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General Machine Learning · Causality

Toon Vanderschueren, Tim Verdonck, Mihaela van der Schaar, Wouter Verbeke

Estimating causal effects is crucial in domains like healthcare, economics, and education. Despite advances in machine learning (ML) for estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATE), the practical adoption of these methods remains limited, due to the complexities of implementing, tuning, and validating them. To address these challenges, we formalize the search for an optimal ML pipeline for CATE estimation as a counterfactual Combined Algorithm Selection and Hyperparameter (CASH) optimization. We introduce AutoCATE, the first end-to-end, automated solution for CATE estimation. Unlike prior approaches that address only parts of this problem, AutoCATE integrates evaluation, estimation, and ensembling in a unified framework. AutoCATE enables comprehensive comparisons of different protocols, yielding novel insights into CATE estimation and a final configuration that outperforms commonly used strategies. To facilitate broad adoption and further research, we release AutoCATE as an open-source software package.

General Machine Learning · Supervised Learning

Yeseul Cho, Baekrok Shin, Changmin Kang, Chulhee Yun

Recent advances in deep learning rely heavily on massive datasets, leading to substantial storage and training costs. Dataset pruning aims to alleviate this demand by discarding redundant examples. However, many existing methods require training a model with a full dataset over a large number of epochs before being able to prune the dataset, which ironically makes the pruning process more expensive than just training the model on the entire dataset. To overcome this limitation, we introduce the **Difficulty and Uncertainty-Aware Lightweight (DUAL)** score, which aims to identify important samples from the early training stage by considering both example difficulty and prediction uncertainty. To address a catastrophic accuracy drop at an extreme pruning ratio, we further propose a pruning ratio-adaptive sampling using Beta distribution.Experiments on various datasets and learning scenarios such as image classification with label noise and image corruption, and model architecture generalization demonstrate the superiority of our method over previous state-of-the-art (SOTA) approaches. Specifically, on ImageNet-1k, our method reduces the time cost for pruning to 66\% compared to previous methods while achieving a SOTA 60\% test accuracy at a 90\% pruning ratio. On CIFAR datasets, the time cost is reduced to just 15\% while maintaining SOTA performance.

Theory · Optimization

Yujun Kim, Jaeyoung Cha, Chulhee Yun

Recent theoretical results demonstrate that the convergence rates of permutation-based SGD (e.g., random reshuffling SGD) are faster than uniform-sampling SGD; however, these studies focus mainly on the large epoch regime, where the number of epochs $K$ exceeds the condition number $\kappa$. In contrast, little is known when $K$ is smaller than $\kappa$, and it is still a challenging open question whether permutation-based SGD can converge faster in this small epoch regime (Safran and Shamir, 2021). As a step toward understanding this gap, we study the naive deterministic variant, Incremental Gradient Descent (IGD), on smooth and strongly convex functions. Our lower bounds reveal that for the small epoch regime, IGD can exhibit surprisingly slow convergence even when all component functions are strongly convex. Furthermore, when some component functions are allowed to be nonconvex, we prove that the optimality gap of IGD can be significantly worse throughout the small epoch regime. Our analyses reveal that the convergence properties of permutation-based SGD in the small epoch regime may vary drastically depending on the assumptions on component functions. Lastly, we supplement the paper with tight upper and lower bounds for IGD in the large epoch regime.

Optimization · Stochastic

Donghwa Kim, Jaewook Lee, Chulhee Yun

We analyze the convergence rates of two popular variants of coordinate descent (CD): random CD (RCD), in which the coordinates are sampled uniformly at random, and random-permutation CD (RPCD), in which random permutations are used to select the update indices. Despite abundant empirical evidence that RPCD outperforms RCD in various tasks, the theoretical gap between the two algorithms’ performance has remained elusive. Even for the benign case of positive-definite quadratic functions with permutation-invariant Hessians, previous efforts have failed to demonstrate a provable performance gap between RCD and RPCD. To this end, we present novel results showing that, for a class of quadratics with permutation-invariant structures, the contraction rate upper bound for RPCD is always strictly smaller than the contraction rate lower bound for RCD for every individual problem instance. Furthermore, we conjecture that this function class contains the worst-case examples of RPCD among all positive-definite quadratics. Combined with our RCD lower bound, this conjecture extends our results to the general class of positive-definite quadratic functions.

Deep Learning · Theory

Geonhui Yoo, Minhak Song, Chulhee Yun

When training deep neural networks with gradient descent, sharpness often increases---a phenomenon known as *progressive sharpening*---before saturating at the *edge of stability*. Although commonly observed in practice, the underlying mechanisms behind progressive sharpening remain poorly understood. In this work, we study this phenomenon using a minimalist model: a deep linear network with a single neuron per layer. We show that this simple model effectively captures the sharpness dynamics observed in recent empirical studies, offering a simple testbed to better understand neural network training. Moreover, we theoretically analyze how dataset properties, network depth, stochasticity of optimizers, and step size affect the degree of progressive sharpening in the minimalist model. We then empirically demonstrate how these theoretical insights extend to practical scenarios. This study offers a deeper understanding of sharpness dynamics in neural network training, highlighting the interplay between depth, training data, and optimizers.

Deep Learning · Graph Neural Networks

Nicolas Lell, Ansgar Scherp

Shallow node embeddings like node2vec (N2V) can be used for nodes without features or to supplement existing features with structure-based information.Embedding methods like N2V are limited in their application on new nodes, which restricts them to the transductive setting where the entire graph, including the test nodes, is available during training.We propose inductive node2vec (iN2V), which combines a post-hoc procedure to compute embeddings for nodes unseen during training and modifications to the original N2V training procedure to prepare the embeddings for this post-hoc procedure.We conduct experiments on several benchmark datasets and demonstrate that iN2V is an effective approach to bringing transductive embeddings to an inductive setting.Using iN2V embeddings improves node classification by 1 point on average, with up to 6 points of improvement depending on the dataset and the number of unseen nodes.Our iN2V is a plug-in approach to create new or enrich existing embeddings. It can also be combined with other embedding methods, making it a versatile approach for inductive node representation learning. Code to reproduce the results is available at https://github.com/Foisunt/iN2V.

General Machine Learning · Sequential, Network, and Time Series Modeling

Srinath Dama, Kevin L Course, Prasanth B Nair

We present an operator-theoretic framework for temporal and spatio-temporal forecasting based on learning a *continuous time-shift operator*. Our operator learning paradigm offers a continuous relaxation of the discrete lag factor used in traditional autoregressive models, enabling the history of a system up to a given time to be mapped to its future values. We parametrize the time-shift operator using Khatri-Rao neural operators (KRNOs), a novel architecture based on non-stationary integral transforms with nearly linear computational scaling. Our framework naturally handles irregularly sampled observations and enables forecasting at super-resolution in both space and time. Extensive numerical studies across diverse temporal and spatio-temporal benchmarks demonstrate that our approach achieves state-of-the-art or competitive performance with leading methods.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Karina Zainullina, Aleksandr Golubev, Maria Trofimova, Sergei Polezhaev, Ibragim Badertdinov, Daria Litvintseva, Simon Karasik, Filipp Fisin, Sergei Skvortsov, Maksim Nekrashevich 等

Large language models (LLMs) have recently achieved remarkable results in complex multi-step tasks, such as mathematical reasoning and agentic software engineering. However, they often struggle to maintain consistent performance across multiple solution attempts. One effective approach to narrow the gap between average-case and best-case performance is guided test-time search, which explores multiple solution paths to identify the most promising one. Unfortunately, effective search techniques (e.g. MCTS) are often unsuitable for *non-serializable* RL environments, such as Docker containers, where intermediate environment states cannot be easily saved and restored. We investigate two complementary search strategies applicable to such environments: 1-step lookahead and trajectory selection, both guided by a learned action-value function estimator. On the SWE-bench Verified benchmark, a key testbed for agentic software engineering, we find these methods to double the average success rate of a fine-tuned Qwen-72B model, achieving $40.8$\%, the new state-of-the-art for open-weights models. Additionally, we show that these techniques are transferable to more advanced closed models, yielding similar improvements with GPT-4o.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Xin Zou, Yizhou WANG, Yibo Yan, Yuanhuiyi Lyu, Kening Zheng, Sirui Huang, Junkai Chen, Peijie Jiang, Jia Liu, Chang Tang 等

Despite their impressive capabilities, Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) are prone to hallucinations, i.e., the generated content that is nonsensical or unfaithful to input sources.Unlike in LLMs, hallucinations in MLLMs often stem from the sensitivity of text decoder to visual tokens, leading to a phenomenon akin to "amnesia" about visual information.To address this issue, we propose MemVR, a novel decoding paradigm inspired by common cognition: when the memory of an image seen the moment before is forgotten, people will look at it again for factual answers. Following this principle, we treat visual tokens as supplementary evidence, re-injecting them into the MLLM through Feed Forward Network (FFN) as “key-value memory” at the middle trigger layer. This look-twice mechanism occurs when the model exhibits high uncertainty during inference, effectively enhancing factual alignment. Comprehensive experimental evaluations demonstrate that MemVR significantly mitigates hallucination across various MLLMs and excels in general benchmarks without incurring additional time overhead.

Deep Learning

Edoardo Urettini, Antonio Carta

Online Continual Learning (OCL) models continuously adapt to nonstationary data streams, usually without task information. These settings are complex and many traditional CL methods fail, while online methods (mainly replay-based) suffer from instabilities after the task shift. To address this issue, we formalize replay-based OCL as a second-order online joint optimization with explicit KL-divergence constraints on replay data. We propose Online Curvature-Aware Replay (OCAR) to solve the problem: a method that leverages second-order information of the loss using a K-FAC approximation of the Fisher Information Matrix (FIM) to precondition the gradient. The FIM acts as a stabilizer to prevent forgetting while also accelerating the optimization in non-interfering directions. We show how to adapt the estimation of the FIM to a continual setting, stabilizing second-order optimization for non-iid data, uncovering the role of the Tikhonov damping in the stability-plasticity tradeoff. Empirical results show that OCAR outperforms state-of-the-art methods in continual metrics, achieving higher average accuracy throughout the training process in three different benchmarks.

Deep Learning · Algorithms

Taekyung Lee, Jaemoo Choi, Jaewoong Choi, Myungjoo Kang

Unpaired point cloud completion is crucial for real-world applications, where ground-truth data for complete point clouds are often unavailable. By learning a completion map from unpaired incomplete and complete point cloud data, this task avoids the reliance on paired datasets. In this paper, we propose the \textit{Unbalanced Optimal Transport Map for Unpaired Point Cloud Completion (\textbf{UOT-UPC})} model, which formulates the unpaired completion task as the (Unbalanced) Optimal Transport (OT) problem. Our method employs a Neural OT model learning the UOT map using neural networks. Our model is the first attempt to leverage UOT for unpaired point cloud completion, achieving competitive or superior performance on both single-category and multi-category benchmarks. In particular, our approach is especially robust under the class imbalance problem, which is frequently encountered in real-world unpaired point cloud completion scenarios.

Deep Learning · Graph Neural Networks

Louis Airale, Antonio Longa, Mattia Rigon, Andrea Passerini, Roberto Passerone

Graph transformers extend global self-attention to graph-structured data, achieving notable success in graph learning. Recently, random walk structural encoding (RWSE) has been found to further enhance their predictive power by encoding both structural and positional information into the edge representation. However, RWSE cannot always distinguish between edges that belong to different local graph patterns, which reduces its ability to capture the full structural complexity of graphs.This work introduces Simple Path Structural Encoding (SPSE), a novel method that utilizes simple path counts for edge encoding. We show theoretically and experimentally that SPSE overcomes the limitations of RWSE, providing a richer representation of graph structures, particularly in capturing local cyclic patterns. To make SPSE computationally tractable, we propose an efficient approximate algorithm for simple path counting.SPSE demonstrates significant performance improvements over RWSE on various benchmarks, including molecular and long-range graph datasets, achieving statistically significant gains in discriminative tasks. These results pose SPSE as a powerful edge encoding alternative for enhancing the expressivity of graph transformers.

Deep Learning · Algorithms

Pedram Pad, Hadi Hammoud, Mohamad Dia, nadim maamari, Liza Dunbar

Feature selection is a critical step in data-driven applications, reducing input dimensionality to enhance learning accuracy, computational efficiency, and interpretability. Existing state-of-the-art methods often require post-selection retraining and extensive hyperparameter tuning, complicating their adoption. We introduce a novel, non-intrusive feature selection layer that, given a target feature count $k$, automatically identifies and selects the $k$ most informative features during neural network training. Our method is uniquely simple, requiring no alterations to the loss function, network architecture, or post-selection retraining. The layer is mathematically elegant and can be fully described by:\begin{align}\nonumber\tilde{x}_i = a_i x_i + (1-a_i)z_i\end{align}where $x_i$ is the input feature, $\tilde{x}_i$ the output, $z_i$ a Gaussian noise, and $a_i$ trainable gain such that $\sum_i{a_i^2}=k$.This formulation induces an automatic clustering effect, driving $k$ of the $a_i$ gains to $1$ (selecting informative features) and the rest to $0$ (discarding redundant ones) via weighted noise distortion and gain normalization. Despite its extreme simplicity, our method achieves competitive performance on standard benchmark datasets and a novel real-world dataset, often matching or exceeding existing approaches without requiring hyperparameter search for $k$ or retraining. Theoretical analysis in the context of linear regression further validates its efficacy. Our work demonstrates that simplicity and performance are not mutually exclusive, offering a powerful yet straightforward tool for feature selection in machine learning.

Deep Learning

Run He, Di Fang, Yicheng Xu, Yawen Cui, Ming Li, Cen Chen, Ziqian Zeng, HUIPING ZHUANG

Exemplar-Free Class-Incremental Learning (EFCIL) aims to sequentially learn from distinct categories without retaining exemplars but easily suffers from catastrophic forgetting of learned knowledge. While existing EFCIL methods leverage knowledge distillation to alleviate forgetting, they still face two critical challenges: semantic shift and decision bias. Specifically, the embeddings of old tasks shift in the embedding space after learning new tasks, and the classifier becomes biased towards new tasks due to training solely with new data, hindering the balance between old and new knowledge. To address these issues, we propose the Dual-Projection Shift Estimation and Classifier Reconstruction (DPCR) approach for EFCIL. DPCR effectively estimates semantic shift through a dual-projection, which combines a learnable transformation with a row-space projection to capture both task-wise and category-wise shifts. Furthermore, to mitigate decision bias, DPCR employs ridge regression to reformulate a classifier reconstruction process. This reconstruction exploits previous in covariance and prototype of each class after calibration with estimated shift, thereby reducing decision bias. Extensive experiments demonstrate that, on various datasets, DPCR effectively balances old and new tasks, outperforming state-of-the-art EFCIL methods. Our codes are available at https://github.com/RHe502/ICML25-DPCR.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Ian Magnusson, Tai Nguyen, Ben Bogin, David Heineman, Jena Hwang, Luca Soldaini, Akshita Bhagia, Jiacheng Liu, Dirk Groeneveld, Oyvind Tafjord 等

Because large language models are expensive to pretrain on different datasets, using smaller-scale experiments to decide on data is crucial for reducing costs. Which benchmarks and methods of making decisions from observed performance at small scale most accurately predict the datasets that yield the best large models? To empower open exploration of this question, we release models, data, and evaluations in DataDecide—the most extensive open suite of models over differences in data and scale. We conduct controlled pretraining experiments across 25 corpora with differing sources, deduplication, and filtering up to 100B tokens, model sizes up to 1B parameters, and 3 random seeds. We find that the ranking of models at a single, small size (e.g., 150M parameters) is a strong baseline for predicting best models at our larger target scale (1B) (∼ 80% of comparisons correct). No scaling law methods among 8 baselines exceed the compute-decision frontier of single-scale predictions, but DataDecide can measure improvement in future scaling laws. We also identify that using continuous likelihood metrics as proxies in small experiments makes benchmarks including MMLU, ARC, HellaSwag, MBPP, and HumanEval > 80% predictable at the target 1B scale with just 0.01% of the compute.

Deep Learning · Other Representation Learning

Xiangheng Wang, Ziquan Fang, Chenglong Huang, Danlei Hu, Lu Chen, Yunjun Gao

Trajectory representation learning aims to transform raw trajectory data into compact and low-dimensional vectors that are suitable for downstream analysis. However, most existing methods adopt either a free-space view or a road-network view during the learning process, which limits their ability to capture the complex, multi-view spatiotemporal features inherent in trajectory data. Moreover, these approaches rely on task-specific model training, restricting their generalizability and effectiveness for diverse analysis tasks. To this end, we propose GTR, a general, multi-view, and dynamic Trajectory Representation framework built on a pre-train and fine-tune architecture. Specifically, GTR introduces a multi-view encoder that captures the intrinsic multi-view spatiotemporal features. Based on the pre-train and fine-tune architecture, we provide the spatio-temporal fusion pre-training with a spatio-temporal mixture of experts to dynamically combine spatial and temporal features, enabling seamless adaptation to diverse trajectory analysis tasks. Furthermore, we propose an online frozen-hot updating strategy to efficiently update the representation model, accommodating the dynamic nature of trajectory data. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate that GTR consistently outperforms 15 state-of-the-art methods across 6 mainstream trajectory analysis tasks. All source code and data are available at https://github.com/ZJU-DAILY/GTR.

Applications · Everything Else

Chamika Sudusinghe, Gerasimos Gerogiannis, Damitha Lenadora, Charles Block, Josep Torrellas, Charith Mendis

Sparse tensor programs are essential in deep learning and graph analytics, driving the need for optimized processing. To meet this demand, specialized hardware accelerators are being developed. Optimizing these programs for accelerators is challenging for two reasons: program performance is highly sensitive to variations in sparse inputs, and early-stage accelerators rely on expensive simulators. Therefore, ML-based cost models used for optimizing such programs on general-purpose hardware are often ineffective for early-stage accelerators, as they require large datasets for proper training. To this end, we introduce COGNATE, a novel framework that leverages inexpensive data samples from general-purpose hardware (e.g., CPUs) to train cost models, followed by few-shot fine-tuning on emerging hardware. COGNATE exploits the homogeneity of input features across hardware platforms while effectively mitigating heterogeneity, enabling cost model training with just 5% of the data samples needed by accelerator-specific models to achieve comparable performance. We conduct extensive experiments to demonstrate that COGNATE outperforms existing techniques, achieving average speedups of 1.47× (up to 5.46×) for SpMM and 1.39× (up to 4.22×) for SDDMM.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Thomas Zeng, Shuibai Zhang, Shutong Wu, Christian Classen, Daewon Chae, Ethan Ewer, Minjae Lee, Heeju Kim, Wonjun Kang, Jackson Kunde 等

Process Reward Models (PRMs) have proven effective at enhancing mathematical reasoning for Large Language Models (LLMs) by leveraging increased inference-time computation. However, they are predominantly trained on mathematical data and their generalizability to non-mathematical domains has not been rigorously studied. In response, this work first shows that current PRMs have poor performance in other domains. To address this limitation, we introduce ***VersaPRM***, a multi-domain PRM trained on synthetic reasoning data generated using our novel data generation and annotation method. VersaPRM achieves consistent performance gains across diverse domains. For instance, in the MMLU-Pro category of Law, VersaPRM via weighted majority voting, achieves a 7.9% performance gain over the majority voting baseline–surpassing Qwen2.5-Math-PRM's gain of 1.3%. We further contribute to the community by open-sourcing all data, code and models for VersaPRM.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Lutfi Erdogan, Hiroki Furuta, Sehoon Kim, Nicholas Lee, Suhong Moon, Gopala Anumanchipalli, Kurt Keutzer, Amir Gholaminejad

Large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable advancements in enabling language agents to tackle simple tasks. However, applying them for complex, multi-step, long-horizon tasks remains a challenge. Recent work have found success by separating high-level planning from low-level execution, which enables the model to effectively balance high-level planning objectives and low-level execution details. However, generating accurate plans remains difficult since LLMs are not inherently trained for this task. To address this, we propose Plan-and-Act, a novel framework that incorporates explicit planning into LLM-based agents and introduces a scalable method to enhance plan generation through a novel synthetic data generation method. Plan-and-Act consists of a Planner model which generates structured, high-level plans to achieve user goals, and an Executor model that translates these plans into environment-specific actions. To train the Planner effectively, we introduce a synthetic data generation method that annotates ground-truth trajectories with feasible plans, augmented with diverse and extensive examples to enhance generalization. We evaluate Plan-and-Act using web navigation as a representative long-horizon planning environment, demonstrating a state-of-the-art 57.58% success rate on the WebArena-Lite benchmark as well as a text-only state-of-the-art 81.36% success rate on WebVoyager.

Theory · Learning Theory

Max Hopkins, Shay Moran

Stability is a central property in learning and statistics promising the output of an algorithm $\mathcal{A}$ does not change substantially when applied to similar datasets $S$ and $S'$. It is an elementary fact that any sufficiently stable algorithm (e.g.\ one returning the same result with high probability, satisfying privacy guarantees, etc.) must be randomized. This raises a natural question: can we quantify \textit{how much} randomness is needed for algorithmic stability? We study the randomness complexity of two influential notions of stability in learning: \textit{replicability} (which promises $\mathcal{A}$ usually outputs the same result when run over samples from the same distribution), and \textit{differential privacy} (which promises the output distribution of $\mathcal{A}$ remains similar under neighboring datasets). In particular, building on the ideas of (Dixon, Pavan, Vander Woude, and Vinodchandran ICML 2024) and (Cannone, Su, and Vadhan ITCS 2024), we prove a "weak-to-strong" boosting theorem for stability in these settings: the randomness complexity of a task $\mathcal{M}$ is tightly controlled by the best replication probability of any \textit{deterministic} algorithm solving $\mathcal{M}$, a parameter known as $\mathcal{M}$'s "global stability" (Chase, Moran, Yehudayoff FOCS 2023). Finally, we use this connection to characterize the randomness complexity of PAC Learning: a class has bounded randomness complexity iff it has finite Littlestone dimension, and moreover scales at worst logarithmically in the excess error of the learner. As a corollary, we resolve a question of (Chase, Chornomaz, Moran, and Yehudayoff STOC 2024) about the error-dependent list-replicability of agnostic learning.