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2,029篇论文匹配“Probabilistic Methods”
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Shengpeng Wang, Kuangyu Wang, Wei Wang

Millimeter-wave radar offers unique advantages in adverse weather but suffers from low spatial fidelity, severe azimuth ambiguity, and clutter-induced spurious returns. Existing methods mainly focus on improving spatial perception effectiveness via coarse-to-fine cross-modal supervision, yet often overlook the ambiguous feature-to-label mapping, which may lead to ill-posed geometric inference and pose fundamental challenges to downstream perception tasks. In this work, we propose RaUF, a spatial uncertainty field learning framework that models radar measurements through their physically grounded anisotropic properties. To resolve conflicting feature-to-label mapping, we design an anisotropic probabilistic model that learns fine-grained uncertainty. To further enhance reliability, we propose a Bidirectional Domain Attention mechanism that exploits the mutual complementarity between spatial structure and Doppler consistency, effectively suppressing spurious or multipath-induced reflections. Extensive experiments on public benchmarks and real-world datasets demonstrate that RaUF delivers highly reliable spatial detections with well-calibrated uncertainty. Moreover, downstream case studies further validate the enhanced reliability and scalability of RaUF under challenging real-world driving scenarios. Our project will be available at https://shengpeng.wang/rauf.

Nurjahan Sultana, Moi Hoon Yap, Xinqi Fan, Wenqi Lu

Models for AI-based skin cancer screening suffer a severe performance drop when shifting from expert dermoscopic (source) images to consumer-grade clinical (target) photos, hindering real-world deployment. Existing domain adaptation methods often ignore crucial semantic invariants, such as clinical concepts. While new foundation models like MONET can provide this semantic information as dense, probabilistic scores, this metadata is unavailable at test time, creating a deployment paradox for practical image-only screening tools. We address this gap by proposing CoFiDA-M, a privileged information framework that learns from concepts at training time but deploys as an image-only model. Our method trains a teacher network that uses MONET concept probabilities to guide a FiLM modulator, transforming visual features into a semantically "edited" feature space. A lightweight, image-only student is then trained to reproduce this edited representation, not just the teacher's final predictions. This distillation "bakes" the clinical reasoning into the student's weights.On a challenging multi-dataset benchmark, our image-only student significantly outperforms state-of-the-art approaches, especially in melanoma recall. Our work provides a practical and generalizable framework for leveraging noisy, probabilistic metadata as privileged information, demonstrating strong cross-dataset robustness and potential for real-world deployment beyond dermatology. The code will be made publicly available upon acceptance.

Fu Feng, Yucheng Xie, Ruixiao Shi, Xu Yang, Jing Wang, Xin Geng

Text-to-image (T2I) diffusion models effectively produce semantically aligned images, but their reliance on training distributions constrains their capacity for synthesizing truly novel, out-of-distribution concepts. Existing methods attempt to enhance creativity through semantic exploration, such as fusing known concept pairs, but the resulting images remain linguistically describable and confined to familiar semantic spaces. Inspired by the soft probabilistic outputs of classifiers on novel or out-of-distribution inputs, we propose Distribution-Conditional Generation, a paradigm that models novel concepts as image synthesis conditioned on class distributions, enabling controllable yet semantically unconstrained creative generation. Building on this, we propose DisTok, an encoder-decoder framework that unifies conditional and unconditional creative generation by decoding latent representations--either randomly sampled or mapped from conditions (e.g., class distributions)--into tokens representing novel concepts. DisTok is trained by iteratively sampling and fusing concept pairs from a dynamic pool to model progressively complex distributions, while enforcing semantic consistency through a vision-language model that aligns the class distributions of generated images with the input distributions. Extensive experiments demonstrate that DisTok enables efficient and flexible semantic exploration for token-level creative synthesis, achieving state-of-the-art text-image alignment and human preference.

Zicheng Zhang, Xiangting Meng, Ke Wu, Wenchao Ding

Recent progress in feed-forward 3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) has notably improved rendering quality. However, the spatially uniform and highly redundant 3DGS map generated by previous feed-forward 3DGS methods limits their integration into downstream reconstruction tasks. We propose SparseSplat, the first feed-forward 3DGS model that adaptively adjusts Gaussian density according to scene structure and information richness of local regions, yielding highly compact 3DGS maps. To achieve this, we propose entropy-based probabilistic sampling, generating large, sparse Gaussians in textureless areas and assigning small, dense Gaussians to regions with rich information. Additionally, we designed a specialized point cloud network that efficiently encodes local context and decodes it into 3DGS attributes, addressing the receptive field mismatch between the general 3DGS optimization pipeline and feed-forward models. Extensive experimental results demonstrate that SparseSplat can achieve state-of-the-art rendering quality with only 22% of the Gaussians and maintain reasonable rendering quality with only 1.5% of the Gaussians.

Junyi Wu, Van Nguyen Nguyen, Benjamin Planche, Jiachen Tao, Changchang Sun, Zhongpai Gao, Zhenghao Zhao, Anwesa Choudhuri, Gengyu Zhang, Meng Zheng 等

We introduce Consistent Instance Field, a continuous and probabilistic spatio-temporal representation for dynamic scene understanding.Unlike prior methods that rely on discrete tracking or view-dependent features, our approach disentangles visibility from persistent object identity by modeling each space-time point with an occupancy probability and a conditional instance distribution. To realize this, we introduce a novel instance-embedded representation based on deformable 3D Gaussians, which jointly encode radiance and semantic information and are learned directly from input RGB images and instance masks through differentiable rasterization.Furthermore, we introduce new mechanisms to calibrate per-Gaussian identities and resample Gaussians toward semantically active regions, ensuring consistent instance representations across space and time. Experiments on HyperNeRF and Neu3D datasets demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on novel-view panoptic segmentation and open-vocabulary 4D querying tasks.

Qiaojie Zheng, Jiucai Zhang, Amy Zhang, Xiaoli Zhang

Accurate uncertainty estimation is essential for reliable appearance-based gaze tracking. However, domain shifts between training and testing often lead to incorrect uncertainty estimates, which is a problem overlooked in existing uncertainty-aware gaze tracking models. To overcome this problem efficiently, we formulate uncertainty estimation as a conditional distribution problem and treat the correction process as an output-level conditional distribution matching task. We therefore introduce a data-efficient post-hoc calibration method to align the predicted, high-error conditional distribution with the empirically observed distribution extracted from a small set of calibration samples. To more faithfully assess the accuracy of the resulting uncertainty estimates, we further introduce a new metric, Coverage Probability Error (CPE), to quantify the distribution-level mismatch between prediction and observation. We validate the calibration procedure across four domain shift scenarios to demonstrate improved uncertainty accuracy and its practical benefits.

Yi Yang, Zheng Wang, Xing Xu, Jingkuan Song, Heng Tao Shen

The inherent semantic ambiguity of "many-to-many", where one video matches multiple texts and vice versa, aggravates the difficulty in text-video retrieval. The dominant deterministic embeddings only struggle to capture the mean semantics, while existing probabilistic methods fail to distinguish hard negatives for their imposing rigid uncertainty priors or ignoring the interaction between similarity and uncertainty. To this end, we propose a novel physics-inspired framework (GraviAlign) that decomposes the alignment of cross-modal semantic distributions into two orthogonal factors inspired by the Gravitational Force: (1) Semantic Attraction measuring gravitational alignment between distribution centers via uncertainty-derived "semantic mass" and "semantic distance"; (2) Geometric Overlap quantifying distribution intersection. Each factor has independent veto power to reject those matches with misalignment or poor overlap. Additionally, GraviAlign offers an efficient (O(D)), theoretically grounded alternative to intractable joint integrals. Extensive experiments on DiDeMo, MSR-VTT, and ActivityNet demonstrate our effectiveness and superiority, and solid ablation studies confirm the indispensability of two novel components.

Tianhao Han, Haoyang Zhang, Liang Xie, Haochen Chang, Kun Gao, Yuan Cheng, Pengfei Ren, Erwei Yin

Manually annotating accurate 3D hand poses is extremely time-consuming and labor-intensive. Existing self-supervised hand pose estimation methods leverage the discrepancy between input images and rendered outputs, or multi-view consistency constraints, as the driving force to optimize networks and progressively refine pose accuracy. However, these methods are highly susceptible to noisy pseudo-labels and overlook the importance of fully exploiting fine-grained spatial correlations, which undermines the stability of model training. To address these issues, we propose UST-Hand, a self-supervised learning framework that estimates uncertainty distribution of hand pose and constructs a probabilistic point cloud feature space, which enables the complex spatiotemporal relationship modeling. UST-Hand employs a conditional normalizing flow model to capture hand pose distributions and samples diverse hypotheses, facilitating robust learning under noisy pseudo-labels supervision with enhanced stability. These multi-hypothesis are mapped to a unified probabilistic 3D point cloud space for multi-view and temporal feature interaction, comprehensively exploring hand motion patterns and fine-grained spatial correlations. Extensive experiments on three challenging datasets demonstrate that UST-Hand achieves state-of-the-art performance, outperforming existing self-supervised methods by up to 37.8% in Mean Per Vertex Position Error (MPVPE).

Shihao Zou, Wei Wei

Dynamic multimodal fusion methods lack robust theoretical guidance for handling modal conflicts and inconsistent data quality. While recent theoretical work has associated modal weights with scalar quantities such as loss or confidence, this paradigm struggles to comprehensively address the risks caused by inconsistent predictive distributions across modalities. In this paper, we propose a **Co**nflict-driven **Ri**sk **M**inimization (**CoRiM**) dynamic fusion paradigm. Specifically, we redefine dynamic fusion as a principled, per-sample, direct risk minimization task. To this end, we first design a novel, differentiable Modality Conflict Risk (MCR) function, \mathcal R (w), which quantifies risk by directly modeling fused uncertainty and inter-modal consistency. Second, we identify that minimizing \mathcal R (w) is fundamentally a non-convex constrained optimization problem over the probabilistic simplex. To efficiently solve this specific challenge, we innovatively introduce the projection free Frank-Wolfe (FW) algorithm, as it is perfectly suited for optimization on the simplex.We prove that our designed \mathcal R (w) possesses L-smoothness, which provides theoretical guarantees for the convergence of the FW algorithm on our non-convex objective. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate that CoRiM outperforms current state-of-the-art methods in high-conflict and noisy environments, validating the robustness of our method.

Kecheng Ye, Mao Chen, Xiangkai Zhang, Xu Yang

Floorplan localization aims to estimate the camera pose of a query image with respect to a 2D floorplan, providing a lightweight and long-term stable alternative to localization based on 3D maps or large image databases for indoor robotics and AR. Recent methods frame the problem as ray-based matching, representing the image as a set of rays annotated with depth or semantic labels and aligning them with the floorplan. However, they still face challenges in addressing the complexity of indoor environments, which can be decomposed into environmental, geometric, and semantic ambiguities.To address these ambiguities, we propose a floorplan-aware probabilistic fusion framework that models both depth and semantic information within a unified architecture. Our framework also combines a distribution-based ray confidence estimator, which down-weights uncertain geometric hypotheses, with a probabilistic semantic matching scheme based on Jensen-Shannon divergence (JSD), which preserves and leverages informative semantic ambiguity instead of collapsing it into hard labels. Experiments on challenging benchmarks demonstrate that our approach significantly outperforms prior methods in both robustness and accuracy.

Yubo Cui, Xianchao Guan, Zijun Xiong, Zheng Zhang

Pre-trained vision-language models (VLMs) exhibit strong zero-shot generalization but remain vulnerable to adversarial perturbations. Existing classification-guided adversarial fine-tuning methods often disrupt pre-trained cross-modal alignment, weakening visual-textual correspondence and degrading zero-shot performance. In this paper, we propose an Alignment-Guided Fine-Tuning (AGFT) framework that enhances zero-shot adversarial robustness while preserving the cross-modal semantic structure. Unlike label-based methods that rely on hard labels and fail to maintain the relative relationships between image and text, AGFT leverages the probabilistic predictions of the original model for text-guided adversarial training, which aligns adversarial visual features with textual embeddings via soft alignment distributions, improving zero-shot adversarial robustness. To address structural discrepancies introduced by fine-tuning, we introduce a distribution consistency calibration mechanism that adjusts the robust model's output to match a temperature-scaled version of the pre-trained model's predictions. Extensive experiments across multiple zero-shot benchmarks demonstrate that AGFT outperforms state-of-the-art methods while significantly improving zero-shot adversarial robustness. Code is available at https://github.com/YuboCui/AGFT.

Mia Gaia Polansky, George Kopanas, Stephan Garbin, Todd Zickler, Dor Verbin

We introduce a probabilistic splat-based radiance field framework that retains the fast rasterization and test-time efficiency of 3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) while replacing heuristic primitive manipulation with gradient-based optimization of a volumetric probability density. Rather than relocating, splitting, or culling Gaussians via hand-tuned densification (e.g., ADC), we treat primitive locations as samples drawn from a persistent, learnable density. We instantiate this density with a novel, memory-efficient multi-scale hierarchical grid that enables end-to-end gradient-based control over primitive population density. To stabilize stochastic training, we derive an unbiased gradient estimator with control variates that markedly reduces variance. By allowing probability mass to flow to where the loss demands, our method eliminates brittle priors and naturally explores the volume, achieving state-of-the-art reconstruction quality on mip-NeRF 360 while preserving 3DGS-level rendering speed.

Ibne Farabi Shihab, Sanjeda Akter, Anuj Sharma

Document layout understanding remains data-intensive despite advances in semi-supervised learning. We present a framework that enhances semi-supervised detection by fusing visual predictions with structural priors from text-pretrained LLMs via principled probabilistic weighting. Given unlabeled documents, an OCR-LLM pipeline infers hierarchical regions which are combined with teacher detector outputs through inverse-variance fusion to generate refined pseudo-labels.Our method demonstrates consistent gains across model scales. With a lightweight SwiftFormer backbone (26M params), we achieve 88.2\pm0.3 AP using only 5% labels on PubLayNet. When applied to document-pretrained LayoutLMv3 (133M params), our fusion framework reaches 89.7\pm0.4 AP, surpassing both LayoutLMv3 with standard semi-supervised learning (89.1\pm0.4 AP, p=0.02) and matching UDOP [??] (89.8 AP) which requires 100M+ pages of multimodal pretraining. This demonstrates that LLM structural priors are complementary to both lightweight and pretrained architectures. Key findings include: (1) learned instance-adaptive gating improves over fixed weights by +0.9 AP with data-dependent PAC bounds correctly predicting convergence; (2) open-source LLMs enable privacy-preserving deployment with minimal loss (Llama-3-70B: 87.1 AP lightweight, 89.4 AP with LayoutLMv3); (3) LLMs provide targeted semantic disambiguation (18.7% of cases, +3.8 AP gain) beyond simple text heuristics.Total system cost includes \12 for GPT-4o-mini API or 17 GPU-hours for local Llama-3-70B per 50K pages, amortized across training runs.

Xiaogang Wu, Jinchao Hu, Zixian Wang, Dun Liu, BoXiang Cheng, Yiqiang Wu

We propose a probabilistic discrepancy learning approach for roadside LiDAR scene completion (PDL). Conventional methods focus on object-level completion and scene completion from ego-vehicle viewpoint. These methods struggle to cope with long-term or severe occlusions caused by roadside sensors with fixed viewpoints. To address this issue, we compensate for occlusion roadside point clouds by introducing external visual information. Specifically, the PDL is mainly divided into probabilistic pose discrepancy minimization and scene discrepancy learning. We employ probabilistic pose discrepancy minimization to correct noisy poses from vision-based detectors, while utilizing a diffusion model within scene discrepancy learning for robust full-scene completion. Furthermore, we design regional and global sampling discrepancy learning losses to achieve robust and efficient training. We conducted extensive experiments on the V2X-Seq and TUMTraf-V2X roadside datasets. Results demonstrate that PDL achieves state-of-the-art performance, with average reductions of 14.5% in chamfer distance (CD) and 6% in 3D Jensen Shannon divergence (JSD) compared to existing methods.

Yijia Guo, Tong Hu, Liwen Hu, Lei Ma, Tiejun Huang

3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) has significantly advanced 3D reconstruction with its impressive performance. However, its reliance on sharp images and precise camera pose priors limits its effectiveness in high-speed scenarios. Recent advances have integrated spike cameras, a bio-inspired sensor with high temporal resolution, to enhance 3DGS in such conditions. Although spike-based methods reduce the need for sharp images, they still face challenges in achieving precise camera pose estimation due to unstable observations and visual texture deficiency. To address these challenges, we propose Nope-SGS, the first framework that reconstructs high-speed 3D scenes from unposed captures of bio-inspired high-temporal-resolution spike cameras. To achieve robust 3D reconstruction and pose estimation, we first reformulate the spike model from a probabilistic perspective and extend its application to keyframing, effectively alleviating the instability caused by spike streams. Building upon this foundation, we devise a progressive optimization framework to facilitate swift 3D reconstruction. The experimental results demonstrate that our method achieves up to 7.4 dB higher PSNR and 40% lower Absolute Trajectory Error (ATE) compared to state-of-the-art methods under challenging high-speed scenarios while maintaining the fastest reconstruction speed among spike-based methods.

Ruichao Yang, Wei Gao, Xiaobin Zhu, Jing Ma, Hongzhan Lin, Ziyang Luo, Bo-Wen Zhang, Xu-Cheng Yin

Multimodal misinformation poses an escalating challenge that often evades traditional detectors, which are opaque black boxes and fragile against new manipulation tactics. We present Probabilistic Concept Graph Reasoning (PCGR), an interpretable, modular, and evolvable framework that reframes multimodal misinformation detection (MMD) as structured, concept-based reasoning. PCGR follows a build-then-infer paradigm, which first constructs a graph of human-understandable concept nodes, including novel high-level concepts automatically discovered and validated by multimodal large language models (MLLMs), and then applies hierarchical attention over this concept graph to infer claim veracity. This design produces interpretable reasoning chains linking evidence to conclusions. Experiments demonstrate that PCGR achieves state-of-the-art MMD accuracy and robustness to emerging manipulation types, outperforming prior methods in both coarse detection and fine-grained manipulation recognition.

Jinglin Xu, Yi Li, Chuxiong Sun, Xiao Xu, Jiangmeng Li, Fanjiang Xu

Multi-modal test-time adaptation (TTA) enhances the resilience of benchmark multi-modal models against distribution shifts by leveraging the unlabeled target data during inference. Despite the documented success, the advancement of multi-modal TTA methodologies has been impeded by a persistent limitation, i.e., the lack of explicit modeling of category-conditional distributions, which is crucial for yielding accurate predictions and reliable decision boundaries. Canonical Gaussian discriminant analysis (GDA) provides a vanilla modeling of category-conditional distributions and achieves moderate advancement in uni-modal contexts. However, in multi-modal TTA scenario, the inherent modality distribution asymmetry undermines the effectiveness of modeling the category-conditional distribution via the canonical GDA. To this end, we introduce a tailored probabilistic Gaussian model for multi-modal TTA to explicitly model the category-conditional distributions, and further propose an adaptive contrastive asymmetry rectification technique to counteract the adverse effects arising from modality asymmetry, thereby deriving calibrated predictions and reliable decision boundaries. Extensive experiments across diverse benchmarks demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance under a wide range of distribution shifts.

Sungrae Hong, Jiwon Jeong, Jisu Shin, Donghee Han, Sol Lee, Kyungeun Kim, Mun Yong Yi

Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) has emerged as a promising paradigm for Whole Slide Image (WSI) diagnosis, offering effective learning with limited annotations. However, existing MIL frameworks overlook diagnostic priorities and fail to differentiate the severity of misclassifications in multiclass, leaving clinically critical errors unaddressed. We propose a mistake-severity-aware training strategy that organizes diagnostic classes into a hierarchical structure, with each level optimized using a severity-weighted cross-entropy loss that penalizes high-severity misclassifications more strongly. Additionally, hierarchical consistency is enforced through probabilistic alignment, a semantic feature remix applied to the instance bag to robustly train class priority and accommodate clinical cases involving multiple symptoms. An asymmetric Mikel's Wheel-based metric is also introduced to quantify the severity of errors specific to medical fields. Experiments on challenging public and real-world in-house datasets demonstrate that our approach significantly mitigates critical errors in MIL diagnosis compared to existing methods. We present additional experimental results on natural domain data to demonstrate the generalizability of our proposed method beyond medical contexts.

Sixiao Zheng, Minghao Yin, Wenbo Hu, Xiaoyu Li, Ying Shan, Yanwei Fu

Video world models aim to simulate dynamic, real-world environments, yet existing methods struggle to provide unified and precise control over camera and multi-object motion, as videos inherently capture dynamics in the projected 2D image plane. To bridge this gap, we introduce VerseCrafter, a geometry-driven video world model that generates dynamic, realistic videos from a unified 4D geometric world state. Our approach is centered on a novel 4D Geometric Control representation, which encodes the world state as a static background point cloud and per-object 3D Gaussian trajectories. This representation captures each object's motion path and probabilistic 3D occupancy over time, providing a flexible, category-agnostic alternative to rigid bounding boxes and parametric models. We render 4D Geometric Control into 4D control maps for a pretrained video diffusion model, enabling high-fidelity, view-consistent video generation that faithfully follows the specified dynamics. To enable training at scale, we develop an automatic data engine and construct VerseControl4D, a real-world dataset of 35K training samples with automatically derived prompts and rendered 4D control maps. Extensive experiments show that VerseCrafter achieves superior visual quality and more accurate control over camera and multi-object motion than prior methods.

Amandine Brunetto

Generating audio that is acoustically consistent with a scene is essential for immersive virtual environments. Recent neural acoustic field methods enable spatially continuous sound rendering but remain scene-specific, requiring dense audio measurements and costly training for each environment. Few-shot approaches improve scalability across rooms but still rely on multiple recordings and, being deterministic, fail to capture the inherent uncertainty of scene acoustics under sparse context. We introduce FLow-matching ACoustic generation (FLAC), a probabilistic method for few-shot acoustic synthesis that models the distribution of plausible room impulse responses (RIRs) given minimal scene context. FLAC leverages a diffusion transformer trained with a flow-matching objective to generate RIRs at arbitrary positions in novel scenes, conditioned on spatial, geometric, and acoustic cues. FLAC outperforms state-of-the-art eight-shot baselines with one-shot on both the AcousticRooms and Hearing Anything Anywhere datasets. To complement standard perceptual metrics, we further introduce AGREE, a joint Acoustic-GeometRy EmbEdding, enabling geometry-consistent evaluation of generated RIRs through retrieval and distributional metrics. This work is the first to apply generative flow matching to explicit RIR synthesis, establishing a new direction for robust and data-efficient acoustic synthesis. Project page: https://amandinebtto.github.io/FLAC/