With the widespread adoption of IoT, wearable devices, and sensors, time series data from human subjects are significantly increasing in the healthcare domain. Due to the laborious nature of manual annotation in time series data and the requirement for human experts, self-supervised learning methods are attempted to alleviate the limited label situations. While existing self-supervised methods have been successful to achieve comparable performance to the fully supervised methods, there are still some limitations that need to be addressed, considering the nature of time series data from human subjects: In real-world clinical settings, data labels (e.g., sleep stages) are usually annotated by subject-level, and there is a substantial variation in patterns between subjects. Thus, a model should be designed to deal with not only the label scarcity but also subject-wise nature of data to ensure high performance in real-world scenarios. To mitigate these issues, we propose a novel self-supervised learning framework for human subject time series data: Subject-Aware Time Series Clustering (SA-TSC). In the unsupervised representation learning phase, SA-TSC adopts a subject-wise learning strategy rather than instance-wise learning which randomly samples data instances from different subjects within the batch during training. Specifically, we generate subject-graphs with our graph construction method based on Gumbel-Softmax and perform graph spectral clustering on each subject-graph. In addition, we utilize graph neural networks to capture dependencies between channels and design our own graph learning module motivated from self-supervised loss. Experimental results show the outstanding performance of our SA-TSC with the limited & subject-wise label setting, leading to its high applicability to the healthcare industry. The code is available at: https://github.com/DILAB-HYU/SA-TSC
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Evaluating Pre-trial Programs Using Interpretable Machine Learning Matching Algorithms for Causal Inference
PDF ↗After a person is arrested and charged with a crime, they may be released on bail and required to participate in a community supervision program while awaiting trial. These 'pre-trial programs' are common throughout the United States, but very little research has demonstrated their effectiveness. Researchers have emphasized the need for more rigorous program evaluation methods, which we introduce in this article. We describe a program evaluation pipeline that uses recent interpretable machine learning techniques for observational causal inference, and demonstrate these techniques in a study of a pre-trial program in Durham, North Carolina. Our findings show no evidence that the program either significantly increased or decreased the probability of new criminal charges. If these findings replicate, the criminal-legal system needs to either improve pre-trial programs or consider alternatives to them. The simplest option is to release low-risk individuals back into the community without subjecting them to any restrictions or conditions. Another option is to assign individuals to pre-trial programs that incentivize pro-social behavior. We believe that the techniques introduced here can provide researchers the rigorous tools they need to evaluate these programs.
As machine learning workloads are significantly increasing energy consumption, sustainable data centers with low carbon emissions are becoming a top priority for governments and corporations worldwide. This requires a paradigm shift in optimizing power consumption in cooling and IT loads, shifting flexible loads based on the availability of renewable energy in the power grid, and leveraging battery storage from the uninterrupted power supply in data centers, using collaborative agents. The complex association between these optimization strategies and their dependencies on variable external factors like weather and the power grid carbon intensity makes this a hard problem. Currently, a real-time controller to optimize all these goals simultaneously in a dynamic real-world setting is lacking. We propose a Data Center Carbon Footprint Reduction (DC-CFR) multi-agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) framework that optimizes data centers for the multiple objectives of carbon footprint reduction, energy consumption, and energy cost. The results show that the DC-CFR MARL agents effectively resolved the complex interdependencies in optimizing cooling, load shifting, and energy storage in real-time for various locations under real-world dynamic weather and grid carbon intensity conditions. DC-CFR significantly outperformed the industry-standard ASHRAE controller with a considerable reduction in carbon emissions (14.5%), energy usage (14.4%), and energy cost (13.7%) when evaluated over one year across multiple geographical regions.
Hate speech (HS) is a growing concern in many parts of the world, including India, where it has led to numerous instances of violence and discrimination. The development of effective counter-narratives (CNs) is a critical step in combating hate speech, but there is a lack of research in this area, especially in non-English languages. In this paper, we introduce a new dataset, IndicCONAN, of counter-narratives against hate speech in Hindi and Indian English. We propose a scalable human-in-the-loop approach for generating counter-narratives by an auto-regressive language model through machine generation - human correction cycle, where the model uses augmented data from previous cycles to generate new training samples. These newly generated samples are then reviewed and edited by annotators, leading to further model refnement. The dataset consists of over 2,500 exam- ˜ ples of counter-narratives each in both English and Hindi corresponding to various hate speeches in the Indian context. We also present a framework for generating CNs conditioned on specifc CN type with a mean perplexity of 3.85 for English and 3.70 for Hindi, a mean toxicity score of 0.04 for English and 0.06 for Hindi, and a mean diversity of 0.08 for English and 0.14 for Hindi. Our dataset and framework provide valuable resources for researchers and practitioners working to combat hate speech in the Indian context.
Street-level bureaucrats interact directly with people on behalf of government agencies to perform a wide range of functions, including, for example, administering social services and policing. A key feature of street-level bureaucracy is that the civil servants, while tasked with implementing agency policy, are also granted significant discretion in how they choose to apply that policy in individual cases. Using that discretion could be beneficial, as it allows for exceptions to policies based on human interactions and evaluations, but it could also allow biases and inequities to seep into important domains of societal resource allocation. In this paper, we use machine learning techniques to understand street-level bureaucrats' behavior. We leverage a rich dataset that combines demographic and other information on households with information on which homelessness interventions they were assigned during a period when assignments were not formulaic. We find that caseworker decisions in this time are highly predictable overall, and some, but not all of this predictivity can be captured by simple decision rules. We theorize that the decisions not captured by the simple decision rules can be considered applications of caseworker discretion. These discretionary decisions are far from random in both the characteristics of such households and in terms of the outcomes of the decisions. Caseworkers typically only apply discretion to households that would be considered less vulnerable. When they do apply discretion to assign households to more intensive interventions, the marginal benefits to those households are significantly higher than would be expected if the households were chosen at random; there is no similar reduction in marginal benefit to households that are discretionarily allocated less intensive interventions, suggesting that caseworkers are using their knowledge and experience to improve outcomes for households experiencing homelessness.
Many applications use computer vision to detect and count objects in massive image collections. However, automated methods may fail to deliver accurate counts, especially when the task is very difficult or requires a fast response time. For example, during disaster response, aid organizations aim to quickly count damaged buildings in satellite images to plan relief missions, but pre-trained building and damage detectors often perform poorly due to domain shifts. In such cases, there is a need for human-in-the-loop approaches to accurately count with minimal human effort. We propose DISCount -- a detector-based importance sampling framework for counting in large image collections. DISCount uses an imperfect detector and human screening to estimate low-variance unbiased counts. We propose techniques for counting over multiple spatial or temporal regions using a small amount of screening and estimate confidence intervals. This enables end-users to stop screening when estimates are sufficiently accurate, which is often the goal in real-world applications. We demonstrate our method with two applications: counting birds in radar imagery to understand responses to climate change, and counting damaged buildings in satellite imagery for damage assessment in regions struck by a natural disaster. On the technical side we develop variance reduction techniques based on control variates and prove the (conditional) unbiasedness of the estimators. DISCount leads to a 9-12x reduction in the labeling costs to obtain the same error rates compared to naive screening for tasks we consider, and surpasses alternative covariate-based screening approaches.
Promoting Fair Vaccination Strategies through Influence Maximization: A Case Study on COVID-19 Spread
PDF ↗The aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic saw more severe outcomes for racial minority groups and economically-deprived communities. Such disparities can be explained by several factors, including unequal access to healthcare, as well as the inability of low income groups to reduce their mobility due to work or social obligations. Moreover, senior citizens were found to be more susceptible to severe symptoms, largely due to age-related health reasons. Adapting vaccine distribution strategies to consider a range of demographics is therefore essential to address these disparities. In this study, we propose a novel approach that utilizes influence maximization (IM) on mobility networks to develop vaccination strategies which incorporate demographic fairness. By considering factors such as race, social status, age, and associated risk factors, we aim to optimize vaccine distribution to achieve various fairness definitions for one or more protected attributes at a time. Through extensive experiments conducted on Covid-19 spread in three major metropolitan areas across the United States, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach in reducing disease transmission and promoting fairness in vaccination distribution.
Human trafficking (HT) for forced sexual exploitation, often described as modern-day slavery, is a pervasive problem that affects millions of people worldwide. Perpetrators of this crime post advertisements (ads) on behalf of their victims on adult service websites (ASW). These websites typically contain hundreds of thousands of ads including those posted by independent escorts, massage parlor agencies and spammers (fake ads). Detecting suspicious activity in these ads is difficult and developing data-driven methods is challenging due to the hard-to-label, complex and sensitive nature of the data. In this paper, we propose T-Net, which unlike previous solutions, formulates this problem as weakly supervised classification. Since it takes several months to years to investigate a case and obtain a single definitive label, we design domain-specific signals or indicators that provide weak labels. T-Net also looks into connections between ads and models the problem as a graph learning task instead of classifying ads independently. We show that T-Net outperforms all baselines on a real-world dataset of ads by 7% average weighted F1 score. Given that this data contains personally identifiable information, we also present a realistic data generator and provide the first publicly available dataset in this domain which may be leveraged by the wider research community.
Interpretable Long-Form Legal Question Answering with Retrieval-Augmented Large Language Models
PDF ↗Many individuals are likely to face a legal dispute at some point in their lives, but their lack of understanding of how to navigate these complex issues often renders them vulnerable. The advancement of natural language processing opens new avenues for bridging this legal literacy gap through the development of automated legal aid systems. However, existing legal question answering (LQA) approaches often suffer from a narrow scope, being either confined to specific legal domains or limited to brief, uninformative responses. In this work, we propose an end-to-end methodology designed to generate long-form answers to any statutory law questions, utilizing a "retrieve-then-read" pipeline. To support this approach, we introduce and release the Long-form Legal Question Answering (LLeQA) dataset, comprising 1,868 expert-annotated legal questions in the French language, complete with detailed answers rooted in pertinent legal provisions. Our experimental results demonstrate promising performance on automatic evaluation metrics, but a qualitative analysis uncovers areas for refinement. As one of the only comprehensive, expert-annotated long-form LQA dataset, LLeQA has the potential to not only accelerate research towards resolving a significant real-world issue, but also act as a rigorous benchmark for evaluating NLP models in specialized domains. We publicly release our code, data, and models.
Identifying and Addressing Disparities in Public Libraries with Bayesian Latent Variable Modeling
PDF ↗Public libraries are an essential public good. We ask: are urban library systems providing equitable service to all residents, in terms of the books they have access to and check out? If not, what causes disparities: heterogeneous book collections, resident behavior and access, and/or operational policies? Existing methods leverage only system-level outcome data (such as overall checkouts per branch), and so cannot distinguish between these factors. As a result, it is difficult to use their results to guide interventions to increase equitable access. We propose a Bayesian framework to characterize book checkout behavior across multiple branches of a library system, learning heterogeneous book popularity, overall branch demand, and usage of the online hold system, while controlling for book availability. In collaboration with the New York Public Library, we apply our framework to granular data consisting of over 400,000 checkouts during 2022. We first show that our model significantly out-performs baseline methods in predicting checkouts at the book-branch level. Next, we study spatial and socioeconomic disparities. We show that disparities are largely driven by disparate use of the online holds system, which allows library patrons to receive books from any other branch through an online portal. This system thus leads to a large outflow of popular books from branches in lower income neighborhoods to those in high income ones. Finally, we illustrate the use of our model and insights to quantify the impact of potential interventions, such as changing how books are internally routed between branches to fulfill hold requests.
Marine mammals and their ecosystem face significant threats from, for example, military active sonar and marine transportation. To mitigate this harm, early detection and classification of marine mammals are essential. While recent efforts have utilized spectrogram analysis and machine learning techniques, there remain challenges in their efficiency. Therefore, we propose a novel knowledge distillation framework, named XCFSMN, for this problem. We construct a teacher model that fuses the features extracted from an X-vector extractor, a DenseNet and Cross-Covariance attended compact Feed-Forward Sequential Memory Network (cFSMN). The teacher model transfers knowledge to a simpler cFSMN model through a temperature-cooling strategy for efficient learning. Compared to multiple convolutional neural network backbones and transformers, the proposed framework achieves state-of-the-art efficiency and performance. The improved model size is approximately 20 times smaller and the inference time can be 10 times shorter without affecting the model’s accuracy.
Predicting future outcomes is a prevalent application of machine learning in social impact domains. Examples range from predicting student success in education to predicting disease risk in healthcare. Practitioners recognize that the ultimate goal is not just to predict but to act effectively. Increasing evidence suggests that relying on outcome predictions for downstream interventions may not have desired results. In most domains there exists a multitude of possible interventions for each individual, making the challenge of taking effective action more acute. Even when causal mechanisms connecting the individual's latent states to outcomes are well understood, in any given instance (a specific student or patient), practitioners still need to infer---from budgeted measurements of latent states---which of many possible interventions will be most effective for this individual. With this in mind, we ask: when are accurate predictors of outcomes helpful for identifying the most suitable intervention? Through a simple model encompassing actions, latent states, and measurements, we demonstrate that pure outcome prediction rarely results in the most effective policy for taking actions, even when combined with other measurements. We find that except in cases where there is a single decisive action for improving the outcome, outcome prediction never maximizes "action value", the utility of taking actions. Making measurements of actionable latent states, where specific actions lead to desired outcomes, may considerably enhance the action value compared to outcome prediction, and the degree of improvement depends on action costs and the outcome model. This analysis emphasizes the need to go beyond generic outcome prediction in interventional settings by incorporating knowledge of plausible actions and latent states.
Depression detection is a challenging and crucial task in psychological illness diagnosis. Utilizing online user posts to predict whether a user suffers from depression seems an effective and promising direction. However, existing methods suffer from either poor interpretability brought by the black-box models or underwhelming performance caused by the completely separate two-stage model structure. To alleviate these limitations, we propose a novel capsule network integrated with contrastive learning for depression detection (DeCapsNet). The highlights of DeCapsNet can be summarized as follows. First, it extracts symptom capsules from user posts by leveraging meticulously designed symptom descriptions, and then distills them into class-indicative depression capsules. The overall workflow is in an explicit hierarchical reasoning manner and can be well interpreted by the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ9), which is one of the most widely adopted questionnaires for depression diagnosis. Second, it integrates with contrastive learning, which can facilitate the embeddings from the same class to be pulled closer, while simultaneously pushing the embeddings from different classes apart. In addition, by adopting the end-to-end training strategy, it does not necessitate additional data annotation, and mitigates the potential adverse effects from the upstream task to the downstream task. Extensive experiments on three widely-used datasets show that in both within-dataset and cross-dataset scenarios our proposed method outperforms other strong baselines significantly.
AutoLTS: Automating Cycling Stress Assessment via Contrastive Learning and Spatial Post-processing
PDF ↗Cycling stress assessment, which quantifies cyclists' perceived stress imposed by the built environment and motor traffics, increasingly informs cycling infrastructure planning and cycling route recommendation. However, currently calculating cycling stress is slow and data-intensive, which hinders its broader application. In this paper, We propose a deep learning framework to support accurate, fast, and large-scale cycling stress assessments for urban road networks based on street-view images. Our framework features i) a contrastive learning approach that leverages the ordinal relationship among cycling stress labels, and ii) a post-processing technique that enforces spatial smoothness into our predictions. On a dataset of 39,153 road segments collected in Toronto, Canada, our results demonstrate the effectiveness of our deep learning framework and the value of using image data for cycling stress assessment in the absence of high-quality road geometry and motor traffic data.
GLH-Water: A Large-Scale Dataset for Global Surface Water Detection in Large-Size Very-High-Resolution Satellite Imagery
PDF ↗Global surface water detection in very-high-resolution (VHR) satellite imagery can directly serve major applications such as refined flood mapping and water resource assessment. Although achievements have been made in detecting surface water in small-size satellite images corresponding to local geographic scales, datasets and methods suitable for mapping and analyzing global surface water have yet to be explored. To encourage the development of this task and facilitate the implementation of relevant applications, we propose the GLH-water dataset that consists of 250 satellite images and 40.96 billion pixels labeled surface water annotations that are distributed globally and contain water bodies exhibiting a wide variety of types (e.g. , rivers, lakes, and ponds in forests, irrigated fields, bare areas, and urban areas). Each image is of the size 12,800 × 12,800 pixels at 0.3 meter spatial resolution. To build a benchmark for GLH-water, we perform extensive experiments employing representative surface water detection models, popular semantic segmentation models, and ultra-high resolution segmentation models. Furthermore, we also design a strong baseline with the novel pyramid consistency loss (PCL) to initially explore this challenge, increasing IoU by 2.4% over the next best baseline. Finally, we implement the cross-dataset generalization and pilot area application experiments, and the superior performance illustrates the strong generalization and practical application value of GLH-water dataset. Project page: https://jack-bo1220.github.io/project/GLH-water.html
Accurate crop type maps are an essential source of information for monitoring yield progress at scale, projecting global crop production, and planning effective policies. To date, however, crop type maps remain challenging to create in low- and middle-income countries due to a lack of ground truth labels for training machine learning models. Field surveys are the gold standard in terms of accuracy but require an often-prohibitively large amount of time, money, and statistical capacity. In recent years, street-level imagery, such as Google Street View, KartaView, and Mapillary, has become available around the world. Such imagery contains rich information about crop types grown at particular locations and times. In this work, we develop an automated system to generate crop type ground references using deep learning and Google Street View imagery. The method efficiently curates a set of street-view images containing crop fields, trains a model to predict crop types using either weakly-labeled images from disparate out-of-domain sources or zero-shot labeled street view images with GPT-4V, and combines the predicted labels with remote sensing time series to create a wall-to-wall crop type map. We show that, in Thailand, the resulting country-wide map of rice, cassava, maize, and sugarcane achieves an accuracy of 93%. We publicly release the first-ever crop type map for all of Thailand 2022 at 10m-resolution with no gaps. To our knowledge, this is the first time a 10m-resolution, multi-crop map has been created for any smallholder country. As the availability of roadside imagery expands, our pipeline provides a way to map crop types at scale around the globe, especially in underserved smallholder regions.
Discovering crystal structures with specific chemical properties has become an increasingly important focus in material science. However, current models are limited in their ability to generate new crystal lattices, as they only consider atomic positions or chemical composition. To address this issue, we propose a probabilistic diffusion model that utilizes a geometrically equivariant GNN to consider atomic positions and crystal lattices jointly. To evaluate the effectiveness of our model, we introduce a new generation metric inspired by Frechet Inception Distance, but based on GNN energy prediction rather than InceptionV3 used in computer vision. In addition to commonly used metrics like validity, which assesses the plausibility of a structure, this new metric offers a more comprehensive evaluation of our model's capabilities. Our experiments on existing benchmarks show the significance of our diffusion model. We also show that our method can effectively learn meaningful representations.
Deploying ADVISER: Impact and Lessons from Using Artificial Intelligence for Child Vaccination Uptake in Nigeria
PDF ↗More than 5 million children under five years die from largely preventable or treatable medical conditions every year, with an overwhelmingly large proportion of deaths occurring in underdeveloped countries with low vaccination uptake. One of the United Nations' sustainable development goals (SDG 3) aims to end preventable deaths of newborns and children under five years of age. We focus on Nigeria, where the rate of infant mortality is appalling. In particular, low vaccination uptake in Nigeria is a major driver of more than 2,000 daily deaths of children under the age of five years. In this paper, we describe our collaboration with government partners in Nigeria to deploy ADVISER: AI-Driven Vaccination Intervention Optimiser. The framework, based on an integer linear program that seeks to maximize the cumulative probability of successful vaccination, is the first successful deployment of an AI-enabled toolchain for optimizing the allocation of health interventions in Nigeria. In this paper, we provide a background of the ADVISER framework and present results, lessons, and success stories of deploying ADVISER to more than 13,000 families in the state of Oyo, Nigeria.
Disease control experts inspect public health data streams daily for outliers worth investigating, like those corresponding to data quality issues or disease outbreaks. However, they can only examine a few of the thousands of maximally-tied outliers returned by univariate outlier detection methods applied to large-scale public health data streams. To help experts distinguish the most important outliers from these thousands of tied outliers, we propose a new task for algorithms to rank the outputs of any univariate method applied to each of many streams. Our novel algorithm for this task, which leverages hierarchical networks and extreme value analysis, performed the best across traditional outlier detection metrics in a human-expert evaluation using public health data streams. Most importantly, experts have used our open-source Python implementation since April 2023 and report identifying outliers worth investigating 9.1x faster than their prior baseline. Other organizations can readily adapt this implementation to create rankings from the outputs of their tailored univariate methods across large-scale streams.
Pain, a primary reason for seeking medical help, requires essential pain assessment for effective management. Studies have recognized electrodermal activity (EDA) signaling's potential for automated pain assessment, but traditional algorithms often ignore the noise and uncertainty inherent in pain data. To address this, we propose a learning framework predicated on data uncertainty, introducing two forms: a) subject-level stimulation-reaction drift; b) ambiguity in self-reporting scores. We formulate an uncertainty assessment using Heart Rate Variability (HRV) features to guide the selection of responsive pain profiles and reweight subtask importance based on the vagueness of self-reported data. These methods are integrated within an end-to-end neural network learning paradigm, focusing the detector on more accurate insights within the uncertainty domain. Extensive experimentation on both the publicly available biovid dataset and the proprietary Apon dataset demonstrates our approach's effectiveness. In the biovid dataset, we achieved a 6% enhancement over the state-of-the-art methodology, and on the Apon dataset, our method outperformed baseline approaches by over 20%.