We study equilibrium pricing in oligopolistic data markets with budget-constrained buyers (e.g., ML companies purchasing data to improve model accuracy) and strategic data sellers. Sellers compete by setting prices for their datasets, giving rise to a pricing game whose pure Nash equilibria correspond to equilibrium prices. While equilibrium prices are guaranteed for rivalrous goods via competitive equilibrium, we show that the non-rivalry of data fundamentally alters this picture: an exact Nash equilibrium need not exist, and in fact no 1.364-approximate equilibrium exists under uniform pricing. We therefore investigate relaxed equilibrium notions. Allowing sellers to use beyond-uniform pricing—specifically, piecewise-linear convex pricing functions—guarantees approximate stability within a constant factor: there exists a pricing profile in which no seller can improve revenue by a factor of two by deviating to any uniform price (a 2-approximate Nash equilibrium). Finally, our simulations demonstrate fast convergence and empirical approximation guarantees that outperform the worst-case bound of 2.
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Deep Learning · Theory
Stability and robustness are critical for deploying Transformers in safety-sensitive settings. A principled way to enforce such behavior is to constrain the model's Lipschitz constant. However, approximation-theoretic guarantees for architectures that explicitly preserve Lipschitz continuity have yet to be established. In this work, we bridge this gap by introducing a class of gradient-descent-type in-context Transformers that are Lipschitz-continuous by construction. We realize both MLP and attention blocks as explicit Euler steps of negative gradient flows, ensuring inherent stability without sacrificing expressivity. We prove a universal approximation theorem for this class within a Lipschitz-constrained function space. Crucially, our analysis adopts a measure-theoretic formalism, interpreting Transformers as operators on probability measures, to yield approximation guarantees independent of token count. These results provide a rigorous theoretical foundation for the design of robust, Lipschitz continuous Transformer architectures.
Reinforcement Learning · Everything Else
Empirically, option-based hierarchical reinforcement (HRL) learning often produces longer and more diverse options when a deliberation cost is charged at option boundaries. However, when options are executed for many steps under an approximate dynamics model, small model errors compound along the option, degrading the quality of the resulting plan. In this work, we introduce the commitment loss to formalize the tradeoff between deliberation cost and model error as a function of option duration. We characterize how optimal termination probabilities vary with this tradeoff under two model-error mechanisms. First, the model is learned from finite data via maximum-likelihood estimation, producing statistical error that interacts with option duration. Second, we consider an input-driven setting where an exogenous input is only observed at option boundaries and evolves unobserved between them, creating a drift-induced mismatch between planned and realized dynamics. In both cases, we solve for the optimal termination behavior as a function of deliberation cost and the error scale, clarifying the behavior of some popular HRL algorithms that approach the deliberation cost as a heuristic.
Theory · Deep Learning
Research on the expressive power of transformers shows that transformers are equivariant to permutations and can approximate all permutation-equivariant continuous functions on a compact domain. However, these results assume real parameters and exact operations, whereas real-world implementations on computers can only use a finite set of numbers and inexact machine operations with round-off errors. In this work, we investigate the representability of floating-point transformers that use floating-point parameters and floating-point operations. Unlike existing results under exact arithmetic, we first show that floating-point transformers can represent non-permutation-equivariant functions even without positional encoding. Furthermore, we prove that floating-point transformers can represent all permutation-equivariant functions when the sequence length is bounded, but they cannot when the sequence length is large. We also identify the minimal equivariance property in floating-point transformers, and show that all non-trivial additive positional encoding can harm the representability of floating-point transformers.
Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders
With recent advancements in large-scale pre-trained text-to-image (T2I) models, training-free image editing methods have demonstrated remarkable success. Typically, these methods involve adding noise to a clean image via an inversion process, followed by separate denoising steps for the reconstruction and editing paths during the forward process. However, since the reconstruction path is approximated using noisy latents from mismatched timesteps, existing methods inevitably suffer from accumulated drift, which fundamentally limits reconstruction fidelity. To address this challenge, we systematically analyze the inversion process within the flow transformer and propose DirectEdit, a simple yet efficient editing method that eliminates the inherent reconstruction error without introducing additional neural function evaluations (NFEs). Unlike most prior works that attempt to rectify the inversion path, DirectEdit focuses on directly aligning the forward paths, enabling precise reconstruction and reliable feature sharing. Furthermore, we introduce a preservation mechanism based on attention feature injection and multi-branch mask-guided noise blending, which effectively balances fidelity and editability. Extensive experiments across diverse scenarios demonstrate that DirectEdit achieves efficient and accurate image editing, delivering superior performance that outperforms state-of-the-art methods. Code will be released.
Theory · Deep Learning
Score-based generative models (SGMs) are powerful tools to sample from complex data distributions. Their underlying idea is to \emph{(i)} run a forward process for time $T_1$ by adding noise to the data, \emph{(ii)} estimate its score function, and \emph{(iii)} use such estimate to run a reverse process. As the reverse process is initialized with the stationary distribution of the forward one, the existing analysis paradigm requires $T_1\to\infty$. This is however problematic: from a theoretical viewpoint, for a given precision of the score approximation, the convergence guarantee fails as $T_1$ diverges; from a practical viewpoint, a large $T_1$ increases computational costs and leads to error propagation. This paper addresses the issue by considering a version of the popular \emph{predictor-corrector} scheme: after running the forward process, we first estimate the final distribution via an inexact Langevin dynamics and then revert the process. Our key technical contribution is to provide convergence guarantees which require to run the forward process \emph{only for a fixed finite time} $T_1$. Our bounds exhibit a mild logarithmic dependence on the input dimension and the subgaussian norm of the target distribution, have minimal assumptions on the data, and require only to control the $L^2$ loss on the score approximation, which is the quantity minimized in practice.
General Machine Learning · Scalable Algorithms
Sliced optimal transport (SOT), or sliced Wasserstein (SW) distance, is widely recognized for its statistical and computational scalability. In this work, we further enhance computational scalability by proposing the first method for estimating SW from sample streams, called streaming sliced Wasserstein (Stream-SW). To define Stream-SW, we first introduce a streaming estimator of the one-dimensional Wasserstein distance (1DW). Since the 1DW has a closed-form expression, given by the absolute difference between the quantile functions of the compared distributions, we leverage quantile approximation techniques for sample streams to define a streaming 1DW estimator. By applying the streaming 1DW to all projections, we obtain Stream-SW. The key advantage of Stream-SW is its low memory complexity while providing theoretical guarantees on the approximation error. We demonstrate that Stream-SW achieves a more accurate approximation of SW than random subsampling, with lower memory consumption, when comparing Gaussian distributions and mixtures of Gaussians from streaming samples. Additionally, we conduct experiments on point cloud classification, point cloud gradient flows, and streaming change point detection to further highlight the favorable performance of the proposed Stream-SW.
Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders
We propose \emph{Euler Mean Flows (EMF)}, a flow-based generative framework for one-step and few-step generation that enforces long-range trajectory consistency with minimal sampling cost. The key idea of EMF is to replace the trajectory consistency constraint, which is difficult to supervise and optimize over long time scales, with a principled linear surrogate that enables direct data supervision for long-horizon flow-map compositions. We derive this approximation from the semigroup formulation of flow-based models and show that, under mild regularity assumptions, it faithfully approximates the original consistency objective while being substantially easier to optimize. This formulation leads to a unified, JVP-free training framework that supports both $u$-prediction and $x_1$-prediction variants, avoiding explicit Jacobian computations and significantly reducing memory and computational overhead. Experiments on image synthesis, particle-based geometry generation, and functional generation demonstrate improved optimization stability and sample quality under fixed sampling budgets, together with approximately $50\%$ reductions in training time and memory consumption compared to existing one-step methods for image generation.
Theory · Deep Learning
We study in-context learning for nonparametric regression with $\alpha$-Hölder smooth regression functions, for some $\alpha>0$. We prove that, with $n$ in-context examples and $d$-dimensional regression covariates, a pretrained transformer with $\Theta(\log n)$ parameters and $\Omega\bigl(n^{2\alpha/(2\alpha+d)}\log^3 n\bigr)$ pretraining sequences can achieve the minimax-optimal rate of convergence $O\bigl(n^{-2\alpha/(2\alpha+d)}\bigr)$ in mean squared error. Our result requires substantially fewer transformer parameters and pretraining sequences than previous results in the literature. This is achieved by showing that transformers are able to approximate local polynomial estimators efficiently by implementing a kernel-weighted polynomial basis and then running gradient descent.
Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders
Flow Matching (FM) models have emerged as a leading paradigm for high-fidelity synthesis. However, their reliance on iterative Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) solving creates a significant latency bottleneck. Existing solutions face a dichotomy: training-free solvers suffer from significant performance degradation at low Neural Function Evaluations (NFEs), while training-based methods incur prohibitive training costs and lack plug-and-play versatility. To bridge this gap, we propose the Bi-Anchor Interpolation Solver (BA-solver). BA-solver retains the versatility of standard training-free solvers while achieving significant acceleration by introducing a lightweight SideNet (1-2% backbone size) alongside the frozen backbone. Specifically, our method is founded on two synergistic components: 1) Bidirectional Temporal Perception, where the SideNet learns to approximate both future and historical velocities without retraining the heavy backbone; and 2) Bi-Anchor Velocity Integration, which utilizes the SideNet with two anchor velocities to efficiently approximate intermediate velocities for batched high-order integration. By utilizing the backbone to establish high-precision “anchors” and the SideNet to densify the trajectory, BA-solver enables large step sizes with minimized error. Empirical results on ImageNet-256 demonstrate that BA-solver achieves generation quality comparable to 100+ NFEs Euler solver in just 10 NFEs and maintains high fidelity in as few as 5 NFEs, incurring negligible training costs. Furthermore, BA-solver ensures seamless integration with existing generative pipelines, facilitating downstream tasks such as image editing.
Theory · Game Theory
We study a setting in which two players play a (possibly approximate) Nash equilibrium of a bimatrix game, while a learner observes only their actions and has no knowledge of the equilibrium or the underlying game. A natural question is whether the learner can rationalize the observed behavior by inferring the players' payoff functions. Rather than producing a single payoff estimate, inverse game theory aims to identify the entire set of payoffs consistent with observed behavior, enabling downstream use in, e.g., counterfactual analysis and mechanism design across applications like auctions, pricing, and security games. We focus on the problem of estimating the set of feasible payoffs with high probability and up to precision $\epsilon$ on the Hausdorff metric. We provide the first minimax-optimal rates for both exact and approximate equilibrium play, in zero-sum as well as general-sum games. Our results provide learning-theoretic foundations for set-valued payoff inference in multi-agent environments.
Deep Learning · Everything Else
Quantization can drastically increase the efficiency of large language and vision models, but typically incurs an accuracy drop. Recently, function-preserving transforms (e.g. rotations, Hadamard transform, channel-wise scaling) have been successfully applied to reduce post-training quantization error, yet a principled explanation remains elusive. We analyze linear-layer quantization via the signal-to-quantization-noise ratio (SQNR), showing that for uniform integer quantization at a fixed bit width, SQNR decomposes into (i) the concentration of weights and activations (capturing spread and outliers), and (ii) the alignment of their dominant variation directions. This provides an actionable insight: enhancing alignment between weight and activation variation directions can reduce quantization error, complementing concentration-focused approaches. Motivated by this, we introduce Concentration–Alignment Transforms (CAT), a lightweight linear transformation that uses a covariance estimate from a small calibration set to jointly improve concentration and alignment, approximately maximizing SQNR. Experiments across several LLMs show that CAT consistently matches or outperforms prior transform-based quantization methods at 4-bit precision.
Deep Learning · Theory
We study optimal learning-rate selection in two-layer and three-layer linear neural networks trained to learn a single-index target function. In particular, we derive the exact closed-form expressions for the gradients and test loss after one and two steps of gradient descent, enabling a precise characterization of early training dynamics. We characterize how learning rates should scale under the gradient approximation in the first two steps, and prove that performing updates with this approximation yields a tractable surrogate loss with a tight, small approximation error. This formulation enables the theoretical analysis of layer-wise learning rates and reveals a distinct early-training regime: test loss can be minimized by unequal learning rates at the initial step, while equal learning rates become optimal in subsequent steps. Our numerical experiments validate these theoretical predictions and demonstrate the importance of balancing layer-wise learning-rate during early training.
Social Aspects · Everything Else
This position paper argues that modern machine learning creates structural risks for knowledge and cultural production, operating before AGI thresholds through market selection mechanisms. We use \emph{temporality} operationally for how understanding changes over time and signals left by that process. Representation learning and autoregressive generation approximate output distributions while omitting slow, path-dependent human learning; at scale, these function as general-purpose production technologies. We analyze the link from technical indistinguishability to market selection: when divergence between model and temporal signals is small and verification costly, decision makers cease screening, prices track pooled quality, and temporality-intensive work exits. We call this phenomenon \emph{value collapse}. Recent evidence shows this active: academic publishing has experienced dramatic productivity increases alongside troubling quality trends; cultural production shows explosive AI-generated content adoption. As training data mirror such environments, models absorb their outputs and model collapse risk rises. Alignment is orthogonal: by narrowing observable gaps, it intensifies selection pressures where provenance remains costly.
General Machine Learning · Transfer, Multitask and Meta-learning
We develop a continual learning method for pretrained models that \emph{requires no access to old-task data}, addressing a practical barrier in foundation model adaptation where pretraining distributions are often unavailable. Our key observation is that pretrained networks exhibit substantial \emph{geometric redundancy}, and that this redundancy can be exploited in two complementary ways. First, redundant neurons provide a proxy for dominant pretraining-era feature directions, enabling the construction of approximately protected update subspaces directly from pretrained weights. Second, redundancy offers a natural bias for \emph{where} to place plasticity: by restricting updates to a subset of redundant neurons and constraining the remaining degrees of freedom, we obtain update families with reduced functional drift on the old-data distribution and improved worst-case retention guarantees. These insights lead to \textsc{PLATE} (\textbf{Pla}sticity-\textbf{T}unable \textbf{E}fficient Adapters), a continual learning method requiring no past-task data that provides explicit control over the plasticity-retention trade-off. PLATE parameterizes each layer with a structured low-rank update $\Delta W = B A Q^\top$, where $B$ and $Q$ are computed once from pretrained weights and kept frozen, and only $A$ is trained on the new task.
General Machine Learning · Representation Learning
In many machine learning applications, the most relevant items for a query should be efficiently extracted. The relevance function is usually an expensive similarity model making the exhaustive search infeasible. A typical solution is to train another model that separately embeds queries and items to a vector space, where similarity is defined via the dot product or cosine similarity. This allows one to search the relevant items through fast approximate nearest neighbors search at the cost of some reduction in quality. To compensate for this reduction, the found items (candidates) are re-ranked by the expensive ranking model. In this paper, we investigate an alternative approach to candidate selection that utilizes the scores of the expensive model to improve the representations of queries and items. The idea is to describe each query (item) by its relevance for a set of support items (queries) and use these new representations to obtain query (item) embeddings. We theoretically prove that such embeddings are powerful enough to approximate any complex similarity model (under mild conditions). We also investigate the choice of support items, which is a crucial ingredient of the proposed approach. The experiments on diverse academic and production datasets illustrate the power of our method.
Theory · Deep Learning
Theoretical studies show that for any differentiable function on a compact domain, there exists a neural network that approximates both the function values and gradients. However, such a result cannot be used in practice since it assumes real parameters and exact internal operations. In contrast, real implementations only use a finite subset of reals and machine operations with round-off errors. In this work, we investigate whether a similar result holds for neural networks under floating-point arithmetic, when the gradient with respect to the input is computed by the automatic differentiation algorithm $D^\mathtt{AD}$. We first show that given a floating-point function $\phi$ (e.g., a loss function), arbitrary function values and gradients can be represented by a floating-point network $f$ and $D^\mathtt{AD}(\phi\circ f)$, respectively. We further extend this result: given $\phi_1,\dots,\phi_n$, $D^\mathtt{AD}(\phi_i\circ f)$ can simultaneously represent arbitrary gradients while $f$ represents the target values, under mild conditions. Our results hold for practical activation functions, e.g., ReLU, ELU, GELU, Swish, Sigmoid, and tanh.
Theory · Optimization
A wide range of optimization problems can often be written in terms of generalized convex functions (GCFs). When this structure is present, it can convert certain nested bilevel objectives into single-level problems amenable to standard first-order optimization methods. We provide a new differentiable layer with a convex parameter space and show (Theorems 5.1 and 5.2) that it and its gradient are universal approximators for GCFs and their gradients. We demonstrate how this parameterization can be leveraged in practice by (i) learning optimal transport maps with general cost functions and (ii) learning optimal auctions of multiple goods. In both these cases, we show how our layer can be used to convert the existing bilevel or min-max formulations into single-level problems that can be solved efficiently with first-order methods.
Applications · Time Series
Time-series foundation models (TSFMs) deliver strong cross-domain generalization, but their scale makes deployment costly. Knowledge distillation is a natural compression route, yet prior TSFM distillation typically imitates teacher outputs, features, or pairwise relations, and therefore remains tightly coupled to teacher-specific training trajectories while underutilizing two empirical properties: (i) high-level representations across model scales tend to converge toward a shared, approximately low-rank geometry, and (ii) layer-wise utility follows a long-tail pattern. We propose consensus subspace distillation, which reframes distillation as aligning a student to a model-agnostic geometric object: a scale-invariant low-rank consensus subspace together with its center statistics. Offline, we screen high-contribution layers via drop-layer marginal loss, estimate a shrinkage-stabilized covariance from their embeddings, and derive a truncated eigensubspace that defines a consensus projector. Online, we project student embeddings into this subspace and match the teacher’s projected mean and covariance using a lightweight mean--covariance objective, enabling stable optimization without rigid pointwise feature binding. To mitigate subset-induced bias, we further introduce a frequency-domain uncertainty injection mechanism that inflates spectral density based on characteristic-function discrepancies and injects dispersion only within the consensus directions. Across forecasting and imputation, the distilled student matches or slightly improves upon the teacher, while exhibiting a predictable trade-off under strict zero-shot classification. With MOMENT-Large as teacher, we achieve about 90% parameter reduction and substantial distillation-time savings while retaining comparable performance across multiple time-series tasks. Code and compressed weights are available at anonymous.4open.science/r/CSD-13C3/.
Reinforcement Learning · Batch/Offline
Standard approaches to goal-conditioned reinforcement learning (GCRL) that rely on temporal-difference learning can be unstable and sample-inefficient due to bootstrapping. While recent work has explored contrastive and supervised formulations to improve stability, we present a probabilistic alternative, called survival value learning (SVL), that reframes GCRL as a survival learning problem by modeling the time‑to‑goal from each state as a probability distribution. This perspective yields a closed‑form identity that expresses the goal‑conditioned value function as a discounted sum of survival probabilities, enabling value estimation via a hazard model trained via maximum likelihood on both event and right‑censored trajectories. We introduce three practical value estimators, including finite-horizon truncation and two binned infinite-horizon approximations to capture long-horizon objectives. Experiments on standard offline GCRL benchmarks show that SVL combined with hierarchical actors matches or surpasses strong hierarchical TD baselines, particularly excelling on complex, long‑horizon tasks.