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Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Ilker Demirel, Ahmed Alaa, Anthony Philippakis, David Sontag

Causal inferences from a randomized controlled trial (RCT) may not pertain to a *target* population where some effect modifiers have a different distribution. Prior work studies *generalizing* the results of a trial to a target population with no outcome but covariate data available. We show how the limited size of trials makes generalization a statistically infeasible task, as it requires estimating complex nuisance functions. We develop generalization algorithms that supplement the trial data with a prediction model learned from an additional *observational* study (OS), without making *any* assumptions on the OS. We theoretically and empirically show that our methods facilitate better generalization when the OS is "high-quality", and remain robust when it is not, and *e.g.*, have unmeasured confounding.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Unsupervised and Semi-supervised Learning

Sanjoy Dasgupta, Eduardo Laber

Linkage methods are among the most popular algorithms for hierarchical clustering. Despite their relevance, the current knowledge regarding the quality of the clustering produced by these methods is limited. Here, we improve the currently available bounds on the maximum diameter of the clustering obtained by complete-link for metric spaces. One of our new bounds, in contrast to the existing ones, allows us to separate complete-link from single-link in terms of approximation for the diameter, which corroborates the common perception that the former is more suitable than the latter when the goal is producing compact clusters. We also show that our techniques can be employed to derive upper bounds on the cohesion of a class of linkage methods that includes the quite popular average-link.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · General Machine Learning Techniques

Cuong Dao, Phi Le Nguyen, Thao Nguyen Truong, Nghia Hoang

Offline optimization is an important task in numerous material engineering domains where online experimentation to collect data is too expensive and needs to be replaced by an in silico maximization of a surrogate of the black-box function. Although such a surrogate can be learned from offline data, its prediction might not be reliable outside the offline data regime, which happens when the surrogate has narrow prediction margin and is (therefore) sensitive to small perturbations of its parameterization. This raises the following questions: (1) how to regulate the sensitivity of a surrogate model; and (2) whether conditioning an offline optimizer with such less sensitive surrogate will lead to better optimization performance. To address these questions, we develop an optimizable sensitivity measurement for the surrogate model, which then inspires a sensitivity-informed regularizer that is applicable to a wide range of offline optimizers. This development is both orthogonal and synergistic to prior research on offline optimization, which is demonstrated in our extensive experiment benchmark.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Unsupervised and Semi-supervised Learning

Hao Dai, Yang Liu, Peng Su, Hecheng Cai, Shudong Huang, Jiancheng Lv

Multi-view clustering has been widely explored for its effectiveness in harmonizing heterogeneity along with consistency in different views of data. Despite the significant progress made by recent works, the performance of most existing methods is heavily reliant on strong priori information regarding the true cluster number $\textit{K}$, which is rarely feasible in real-world scenarios. In this paper, we propose a novel graph-based multi-view clustering algorithm to infer unknown $\textit{K}$ through a graph consistency reward mechanism. To be specific, we evaluate the cluster indicator matrix during each iteration with respect to diverse $\textit{K}$. We formulate the inference process of unknown $\textit{K}$ as a parsimonious reinforcement learning paradigm, where the reward is measured by inter-cluster connectivity. As a result, our approach is capable of independently producing the final clustering result, free from the input of a predefined cluster number. Experimental results on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach in comparison to existing state-of-the-art methods.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Daniel Csillag, Claudio Struchiner, Guilherme Goedert

Many algorithms have been recently proposed for causal machine learning. Yet, there is little to no theory on their quality, especially considering finite samples. In this work, we propose a theory based on generalization bounds that provides such guarantees. By introducing a novel change-of-measure inequality, we are able to tightly bound the model loss in terms of the deviation of the treatment propensities over the population, which we show can be empirically limited. Our theory is fully rigorous and holds even in the face of hidden confounding and violations of positivity. We demonstrate our bounds on semi-synthetic and real data, showcasing their remarkable tightness and practical utility.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · General Machine Learning Techniques

Lee-Ad Gottlieb, Timor Sharabi, Roi Weiss

The problem of nearest neighbor condensing has enjoyed a long history of study, both in its theoretical and practical aspects. In this paper, we introduce the problem of weighted distance nearest neighbor condensing, where one assigns weights to each point of the condensed set, and then new points are labeled based on their weighted distance nearest neighbor in the condensed set. We study the theoretical properties of this new model, and show that it can produce dramatically better condensing than the standard nearest neighbor rule, yet is characterized by generalization bounds almost identical to the latter. We then suggest a condensing heuristic for our new problem. We demonstrate Bayes consistency for this heuristic, and also show promising empirical results.

Theory · Probabilistic Methods

Muthu Chidambaram, Holden Lee, Colin McSwiggen, Semon Rezchikov

Informally, a model is calibrated if its predictions are correct with a probability that matches the confidence of the prediction. By far the most common method in the literature for measuring calibration is the expected calibration error (ECE). Recent work, however, has pointed out drawbacks of ECE, such as the fact that it is discontinuous in the space of predictors. In this work, we ask: how fundamental are these issues, and what are their impacts on existing results? Towards this end, we completely characterize the discontinuities of ECE with respect to general probability measures on Polish spaces. We then use the nature of these discontinuities to motivate a novel *continuous, easily estimated* miscalibration metric, which we term *Logit-Smoothed ECE (LS-ECE)*. By comparing the ECE and LS-ECE of pre-trained image classification models, we show in initial experiments that binned ECE closely tracks LS-ECE, indicating that the theoretical pathologies of ECE may be avoidable in practice.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Transfer, Multitask and Meta-learning

Jiayi Chen, Aidong Zhang

Multimodal Federated Learning (MFL) addresses the setup of multiple clients with diversified modality types (e.g. image, text, video, and audio) working together to improve their local personal models in a data-privacy manner. Prior MFL works rely on restrictive compositional neural architecture designs to ensure inter-client information sharing via blockwise model aggregation, limiting their applicability in the real-world **Architecture-personalized MFL (AMFL)** scenarios, where clients may have distinguished multimodal interaction strategies and there is no restriction on local architecture design. The key challenge in AMFL is how to automatically and efficiently tackle the two heterogeneity patterns--statistical and architecture heterogeneity--while maximizing the beneficial information sharing among clients. To solve this challenge, we propose **FedMBridge**, which leverages a topology-aware hypernetwork to act as a bridge that can automatically balance and digest the two heterogeneity patterns in a communication-efficient manner. Our experiments on four AMFL simulations demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of our proposed approach.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Guangyi Chen, Yifan Shen, Zhenhao Chen, Xiangchen Song, Yuewen Sun, Weiran Yao, Xiao Liu, Kun Zhang

Identifying the underlying time-delayed latent causal processes in sequential data is vital for grasping temporal dynamics and making downstream reasoning. While some recent methods can robustly identify these latent causal variables, they rely on strict assumptions about the invertible generation process from latent variables to observed data. However, these assumptions are often hard to satisfy in real-world applications containing information loss. For instance, the visual perception process translates a 3D space into 2D images, or the phenomenon of persistence of vision incorporates historical data into current perceptions. To address this challenge, we establish an identifiability theory that allows for the recovery of independent latent components even when they come from a nonlinear and non-invertible mix. Using this theory as a foundation, we propose a principled approach, CaRiNG, to learn the Causal Representation of Non-invertible Generative temporal data with identifiability guarantees. Specifically, we utilize temporal context to recover lost latent information and apply the conditions in our theory to guide the training process. Through experiments conducted on synthetic datasets, we validate that our CaRiNG method reliably identifies the causal process, even when the generation process is non-invertible. Moreover, we demonstrate that our approach considerably improves temporal understanding and reasoning in practical applications.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Transfer, Multitask and Meta-learning

Weiyu CHEN, James Kwok

Multi-task learning, which optimizes performance across multiple tasks, is inherently a multi-objective optimization problem. Various algorithms are developed to provide discrete trade-off solutions on the Pareto front. Recently, continuous Pareto front approximations using a linear combination of base networks have emerged as a compelling strategy. However, it suffers from scalability issues when the number of tasks is large. To address this issue, we propose a novel approach that integrates a main network with several low-rank matrices to efficiently learn the Pareto manifold. It significantly reduces the number of parameters and facilitates the extraction of shared features. We also introduce orthogonal regularization to further bolster performance. Extensive experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, especially on datasets with a large number of tasks.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Weilin Chen, Ruichu Cai, Zeqin Yang, Jie Qiao, Yuguang Yan, Zijian Li, Zhifeng Hao

Causal effect estimation under networked interference is an important but challenging problem. Available parametric methods are limited in their model space, while previous semiparametric methods, e.g., leveraging neural networks to fit only one single nuisance function, may still encounter misspecification problems under networked interference without appropriate assumptions on the data generation process. To mitigate bias stemming from misspecification, we propose a novel doubly robust causal effect estimator under networked interference, by adapting the targeted learning technique to the training of neural networks. Specifically, we generalize the targeted learning technique into the networked interference setting and establish the condition under which an estimator achieves double robustness. Based on the condition, we devise an end-to-end causal effect estimator by transforming the identified theoretical condition into a targeted loss. Moreover, we provide a theoretical analysis of our designed estimator, revealing a faster convergence rate compared to a single nuisance model. Extensive experimental results on two real-world networks with semisynthetic data demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed estimators.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Sequential, Network, and Time Series Modeling

Serina Chang, Frederic Koehler, Zhaonan Qu, Jure Leskovec, Johan Ugander

A common network inference problem, arising from real-world data constraints, is how to infer a dynamic network from its time-aggregated adjacency matrix and time-varying marginals (i.e., row and column sums). Prior approaches to this problem have repurposed the classic iterative proportional fitting (IPF) procedure, also known as Sinkhorn’s algorithm, with promising empirical results. However, the statistical foundation for using IPF has not been well understood: under what settings does IPF provide principled estimation of a dynamic network from its marginals, and how well does it estimate the network? In this work, we establish such a setting, by identifying a generative network model whose maximum likelihood estimates are recovered by IPF. Our model both reveals implicit assumptions on the use of IPF in such settings and enables new analyses, such as structure-dependent error bounds on IPF’s parameter estimates. When IPF fails to converge on sparse network data, we introduce a principled algorithm that guarantees IPF converges under minimal changes to the network structure. Finally, we conduct experiments with synthetic and real-world data, which demonstrate the practical value of our theoretical and algorithmic contributions.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · General Machine Learning Techniques

Chengyi Cai, Zesheng Ye, Lei Feng, Jianzhong Qi, Feng Liu

*Visual reprogramming* (VR) is a prompting technique that aims to re-purpose a pre-trained model (e.g., a classifier on ImageNet) to target tasks (e.g., medical data prediction) by learning a *small-scale pattern* added into input images instead of tuning considerable parameters within the model. The location of the pattern within input samples is usually determined by a pre-defined mask *shared across all samples*. In this paper, we show that the shared mask potentially limits VR's generalization and increases its approximation error due to the lack of sample-level adaptation. Motivated by this finding, we design a new framework for VR called *sample-specific multi-channel masks* (SMM). Specifically, SMM employs a lightweight ConvNet and patch-wise interpolation to generate sample-specific three-channel masks instead of a shared and pre-defined mask. Since we generate different masks for individual samples, SMM is theoretically shown to reduce approximation error for the target tasks compared with existing state-of-the-art VR methods. We also empirically demonstrate its performance gain on both ResNet and ViT. The success of SMM further highlights the broader applicability of VR in leveraging the latent knowledge of pre-trained models for various target tasks. Our code is available at https://github.com/tmlr-group/SMM.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Transfer, Multitask and Meta-learning

Lincan Cai, Shuang Li, Wenxuan Ma, Jingxuan Kang, Binhui Xie, Zixun Sun, Chengwei Zhu

Large-scale pretrained models have proven immensely valuable in handling data-intensive modalities like text and image. However, fine-tuning these models for certain specialized modalities, such as protein sequence and cosmic ray, poses challenges due to the significant modality discrepancy and scarcity of labeled data. In this paper, we propose an end-to-end method, **PaRe**, to enhance cross-modal fine-tuning, aiming to transfer a large-scale pretrained model to various target modalities. **PaRe** employs a gating mechanism to select key patches from both source and target data. Through a modality-agnostic **Pa**tch **Re**placement scheme, these patches are preserved and combined to construct data-rich intermediate modalities ranging from easy to hard. By gradually intermediate modality generation, we can not only effectively bridge the modality gap to enhance stability and transferability of cross-modal fine-tuning, but also address the challenge of limited data in the target modality by leveraging enriched intermediate modality data. Compared with hand-designed, general-purpose, task-specific, and state-of-the-art cross-modal fine-tuning approaches, **PaRe** demonstrates superior performance across three challenging benchmarks, encompassing more than ten modalities.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Scalable Algorithms

Marco Bressan, Mauro Sozio

We study the problem of maintaining a decision tree in the fully-dynamic setting, where the dataset is updated by an adversarial sequence of insertions and deletions. We present the first algorithm with strong guarantees on both the quality of the tree and the worst-case update time (the maximum time spent between two consecutive dataset updates). For instance, we can maintain a tree where each node has Gini gain within $\beta$ of the optimum, while guaranteeing an update time $O(d \beta^{-3} \log^4 n )$, where $d$ is the number of features and $n$ the maximum size of the dataset. This is optimal up to polylogarithmic factors, as any dynamic algorithm must have update time in $\Omega(d)$. Similar guarantees hold for the variance and information gain, for classification and regression, and even for *boosted* trees. This shows that many popular decision trees such as ID3 or C4.5 can be efficiently be made dynamic, answering an open question of Bressan, Damay and Sozio (AAAI 2023). We also show that, under the 3SUM conjecture or the Orthogonal Vectors Hypothesis, the update time must be polynomial in $1/\beta$.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · General Machine Learning Techniques

Mitchell Black, Lucy Lin, Weng-Keen Wong, Amir Nayyeri

Effective resistance is a distance between vertices of a graph that is both theoretically interesting and useful in applications. We study a variant of effective resistance called the biharmonic distance. While the effective resistance measures how well-connected two vertices are, we prove several theoretical results supporting the idea that the biharmonic distance measures how important an edge is to the global topology of the graph. Our theoretical results connect the biharmonic distance to well-known measures of connectivity of a graph like its total resistance and sparsity. Based on these results, we introduce two clustering algorithms using the biharmonic distance. Finally, we introduce a further generalization of the biharmonic distance that we call the $k$-harmonic distance. We empirically study the utility of biharmonic and $k$-harmonic distance for edge centrality and graph clustering.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Sequential, Network, and Time Series Modeling

Yongqiang Cai

In recent years, deep learning-based sequence modelings, such as language models, have received much attention and success, which pushes researchers to explore the possibility of transforming non-sequential problems into a sequential form. Following this thought, deep neural networks can be represented as composite functions of a sequence of mappings, linear or nonlinear, where each composition can be viewed as a word. However, the weights of linear mappings are undetermined and hence require an infinite number of words. In this article, we investigate the finite case and constructively prove the existence of a finite vocabulary $V$=$\phi_i: \mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}^d | i=1,...,n$ with $n=O(d^2)$ for the universal approximation. That is, for any continuous mapping $f: \mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}^d$, compact domain $\Omega$ and $\varepsilon>0$, there is a sequence of mappings $\phi_{i_1}, ..., \phi_{i_m} \in V, m \in \mathbb{Z}^+$, such that the composition $\phi_{i_m} \circ ... \circ \phi_{i_1} $ approximates $f$ on $\Omega$ with an error less than $\varepsilon$. Our results demonstrate an unusual approximation power of mapping compositions and motivate a novel compositional model for regular languages.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Kernel methods

Daniel Barzilai, Ohad Shamir

It is by now well-established that modern over-parameterized models seem to elude the bias-variance tradeoff and generalize well despite overfitting noise. Many recent works attempt to analyze this phenomenon in the relatively tractable setting of kernel regression. However, as we argue in detail, most past works on this topic either make unrealistic assumptions, or focus on a narrow problem setup. This work aims to provide a unified theory to upper bound the excess risk of kernel regression for nearly all common and realistic settings. When applied to common kernels, our results imply benign overfitting in high input dimensions, nearly tempered overfitting in fixed dimensions, and explicit convergence rates for regularized regression. As a by-product, we obtain time-dependent bounds for neural networks trained in the kernel regime. Our results rely on new relative perturbation bounds for the eigenvalues of kernel matrices, which may be of independent interest. These reveal a self-regularization phenomenon, whereby a heavy tail in the eigendecomposition of the kernel implicitly leads to good generalization.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Unsupervised and Semi-supervised Learning

Etienne Bamas, Sai Ganesh Nagarajan, Ola Svensson

One of the most popular clustering algorithms is the celebrated $D^\alpha$ seeding algorithm (also know as $k$-means++ when $\alpha=2$) by Arthur and Vassilvitskii (2007), who showed that it guarantees in expectation an $O(2^{2\alpha}\cdot \log k)$-approximate solution to the ($k$,$\alpha$)-clustering cost (where distances are raised to the power $\alpha$) for any $\alpha\ge 1$. More recently, Balcan, Dick, and White (2018) observed experimentally that using $D^\alpha$ seeding with $\alpha>2$ can lead to a better solution with respect to the standard $k$-means objective (i.e. the $(k,2)$-clustering cost). In this paper, we provide a rigorous understanding of this phenomenon. For any $\alpha>2$, we show that $D^\alpha$ seeding guarantees in expectation an approximation factor of \begin{equation*} O_\alpha \left(\left(\frac{\sigma_{\textrm{max}}}{\sigma_{\textrm{min}}}\right)^{2-4/\alpha}\cdot (g_\alpha \cdot \min \lbrace\ell,\log k\rbrace)^{2/\alpha}\right) \end{equation*} with respect to the standard $k$-means cost of any underlying clustering; where $g_\alpha$ is a parameter capturing the concentration of the points in each cluster, $\sigma_{\textrm{max}}$ and $\sigma_{\textrm{min}}$ are the maximum and minimum standard deviation of the clusters around their center, and $\ell$ is the number of distinct mixing weights in the underlying clustering (after rounding them to the nearest power of $2$). For instance, if the underlying clustering is defined by a mixture of $k$ Gaussian distributions with equal cluster variance (up to a constant-factor), then our result implies that: (1) if there are a constant number of mixing weights, any constant $\alpha>2$ yields a constant-factor approximation; (2) if the mixing weights are arbitrary, any constant $\alpha>2$ yields an $O\left(\log^{2/\alpha}k\right)$-approximation, and $\alpha=\Theta(\log\log k)$ yields an $O(\log\log k)^3$-approximation. We complement these results by some lower bounds showing that the dependency on $g_\alpha$ and $\sigma_{\textrm{max}}/\sigma_{\textrm{min}}$ is tight. Finally, we provide an experimental validation of the effects of the aforementioned parameters when using $D^\alpha$ seeding.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Representation Learning

Ivana Balazevic, Yuge Shi, Pinelopi Papalampidi, Rahma Chaabouni, Skanda Koppula, Olivier Henaff

Most transformer-based video encoders are limited to short temporal contexts due to their quadratic complexity. While various attempts have been made to extend this context, this has often come at the cost of both conceptual and computational complexity. We propose to instead re-purpose existing pre-trained video transformers by simply fine-tuning them to attend to memories derived non-parametrically from past activations. By leveraging redundancy reduction, our memory-consolidated vision transformer (MC-ViT) effortlessly extends its context far into the past and exhibits excellent scaling behavior when learning from longer videos. In doing so, MC-ViT sets a new state-of-the-art in long-context video understanding on EgoSchema, Perception Test, and Diving48, outperforming methods that benefit from orders of magnitude more parameters.