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2,101篇论文匹配“Time Series”
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Optimization · Neural Network Optimization

Zhiwei Li, Yuesen Liao, Binrui Wu, Yuquan Zhou, Xupeng Shi, Dongsheng Jiang, Yin Li, Weizhong Zhang

Pruning is a commonly employed technique for deep neural networks (DNNs) aiming at compressing the model size to reduce computational and memory costs during inference. In contrast to conventional neural networks, large language models (LLMs) pose a unique challenge regarding pruning efficiency due to their substantial computational and memory demands. Existing methods, particularly optimization-based ones, often require considerable computational resources in gradient estimation because they cannot effectively leverage weight sparsity of the intermediate pruned network to lower compuation and memory costs in each iteration. The fundamental challenge lies in the need to frequently instantiate intermediate pruned sub-models to achieve these savings, a task that becomes infeasible even for moderately sized neural networks. To this end, this paper proposes a novel pruning method for DNNs that is both computationally and memory-efficient. Our key idea is to develop an effective reweighting mechanism that enables us to estimate the gradient of the pruned network in current iteration via reweigting the gradient estimated on an outdated intermediate sub-model instantiated at an earlier stage, thereby significantly reducing model instantiation frequency. We further develop a series of techniques, e.g., clipping and preconditioning matrix, to reduce the variance of gradient estimation and stabilize the optimization process. We conducted extensive experimental validation across various domains. Our approach achieves 50\% sparsity and a 1.58$\times$ speedup in forward pass on Llama2-7B model with only 6 GB of memory usage, outperforming state-of-the-art methods with respect to both perplexity and zero-shot performance. As a by-product, our method is highly suited for distributed sparse training and can achieve a 2 $\times$ speedup over the dense distributed baselines.

General Machine Learning · Representation Learning

Denizhan Kara, Tomoyoshi Kimura, Jinyang Li, Bowen He, Yizhuo Chen, Yigong Hu, Hongjue Zhao, Shengzhong Liu, Tarek Abdelzaher

Learning robust representations from unlabeled time series is crucial, and contrastive learning offers a promising avenue. However, existing contrastive learning approaches for time series often struggle with defining meaningful similarities, tending to overlook inherent physical correlations and diverse, sequence-varying non-stationarity. This limits their representational quality and real-world adaptability. To address these limitations, we introduce AdaTS, a novel adaptive soft contrastive learning strategy. AdaTS offers a compute-efficient solution centered on dynamic instance-wise and temporal assignments to enhance time series representations, specifically by: (i) leveraging Time-Frequency Coherence for robust physics-guided similarity measurement; (ii) preserving relative instance similarities through ordinal consistency learning; and (iii) dynamically adapting to sequence-specific non-stationarity with dynamic temporal assignments. AdaTS is designed as a pluggable module to standard contrastive frameworks, achieving up to 13.7% accuracy improvements across diverse time series datasets and three state-of-the-art contrastive frameworks while enhancing robustness against label scarcity. The code will be publicly available upon acceptance.

Applications · Neuroscience, Cognitive Science

Changze Lv, Yansen Wang, Dongqi Han, Yifei Shen, Xiaoqing Zheng, Xuanjing Huang, Dongsheng Li

Spiking neural networks (SNNs) are bio-inspired networks that mimic how neurons in the brain communicate through discrete spikes, which have great potential in various tasks due to their energy efficiency and temporal processing capabilities. SNNs with self-attention mechanisms (spiking Transformers) have recently shown great advancements in various tasks, and inspired by traditional Transformers, several studies have demonstrated that spiking absolute positional encoding can help capture sequential relationships for input data, enhancing the capabilities of spiking Transformers for tasks such as sequential modeling and image classification. However, how to incorporate relative positional information into SNNs remains a challenge. In this paper, we introduce several strategies to approximate relative positional encoding (RPE) in spiking Transformers while preserving the binary nature of spikes. Firstly, we formally prove that encoding relative distances with Gray Code ensures that the binary representations of positional indices maintain a constant Hamming distance whenever their decimal values differ by a power of two, and we propose **Gray-PE** based on this property. In addition, we propose another RPE method called **Log-PE**, which combines the logarithmic form of the relative distance matrix directly into the spiking attention map. Furthermore, we extend our RPE methods to a two-dimensional form, making them suitable for processing image patches. We evaluate our RPE methods on various tasks, including time series forecasting, text classification, and patch-based image classification, and the experimental results demonstrate a satisfying performance gain by incorporating our RPE methods across many architectures. Our results provide fresh perspectives on designing spiking Transformers to advance their sequential modeling capability, thereby expanding their applicability across various domains. Our code is available at https://github.com/microsoft/SeqSNN.

Applications · Time Series

Yutong Feng, Xu Liu, Yutong Xia, Yuxuan Liang

Accurately modeling complex dynamic spatio-temporal systems requires capturing flow-mediated interdependencies and context-sensitive interaction dynamics. Existing methods, predominantly graph-based or attention-driven, rely on similarity-driven connectivity assumptions, neglecting asymmetric flow exchanges that govern system evolution. We propose Spatio-Temporal Flow, a physics-inspired paradigm that explicitly models dynamic node couplings through quantifiable flow transfers governed by conservation principles. Building on this, we design FlowNet, a novel architecture leveraging flow tokens as information carriers to simulate source-to-destination transfers via Flow Allocation Modules, ensuring state redistribution aligns with physical laws. FlowNet dynamically adjusts the interaction radius through an Adaptive Spatial Masking module, suppressing irrelevant noise while enabling context-aware propagation. A cascaded architecture enhances scalability and nonlinear representation capacity. Experiments demonstrate that FlowNet significantly outperforms existing SOTA approaches on seven metrics in the modeling of three real-world systems, validating its efficiency and physical interpretability. We establish a principled methodology for modeling complex systems through spatio-temporal flow interactions.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Zeqi Ye, Minshuo Chen

Imputation methods play a critical role in enhancing the quality of practical time-series data, which often suffer from pervasive missing values. Recently, diffusion-based generative imputation methods have demonstrated remarkable success compared to autoregressive and conventional statistical approaches. Despite their empirical success, the theoretical understanding of how well diffusion-based models capture complex spatial and temporal dependencies between the missing values and observed ones remains limited. Our work addresses this gap by investigating the statistical efficiency of conditional diffusion transformers for imputation and quantifying the uncertainty in missing values. Specifically, we derive statistical sample complexity bounds based on a novel approximation theory for conditional score functions using transformers, and, through this, construct tight confidence regions for missing values. Our findings also reveal that the efficiency and accuracy of imputation are significantly influenced by the missing patterns. Furthermore, we validate these theoretical insights through simulation and propose a mixed-masking training strategy to enhance the imputation performance.

Yassine ABBAHADDOU, Amine Aboussalah

Generative models such as Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), and diffusion models often suffer from mode collapse, failing to reproduce the full diversity of their training data. While this problem has been extensively studied in image generation, it remains largely unaddressed for time series. We introduce a formal definition of mode collapse for time series and propose DMD-GEN, a geometry-aware metric that quantifies its severity. DMD-GEN leverages Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract coherent temporal structures and uses Optimal Transport between DMD eigenvectors to measure discrepancies in underlying dynamics. By representing the subspaces spanned by the DMD eigenvectors as point structures on a Grassmann manifold, and comparing them via Wasserstein distances computed from principal angles, DMD-GEN enables a principled geometric comparison between real and generated sequences. The metric is efficient, requiring no additional training, supports mini-batch evaluation, and is easily parallelizable. Beyond quantification, DMD-GEN offers interpretability by revealing which dynamical modes are distorted or missing in the generated data. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets using TimeGAN, TimeVAE, and DiffusionTS show that DMD-GEN aligns with existing metrics while providing the first principled framework for detecting and interpreting mode collapse in time series.

Applications · Time Series

Zenan Ying, Zhi Zheng, huijun hou, Tong Xu, Qi Liu, Jinke Wang, Wei Chen

Multivariate time series (MTS) classification has attracted increasing attention across various domains. Existing methods either decompose MTS into separate univariate series, ignoring inter-variable dependencies, or jointly model all variables, which may lead to over-smoothing and loss of semantic structure. These limitations become particularly pronounced when dealing with complex and heterogeneous variable types. To address these challenges, we propose SwinGroupNet (SGN), which explores a novel perspective for constructing variable interaction and temporal dependency. Specifically, SGN processes multi-scale time series using (1) Variable Group Embedding (VGE), which partitions variables into groups and performs independent group-wise embedding; (2) Multi-Scale Group Window Mixing (MGWM), which reconstructs variable interactions by modeling both intra-group and inter-group dependencies while extracting multi-scale temporal features; and (3) Periodic Window Shifting and Merging (PWSM), which exploits inherent periodic patterns to enable hierarchical temporal interaction and feature aggregation. Extensive experiments on diverse benchmark datasets from multiple domains demonstrate that SGN consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance, with an average improvement of 4.2% over existing methods. We release the source code at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/SGN.

Applications · Time Series

Jinyu Cai, Yuan Xie, Glynnis Lim, Yifang Yin, Roger Zimmermann, See-Kiong Ng

Detecting anomalies in multivariate time-series data is an essential task across various domains, yet there are unresolved challenges such as (1) severe class imbalance between normal and anomalous data due to rare anomaly availability in the real world; (2) limited adaptability of the static graph-based methods to dynamically changing inter-variable correlations; and (3) neglect of subtle anomalies due to overfitting to normal patterns in reconstruction-based methods. To tackle these issues, we propose Self-Perturbed Anomaly-Aware Graph Dynamics (SPAGD), a framework for time-series anomaly detection. SPAGD employs a self-perturbation module that generates self-perturbed time series from the reconstruction process of normal ones, which provide auxiliary signals to alleviate class imbalance during training. Concurrently, an anomaly-aware graph construction module is proposed to dynamically adjust the graph structure by leveraging the reconstruction residuals of self-perturbed time series, thereby emphasizing the inter-variable disruptions induced by anomalous candidates. A unified spatio-temporal anomaly detection module then integrates both spatial and temporal convolutions to train a classifier that distinguishes normal time series from the auxiliary self-perturbed samples. Extensive experiments across multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of SPAGD compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

Applications · Time Series

Mingyuan Xia, Chunxu Zhang, Zijian Zhang, Hao Miao, Qidong Liu, Yuanshao Zhu, Bo Yang

Temporal non-stationarity, the phenomenon that time series distributions change over time, poses fundamental challenges to reliable time series forecasting. Intuitively, the complex time series can be decomposed into two factors, i.e., time-invariant and time-varying components, which indicate static and dynamic patterns, respectively. Nonetheless, existing methods often conflate the time-varying and time-invariant components, and jointly learn the combined long-term patterns and short-term fluctuations, leading to suboptimal performance facing distribution shifts. To address this issue, we initiatively propose a lightweight static-dynamic decomposition framework, TimeEmb, for time series forecasting. TimeEmb innovatively separates time series into two complementary components: (1) time-invariant component, captured by a novel global embedding module that learns persistent representations across time series, and (2) time-varying component, processed by an efficient frequency-domain filtering mechanism inspired by full-spectrum analysis in signal processing. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that TimeEmb outperforms state-of-the-art baselines and requires fewer computational resources. We conduct comprehensive quantitative and qualitative analyses to verify the efficacy of static-dynamic disentanglement. This lightweight framework can also improve existing time-series forecasting methods with simple integration. To ease reproducibility, our code is available at https://github.com/showmeon/TimeEmb.

Applications · Neuroscience, Cognitive Science

Adam J. Eisen, Mitchell Ostrow, Sarthak Chandra, Leo Kozachkov, Earl Miller, Ila Fiete

Biological function arises through the dynamical interactions of multiple subsystems, including those between brain areas, within gene regulatory networks, and more. A common approach to understanding these systems is to model the dynamics of each subsystem and characterize communication between them. An alternative approach is through the lens of control theory: how the subsystems control one another. This approach involves inferring the directionality, strength, and contextual modulation of control between subsystems. However, methods for understanding subsystem control are typically linear and cannot adequately describe the rich contextual effects enabled by nonlinear complex systems. To bridge this gap, we devise a data-driven nonlinear control-theoretic framework to characterize subsystem interactions via the Jacobian of the dynamics. We address the challenge of learning Jacobians from time-series data by proposing the JacobianODE, a deep learning method that leverages properties of the Jacobian to directly estimate it for arbitrary dynamical systems from data alone. We show that JacobianODE models outperform existing Jacobian estimation methods on challenging systems, including high-dimensional chaos. Applying our approach to a multi-area recurrent neural network (RNN) trained on a working memory selection task, we show that the “sensory” area gains greater control over the “cognitive” area over learning. Furthermore, we leverage the JacobianODE to directly control the trained RNN, enabling precise manipulation of its behavior. Our work lays the foundation for a theoretically grounded and data-driven understanding of interactions among biological subsystems.

Applications · Neuroscience, Cognitive Science

Wen Xiong, Junzhong Ji, Jinduo Liu

Pre-trained Large language models (LLMs) have shown impressive advancements in functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) analysis and causal discovery. Considering the unique nature of the causal discovery field, which focuses on extracting causal graphs from observed data, research on LLMs in this field is still at an early exploratory stage. As a subfield of causal discovery, effective connectivity (EC) has received even less attention, and LLM-based approaches in EC remain unexplored. Existing LLM-based approaches for causal discovery typically rely on iterative querying to assess the causal influence between variable pairs, without any model adaptation or fine-tuning, making them ill-suited for handling the cross-modal gap and complex causal structures. To this end, we propose BrainEC-LLM, the first method to fine-tune LLMs for estimating brain EC from fMRI data. Specifically, multiscale decomposition mixing module decomposes fMRI time series data into short-term and long-term multiscale trends, then mixing them in bottom-up (fine to coarse) and top-down (coarse to fine) manner to extract multiscale temporal variations. And cross attention is applied with pre-trained word embeddings to ensure consistency between the fMRI input and pre-trained natural language. The experimental results on simulated and real resting-state fMRI datasets demonstrate that BrainEC-LLM can achieve superior performance when compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Nadhir Hassen, Zhen Zhang, Johan Verjans

Probabilistic time series forecasting, essential in domains like healthcare and neuroscience, requires models capable of capturing uncertainty and intricate temporal dependencies. While deep learning has advanced forecasting, generating calibrated probability distributions over continuous future values remains challenging. We introduce Temporal Generative Flow Networks (Temporal GFNs), adapting Generative Flow Networks (GFNs) – a powerful framework for generating compositional objects – to this sequential prediction task. GFNs learn policies to construct objects (eg. forecast trajectories) step-by-step, sampling final objects proportionally to a reward signal. However, applying GFNs directly to continuous time series necessitates addressing their inherently discrete action spaces and ensuring differentiability. Our framework tackles this by representing time series segments as states and sequentially generating future values via quantized actions chosen by a forward policy. We introduce two key innovations: (1) An adaptive, curriculum-based quantization strategy that dynamically adjusts the number of discretization bins based on reward improvement and policy entropy, balancing precision and exploration throughout training. (2) A straight-through estimator mechanism enabling the forward policy to output both discrete (hard) samples for trajectory construction and continuous (soft) samples for stable gradient propagation. Training utilizes a trajectory balance loss objective, ensuring flow consistency, augmented by an entropy regularizer. We provide rigorous theoretical bounds on the quantization error's impact and the adaptive factor's range. We demonstrate how Temporal GFNs offer a principled way to leverage the structured generation capabilities of GFNs for probabilistic forecasting in continuous domains.

Applications · Time Series

Haoyu He, Haozheng Luo, Yan Chen, Qi Wang

Predicting human mobility is inherently challenging due to complex long-range dependencies and multi-scale periodic behaviors. To address this, we introduce RHYTHM (Reasoning with Hierarchical Temporal Tokenization for Human Mobility), a unified framework that leverages large language models (LLMs) as general-purpose spatio-temporal predictors and trajectory reasoners. Methodologically, RHYTHM employs temporal tokenization to partition each trajectory into daily segments and encode them as discrete tokens with hierarchical attention that captures both daily and weekly dependencies, thereby quadratically reducing the sequence length while preserving cyclical information. Additionally, we enrich token representations by adding pre-computed prompt embeddings for trajectory segments and prediction targets via a frozen LLM, and feeding these combined embeddings back into the LLM backbone to capture complex interdependencies. Computationally, RHYTHM keeps the pretrained LLM backbone frozen, yielding faster training and lower memory usage. We evaluate our model against state-of-the-art methods using three real-world datasets. Notably, RHYTHM achieves a 2.4% improvement in overall accuracy, a 5.0% increase on weekends, and a 24.6% reduction in training time. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/he-h/rhythm.

Applications · Time Series

Xiaochuan Gou, Ziyue Li, Tian Lan, Junpeng Lin, zhishuai Li, Bingyu Zhao, Chen Zhang, Di Wang, Xiangliang Zhang

Long-separated research has been conducted on two highly correlated tracks: traffic and incidents. Traffic track witnesses complicating deep learning models, e.g., to push the prediction a few percent more accurate, and the incident track only studies the incidents alone, e.g., to infer the incident risk. We, for the first time, spatiotemporally aligned the two tracks in a large-scale region (16,972 traffic nodes) from year 2022 to 2024: our TraffiDent dataset includes traffic, i.e., time-series indexes on traffic flow, lane occupancy, and average vehicle speed, and incident, whose records are spatiotemporally aligned with traffic data, with seven different incident classes. Additionally, each node includes detailed physical and policy-level meta-attributes of lanes. Previous datasets typically contain only traffic or incident data in isolation, limiting research to general forecasting tasks. TraffiDent integrates both, enabling detailed analysis of traffic-incident interactions and causal relationships. To demonstrate its broad applicability, we design: (1) post-incident traffic forecasting to quantify the impact of different incidents on traffic indexes; (2) incident classification using traffic indexes to determine the incidents types for precautions measures; (3) global causal analysis among the traffic indexes, meta-attributes, and incidents to give high-level guidance of the interrelations of various factors; (4) local causal analysis within road nodes to examine how different incidents affect the road segments' relations. The dataset is available at https://xaitraffic.github.io.

Deep Learning · Theory

Benjamin Walker, Lingyi Yang, Nicola Muca Cirone, Cristopher Salvi, Terry Lyons

This work introduces Structured Linear Controlled Differential Equations (SLiCEs), a unifying framework for sequence models with structured, input-dependent state-transition matrices that retain the maximal expressivity of dense matrices whilst being cheaper to compute. The framework encompasses existing architectures, such as input-dependent block-diagonal linear recurrent neural networks and DeltaNet's diagonal-plus-low-rank structure, as well as two novel variants based on sparsity and the Walsh-Hadamard transform. We prove that, unlike the diagonal state-transition matrices of S4D and Mamba, SLiCEs employing block-diagonal, sparse, or Walsh-Hadamard matrices match the maximal expressivity of dense matrices. Empirically, SLiCEs solve the $A_5$ state-tracking benchmark with a single layer, achieve best-in-class length generalisation on regular language tasks among parallel-in-time models, and match the performance of log neural controlled differential equations on six multivariate time-series classification datasets while cutting the average time per training step by a factor of twenty.

Applications · Neuroscience, Cognitive Science

Wentao Lu, Dong Nie, Pengcheng Xue, Zheng Cui, Piji Li, Daoqiang Zhang, Xuyun Wen

Decoding natural language text from non-invasive brain signals, such as functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI), remains a central challenge in brain-computer interface research. While recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have enabled open-vocabulary fMRI-to-text decoding, existing frameworks typically process the entire fMRI sequence in a single step, leading to performance degradation when handling long input sequences due to memory overload and semantic drift. To address this limitation, we propose a brain-inspired sequential fMRI-to-text decoding framework that mimics the human cognitive strategy of segmented and inductive language processing. Specifically, we divide long fMRI time series into consecutive segments aligned with optimal language comprehension length. Each segment is decoded incrementally, followed by a wrap-up mechanism that summarizes the semantic content and incorporates it as prior knowledge into subsequent decoding steps. This sequence-wise approach alleviates memory burden and ensures semantic continuity across segments. In addition, we introduce a text-guided masking strategy integrated with a masked autoencoder (MAE) framework for fMRI representation learning. This method leverages attention distributions over key semantic tokens to selectively mask the corresponding fMRI time points, and employs MAE to guide the model toward focusing on neural activity at semantically salient moments, thereby enhancing the capability of fMRI embeddings to represent textual information. Experimental results on the two datasets demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms state-of-the-art approaches, with performance gains increasing as decoding length grows.

Applications · Robotics

Maximilian Du, Shuran Song

Deploying large, complex policies in the real world requires the ability to steer them to fit the needs of a situation. Most common steering approaches, like goal-conditioning, require training the robot policy with a distribution of test-time objectives in mind. To overcome this limitation, we present DynaGuide, a steering method for diffusion policies using guidance from an external dynamics model during the diffusion denoising process. DynaGuide separates the dynamics model from the base policy, which gives it multiple advantages, including the ability to steer towards multiple objectives, enhance underrepresented base policy behaviors, and maintain robustness on low-quality objectives. The separate guidance signal also allows DynaGuide to work with off-the-shelf pretrained diffusion policies. We demonstrate the performance and features of DynaGuide against other steering approaches in a series of simulated and real experiments, showing an average steering success of 70% on a set of articulated CALVIN tasks and outperforming goal-conditioning by 5.4x when steered with low-quality objectives. We also successfully steer an off-the-shelf real robot policy to express preference for particular objects and even create novel behavior.

Applications · Physics

Jessica Fry, Xinyi Fu, Zhenghao Fu, Kaliroë Pappas, Lindley Winslow, Aobo Li

Dark matter makes up approximately 85\% of total matter in our universe, yet it has never been directly observed in any laboratory on Earth. The origin of dark matter is one of the most important questions in contemporary physics, and a convincing detection of dark matter would be a Nobel-Prize-level breakthrough in fundamental science. The ABRACADABRA experiment was specifically designed to search for dark matter. Although it has not yet made a discovery, ABRACADABRA has produced several dark matter search results widely endorsed by the physics community. The experiment generates ultra-long time-series data at a rate of 10 million samples per second, where the dark matter signal would manifest itself as a sinusoidal oscillation mode within the ultra-long time series. In this paper, we present the TIDMAD --- a comprehensive data release from the ABRACADABRA experiment including three key components: an ultra-long time series dataset divided into training, validation, and science subsets; a carefully-designed denoising score for direct model benchmarking; and a complete analysis framework which produces a physics community-standard dark matter search result suitable for publication as a physics paper. This data release enables core AI algorithms to extract the dark matter signal and produce real physics results thereby advancing fundamental science.

Applications · Health

Xiyuan Jin, Jing Wang, Ziwei Lin, QIANRU JIA, Yuqing Huang, Xiaojun Ning, Zhonghua Shi, Youfang Lin

Medical time-series analysis differs fundamentally from general ones by requiring specialized domain knowledge to interpret complex signals and clinical context. Large language models (LLMs) hold great promise for augmenting medical time-series analysis by complementing raw series with rich contextual knowledge drawn from biomedical literature and clinical guidelines. However, realizing this potential depends on precise and meaningful prompts that guide the LLM to key information. Yet, determining what constitutes effective prompt content remains non-trivial—especially in medical settings where signal interpretation often hinges on subtle, expert-defined decision-making indicators. To this end, we propose InDiGO, a knowledge-aware evolutionary learning framework that integrates clinical signals and decision-making indicators through iterative optimization. Across four medical benchmarks, InDiGO consistently outperforms prior methods. The code is available at: https://github.com/jinxyBJTU/InDiGO.

Applications · Time Series

Siru Zhong, Junjie Qiu, Yangyu Wu, Xingchen Zou, Zhongwen Rao, Bin Yang, Chenjuan Guo, Hao Xu, Yuxuan Liang

Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models (STFMs) promise zero/few-shot generalization across various datasets, yet joint spatio-temporal pretraining is computationally prohibitive and struggles with domain-specific spatial correlations. To this end, we introduce FactoST, a factorized STFM that decouples universal temporal pretraining from spatio-temporal adaptation. The first stage pretrains a space-agnostic backbone with multi-frequency reconstruction and domain-aware prompting, capturing cross-domain temporal regularities at low computational cost. The second stage freezes or further fine-tunes the backbone and attaches an adapter that fuses spatial metadata, sparsifies interactions, and aligns domains with continual memory replay. Extensive forecasting experiments reveal that, in few-shot setting, FactoST reduces MAE by up to 46.4% versus UniST, uses 46.2% fewer parameters, and achieves 68% faster inference than OpenCity, while remaining competitive with expert models. We believe this factorized view offers a practical and scalable path toward truly universal STFMs. The code will be released upon notification.