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Deep Learning · Everything Else

Ifigeneia Apostolopoulou, Benjamin Eysenbach, Frank Nielsen, Artur Dubrawski

In supervised learning, understanding an input’s proximity to the training data can help a model decide whether it has sufficient evidence for reaching a reliable prediction. While powerful probabilistic models such as Gaussian Processes naturally have this property, deep neural networks often lack it. In this paper, we introduce Distance Aware Bottleneck (DAB), i.e., a new method for enriching deep neural networks with this property. Building on prior information bottleneck approaches, our method learns a codebook that stores a compressed representation of all inputs seen during training. The distance of a new example from this codebook can serve as an uncertainty estimate for the example. The resulting model is simple to train and provides deterministic uncertainty estimates by a single forward pass. Finally, our method achieves better out-of-distribution (OOD) detection and misclassification prediction than prior methods, including expensive ensemble methods, deep kernel Gaussian Processes, and approaches based on the standard information bottleneck.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Sina Akbari, Negar Kiyavash

The renowned difference-in-differences (DiD) estimator relies on the assumption of 'parallel trends,' which may not hold in many practical applications. To address this issue, economists are increasingly considering the triple difference estimator as a more credible alternative. Both DiD and triple difference are limited to assessing average effects exclusively. An alternative avenue is offered by the changes-in-changes (CiC) estimator, which provides an estimate of the entire counterfactual distribution by relying on assumptions imposed on the distribution of potential outcomes. In this work, we extend the triple difference estimator to accommodate the CiC framework, presenting the `triple changes estimator' and its identification assumptions, thereby expanding the scope of the CiC paradigm. Subsequently, we empirically evaluate the proposed framework and apply it to a study examining the impact of Medicaid expansion on children's preventive care.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Representation Learning

Simon Buchholz, Bernhard Schölkopf

We study the problem of unsupervised representation learning in slightly misspecified settings, and thus formalize the study of robustness of nonlinear representation learning. We focus on the case where the mixing is close to a local isometry in a suitable distance and show based on existing rigidity results that the mixing can be identified up to linear transformations and small errors. In a second step, we investigate Independent Component Analysis (ICA) with observations generated according to $x=f(s)=As+h(s)$ where $A$ is an invertible mixing matrix and $h$ a small perturbation. We show that we can approximately recover the matrix $A$ and the independent components. Together, these two results show approximate identifiability of nonlinear ICA with almost isometric mixing functions. Those results are a step towards identifiability results for unsupervised representation learning for real-world data that do not follow restrictive model classes.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Weilin Chen, Ruichu Cai, Zeqin Yang, Jie Qiao, Yuguang Yan, Zijian Li, Zhifeng Hao

Causal effect estimation under networked interference is an important but challenging problem. Available parametric methods are limited in their model space, while previous semiparametric methods, e.g., leveraging neural networks to fit only one single nuisance function, may still encounter misspecification problems under networked interference without appropriate assumptions on the data generation process. To mitigate bias stemming from misspecification, we propose a novel doubly robust causal effect estimator under networked interference, by adapting the targeted learning technique to the training of neural networks. Specifically, we generalize the targeted learning technique into the networked interference setting and establish the condition under which an estimator achieves double robustness. Based on the condition, we devise an end-to-end causal effect estimator by transforming the identified theoretical condition into a targeted loss. Moreover, we provide a theoretical analysis of our designed estimator, revealing a faster convergence rate compared to a single nuisance model. Extensive experimental results on two real-world networks with semisynthetic data demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed estimators.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Transfer, Multitask and Meta-learning

Jiayi Chen, Aidong Zhang

Multimodal Federated Learning (MFL) addresses the setup of multiple clients with diversified modality types (e.g. image, text, video, and audio) working together to improve their local personal models in a data-privacy manner. Prior MFL works rely on restrictive compositional neural architecture designs to ensure inter-client information sharing via blockwise model aggregation, limiting their applicability in the real-world **Architecture-personalized MFL (AMFL)** scenarios, where clients may have distinguished multimodal interaction strategies and there is no restriction on local architecture design. The key challenge in AMFL is how to automatically and efficiently tackle the two heterogeneity patterns--statistical and architecture heterogeneity--while maximizing the beneficial information sharing among clients. To solve this challenge, we propose **FedMBridge**, which leverages a topology-aware hypernetwork to act as a bridge that can automatically balance and digest the two heterogeneity patterns in a communication-efficient manner. Our experiments on four AMFL simulations demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of our proposed approach.

Theory · Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning

Jinyan Su, Sarah Dean

In digital markets comprised of many competing services, each user chooses between multiple service providers according to their preferences, and the chosen service makes use of the user data to incrementally improve its model. The service providers' models influence which service the user will choose at the next time step, and the user's choice, in return, influences the model update, leading to a feedback loop. In this paper, we formalize the above dynamics and develop a simple and efficient decentralized algorithm to locally minimize the overall user loss. Theoretically, we show that our algorithm asymptotically converges to stationary points of of the overall loss almost surely. We also experimentally demonstrate the utility of our algorithm with real world data.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · General Machine Learning Techniques

Yuxuan Zhou, Mario Fritz, Margret Keuper

SoftMax is a ubiquitous ingredient of modern machine learning algorithms. It maps an input vector onto a probability simplex and reweights the input by concentrating the probability mass at large entries. Yet, as a smooth approximation to the Argmax function, a significant amount of probability mass is distributed to other, residual entries, leading to poor interpretability and noise. Although sparsity can be achieved by a family of SoftMax variants, they often require an alternative loss function and do not preserve multimodality. We show that this trade-off between multi-modality and sparsity limits the expressivity of SoftMax as well as its variants. We provide a solution to this tension between objectives by proposing a piece-wise differentiable function, termed MultiMax, which adaptively modulates the output distribution according to input entry range. Through comprehensive analysis and evaluation, we show that MultiMax successfully produces a distribution that supresses irrelevant entries while preserving multi-modality, with benefits in image classification, language modeling and machine translation.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Kernel methods

Eiki Shimizu, Kenji Fukumizu, Dino Sejdinovic

Kernel conditional mean embeddings (CMEs) offer a powerful framework for representing conditional distributions, but they often face scalability and expressiveness challenges. In this work, we propose a new method that effectively combines the strengths of deep learning with CMEs in order to address these challenges. Specifically, our approach leverages the end-to-end neural network (NN) optimization framework using a kernel-based objective. This design circumvents the computationally expensive Gram matrix inversion required by current CME methods. To further enhance performance, we provide efficient strategies to optimize the remaining kernel hyperparameters. In conditional density estimation tasks, our NN-CME hybrid achieves competitive performance and often surpasses existing deep learning-based methods. Lastly, we showcase its remarkable versatility by seamlessly integrating it into reinforcement learning (RL) contexts. Building on Q-learning, our approach naturally leads to a new variant of distributional RL methods, which demonstrates consistent effectiveness across different environments.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · General Machine Learning Techniques

Shuo Yang, Zhe Cao, Sheng Guo, Ruiheng Zhang, Ping Luo, Shengping Zhang, Liqiang Nie

Existing paradigms of pushing the state of the art require exponentially more training data in many fields. Coreset selection seeks to mitigate this growing demand by identifying the most efficient subset of training data. In this paper, we delve into geometry-based coreset methods and preliminarily link the geometry of data distribution with models' generalization capability in theoretics. Leveraging these theoretical insights, we propose a novel coreset construction method by selecting training samples to reconstruct the decision boundary of a deep neural network learned on the full dataset. Extensive experiments across various popular benchmarks demonstrate the superiority of our method over multiple competitors. For the first time, our method achieves a 50% data pruning rate on the ImageNet-1K dataset while sacrificing less than 1% in accuracy. Additionally, we showcase and analyze the remarkable cross-architecture transferability of the coresets derived from our approach.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Transfer, Multitask and Meta-learning

Soochan Lee, Hyeonseong Jeon, Jaehyeon Son, Gunhee Kim

In the present era of deep learning, continual learning research is mainly focused on mitigating forgetting when training a neural network with stochastic gradient descent on a non-stationary stream of data. On the other hand, in the more classical literature of statistical machine learning, many models have sequential Bayesian update rules that yield the same learning outcome as the batch training, i.e., they are completely immune to catastrophic forgetting. However, they are often overly simple to model complex real-world data. In this work, we adopt the meta-learning paradigm to combine the strong representational power of neural networks and simple statistical models' robustness to forgetting. In our novel meta-continual learning framework, continual learning takes place only in statistical models via ideal sequential Bayesian update rules, while neural networks are meta-learned to bridge the raw data and the statistical models. Since the neural networks remain fixed during continual learning, they are protected from catastrophic forgetting. This approach not only achieves significantly improved performance but also exhibits excellent scalability. Since our approach is domain-agnostic and model-agnostic, it can be applied to a wide range of problems and easily integrated with existing model architectures.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Supervised Learning

Ben Dai, Chunlin Li

Segmentation has emerged as a fundamental field of computer vision and natural language processing, which assigns a label to every pixel/feature to extract regions of interest from an image/text. To evaluate the performance of segmentation, the Dice and IoU metrics are used to measure the degree of overlap between the ground truth and the predicted segmentation. In this paper, we establish a theoretical foundation of segmentation with respect to the Dice/IoU metrics, including the Bayes rule and Dice-/IoU-calibration, analogous to classification-calibration or Fisher consistency in classification. We prove that the existing thresholding-based framework with most operating losses are not consistent with respect to the Dice/IoU metrics, and thus may lead to a suboptimal solution. To address this pitfall, we propose a novel consistent ranking-based framework, namely RankDice/RankIoU, inspired by plug-in rules of the Bayes segmentation rule. Three numerical algorithms with GPU parallel execution are developed to implement the proposed framework in large-scale and high-dimensional segmentation. We study statistical properties of the proposed framework. We show it is Dice-/IoU-calibrated, and its excess risk bounds and the rate of convergence are also provided. The numerical effectiveness of RankDice/mRankDice is demonstrated in various simulated examples and Fine-annotated CityScapes, Pascal VOC and Kvasir-SEG datasets with state-of-the-art deep learning architectures. Python module and source code are available on Github at (https://github.com/statmlben/rankseg).

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Joshua Loftus

Causal models and methods have great promise, but their progress has been stalled. Proposals using causality get squeezed between two opposing worldviews. Scientific perfectionism--an insistence on only using ``correct'' models--slows the adoption of causal methods in knowledge generating applications. Pushing in the opposite direction, the academic discipline of computer science prefers algorithms with no or few assumptions, and technologies based on automation and scalability are often selected for economic and business applications. We argue that these system-centric inductive biases should be replaced with a human-centric philosophy we refer to as scientific pragmatism. The machine learning community must strike the right balance to make space for the causal revolution to prosper.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · General Machine Learning Techniques

Megh Shukla, Mathieu Salzmann, Alexandre Alahi

Deep heteroscedastic regression involves jointly optimizing the mean and covariance of the predicted distribution using the negative log-likelihood. However, recent works show that this may result in sub-optimal convergence due to the challenges associated with covariance estimation. While the literature addresses this by proposing alternate formulations to mitigate the impact of the predicted covariance, we focus on improving the predicted covariance itself. We study two questions: (1) Does the predicted covariance truly capture the randomness of the predicted mean? (2) In the absence of supervision, how can we quantify the accuracy of covariance estimation? We address (1) with a _Taylor Induced Covariance (TIC)_, which captures the randomness of the predicted mean by incorporating its gradient and curvature through the second order Taylor polynomial. Furthermore, we tackle (2) by introducing a _Task Agnostic Correlations (TAC)_ metric, which combines the notion of correlations and absolute error to evaluate the covariance. We evaluate TIC-TAC across multiple experiments spanning synthetic and real-world datasets. Our results show that not only does TIC accurately learn the covariance, it additionally facilitates an improved convergence of the negative log-likelihood. Our code is available at [https://github.com/vita-epfl/TIC-TAC](https://github.com/vita-epfl/TIC-TAC)

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Inwoo Hwang, Yesong Choe, Yeahoon Kwon, Sanghack Lee

Identifying and estimating a causal effect is a fundamental task when researchers want to infer a causal effect using an observational study without experiments. A conventional assumption is the strict positivity of the given distribution, or so called positivity (or overlap) under the unconfounded assumption that the probabilities of treatments are positive. However, there exist many environments where neither observational data exhibits strict positivity nor unconfounded assumption holds. Against this background, we examine the graphical counterpart of the conventional positivity condition so as to license the use of identification formula without strict positivity. In particular, we explore various approaches, including analysis in a post-hoc manner, do-calculus, $Q$-decomposition, and algorithmic, to yielding a positivity condition for an identification formula, where we relate them, providing a comprehensive view. We further discuss the design of a positivity-aware identification algorithm based on the theoretical characterization of identification formulas.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Patrick F. Burauel

The validity of instrumental variables to estimate causal effects is typically justified narratively and often remains controversial. Critical assumptions are difficult to evaluate since they involve unobserved variables. Building on Janzing and Schoelkopf's (2018) method to quantify a degree of confounding in multivariate linear models, we develop a test that evaluates instrument validity without relying on Balke and Pearl's (1997) inequality constraints. Instead, our approach is based on the Principle of Independent Mechanisms, which states that causal models have a modular structure. Monte Carlo studies show a high accuracy of the procedure. We apply our method to two empirical studies: first, we can corroborate the narrative justification given by Card (1995) for the validity of college proximity as an instrument for educational attainment in his work on the financial returns to education. Second, we cannot reject the validity of past savings rates as an instrument for economic development to estimate its causal effect on democracy (Acemoglu et al, 2008).

Social Aspects · Trustworthy Machine Learning

Changming Xu, Gagandeep Singh

Universal Adversarial Perturbations (UAPs) are imperceptible, image-agnostic vectors that cause deep neural networks (DNNs) to misclassify inputs with high probability. In practical attack scenarios, adversarial perturbations may undergo transformations such as changes in pixel intensity, scaling, etc. before being added to DNN inputs. Existing methods do not create UAPs robust to these real-world transformations, thereby limiting their applicability in practical attack scenarios. In this work, we introduce and formulate UAPs robust against real-world transformations. We build an iterative algorithm using probabilistic robustness bounds and construct UAPs robust to transformations generated by composing arbitrary sub-differentiable transformation functions. We perform an extensive evaluation on the popular CIFAR-10 and ILSVRC 2012 datasets measuring our UAPs' robustness under a wide range common, real-world transformations such as rotation, contrast changes, etc. We further show that by using a set of primitive transformations our method generalizes well to unseen transformations such as fog, JPEG compression, etc. Our results show that our method can generate UAPs up to 23% more robust than state-of-the-art baselines.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Representation Learning

Nimrod Berman, Ilan Naiman, Idan Arbiv, Gal Fadlon, Omri Azencot

One of the fundamental representation learning tasks is unsupervised sequential disentanglement, where latent codes of inputs are decomposed to a single static factor and a sequence of dynamic factors. To extract this latent information, existing methods condition the static and dynamic codes on the entire input sequence. Unfortunately, these models often suffer from information leakage, i.e., the dynamic vectors encode both static and dynamic information, or vice versa, leading to a non-disentangled representation. Attempts to alleviate this problem via reducing the dynamic dimension and auxiliary loss terms gain only partial success. Instead, we propose a novel and simple architecture that mitigates information leakage by offering a simple and effective subtraction inductive bias while conditioning on a single sample. Remarkably, the resulting variational framework is simpler in terms of required loss terms, hyper-parameters, and data augmentation. We evaluate our method on multiple data-modality benchmarks including general time series, video, and audio, and we show beyond state-of-the-art results on generation and prediction tasks in comparison to several strong baselines.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Causality

Allen Tran, Aurelien Bibaut, Nathan Kallus

We study inference on the long-term causal effect of a continual exposure to a novel intervention, which we term a long-term treatment, based on an experiment involving only short-term observations. Key examples include the long-term health effects of regularly-taken medicine or of environmental hazards and the long-term effects on users of changes to an online platform. This stands in contrast to short-term treatments or "shocks," whose long-term effect can reasonably be mediated by short-term observations, enabling the use of surrogate methods. Long-term treatments by definition have direct effects on long-term outcomes via continual exposure, so surrogacy conditions cannot reasonably hold. We connect the problem with offline reinforcement learning, leveraging doubly-robust estimators to estimate long-term causal effects for long-term treatments and construct confidence intervals.

Miscellaneous Aspects of Machine Learning · Kernel methods

George Chen

Kernel survival analysis models estimate individual survival distributions with the help of a kernel function, which measures the similarity between any two data points. Such a kernel function can be learned using deep kernel survival models. In this paper, we present a new deep kernel survival model called a survival kernet, which scales to large datasets in a manner that is amenable to model interpretation and also theoretical analysis. Specifically, the training data are partitioned into clusters based on a recently developed training set compression scheme for classification and regression called kernel netting that we extend to the survival analysis setting. At test time, each data point is represented as a weighted combination of these clusters, and each such cluster can be visualized. For a special case of survival kernets, we establish a finite-sample error bound on predicted survival distributions that is, up to a log factor, optimal. Whereas scalability at test time is achieved using the aforementioned kernel netting compression strategy, scalability during training is achieved by a warm-start procedure based on tree ensembles such as XGBoost and a heuristic approach to accelerating neural architecture search. On four standard survival analysis datasets of varying sizes (up to roughly 3 million data points), we show that survival kernets are highly competitive compared to various baselines tested in terms of time-dependent concordance index. Our code is available at: https://github.com/georgehc/survival-kernets

Social Aspects · Privacy-preserving Statistics and Machine Learning

Chendi Wang, Yuqing Zhu, Weijie Su, Yu-Xiang Wang

A recent study by De et al. (2022) shows that large-scale representation learning through pre-training on a public dataset significantly enhances differentially private (DP) learning in downstream tasks. To explain this, we consider a layer-peeled model in representation learning, resulting in Neural Collapse (NC) phenomena. Within NC, we establish that the misclassification error is independent of dimension when the distance between actual and ideal features is below a threshold. We empirically evaluate feature quality in the last layer under different pre-trained models, showing that a more powerful pre-trained model improves feature representation. Moreover, we show that DP fine-tuning is less robust compared to non-DP fine-tuning, especially with perturbations. Supported by theoretical analyses and experiments, we suggest strategies like feature normalization and dimension reduction methods such as PCA to enhance DP fine-tuning robustness. Conducting PCA on last-layer features significantly improves testing accuracy.