diagnosing hallucinations in SLT, and lay the groundwork for more robust hallucination detection in multimodal generation.