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Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Baohong Li, Anpeng Wu, Ruoxuan Xiong, Kun Kuang

Latent confounding bias and collider bias are two key challenges of causal inference in observational studies. Latent confounding bias occurs when failing to control the unmeasured covariates that are common causes of treatments and outcomes, which can be addressed by using the Instrumental Variable (IV) approach. Collider bias comes from non-random sample selection caused by both treatments and outcomes, which can be addressed by using a different type of instruments, i.e., shadow variables. However, in most scenarios, these two biases simultaneously exist in observational data, and the previous methods focusing on either one are inadequate. To the best of our knowledge, no approach has been developed for causal inference when both biases exist. In this paper, we propose a novel IV approach, Two-Stage Shadow Inclusion (2SSI), which can simultaneously address latent confounding bias and collider bias by utilizing the residual of the treatment as a shadow variable. Extensive experimental results on benchmark synthetic datasets and a real-world dataset show that 2SSI achieves noticeable performance improvement when both biases exist compared to existing methods.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · General Machine Learning Techniques

Depeng Li, Tianqi Wang, Junwei Chen, Wei Dai, Zhigang Zeng

Class-incremental learning (CIL) aims to train a model to learn new classes from non-stationary data streams without forgetting old ones. In this paper, we propose a new kind of connectionist model by tailoring neural unit dynamics that adapt the behavior of neural networks for CIL. In each training session, it introduces a supervisory mechanism to guide network expansion whose growth size is compactly commensurate with the intrinsic complexity of a newly arriving task. This constructs a near-minimal network while allowing the model to expand its capacity when cannot sufficiently hold new classes. At inference time, it automatically reactivates the required neural units to retrieve knowledge and leaves the remaining inactivated to prevent interference. We name our model AutoActivator, which is effective and scalable. To gain insights into the neural unit dynamics, we theoretically analyze the model’s convergence property via a universal approximation theorem on learning sequential mappings, which is under-explored in the CIL community. Experiments show that our method achieves strong CIL performance in rehearsal-free and minimal-expansion settings with different backbones.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Baohong Li, Haoxuan Li, Ruoxuan Xiong, Anpeng Wu, Fei Wu, Kun Kuang

One of the significant challenges in treatment effect estimation is collider bias, a specific form of sample selection bias induced by the common causes of both the treatment and outcome. Identifying treatment effects under collider bias requires well-defined shadow variables in observational data, which are assumed to be related to the outcome and independent of the sample selection mechanism, conditional on the other observed variables. However, finding a valid shadow variable is not an easy task in real-world scenarios and requires domain-specific knowledge from experts. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a novel method that can automatically learn shadow-variable representations from observational data without prior knowledge. To ensure the learned representations satisfy the assumptions of the shadow variable, we introduce a tester to perform hypothesis testing in the representation learning process. We iteratively generate representations and test whether they satisfy the shadow-variable assumptions until they pass the test. With the help of the learned shadow-variable representations, we propose a novel treatment effect estimator to address collider bias. Experiments show that the proposed methods outperform existing treatment effect estimation methods under collider bias and prove their potential application value.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Baohong Li, Haoxuan Li, Anpeng Wu, Minqin Zhu, shiyuan Peng, Qingyu Cao, Kun Kuang

Resulting from non-random sample selection caused by both the treatment and outcome, collider bias poses a unique challenge to treatment effect estimation using observational data whose distribution differs from that of the target population. In this paper, we rethink collider bias from an out-of-distribution (OOD) perspective, considering that the entire data space of the target population consists of two different environments: The observational data selected from the target population belongs to a seen environment labeled with $S=1$ and the missing unselected data belongs to another unseen environment labeled with $S=0$. Based on this OOD formulation, we utilize small-scale representative data from the entire data space with no environmental labels and propose a novel method, i.e., Coupled Counterfactual Generative Adversarial Model (C$^2$GAM), to simultaneously generate the missing $S=0$ samples in observational data and the missing $S$ labels in the small-scale representative data. With the help of C$^2$GAM, collider bias can be addressed by combining the generated $S=0$ samples and the observational data to estimate treatment effects. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world data demonstrate that plugging C$^2$GAM into existing treatment effect estimators achieves significant performance improvements.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Representation Learning

Pengyu Li, Xiao Li, Yutong Wang, Qing Qu

We study deep neural networks for the multi-label classification (MLab) task through the lens of neural collapse (NC). Previous works have been restricted to the multi-class classification setting and discovered a prevalent NC phenomenon comprising of the following properties for the last-layer features: (i) the variability of features within every class collapses to zero, (ii) the set of feature means form an equi-angular tight frame (ETF), and (iii) the last layer classifiers collapse to the feature mean upon some scaling. We generalize the study to multi-label learning, and prove for the first time that a generalized NC phenomenon holds with the "pick-all-label'' formulation, which we term as MLab NC. While the ETF geometry remains consistent for features with a single label, multi-label scenarios introduce a unique combinatorial aspect we term the "tag-wise average" property, where the means of features with multiple labels are the scaled averages of means for single-label instances. Theoretically, under proper assumptions on the features, we establish that the only global optimizer of the pick-all-label cross-entropy loss satisfy the multi-label NC. In practice, we demonstrate that our findings can lead to better test performance with more efficient training techniques for MLab learning.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Unsupervised and Semi-supervised Learning

Yunfan Li, Peng Hu, Dezhong Peng, Jiancheng Lv, Jianping Fan, Xi Peng

The core of clustering lies in incorporating prior knowledge to construct supervision signals. From classic k-means based on data compactness to recent contrastive clustering guided by self-supervision, the evolution of clustering methods intrinsically corresponds to the progression of supervision signals. At present, substantial efforts have been devoted to mining internal supervision signals from data. Nevertheless, the abundant external knowledge such as semantic descriptions, which naturally conduces to clustering, is regrettably overlooked. In this work, we propose leveraging external knowledge as a new supervision signal to guide clustering. To implement and validate our idea, we design an externally guided clustering method (Text-Aided Clustering, TAC), which leverages the textual semantics of WordNet to facilitate image clustering. Specifically, TAC first selects and retrieves WordNet nouns that best distinguish images to enhance the feature discriminability. Then, TAC collaborates text and image modalities by mutually distilling cross-modal neighborhood information. Experiments demonstrate that TAC achieves state-of-the-art performance on five widely used and three more challenging image clustering benchmarks, including the full ImageNet-1K dataset. The code can be accessed at https://github.com/XLearning-SCU/2024-ICML-TAC.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Unsupervised and Semi-supervised Learning

Changchun Li, Yuanchao Dai, Lei Feng, Ximing Li, Bing Wang, Jihong Ouyang

Positive and Unlabeled (PU) learning refers to a special case of binary classification, and technically, it aims to induce a binary classifier from a few labeled positive training instances and loads of unlabeled instances. In this paper, we derive a theorem indicating that the probability boundary of the asymmetric disambiguation-free expected risk of PU learning is controlled by its asymmetric penalty, and we further empirically evaluated this theorem. Inspired by the theorem and its empirical evaluations, we propose an easy-to-implement two-stage PU learning method, namely **P**ositive and **U**nlabeled **L**earning with **C**ontrolled **P**robability **B**oundary **F**ence (**PULCPBF**). In the first stage, we train a set of weak binary classifiers concerning different probability boundaries by minimizing the asymmetric disambiguation-free empirical risks with specific asymmetric penalty values. We can interpret these induced weak binary classifiers as a probability boundary fence. For each unlabeled instance, we can use the predictions to locate its class posterior probability and generate a stochastic label. In the second stage, we train a strong binary classifier over labeled positive training instances and all unlabeled instances with stochastic labels in a self-training manner. Extensive empirical results demonstrate that PULCPBF can achieve competitive performance compared with the existing PU learning baselines.

Social Aspects · Trustworthy Machine Learning

Yangyi Li, Aobo Chen, Wei Qian, Chenxu Zhao, Divya Lidder, Mengdi Huai

The efficient and theoretically sound uncertainty quantification is crucial for building trust in deep learning models. This has spurred a growing interest in conformal prediction (CP), a powerful technique that provides a model-agnostic and distribution-free method for obtaining conformal prediction sets with theoretical guarantees. However, the vulnerabilities of such CP methods with regard to dedicated data poisoning attacks have not been studied previously. To bridge this gap, for the first time, we in this paper propose a new class of black-box data poisoning attacks against CP, where the adversary aims to cause the desired manipulations of some specific examples' prediction uncertainty results (instead of misclassifications). Additionally, we design novel optimization frameworks for our proposed attacks. Further, we conduct extensive experiments to validate the effectiveness of our attacks on various settings (e.g., the full and split CP settings). Notably, our extensive experiments show that our attacks are more effective in manipulating uncertainty results than traditional poisoning attacks that aim at inducing misclassifications, and existing defenses against conventional attacks are ineffective against our proposed attacks.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · General Machine Learning Techniques

Tam Le, Truyen Nguyen, Kenji Fukumizu

We study the optimal transport (OT) problem for measures supported on a graph metric space. Recently, Le et al. (2022) leverage the graph structure and propose a variant of OT, namely Sobolev transport (ST), which yields a closed-form expression for a fast computation. However, ST is essentially coupled with the $L^p$ geometric structure within its definition which makes it nontrivial to utilize ST for other prior structures. In contrast, the classic OT has the flexibility to adapt to various geometric structures by modifying the underlying cost function. An important instance is the Orlicz-Wasserstein (OW) which moves beyond the $L^p$ structure by leveraging the *Orlicz geometric structure*. Comparing to the usage of standard $p$-order Wasserstein, OW remarkably helps to advance certain machine learning approaches. Nevertheless, OW brings up a new challenge on its computation due to its two-level optimization formulation. In this work, we leverage a specific class of convex functions for Orlicz structure to propose the generalized Sobolev transport (GST). GST encompasses the ST as its special case, and can be utilized for prior structures beyond the $L^p$ geometry. In connection with the OW, we show that one only needs to simply solve a univariate optimization problem to compute the GST, unlike the complex two-level optimization problem in OW. We empirically illustrate that GST is several-order faster than the OW. Moreover, we provide preliminary evidences on the advantages of GST for document classification and for several tasks in topological data analysis.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Heiner Kremer, Bernhard Schölkopf

Instrumental variable (IV) regression can be approached through its formulation in terms of conditional moment restrictions (CMR). Building on variants of the generalized method of moments, most CMR estimators are implicitly based on approximating the population data distribution via reweightings of the empirical sample. While for large sample sizes, in the independent identically distributed (IID) setting, reweightings can provide sufficient flexibility, they might fail to capture the relevant information in presence of corrupted data or data prone to adversarial attacks. To address these shortcomings, we propose the Sinkhorn Method of Moments, an optimal transport-based IV estimator that takes into account the geometry of the data manifold through data-derivative information. We provide a simple plug-and-play implementation of our method that performs on par with related estimators in standard settings but improves robustness against data corruption and adversarial attacks.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Online Learning, Active Learning and Bandits

Wojciech Kotlowski, Marek Wydmuch, Erik Schultheis, Rohit Babbar, Krzysztof Dembczynski

We consider sequential maximization of performance metrics that are general functions of a confusion matrix of a classifier (such as precision, F-measure, or G-mean). Such metrics are, in general, non-decomposable over individual instances, making their optimization very challenging. While they have been extensively studied under different frameworks in the batch setting, their analysis in the online learning regime is very limited, with only a few distinguished exceptions. In this paper, we introduce and analyze a general online algorithm that can be used in a straightforward way with a variety of complex performance metrics in binary, multi-class, and multi-label classification problems. The algorithm's update and prediction rules are appealingly simple and computationally efficient without the need to store any past data. We show the algorithm attains $\mathcal{O}(\frac{\ln n}{n})$ regret for concave and smooth metrics and verify the efficiency of the proposed algorithm in empirical studies.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Samir Khan, Martin Saveski, Johan Ugander

Off-policy evaluation, and the complementary problem of policy learning, use historical data collected under a logging policy to estimate and/or optimize the value of a target policy. Methods for these tasks typically assume overlap between the target and logging policy, enabling solutions based on importance weighting and/or imputation. Absent such an overlap assumption, existing work either relies on a well-specified model or optimizes needlessly conservative bounds. In this work, we develop methods for no-overlap policy evaluation without a well-specified model, relying instead on non-parametric assumptions on the expected outcome, with a particular focus on Lipschitz smoothness. Under such assumptions we are able to provide sharp bounds on the off-policy value, along with optimal estimators of those bounds. For Lipschitz smoothness, we construct a pair of linear programs that upper and lower bound the contribution of the no-overlap region to the off-policy value. We show that these programs have a concise closed form solution, and that their solutions converge under the Lipschitz assumption to the sharp partial identification bounds at a minimax optimal rate, up to log factors. We demonstrate the effectiveness our methods on two semi-synthetic examples, and obtain informative and valid bounds that are tighter than those possible without smoothness assumptions.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Masahiro Kato, Oga Akihiro, Wataru Komatsubara, Ryo Inokuchi

This study designs an adaptive experiment for efficiently estimating *average treatment effects* (ATEs). In each round of our adaptive experiment, an experimenter sequentially samples an experimental unit, assigns a treatment, and observes the corresponding outcome immediately. At the end of the experiment, the experimenter estimates an ATE using the gathered samples. The objective is to estimate the ATE with a smaller asymptotic variance. Existing studies have designed experiments that adaptively optimize the propensity score (treatment-assignment probability). As a generalization of such an approach, we propose optimizing the covariate density as well as the propensity score. First, we derive the efficient covariate density and propensity score that minimize the semiparametric efficiency bound and find that optimizing both covariate density and propensity score minimizes the semiparametric efficiency bound more effectively than optimizing only the propensity score. Next, we design an adaptive experiment using the efficient covariate density and propensity score sequentially estimated during the experiment. Lastly, we propose an ATE estimator whose asymptotic variance aligns with the minimized semiparametric efficiency bound.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Kernel methods

Ryuichi Kanoh, Mahito Sugiyama

While axis-aligned rules are known to induce an important inductive bias in machine learning models such as typical hard decision tree ensembles, theoretical understanding of the learning behavior is largely unrevealed due to the discrete nature of rules. To address this issue, we impose the axis-aligned constraint on soft trees, which relax the splitting process of decision trees and are trained using a gradient method, and present their Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK), which enables us to analytically describe the training behavior. We study two cases: imposing the axis-aligned constraint throughout the entire training process, and only at the initial state. Moreover, we extend the NTK framework to handle various tree architectures simultaneously, and prove that any axis-aligned non-oblivious tree ensemble can be transformed into axis-aligned oblivious tree ensembles with the same NTK. One can search for suitable tree architecture via Multiple Kernel Learning (MKL), and our numerical experiments show a variety of suitable features depending on the type of constraints. Our NTK analysis highlights both the theoretical and practical impacts of the axis-aligned constraint in tree ensemble learning.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Transfer, Multitask and Meta-learning

Jihyeong Jung, Sangwoo Seo, Sungwon Kim, Chanyoung Park

We propose Unsupervised Episode Generation method called **Neighbors as Queries (NaQ)** to solve the Few-Shot Node-Classification (FSNC) task by *unsupervised Graph Meta-learning*. Doing so enables full utilization of the information of all nodes in a graph, which is not possible in current supervised meta-learning methods for FSNC due to the label-scarcity problem. In addition, unlike unsupervised Graph Contrastive Learning (GCL) methods that overlook the downstream task to be solved at the training phase resulting in vulnerability to class imbalance of a graph, we adopt the episodic learning framework that allows the model to be aware of the downstream task format, i.e., FSNC. The proposed NaQ is a simple but effective *unsupervised* episode generation method that randomly samples nodes from a graph to make a support set, followed by similarity-based sampling of nodes to make the corresponding query set. Since NaQ is *model-agnostic*, any existing supervised graph meta-learning methods can be trained in an unsupervised manner, while not sacrificing much of their performance or sometimes even improving them. Extensive experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed unsupervised episode generation method for graph meta-learning towards the FSNC task. Our code is available at: https://github.com/JhngJng/NaQ-PyTorch.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Representation Learning

Jeeveswaran Kishaan, Elahe Arani, Bahram Zonooz

Domain incremental learning (DIL) poses a significant challenge in real-world scenarios, as models need to be sequentially trained on diverse domains over time, all the while avoiding catastrophic forgetting. Mitigating representation drift, which refers to the phenomenon of learned representations undergoing changes as the model adapts to new tasks, can help alleviate catastrophic forgetting. In this study, we propose a novel DIL method named *DARE*, featuring a three-stage training process: Divergence, Adaptation, and REfinement. This process gradually adapts the representations associated with new tasks into the feature space spanned by samples from previous tasks, simultaneously integrating task-specific decision boundaries. Additionally, we introduce a novel strategy for buffer sampling and demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method, combined with this sampling strategy, in reducing representation drift within the feature encoder. This contribution effectively alleviates catastrophic forgetting across multiple DIL benchmarks. Furthermore, our approach prevents sudden representation drift at task boundaries, resulting in a well-calibrated DIL model that maintains the performance on previous tasks.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Inwoo Hwang, Yunhyeok Kwak, Suhyung Choi, Byoung-Tak Zhang, Sanghack Lee

Causal dynamics learning has recently emerged as a promising approach to enhancing robustness in reinforcement learning (RL). Typically, the goal is to build a dynamics model that makes predictions based on the causal relationships among the entities. Despite the fact that causal connections often manifest only under certain contexts, existing approaches overlook such fine-grained relationships and lack a detailed understanding of the dynamics. In this work, we propose a novel dynamics model that infers fine-grained causal structures and employs them for prediction, leading to improved robustness in RL. The key idea is to jointly learn the dynamics model with a discrete latent variable that quantizes the state-action space into subgroups. This leads to recognizing meaningful context that displays sparse dependencies, where causal structures are learned for each subgroup throughout the training. Experimental results demonstrate the robustness of our method to unseen states and locally spurious correlations in downstream tasks where fine-grained causal reasoning is crucial. We further illustrate the effectiveness of our subgroup-based approach with quantization in discovering fine-grained causal relationships compared to prior methods.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Representation Learning

Iris Huijben, Matthijs Douze, Matthew Muckley, Ruud J. G. van Sloun, Jakob Verbeek

Vector quantization is a fundamental operation for data compression and vector search. To obtain high accuracy, multi-codebook methods represent each vector using codewords across several codebooks. Residual quantization (RQ) is one such method, which iteratively quantizes the error of the previous step. While the error distribution is dependent on previously-selected codewords, this dependency is not accounted for in conventional RQ as it uses a fixed codebook per quantization step. In this paper, we propose QINCo, a neural RQ variant that constructs specialized codebooks per step that depend on the approximation of the vector from previous steps. Experiments show that QINCo outperforms state-of-the-art methods by a large margin on several datasets and code sizes. For example, QINCo achieves better nearest-neighbor search accuracy using 12-byte codes than the state-of-the-art UNQ using 16 bytes on the BigANN1M and Deep1M datasets.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Kernel methods

ZHEN HUANG, Jiajin Sun, Yian Huang

Random features (Rahimi & Recht, 2007), based on Monte Carlo (MC) method, is one of the most popular approximation techniques to accelerate kernel methods. We show for a class of kernels, including Gaussian kernels, quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods can be used in place of MC to improve the approximation error from $O_P(1/\sqrt{M})$ to $O(1/M)$ (up to logarithmic factors), for estimating both the kernel function itself and the associated integral operator, where $M$ is the number of features being used. Furthermore, we demonstrate the advantage of QMC features in the case of kernel ridge regression, where theoretically, fewer random features suffice to guarantee the same convergence rate of the excess risk. In practice, the QMC kernel approximation approach is easily implementable and shows superior performance, as supported by the empirical evidence provided in the paper.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Scalable Algorithms

Zixuan Hu, Yongxian Wei, Li Shen, Zhenyi Wang, Lei Li, Chun Yuan, Dacheng Tao

Model inversion, which aims to reconstruct the original training data from pre-trained discriminative models, is especially useful when the original training data is unavailable due to privacy, usage rights, or size constraints. However, existing dense inversion methods attempt to reconstruct the entire image area, making them extremely inefficient when inverting high-resolution images from large-scale Vision Transformers (ViTs). We further identify two underlying causes of this inefficiency: the redundant inversion of noisy backgrounds and the unintended inversion of spurious correlations—a phenomenon we term ``hallucination'' in model inversion. To address these limitations, we propose a novel sparse model inversion strategy, as a plug-and-play extension to speed up existing dense inversion methods with no need for modifying their original loss functions. Specifically, we selectively invert semantic foregrounds while stopping the inversion of noisy backgrounds and potential spurious correlations. Through both theoretical and empirical studies, we validate the efficacy of our approach in achieving significant inversion acceleration (up to $\times$3.79) while maintaining comparable or even enhanced downstream performance in data-free model quantization and data-free knowledge transfer. Code is available at https://github.com/Egg-Hu/SMI.