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Dahai Yu, Rongchao Xu, Dingyi Zhuang, Yuheng Bu, Shenhao Wang, Guang Wang

Energy usage prediction is important for various real-world applications, including grid management, infrastructure planning, and disaster response. Although a plethora of deep learning approaches have been proposed to perform this task, most of them either overlook the essential spatial correlations across households or fail to scale to individualized prediction, making them less effective for accurate fine-grained user-level prediction. In addition, due to the dynamic and uncertain nature of energy usage caused by various factors such as extreme weather events, quantifying uncertainty for reliable prediction is also significant, but it has not been fully explored in existing work. In this paper, we propose a unified framework called TrustEnergy for accurate and reliable user-level energy usage prediction. There are two key technical components in TrustEnergy, (i) a Hierarchical Spatiotemporal Representation module to efficiently capture both macro and micro energy usage patterns with a novel memory-augmented spatiotemporal graph neural network, and (ii) an innovative Sequential Conformalized Quantile Regression module to dynamically adjust uncertainty bounds to ensure valid prediction intervals over time, without making strong assumptions about the underlying data distribution. We implement and evaluate our TrustEnergy framework by working with an electricity provider in Florida, and the results show our TrustEnergy can achieve a 5.4% increase in prediction accuracy and 5.7% improvement in uncertainty quantification compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

Peijian Wang, Thu Nguyen

For the past two decades, sustainability and carbon reduction have emerged as critical factors for data center (DC) design and operation. A set of advances has been encapsulated in green DCs with the onsite generation of renewable energy and efficient cooling systems. In this paper, we study how to apply Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to optimize green DC operation. Green DC management is typically an infinite-horizon problem with exogenous stochastic input processes. We propose EA, a framework that applies DRL to the typical infinite-horizon problem without discounting. EA approximates the infinite-horizon problem with a finite-horizon one. In this approach, it is important to avoid actions optimized for the end of the finite-horizon problem but inappropriate for the true infinite-horizon one. EA addresses this challenge by combining a stationary policy with the fact that green DC management has repeating patterns (e.g., daily temperature, solar energy generation, and workload). We apply EA to the management of a green DC with onsite solar energy generation and a hybrid cooling system that includes ``free'' cooling. Evaluation results show that EA successfully learns important principles such as delaying deferrable jobs to solar-rich times and gracefully maintaining inside temperature. Further, EA outperforms three state-of-the-art DRL algorithms, realizing the greatest benefits on days with high outside temperature and high solar generation. While we evaluate EA in the specific context of a green DC, we believe that EA is a promising approach for more general system management settings.

Kirtan Brijeshbhai Soni, Krish Rupapara, Arpit Rana, Ghanshyam Verma, Paul Buitelaar

Accelerating research in renewable energy policy is critical for addressing climate change and enabling informed decision-making. Question answering (QA) over public policy documents presents unique challenges due to their legal structure, conditional dependencies, and domain-specific vocabulary. In this paper, we introduce EvalQAG, a framework for generating high-quality QA pairs from renewable energy policy documents. EvalQAG combines structured prompts, retrieval-augmented inputs, and multi-stage evaluation using large language models (LLMs) to support accurate and diverse QA generation. Using this framework, we construct REPolicyQA, a domain-specific QA dataset comprising approximately 160,000 QA pairs from over 1,000 U.S. renewable energy policy documents. The dataset covers five policy-relevant question types: Yes/No, Yes/No with Conditions, Factual, Legal Obligation, and Descriptive, which capture a wide range of reasoning patterns grounded in regulatory texts. We evaluate multiple QA models and uncover significant performance gaps, particularly in legal reasoning and conditional inference, highlighting major shortcomings in current systems. Our results establish EvalQAG as a generalizable QA generation pipeline for policy texts and position REPolicyQA as a new benchmark for advancing QA research in policy and regulatory domains. We believe this work can foster impactful research in the renewable energy sector, particularly by enabling more robust and explainable QA systems for legal and condition-heavy regulatory documents.

Ayushi Sharma, Johanna Trost, Daniel Lusk, Johannes Dollinger, Julian Schrader, Christian Rossi, Javier Lopatin, Etienne Laliberté, Simon Haberstroh, Jana Eichel 等

Global plant maps of plant traits, such as leaf nitrogen or plant height, are essential for understanding ecosystem processes, including the carbon and energy cycles of the Earth system. However, existing trait maps remain limited by the high cost and sparse geographic coverage of field-based measurements. Citizen science initiatives offer a largely untapped resource to overcome these limitations, with over 50 million geotagged plant photographs worldwide capturing valuable visual information on plant morphology and physiology. In this study, we introduce PlantTraitNet, a multi-modal, multi-task uncertainty-aware deep learning framework that predicts four key plant traits (plant height, leaf area, specific leaf area, and nitrogen content) from citizen science photos using weak supervision. By aggregating individual trait predictions across space, we generate global maps of trait distributions. We validate these maps against independent vegetation survey data (sPlotOpen) and benchmark them against leading global trait products. Our results show that PlantTraitNet consistently outperforms existing trait maps across all evaluated traits, demonstrating that citizen science imagery, when integrated with computer vision and geospatial AI, enables not only scalable but also more accurate global trait mapping. This approach offers a powerful new pathway for ecological research and Earth system modeling.

Soumyendu Sarkar, Antonio Guillen-Perez, Zachariah J Carmichael, Avisek Naug, Refik Mert Cam, Vineet Gundecha, Ashwin Ramesh Babu, Sahand Ghorbanpour, Ricardo Luna Gutierrez

Reducing energy consumption and carbon emissions in data centers by enabling real-time temperature prediction is critical for sustainability and operational efficiency. Achieving this requires accurate modeling of the 3D temperature field to capture airflow dynamics and thermal interactions under varying operating conditions. Traditional thermal CFD solvers, while accurate, are computationally expensive and require expert-crafted meshes and boundary conditions, making them impractical for real-time use. To address these limitations, we develop a vision-based surrogate modeling framework that operates directly on a 3D voxelized representation of the data center, incorporating server workloads, fan speeds, and HVAC temperature set points. We evaluate multiple architectures, including 3D CNN U-Net variants, a 3D Fourier Neural Operator, and 3D vision transformers, to map these thermal inputs to high-fidelity heat maps. Our results show that the surrogate models generalize across data center configurations and significantly speed up computations by an order of 20,000, from hours to hundreds of milliseconds. This fast and accurate estimation of hot spots and temperature distribution enables real-time cooling control and workload redistribution, leading to substantial energy savings (7%) and reduced carbon footprint.

Sujay Nair, Evan Austen Coleman, Sherrie Wang, Elsa Olivetti

Minerals play a critical role in the advanced energy technologies necessary for decarbonization, but characterizing mineral deposits hidden underground remains costly and challenging. Inspired by recent progress in generative modeling, we develop a learning method which infers the locations of minerals by masking and infilling geospatial maps of resource availability. We demonstrate this technique using mineral data for the conterminous United States, and train performant models, with the best achieving Dice coefficients of 0.31 ± 0.01 and recalls of 0.22 ± 0.02 on test data at 1×1 sq mi spatial resolution. One major advantage of our approach is that it can easily incorporate auxiliary data sources for prediction which may be more abundant than mineral data. We highlight the capabilities of our model by adding input layers derived from geophysical sources, along with a nation-wide ground survey of soils originally intended for agronomic purposes. We find that employing such auxiliary features can improve inference performance, while also enabling model evaluation in regions with no recorded minerals.

Matan Levy, Itay Segev, Alexander Tuisov, Sarah Keren

The objective of this study is to advance the optimization of hybrid electricity markets using multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL). The transition from centralized systems to public–private models introduces significant challenges, including the emergence of independent market players and the increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs). These challenges are further intensified by rapidly shifting demand patterns, driven both by energy-intensive data centers and AI inference workloads, as well as by political and societal instabilities. To address these complexities, we develop a formal model of market participants’ behavior and propose a MARL-based framework for optimizing system operator strategies. This framework incorporates dynamic pricing and dispatch scheduling to minimize operational costs, maintain grid stability, and align market incentives. We also present a new, adaptable simulation environment compatible with state-of-the-art MARL methods. Empirical evaluations in increasingly complex scenarios demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in capturing the dynamic and decentralized nature of modern electricity markets.

Hou Hei Lam, Jiangjie Qiu, Xiuyuan Hu, Wentao Li, Fankun Zeng, Siwei Fu, Hao Zhang, Xiaonan Wang

Organic photovoltaic (OPV) materials offer a promising pathway for sustainable energy generation. However, their development is hindered by the challenge of identifying high-performance donor-acceptor pairs with optimal power conversion efficiencies (PCEs). Most existing design strategies focus exclusively on either the donor or the acceptor, rather than employing a unified model capable of designing both components. In this work, we introduce a dual-pronged machine learning framework for OPV discovery, integrating predictive modeling and generative molecular design. In this study, we propose the newly curated Organic Photovoltaic Donor-Acceptor Dataset (OPV²D), the largest of its kind, comprising 2,000 experimentally characterized donor-acceptor pairs. This dataset serves as a comprehensive foundation for model training and evaluation. To enable accurate property prediction in organic photovoltaic (OPV) materials, we first introduce the Organic Photovoltaic Classifier (OPVC) to predict the likelihood that a given material exhibits OPV behavior. Complementing this, we develop a hierarchical graph neural network framework that integrates multi-task learning and cross-modal donor–acceptor interaction modeling. This framework includes the Molecular Orbital Energy Estimator (MOE²) for predicting the highest occupied molecular orbital–lowest unoccupied molecular orbital (HOMO–LUMO) energy levels, and the Photovoltaic Performance Predictor (P³) for estimating power conversion efficiency (PCE). In addition, we introduce the Material Generative Pretrained Transformer (MatGPT) to generate synthetically accessible organic semiconductors. Building on this, we propose a reinforcement learning strategy with three-objective policy optimization that guides molecular generation while preserving chemical validity. By bridging molecular representation learning with device performance prediction, our framework advances computational OPV material discovery.

Lars Krupp, Daniel Geißler, Vishal Banwari, Paul Lukowicz, Jakob Karolus

Web agents, like OpenAI's Operator and Google's Project Mariner, are powerful agentic systems pushing the boundaries of Large Language Models (LLM). They can autonomously interact with the internet at the user's behest, such as navigating websites, filling search masks, and comparing price lists. Though web agent research is thriving, induced sustainability issues remain largely unexplored. To highlight the urgency of this issue, we provide an initial exploration of the energy and CO₂ cost associated with web agents from both a theoretical —via estimation— and an empirical perspective —by benchmarking. Our results show how different philosophies in web agent creation can severely impact the associated expended energy, and that more energy consumed does not necessarily equate to better results. We highlight a lack of transparency regarding disclosing model parameters and processes used for some web agents as a limiting factor when estimating energy consumption. Our work contributes towards a change in thinking of how we evaluate web agents, advocating for dedicated metrics measuring energy consumption in benchmarks.

Zheng Jiang, Wei Wang, Gaowei Zhang, Yi Wang

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is crucial for understanding upper-ocean thermal dynamics and ocean-atmosphere interactions, which have profound economic and social impacts. While data-driven models show promise in SST prediction, their black-box nature often limits interpretability and overlooks key physical processes. Recently, physics-informed neural networks have been gaining momentum but struggle with complex ocean-atmosphere dynamics due to 1) inadequate characterization of seawater movement (e.g., coastal upwelling) and 2) insufficient integration of external SST drivers (e.g., turbulent heat fluxes). To address these challenges, we propose SSTODE, a physics-informed Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs) framework for SST prediction. First, we derive ODEs from fluid transport principles, incorporating both advection and diffusion to model ocean spatiotemporal dynamics. Through variational optimization, we recover a latent velocity field that explicitly governs the temporal dynamics of SST. Building upon ODE, we introduce an Energy Exchanges Integrator (EEI)-inspired by ocean heat budget equations-to account for external forcing factors. Thus, the variations in the components of these factors provide deeper insights into SST dynamics. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SSTODE achieves state-of-the-art performances in global and regional SST forecasting benchmarks. Furthermore, SSTODE visually reveals the impact of advection dynamics, thermal diffusion patterns, and diurnal heating-cooling cycles on SST evolution. These findings demonstrate the model's interpretability and physical consistency.

Pengfei Jia, Jianghong Ma, Baoquan Zhang, Kenghong Lin, Xinyu Zhang, Chuyao Luo, Xutao Li, Yunming Ye

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is critical for the operation of solar power plants and the coordination of energy within power grids. This work aims to predict future PV power time series by leveraging multimodal data. While recent studies have incorporated numerical modalities such as satellite image sequences and numerical weather prediction (NWP) time series, they often overlook textual modalities—such as the spatio-temporal context of PV plants—and the potential of pretrained large language models (LLMs). In this paper, we build upon existing numerical inputs and further explore the use of spatio-temporal text prompts, generated based on plant coordinates and forecast start time, to enhance the forecasting process. We propose PV-LLM, a satellite-text-prompted framework that integrates a pretrained LLM to improve PV power forecasting. The framework consists of three key components: Text Prompt Construction, Modality-Specific Encoding, and Adaptive Prompt Tuning. First, the Text Prompt Construction module generates spatio-temporal prompts that offer high-level semantic guidance. Next, the Modality-Specific Encoding module encodes each modality according to its unique characteristics, capturing modality-specific patterns while managing varying context lengths. Finally, the Adaptive Prompt Tuning module fine-tunes the LLM to integrate multimodal embeddings, while an adaptive gating mechanism retains its pretrained knowledge. We validate the effectiveness of the proposed framework on a real-world dataset containing multiple PV plants. Experimental results demonstrate that our approach outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods.

Zhenxiao Fu, Fan Chen, Lei Jiang

LLMs have transformed NLP, yet deploying them on edge devices poses great carbon challenges. Prior estimators remain incomplete, neglecting peripheral energy use, distinct prefill/decode behaviors, and SoC design complexity. This paper presents CO2-Meter, a unified framework for estimating operational and embodied carbon in LLM edge inference. Contributions include: (1) equation-based peripheral energy models and datasets; (2) a GNN-based predictor with phase-specific LLM energy data; (3) a unit-level embodied carbon model for SoC bottleneck analysis; and (4) validation showing superior accuracy over prior methods. Case studies show CO2-Meter's effectiveness in identifying carbon hotspots and guiding sustainable LLM design on edge platforms.

Kuai Dai, Hui Su, Xutao Li, Chengxing Zhai

Forecasting geostationary infrared brightness temperature sequences from historical observations is a significant and challenging task. By analyzing these predictions, cloud evolution, convective activity, and atmospheric radiative states can be revealed in advance, offering high potential value in domains such as weather nowcasting, energy management, and disaster monitoring. Recently, artificial intelligence techniques have provided valuable insights into this task. However, as a nascent research area, the lack of a standardized, high-quality benchmark has significantly impeded progress. Moreover, training existing deep learning models for this task remains computationally expensive due to the complexity of their network architectures and modeling mechanisms. To address these challenges, we introduce a new benchmark, FY4ABT, and propose a lightweight prediction model, WavePredNet. Specifically, FY4ABT comprises three sub-datasets designed to respectively evaluate prediction performance under short-term, medium-term, and long-term scenarios. Meanwhile, WavePredNet effectively captures multi-scale dynamics, including both low- and high-frequency components with low computational costs while delivering exceptional performance.

Kuai Dai, Hui Su, Chengxing Zhai, Huiwei Lin, Mingliang Bai

Solar irradiance forecast aims to accurately estimate future solar irradiance based on historical data, playing a vital role in energy production and grid management. While ground-based station measurements provide local accuracy, geostationary satellites offer much broader environmental contexts, such as cloud coverage, which serves as a key factor for accurate forecasting. However, effectively integrating these multimodal observations remains a challenge, with existing methods suffering from inflexibility and high computational costs. To address this problem, we propose SatSolarCast, a flexible and efficient multimodal framework that introduces a memory alignment learning mechanism to integrate geostationary satellite data and historical irradiance observations. By preserving and recalling long-term spatiotemporal patterns from a specialized satellite memory bank, SatSolarCast enables effective guidance for both short- and long-term prediction. Additionally, SatSolarCast offers plug-and-play compatibility and can be incorporated into various forecasting architectures. Extensive experiments across four ground stations demonstrate that SatSolarCast substantially improves forecasting performance compared to prior methods with much lower computational costs.

Tao Li, Xingchen Li, Haoyue Ma, Zhi-Hui Zhan

Solving energy-saving distributed heterogeneous flexible job shop scheduling problem (ES-DHFJSP) aims to enhance industrial production efficiency while minimizing energy consumption. State-of-the-art co-evolutionary algorithms have emerged as effective approaches for addressing ES-DHFJSP. However, existing methodologies demonstrate compromised convergence rates and excessive computational overhead when confronted with vast search spaces. In this work, we propose a novel solution space transformation-guided co-evolution algorithm (SSTCE) to overcome this limitation. In SSTCE, we first establish an inter-job similarity metric and incorporate constrained hierarchical clustering with optimal leaf ordering (CHC-OLO) to generate clustered job sets, which are subsequently utilized for population initialization that achieves a favorable balance between convergence and diversity. To enhance search capability in expansive solution spaces, we devise a dynamic solution space transformation mechanism that effectively reduces inefficient searches within the algorithm. Furthermore, we develop tailored local search strategies leveraging domain-specific knowledge of DHFJSP properties. Extensive experimental evaluations across 20 benchmark instances demonstrate that SSTCE significantly outperforms existing evolutionary algorithms in solving ES-DHFJSP.

Saman Ahmadi, Mahdi Jalili

We study the energy-optimal shortest path problem for electric vehicles (EVs) in large-scale road networks, where recuperated energy along downhill segments introduces negative energy costs. While traditional point-to-point pathfinding algorithms for EVs assume a known initial energy level, many real-world scenarios involving uncertainty in available energy require planning optimal paths for all possible initial energy levels, a task known as energy-optimal profile search. Existing solutions typically rely on specialized profile-merging procedures within a label-correcting framework that results in searching over complex profiles. In this paper, we propose a simple yet effective label-setting approach based on multi-objective A* search, which employs a novel profile dominance rule to avoid generating and handling complex profiles. We develop four variants of our method and evaluate them on real-world road networks enriched with realistic energy consumption data. Experimental results demonstrate that our energy profile A* search achieves performance comparable to energy-optimal A* with a known initial energy level.

Haoyang Zheng, Hengrong Du, Ruqi Zhang, Guang Lin

Gradient-based Discrete Samplers (GDSs) are effective for sampling discrete energy landscapes. However, they often stagnate in complex, non-convex settings. To improve exploration, we introduce the Discrete Replica EXchangE Langevin (DREXEL) sampler and its variant with Adjusted Metropolis (DREAM). These samplers use two GDSs at different temperatures and step sizes: one focuses on local exploitation, while the other explores broader energy landscapes. When energy differences are significant, sample swaps occur, governed by a mechanism tailored for discrete sampling to ensure detailed balance. Theoretically, we prove that the proposed samplers satisfy detailed balance and converge to the target distribution under mild conditions. Experiments across 2d synthetic simulations, sampling from Ising models and restricted Boltzmann machines, and training deep energy-based models further confirm their efficiency in exploring non-convex discrete energy landscapes.

Yanru Ding, Yanmei Zhang, Guan Yuan, Shujuan Jiang, Wei Dai, Luciano Baresi

Generating a class integration test order (CITO) is essential to reduce the overhead of test stub construction (the primary cost in integration testing) and to ensure system reliability in complex software systems. Although reinforcement learning (RL) has shown promise in automating CITO generation, existing methods suffer from unstable policy learning and limited robustness against structural perturbations and defect injection. These challenges stem from insufficient reward shaping and the lack of reliable oracles for validation. To address these limitations, we propose LM-CITO, a stability-aware RL framework that integrates Lyapunov-guided reward shaping with semantic validation through metamorphic testing (MT). Specifically, we design a Lyapunov energy function over class dependency graphs to promote monotonic structural convergence during training, and define metamorphic relations (MRs) to verify behavioral consistency under controlled perturbations. Extensive experiments on six real-world systems demonstrate that LM-CITO consistently produces more effective policies, yielding CITOs with significantly reduced stubbing costs compared to baseline models. Furthermore, MT verifies the capability of our MRs to detect defects in 19 injected bug variants, confirming the robustness of LM-CITO under various fault-induced perturbations. These results highlight the synergy of stability guidance and MR-based validation, offering an effective, principled solution for oracle-free RL in software testing.

Chenxu Niu, Wei Zhang, Jie Li, Yongjian Zhao, Tongyang Wang, Xi Wang, Yong Chen

Large language model (LLM) services now answer billions of queries per day, and industry reports show that inference, not training, accounts for more than 90% of total power consumption. However, existing benchmarks focus on either training/fine-tuning or performance of inference and provide little support for power consumption measurement and analysis of inference. We introduce TokenPowerBench, the first lightweight and extensible benchmark designed for LLM-inference power consumption studies. The benchmark combines a declarative configuration interface covering model choice, prompt set, and inference engine, a measurement layer that captures GPU-, node-, and system-level power without specialized power meters, and a phase-aligned metrics pipeline that attributes energy to the prefill and decode stages of every request. These elements make it straightforward to explore the power consumed by an LLM inference run; furthermore, by varying batch size, context length, parallelism strategy and quantization, users can quickly assess how each setting affects joules per token and other energy-efficiency metrics. We evaluate TokenPowerBench on four of the most widely used model series (Llama, Falcon, Qwen, and Mistral). Our experiments cover from 1 billion parameters up to the frontier-scale Llama3-405B model. Furthermore, we release TokenPowerBench as open source to help users to measure power consumption, forecast operating expenses, and meet sustainability targets when deploying LLM services.

Haitong Luo, Weiyao Zhang, Suhang Wang, Wenji Zou, Chungang Lin, Xuying Meng, Yujun Zhang

The proliferation of high-quality text from Large Language Models (LLMs) demands reliable and efficient detection methods. While existing training-free approaches show promise, they often rely on surface-level statistics and overlook fundamental signal properties of the text generation process. In this work, we reframe detection as a signal processing problem, introducing a novel paradigm that analyzes the sequence of token log-probabilities in the frequency domain. By systematically analyzing the signal's spectral properties using the global Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) and the local Short-Time Fourier Transform (STFT), we find that human-written text consistently exhibits significantly higher spectral energy. This higher energy reflects the larger-amplitude fluctuations inherent in human writing compared to the suppressed dynamics of LLM-generated text. Based on this key insight, we construct SpecDetect, a detector built on a single, robust feature from the global DFT: DFT total energy. We also propose an enhanced version, SpecDetect++, which incorporates a sampling discrepancy mechanism to further boost robustness. Extensive experiments show that our approach outperforms the state-of-the-art model while running in nearly half the time. Our work introduces a new, efficient, and interpretable pathway for LLM-generated text detection, showing that classical signal processing techniques offer a surprisingly powerful solution to this modern challenge.