As a bridge between natural texts and information systems like structured storage, statistical analysis, retrieving, and recommendation, the text-to-table task has received widespread attention recently. Existing researches have gone through a paradigm shift from traditional bottom-up IE (Information Extraction) to top-down LLMs-based question answering with RAG (Retrieval-Augmented Generation). Furthermore, these methods mainly adopt end-to-end models or use multi-stage pipelines to extract text content based on static table structures. However, they neglect to deal with precise inner-document evidence extraction and dynamic information such as multiple entities and events, which can not be defined in static table head format and are very common in natural texts.To address this issue, we propose a two-stage dynamic content extraction agent framework called TST (Text-Schema-Table), which uses type recognition methods to extract context evidences with the conduction of domain schema sequentially. Based on the evidence, firstly we quantify the total instances of each dynamic object and then extract them with ordered numerical prompts. Through extensive comparisons with existing methods across different datasets, our extraction framework exhibits state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance. Our codes are available at https://github.com/jiangpw41/TST.
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An extensive high-quality instruction dataset is crucial for the instruction tuning process of Large Language Models (LLMs). Recent instruction expansion methods have demonstrated their capability to improve the quality and quantity of existing datasets, by prompting high-performance LLM to generate multiple new instructions from the original ones. However, existing methods focus on constructing multi-perspective prompts (e.g., increasing complexity or difficulty) to expand instructions, overlooking the “Fixed Thinking Pattern” issue of LLMs. This issue arises when repeatedly using the same set of prompts, causing LLMs to rely on a limited set of certain expressions to expand all instructions, potentially compromising the diversity of the final expanded dataset. This paper theoretically analyzes the causes of the “Fixed Thinking Pattern”, and corroborates this phenomenon through multi-faceted empirical research. Furthermore, we propose a novel method based on dynamic prompt updating: Global Eye. Specifically, after a fixed number of instruction expansions, we analyze the statistical characteristics of newly generated instructions and then update the prompts. Experimental results show that our method enables Llama3-8B and Llama2-13B to surpass the performance of open-source LLMs and GPT3.5 across various metrics. Our code and data are submitted to the Software & Data option.
Llama See, Llama Do: A Mechanistic Perspective on Contextual Entrainment and Distraction in LLMs
PDF ↗We observe a novel phenomenon, *contextual entrainment*, across a wide range of language models (LMs) and prompt settings, providing a new mechanistic perspective on how LMs become distracted by “irrelevant” contextual information in the input prompt. Specifically, LMs assign significantly higher logits (or probabilities) to any tokens that have previously appeared in the context prompt, even for random tokens. This suggests that contextual entrainment is a mechanistic phenomenon, occurring independently of the relevance or semantic relation of the tokens to the question or the rest of the sentence. We find statistically significant evidence that the magnitude of contextual entrainment is influenced by semantic factors. Counterfactual prompts have a greater effect compared to factual ones, suggesting that while contextual entrainment is a mechanistic phenomenon, it is modulated by semantic factors.We hypothesise that there is a circuit of attention heads — the *entrainment heads* — that corresponds to the contextual entrainment phenomenon. Using a novel entrainment head discovery method based on differentiable masking, we identify these heads across various settings. When we “turn off” these heads, i.e., set their outputs to zero, the effect of contextual entrainment is significantly attenuated, causing the model to generate output that capitulates to what it would produce if no distracting context were provided. Our discovery of contextual entrainment, along with our investigation into LM distraction via the entrainment heads, marks a key step towards the mechanistic analysis and mitigation of the distraction problem.
Large language models (LLMs) rely heavily on sampling methods to generate diverse and high-quality text.While existing sampling methods like top-p and min-p have identified the detrimental effects of low-probability tails in LLMs’ outputs, they still fail to effectively distinguish between diversity and noise. This limitation stems from their reliance on probability-based metrics that are inherently sensitive to temperature scaling. Through empirical and theoretical analysis, we make two key discoveries: (1) the pre-softmax logits exhibit a clear statistical separation between informative tokens and noise, and (2) we prove the mathematical equivalence of min-p and top-(1-p) under uniform distribution over logits. These findings motivate the design of top-n\sigma, a novel sampling method that identifies informative tokens by eliminating noise directly in logit space.Unlike existing methods that become unstable at high temperatures, top-n\sigma achieves temperature-invariant token selection while preserving output diversity. Extensive experiments across reasoning and creative writing tasks demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms existing approaches, with particularly significant improvements in high-temperature settings.
SpeechFake: A Large-Scale Multilingual Speech Deepfake Dataset Incorporating Cutting-Edge Generation Methods
PDF ↗As speech generation technology advances, the risk of misuse through deepfake audio has become a pressing concern, which underscores the critical need for robust detection systems. However, many existing speech deepfake datasets are limited in scale and diversity, making it challenging to train models that can generalize well to unseen deepfakes. To address these gaps, we introduce SpeechFake, a large-scale dataset designed specifically for speech deepfake detection. SpeechFake includes over 3 million deepfake samples, totaling more than 3,000 hours of audio, generated using 40 different speech synthesis tools. The dataset encompasses a wide range of generation techniques, including text-to-speech, voice conversion, and neural vocoder, incorporating the latest cutting-edge methods. It also provides multilingual support, spanning 46 languages. In this paper, we offer a detailed overview of the dataset’s creation, composition, and statistics. We also present baseline results by training detection models on SpeechFake, demonstrating strong performance on both its own test sets and various unseen test sets. Additionally, we conduct experiments to rigorously explore how generation methods, language diversity, and speaker variation affect detection performance. We believe SpeechFake will be a valuable resource for advancing speech deepfake detection and developing more robust models for evolving generation techniques.
IRIS: An Iterative and Integrated Framework for Verifiable Causal Discovery in the Absence of Tabular Data
PDF ↗Causal discovery is fundamental to scientific research, yet traditional statistical algorithms face significant challenges, including expensive data collection, redundant computation for known relations, and unrealistic assumptions. While recent LLM-based methods excel at identifying commonly known causal relations, they fail to uncover novel relations. We introduce IRIS (Iterative Retrieval and Integrated System for Real-Time Causal Discovery), a novel framework that addresses these limitations. Starting with a set of initial variables, IRIS automatically collects relevant documents, extracts variables, and uncovers causal relations. Our hybrid causal discovery method combines statistical algorithms and LLM-based methods to discover known and novel causal relations. In addition to causal discovery on initial variables, the missing variable proposal component of IRIS identifies and incorporates missing variables to expand the causal graphs. Our approach enables real-time causal discovery from only a set of initial variables without requiring pre-existing datasets.
Recent advancements in large language models (LLMs) have highlighted the risk of misusing them, raising the need for accurate detection of LLM-generated content. In response, a viable solution is to inject imperceptible identifiers into LLMs, known as watermarks. Our research extends the existing watermarking methods by proposing the novel Sampling One Then Accepting (STA-1) method. STA-1 is an unbiased watermark that preserves the original token distribution in expectation and has a lower risk of producing unsatisfactory outputs in low-entropy scenarios compared to existing unbiased watermarks. In watermark detection, STA-1 does not require prompts or a white-box LLM, provides statistical guarantees, demonstrates high efficiency in detection time, and remains robust against various watermarking attacks. Experimental results on low-entropy and high-entropy datasets demonstrate that STA-1 achieves the above properties simultaneously, making it a desirable solution for watermarking LLMs. Implementation codes for this study are available online.
FloorPlan-LLaMa: Aligning Architects’ Feedback and Domain Knowledge in Architectural Floor Plan Generation
PDF ↗Floor plans serve as a graphical language through which architects sketch and communicate their design ideas. Actually, in the Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC) design stages, generating floor plans is a complex task requiring domain expertise and alignment with user requirements. However, existing evaluation methods for floor plan generation rely mainly on statistical metrics like FID, GED, and PSNR, which often fail to evaluate using domain knowledge. As a result, even high-performing models on these metrics struggle to generate viable floor plans in practice. To address this, (1) we propose ArchiMetricsNet, the first floor plan dataset that includes functionality, flow, and overall evaluation scores, along with detailed textual analyses. We trained FloorPlan-MPS (Multi-dimensional Preference Score) on it. (2) We develope FloorPlan-LLaMa, a floor plan generation model based on autoregressive framework. To integrate architects’ professional expertise and preferences, FloorPlan-MPS serves as the reward model during the RLHF (Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback) process, aligning FP-LLaMa with the needs of the architectural community. (3) Comparative experiments demonstrate that our method outperforms baseline models in both text-conditional and class-conditional tasks. Validation by professional architects confirms that our approach yields more rational plans and aligns better with human preferences.
Position · Methodology
Rigorous statistical evaluations of large language models (LLMs), including valid error bars and significance testing, are essential for meaningful and reliable performance assessment. Currently, when such statistical measures are reported, they typically rely on the Central Limit Theorem (CLT). In this position paper, we argue that while CLT-based methods for uncertainty quantification are appropriate when benchmarks consist of thousands of examples, they fail to provide adequate uncertainty estimates for LLM evaluations that rely on smaller, highly specialized benchmarks. In these small-data settings, we demonstrate that CLT-based methods perform very poorly, usually dramatically underestimating uncertainty (i.e. producing error bars that are too small). We give recommendations for alternative frequentist and Bayesian methods that are both easy to implement and more appropriate in these increasingly common scenarios.
Optimization · Large Scale, Parallel and Distributed
Decentralized learning has emerged as a powerful approach for handling large datasets across multiple machines in a communication-efficient manner. However, such methods often face scalability limitations, as increasing the number of machines beyond a certain point negatively impacts convergence rates. In this work, we propose *Decentralized Anytime SGD*, a novel decentralized learning algorithm that significantly extends the critical parallelism threshold, enabling the effective use of more machines without compromising performance. Within the stochastic convex optimization (SCO) framework, we establish a theoretical upper bound on parallelism that surpasses the current state-of-the-art, allowing larger networks to achieve favorable statistical guarantees and closing the gap with centralized learning in highly connected topologies.
Social Aspects
Performativity, the phenomenon where outcomes are influenced by predictions, is particularly prevalent in social contexts where individuals strategically respond to a deployed model. In order to preserve the high accuracy of machine learning models under distribution shifts caused by performativity, Perdomo et al. (2020) introduced the concept of performative risk minimization (PRM). While this framework ensures model accuracy, it overlooks the impact of the PRM on the underlying distributions and the predictions of the model. In this paper, we initiate the analysis of the impact of PRM, by studying performativity for a sequential performative risk minimization problem with binary random variables and linear performative shifts. We formulate two natural measures of impact. In the case of full information, where the distribution dynamics are known, we derive explicit formulas for the PRM solution and our impact measures. In the case of partialinformation, we provide performative-aware statistical estimators, as well as simulations. Our analysis contrasts PRM to alternatives that do not model data shift and indicates that PRM can have amplified side effects compared to such methods.
Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders
Animating clipart images with seamless motion while maintaining visual fidelity and temporal coherence presents significant challenges. Existing methods, such as AniClipart, effectively model spatial deformations but often fail to ensure smooth temporal transitions, resulting in artifacts like abrupt motions and geometric distortions. Similarly, text-to-video (T2V) and image-to-video (I2V) models struggle to handle clipart due to the mismatch in statistical properties between natural video and clipart styles. This paper introduces FlexiClip, a novel approach designed to overcome these limitations by addressing the intertwined challenges of temporal consistency and geometric integrity. FlexiClip extends traditional Bézier curve-based trajectory modeling with key innovations: temporal Jacobians to correct motion dynamics incrementally, continuous-time modeling via probability flow ODEs (pfODEs) to mitigate temporal noise, and a flow matching loss inspired by GFlowNet principles to optimize smooth motion transitions. These enhancements ensure coherent animations across complex scenarios involving rapid movements and non-rigid deformations. Extensive experiments validate the effectiveness of FlexiClip in generating animations that are not only smooth and natural but also structurally consistent across diverse clipart types, including humans and animals. By integrating spatial and temporal modeling with pre-trained video diffusion models, FlexiClip sets a new standard for high-quality clipart animation, offering robust performance across a wide range of visual content. Project Page: https://creative-gen.github.io/flexiclip.github.io/
General Machine Learning · Supervised Learning
Empirical risk minimization (ERM) with a computationally feasible surrogate loss is a widely accepted approach for classification. Notably, the convexity and calibration (CC) properties of a loss function ensure consistency of ERM in maximizing accuracy, thereby offering a wide range of options for surrogate losses. In this article, we propose a novel ensemble method, namely *EnsLoss*, which extends the ensemble learning concept to combine loss functions within the ERM framework. A key feature of our method is the consideration on preserving the "legitimacy" of the combined losses, i.e., ensuring the CC properties. Specifically, we first transform the CC conditions of losses into loss-derivatives, thereby bypassing the need for explicit loss functions and directly generating calibrated loss-derivatives. Therefore, inspired by Dropout, *EnsLoss* enables loss ensembles through one training process with doubly stochastic gradient descent (i.e., random batch samples and random calibrated loss-derivatives). We theoretically establish the statistical consistency of our approach and provide insights into its benefits. The numerical effectiveness of *EnsLoss* compared to fixed loss methods is demonstrated through experiments on a broad range of 45 pairs of CIFAR10 datasets, the PCam image dataset, and 14 OpenML tabular datasets and with various deep learning architectures. Python repository and source code are available on our Github (https://github.com/statmlben/ensLoss).
Probabilistic Methods · Everything Else
Quality statistical inference requires a sufficient amount of data, which can be missing or hard to obtain. To this end, prediction-powered inference has risen as a promising methodology, but existing approaches are largely limited to Z-estimation problems such as inference of means and quantiles. In this paper, we apply ideas of prediction-powered inference to e-values. By doing so, we inherit all the usual benefits of e-values -- such as anytime-validity, post-hoc validity and versatile sequential inference -- as well as greatly expand the set of inferences achievable in a prediction-powered manner. In particular, we show that every inference procedure that can be framed in terms of e-values has a prediction-powered counterpart, given by our method. We showcase the effectiveness of our framework across a wide range of inference tasks, from simple hypothesis testing and confidence intervals to more involved procedures for change-point detection and causal discovery, which were out of reach of previous techniques. Our approach is modular and easily integrable into existing algorithms, making it a compelling choice for practical applications.
Probabilistic Methods · Monte Carlo and Sampling Methods
Sampling from high-dimensional probability distributions is fundamental in machine learning and statistics. As datasets grow larger, computational efficiency becomes increasingly important, particularly in reducing *adaptive complexity*, namely the number of sequential rounds required for sampling algorithms. While recent works have introduced several parallelizable techniques, they often exhibit suboptimal convergence rates and remain significantly weaker than the latest lower bounds for log-concave sampling.To address this, we propose a novel parallel sampling method that improves adaptive complexity dependence on dimension $d$ reducing it from $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\log^2 d)$ to $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\log d)$. Our approach builds on parallel simulation techniques from scientific computing.
Deep Learning · Large Language Models
Understanding the decision-making processes of large language models is critical given their widespread applications. To achieve this, we aim to connect a formal mathematical framework—zigzag persistence from topological data analysis —with practical and easily applicable algorithms. Zigzag persistence is particularly effective for characterizing data as it dynamically transforms across model layers. Within this framework, we introduce topological descriptors that measure how topological features, $p$-dimensional holes, persist and evolve throughout the layers. Unlike methods that assess each layer individually and then aggregate the results, our approach directly tracks the full evolutionary path of these features. This offers a statistical perspective on how prompts are rearranged and their relative positions changed in the representation space, providing insights into the system’s operation as an integrated whole. To demonstrate the expressivity and applicability of our framework, we highlight how sensitive these descriptors are to different models and a variety of datasets. As a showcase application to a downstream task, we use zigzag persistence to establish a criterion for layer pruning, achieving results comparable to state-of-the-art methods while preserving the system-level perspective.
General Machine Learning · Supervised Learning
Although Recommender Systems (RS) have been well-developed for various fields of applications, they often suffer from a crisis of platform credibility with respect to RS confidence and fairness, which may drive users away, threatening the platform's long-term success. In recent years, some works have tried to solve these issues; however, they lack strong statistical guarantees. Therefore, there is an urgent need to solve both issues with a unifying framework with robust statistical guarantees. In this paper, we propose a novel and reliable framework called Equitable and Statistically Unbiased Recommendation (ENSUR)) to dynamically generate prediction sets for users across various groups, which are guaranteed 1) to include ground-truth items with user-predefined high confidence/probability (e.g., 90\%); 2) to ensure user fairness across different groups; 3) to have minimum efficient average prediction set sizes.We further design an efficient algorithm named Guaranteed User Fairness Algorithm (GUFA) to optimize the proposed method and derive upper bounds of risk and fairness metrics to speed up the optimization process.Moreover, we provide rigorous theoretical analysis concerning risk and fairness control and minimum set size. Extensive experiments validate the effectiveness of the proposed framework, which aligns with our theoretical analysis.
Theory · Online Learning and Bandits
Contextual sequential decision-making is fundamental to machine learning, with applications in bandits, sequential hypothesis testing, and online risk control. These tasks often rely on statistical measures like expectation, variance, and quantiles. In this paper, we propose a universal algorithmic framework that learns the full underlying distribution, enabling a unified approach to all contextual online decision-making problems. The challenge lies in the uncountably infinite-dimensional regression, where existing contextual bandit algorithms all yield infinite regret. We innovatively propose an efficient infinite-dimensional functional regression oracle for contextual cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) and model every datum as a combination of context-dependent CDF basis functions. Our analysis reveals that the decay rate of the eigenvalue sequence of the design integral operator governs the regression error rate, and consequently, the utility regret rate. Specifically, when the eigenvalue sequence exhibits a polynomial decay of order $\frac{1}{\gamma}\ge 1$, the utility regret is bounded by $\tilde{O}( T^{\frac{3\gamma+2}{2(\gamma+2)}})$. The case that $\gamma=0$ can recover the existing optimal rate in contextual bandits literature with finite-dimensional regression and so as exponential decay. We also provide a numerical method to compute the eigenvalue sequence of integral operators, enabling the practical implementation of our framework.
Social Aspects · Privacy
Federated Distillation (FedKD) relies on lightweight knowledge carriers like logits for efficient client-server communication. Although logit-based methods have demonstrated promise in addressing statistical and architectural heterogeneity in federated learning (FL), current approaches remain constrained by suboptimal temperature calibration during knowledge fusion.To address these limitations, we propose ReT-FHD, a framework featuring: 1) Multi-level Elastic Temperature, which dynamically adjusts distillation intensities across model layers, achieving optimized knowledge transfer between heterogeneous local models; 2) Category-Aware Global Temperature Scaling that implements class-specific temperature calibration based on confidence distributions in global logits, enabling personalized distillation policies; 3) Z-Score Guard, a blockchain-verified validation mechanism mitigating 44\% of label-flipping and model poisoning attacks. Evaluations across diverse benchmarks with varying model/data heterogeneity demonstrate that the ReT-FHD achieves significant accuracy improvements over baseline methods while substantially reducing communication costs compared to existing approaches. Our work establishes that properly calibrated logits can serve as self-sufficient carriers for building scalable and secure heterogeneous FL systems.
Deep Learning
Personalized federated learning (PFL) based on Bayesian approach tackle the challenges from statistical heterogeneity of client data by computing a personalized posterior distribution over the parameters of each client's local model and constructing a global distribution by aggregating the parameters of these personalized posteriors. However, the heuristic aggregation methods introduce strong biases and result in global models with poor generalization. We thus propose a novel hierarchical Bayesian inference framework for PFL by specifying a conjugate hyper-prior over the parameters of the personalized posteriors. This allows us to jointly compute a global posterior distribution for aggregation and the personalized ones at local level. This hierarchical Bayesian inference framework achieves elegant balance between local personalization and global model robustness. Extensive empirical study shows that by effectively sharing the heterogeneous statistical strength across the local models while retaining their distinctive characteristics, our framework yields state-of-the-art performance. We also show that existing Bayesian PFLs are special cases of our framework.