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Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Unsupervised and Semi-supervised Learning

Wenjun Zhang, Liangxiao Jiang, Chaoqun Li

In recent years, a large number of algorithms for label integration and noise correction have been proposed to infer the unknown true labels of instances in crowdsourcing. They have made great advances in improving the label quality of crowdsourced datasets. However, due to the presence of intractable instances, these algorithms are usually not as significant in improving the model quality as they are in improving the label quality. To improve the model quality, this paper proposes an instance weighting-based bias-variance trade-off (IWBVT) approach. IWBVT at first proposes a novel instance weighting method based on the complementary set and entropy, which mitigates the impact of intractable instances and thus makes the bias and variance of trained models closer to the unknown true results. Then, IWBVT performs probabilistic loss regressions based on the bias-variance decomposition, which achieves the bias-variance trade-off and thus reduces the generalization error of trained models. Experimental results indicate that IWBVT can serve as a universal post-processing approach to significantly improving the model quality of existing state-of-the-art label integration algorithms and noise correction algorithms.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Unsupervised and Semi-supervised Learning

Wenjun Zhang, Liangxiao Jiang, Chaoqun Li

To reduce annotation costs, it is common in crowdsourcing to collect only a few noisy labels from different crowd workers for each instance. However, the limited noisy labels restrict the performance of label integration algorithms in inferring the unknown true label for the instance. Recent works have shown that leveraging neighbor instances can help alleviate this problem. Yet, these works all assume that each instance has the same neighborhood size, which defies common sense. To address this gap, we propose a novel label integration algorithm called K-free nearest neighbor (KFNN). In KFNN, the neighborhood size of each instance is automatically determined based on its attributes and noisy labels. Specifically, KFNN initially estimates a Mahalanobis distance distribution from the attribute space to model the relationship between each instance and all classes. This distance distribution is then utilized to enhance the multiple noisy label distribution of each instance. Subsequently, a Kalman filter is designed to mitigate the impact of noise incurred by neighbor instances. Finally, KFNN determines the optimal neighborhood size by the max-margin learning. Extensive experimental results demonstrate that KFNN significantly outperforms all the other state-of-the-art algorithms and exhibits greater robustness in various crowdsourcing scenarios.

Physical Models · Geoscience

Joel Oskarsson, Tomas Landelius, Marc Deisenroth, Fredrik Lindsten

In recent years, machine learning has established itself as a powerful tool for high-resolution weather forecasting. While most current machine learning models focus on deterministic forecasts, accurately capturing the uncertainty in the chaotic weather system calls for probabilistic modeling. We propose a probabilistic weather forecasting model called Graph-EFM, combining a flexible latent-variable formulation with the successful graph-based forecasting framework. The use of a hierarchical graph construction allows for efficient sampling of spatially coherent forecasts. Requiring only a single forward pass per time step, Graph-EFM allows for fast generation of arbitrarily large ensembles. We experiment with the model on both global and limited area forecasting. Ensemble forecasts from Graph-EFM achieve equivalent or lower errors than comparable deterministic models, with the added benefit of accurately capturing forecast uncertainty.

Datasets and Benchmarks

Bosi Wen, Pei Ke, Xiaotao Gu, Lindong Wu, Hao Huang, Jinfeng Zhou, Wenchuang Li, Binxin Hu, Wendy Gao, Jiaxing Xu 等

Instruction following is one of the fundamental capabilities of large language models (LLMs). As the ability of LLMs is constantly improving, they have been increasingly applied to deal with complex human instructions in real-world scenarios. Therefore, how to evaluate the ability of complex instruction-following of LLMs has become a critical research problem. Existing benchmarks mainly focus on modeling different types of constraints in human instructions while neglecting the composition of different constraints, which is an indispensable constituent in complex instructions. To this end, we propose ComplexBench, a benchmark for comprehensively evaluating the ability of LLMs to follow complex instructions composed of multiple constraints. We propose a hierarchical taxonomy for complex instructions, including 4 constraint types, 19 constraint dimensions, and 4 composition types, and manually collect a high-quality dataset accordingly. To make the evaluation reliable, we augment LLM-based evaluators with rules to effectively verify whether generated texts can satisfy each constraint and composition. Furthermore, we obtain the final evaluation score based on the dependency structure determined by different composition types. ComplexBench identifies significant deficiencies in existing LLMs when dealing with complex instructions with multiple constraints composition.