In label-noise learning, accurately identifying the transition matrix is crucial for developing statistically consistent classifiers. This task is complicated by instance-dependent noise, which introduces identifiability challenges in the absence of stringent assumptions. Existing methods use neural networks to estimate the transition matrix by initially extracting confident clean instances. However, this extraction process is hindered by severe inter-class imbalance and a bias toward selecting unambiguous intra-class instances, leading to a distorted understanding of noise patterns. To tackle these challenges, our paper introduces a Class Rebalance and Geometric Regularization-based Framework (CRGR). CRGR employs a smoothed, noise-tolerant reweighting mechanism to equilibrate inter-class representation, thereby mitigating the risk of model overfitting to dominant classes. Additionally, recognizing that instances with similar characteristics often exhibit parallel noise patterns, we propose that the transition matrix should mirror the similarity of the feature space. This insight promotes the inclusion of ambiguous instances in training, serving as a form of geometric regularization. Such a strategy enhances the model's ability to navigate diverse noise patterns and strengthens its generalization capabilities. By addressing both inter-class and intra-class biases, CRGR offers a more balanced and robust classification model. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate CRGR's superiority over existing state-of-the-art methods, significantly boosting classification accuracy and showcasing its effectiveness in handling instance-dependent noise.
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In many contexts involving ranked preferences, agents submit partial orders over available alternatives. Statistical models often treat these as marginal in the space of total orders, but this approach overlooks information contained in the list length itself. In this work, we introduce and taxonomize approaches for jointly modeling distributions over top-k partial orders and list lengths k, considering two classes of approaches: composite models that view a partial order as a truncation of a total order, and augmented ranking models that model the construction of the list as a sequence of choice decisions, including the decision to stop. For composite models, we consider three dependency structures for joint modeling of order and truncation length. For augmented ranking models, we consider different assumptions on how the stop-token choice is modeled. Using data consisting of partial rankings from San Francisco school choice and San Francisco ranked choice elections, we evaluate how well the models predict observed data and generate realistic synthetic datasets. We find that composite models, explicitly modeling length as a categorical variable, produce synthetic datasets with accurate length distributions, and an augmented model with position-dependent item utilities jointly models length and preferences in the training data best, as measured by negative log loss. Methods from this work have significant implications on the simulation and evaluation of real-world social systems that solicit ranked preferences.
The data science ecosystem encompasses data fairness, statistical, ML and AI methods and tools, interpretable data analysis and results, and trustworthy decision-making. Rapid advancements in AI have revolutionized data utilization and enabled machines to learn from data more effectively. Statistics, as the science of learning from data while accounting for uncertainty, plays a pivotal role in addressing complex real-world problems and facilitating trustworthy decision-making. In this talk, I will discuss the challenges and opportunities involved in building an end-to-end scalable and interpretable data science ecosystem using the analysis of whole genome sequencing studies and biobanks that integrates statistics, ML/AI, and genomic and health science as an example. Biobanks collect whole genome data, electronic health records and epidemiological data. I will illustrate key points using the analysis of multi-ancestry whole genome sequencing studies and biobanks by discussing a few scalable and interpretable statistical and ML/AI methods, tools and data science resources. Specifically, first, data fairness and diversity is a critical pillar of a trustworthy data science ecosystem. About 85+% of genome wide association study samples in the last 15 years are European, resulting in disparity in genetic research. I will discuss the community effort on improving diversity in genetic studies in the last 10 years. I will present trans-ancestry polygenic risk scores (PRS) using millions of common genetic variants across the genome by leveraging large GWAS sample sizes of European and smaller sample sizes of under-represented populations for predicting disease risk using transfer learning and genetic association summary statistics. The performance of deep learning methods for PRS will also be discussed. Second, scalability in cloud platforms is critical for large scale affordable analysis for multi-ancestry biobanks and whole genome studies. I will discuss improving scalability in cloud-computing using interpretable sparsity via FastSparseGRM. To build an interpretable and powerful end-to-end ecosystem of rare variant analysis of large scale whole genome sequencing studies and biobanks, I will first introduce FAVOR, a multi-faceted variant functional annotation database and portal of all possible 9 billions of variants across the whole genome. I will discuss FAVOR-GPT, a LLM interface of the FAVOR functional annotation database to improve user experience for navigating FAVOR and performing variant functional annotation query and variant functional summary statistics calculations. I will also discuss FAVORannotator which can be used to functionally annotate any whole genome sequencing studies. I will also discuss STAAR and STAAR and STAARpipeline, the WGS rare variant analysis pipeline that boosts the power of WGS rare variant association analysis by dynamically incorporating multi-faceted variant functional annotations. Extension of incorporating single-cell data in WGS analysis will also be discussed. I will also discuss ensemble methods that improve the power of rare variant association tests. Cloud-deployment of these resources and tools in several ecosystems will be presented, such as RAP for the UK biobank, AnVIL for the NHGRI Genome Sequencing Program and All of Us, and BioData Catalyst for the NHLBI Trans-omics Precision Medine Program (TOPMed). This talk aims to ignite proactive and thought-provoking discussions, foster collaboration, and cultivate open-minded approaches to advance scientific discovery.
We analyze how numerical experiments regarding elections were conducted within computational social choice literature (focusing on papers published in the IJCAI, AAAI, and AAMAS conferences). We analyze the sizes of the studied elections and the methods of generating preference data, thereby making previously hidden standards and practices explicit. In particular, we survey a number of statistical cultures for generating elections and their commonly used parameters.
Wearable Sensor-Based Few-Shot Continual Learning on Hand Gestures for Motor-Impaired Individuals via Latent Embedding Exploitation
PDF ↗Hand gestures can provide a natural means of human-computer interaction and enable people who cannot speak to communicate efficiently. Existing hand gesture recognition methods heavily depend on pre-defined gestures, however, motor-impaired individuals require new gestures tailored to each individual's gesture motion and style. Gesture samples collected from different persons have distribution shifts due to their health conditions, the severity of the disability, motion patterns of the arms, etc. In this paper, we introduce the Latent Embedding Exploitation (LEE) mechanism in our replay-based Few-Shot Continual Learning (FSCL) framework that significantly improves the performance of fine-tuning a model for out-of-distribution data. Our method produces a diversified latent feature space by leveraging a preserved latent embedding known as gesture prior knowledge, along with intra-gesture divergence derived from two additional embeddings. Thus, the model can capture latent statistical structure in highly variable gestures with limited samples. We conduct an experimental evaluation using the SmartWatch Gesture and the Motion Gesture datasets. The proposed method results in an average test accuracy of 57.0%, 64.6%, and 69.3% by using one, three, and five samples for six different gestures. Our method helps motor-impaired persons leverage wearable devices, and their unique styles of movement can be learned and applied in human-computer interaction and social communication. Code is available at: https://github.com/riyadRafiq/wearable-latent-embedding-exploitation.
An Embarrassingly Simple Approach to Enhance Transformer Performance in Genomic Selection for Crop Breeding
PDF ↗Genomic selection (GS), as a critical crop breeding strategy, plays a key role in enhancing food production and addressing the global hunger crisis. The predominant approaches in GS currently revolve around employing statistical methods for prediction. However, statistical methods often come with two main limitations: strong statistical priors and linear assumptions. A recent trend is to capture the non-linear relationships between markers by deep learning. However, as crop datasets are commonly long sequences with limited samples, the robustness of deep learning models, especially Transformers, remains a challenge. In this work, to unleash the unexplored potential of attention mechanism for the task of interest, we propose a simple yet effective Transformer-based framework that enables end-to-end training of the whole sequence. Via experiments on rice3k and wheat3k datasets, we show that, with simple tricks such as k-mer tokenization and random masking, Transformer can achieve overall superior performance against seminal methods on GS tasks of interest.
Uncontrolled confounding bias causes a spurious relationship between an exposure variable and an outcome variable and precludes reliable evaluation of the causal effect from observed data.Thus, it is important to observe a sufficient set of confounders to reliably evaluate the causal effect.However, there is no statistical method for judging whether an available set of covariates is sufficient to derive a reliable estimator for the causal effect.To address this problem, we focus on the fact that the mean squared error (MSE) of the outcome variable with respect to the average causal risk can be described as the sum of "the conditional variance of the outcome variable given the exposure variable" and "the square of the uncontrolled confounding bias".We then propose a novel sensitivity analysis, namely, the proportion-based sensitivity analysis of uncontrolled confounding bias in causal effects (PSA) in which the sensitivity parameter is formulated as the proportion of "the square of the uncontrolled confounding bias" to the MSE, and we clarify some properties.We also demonstrate the applicability of the PSA through two case studies.
Relation Extraction (RE) identifies relations between entities in text, typically relying on supervised models that demand abundant high-quality data. Various approaches, including Data Augmentation (DA), have been proposed as promising solutions for addressing low-resource challenges in RE. However, existing DA methods in RE often struggle to ensure consistency and contextual diversity in generated data due to the fine-grained nature of RE. Inspired by the extensive generative capabilities of large language models (LLMs), we introduce a novel framework named ConsistRE, aiming to maintain context consistency in RE. ConsistRE initiates by collecting a substantial corpus from external resources and employing statistical algorithms and semantics to identify keyword hints closely related to relation instances. These keyword hints are subsequently integrated as contextual constraints in sentence generation, ensuring the preservation of relation dependence and diversity with LLMs. Additionally, we implement syntactic dependency selection to enhance the syntactic structure of the generated sentences. Experimental results from the evaluation of SemEval, TACRED, and TACREV datasets unequivocally demonstrate that ConsistRE outperforms other baselines in F1 values by 1.76%, 3.92%, and 2.53%, respectively, particularly when operating under low-resource experimental conditions.
Syntax and semantics are two key concepts for language understanding. Topic models typically represent the semantics of a text corpus, while removing syntactic information during preprocessing. Without preprocessing, the generated topics become uninterpretable because the syntactic words dominate generated topics. To learn interpretable topics while keeping valuable syntactic information, we propose a novel framework that can simultaneously learn both syntactic and semantic topics from the corpus without requiring any preprocessing. A context network leverages textual dependencies to distinguish between syntactic and semantic words, while a composite VAE topic model learns two sets of topics. We demonstrate on seven datasets that our proposed method effectively captures both syntactic and semantic representations of a corpus while outperforming state-of-the-art neural topic models and statistical topic models in terms of topic quality.
Bridge to Non-Barrier Communication: Gloss-Prompted Fine-Grained Cued Speech Gesture Generation with Diffusion Model
PDF ↗Cued Speech (CS) is an advanced visual phonetic encoding system that integrates lip reading with hand codings, enabling people with hearing impairments to communicate efficiently. CS video generation aims to produce specific lip and gesture movements of CS from audio or text inputs. The main challenge is that given limited CS data, we strive to simultaneously generate fine-grained hand and finger movements, as well as lip movements, meanwhile the two kinds of movements need to be asynchronously aligned. Existing CS generation methods are fragile and prone to poor performance due to template-based statistical models and careful hand-crafted pre-processing to fit the models. Therefore, we propose a novel Gloss-prompted Diffusion-based CS Gesture generation framework (called GlossDiff). Specifically, to integrate additional linguistic rules knowledge into the model. we first introduce a bridging instruction called Gloss, which is an automatically generated descriptive text to establish a direct and more delicate semantic connection between spoken language and CS gestures. Moreover, we first suggest rhythm is an important paralinguistic feature for CS to improve the communication efficacy. Therefore, we propose a novel Audio-driven Rhythmic Module (ARM) to learn rhythm that matches audio speech. Moreover, in this work, we design, record, and publish the first Chinese CS dataset with four CS cuers. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method quantitatively and qualitatively outperforms current state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods. We will release the code and data at glossdiff.github.io/.
NanoAdapt: Mitigating Negative Transfer in Test Time Adaptation with Extremely Small Batch Sizes
PDF ↗Test Time Adaptation (TTA) has garnered significant attention in recent years, with the research focus on addressing distribution shifts during test time. As one fundamental component of many TTA methods, the Batch Normalization (BN) layer plays a crucial role in enabling the model adaptability. However, existing BN strategies can prove detrimental when the batch size is (extremely) small. In numerous real-world scenarios, limited hardware resources or just-in-time demand often necessitates adjusting models with very small batch sizes, making existing methods less practical. In this paper, we first showcase and thoroughly analyze the negative transfer phenomenon in previous TTA methods encountering extremely small batch sizes. Subsequently, we propose a novel batch size-agnostic method called NanoAdapt to effectively mitigate the negative transfer even with batch size 1. NanoAdapt is composed of three key components: a dynamic BN calibration strategy that leverages historical information and the Taylor series to refine the statistics estimations, an entropy-weighted gradient accumulation strategy that uses the entropy of each sample's label prediction to weigh and accumulate the loss for backpropagation, and a novel proxy computation graph to capture the sample interactions. Extensive experiments are conducted to validate the superiority of NanoAdapt, showing its consistent efficacy in improving existing TTA methods.
Stochastic bilevel optimization (SBO) has been integrated into many machine learning paradigms recently including hyperparameter optimization, meta learning, reinforcement learning, etc. Along with the wide range of applications, there have been abundant studies on concerning the computing behaviors of SBO. However, the generalization guarantees of SBO methods are far less understood from the lens of statistical learning theory. In this paper, we provide a systematical generalization analysis of the first-order gradient-based bilevel optimization methods. Firstly, we establish the quantitative connections between the on-average argument stability and the generalization gap of SBO methods. Then, we derive the upper bounds of on-average argument stability for single timescale stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and two timescale SGD, where three settings (nonconvex-nonconvex (NC-NC), convex-convex (C-C) and strongly-convex-strongly-convex (SC-SC)) are considered respectively. Experimental analysis validates our theoretical findings. Compared with the previous algorithmic stability analysis, our results do not require the re-initialization of the inner-level parameters before each iteration and are suit for more general objective functions.
In the community of artificial intelligence, significant progress has been made in encoding sequential data using deep learning techniques. Nevertheless, how to effectively mine useful information from channel dimensions remains a major challenge, as these features have a submanifold structure. Linear subspace, the basic element of the Grassmannian manifold, has proven to be an effective manifold-valued feature descriptor in statistical representation. Besides, the Euclidean self-attention mechanism has shown great success in capturing long-range relationships of data. Inspired by these facts, we extend the self-attention mechanism to the Grassmannian manifold. Our framework can effectively characterize the spatiotemporal fluctuations of sequential data encoded in the Grassmannian manifold. Extensive experimental results on three benchmarking datasets (a drone recognition dataset and two EEG signal classification datasets) demonstrate the superiority of our method over the state-of-the-art. The code and supplementary material for this work can be found at https://github.com/ChenHu-ML/GDLNet.
This paper revisits the estimation bias control problem of Q-learning, motivated by the fact that the estimation bias is not always evil, i.e., some environments benefit from overestimation bias or underestimation bias, while others suffer from these biases. Different from previous coarse-grained bias control methods, this paper proposes a fine-grained bias control algorithm called Order Q-learning. It uses the order statistic of multiple independent Q-tables to control bias and flexibly meet the personalized bias needs of different environments, i.e., the bias can vary from underestimation bias to overestimation bias as one selects a higher order Q-value. We derive the expected estimation bias and its lower bound and upper bound. They reveal that the expected estimation bias is inversely proportional to the number of Q-tables and proportional to the index of order statistic function. To show the versatility of Order Q-learning, we design an adaptive parameter adjustment strategy, leading to AdaOrder (Adaptive Order) Q-learning. It adaptively selects the number of Q-tables and the index of order statistic function via the number of visits to state-action pair and the average Q-value. We extend Order Q-learning and AdaOrder Q-learning to the large scale setting with function approximation, leading to Order DQN and AdaOrder DQN, respectively. Finally, we consider two experiment settings: deep reinforcement learning experiments show that our method outperforms several SOTA baselines drastically; tabular MDP experiments reveal fundamental insights into why our method can achieve superior performance.Our supplementary file can be found in https://1drv.ms/f/s!Atddp1iaDmL2gjv31CaGquw5WwYI.
FedGCS: A Generative Framework for Efficient Client Selection in Federated Learning via Gradient-based Optimization
PDF ↗Federated Learning faces significant challenges in statistical and system heterogeneity, along with high energy consumption, necessitating efficient client selection strategies. Traditional approaches, including heuristic and learning-based methods, fall short of addressing these complexities holistically. In response, we propose FedGCS, a novel generative client selection framework that innovatively recasts the client selection process as a generative task. Drawing inspiration from the methodologies used in large language models, FedGCS efficiently encodes abundant decision-making knowledge within a continuous representation space, enabling efficient gradient-based optimization to search for optimal client selection that will be finally output via generation. The framework comprises four steps: (1) automatic collection of diverse “selection-score” pair data using classical client selection methods; (2) training an encoder-evaluator-decoder framework on this data to construct a continuous representation space; (3) employing gradient-based optimization in this space for optimal client selection; (4) generating the final optimal client selection via using beam search for the well-trained decoder. FedGCS outperforms traditional methods by being more comprehensive, generalizable, and efficient, simultaneously optimizing for model performance, latency, and energy consumption. The effectiveness of FedGCS is proven through extensive experimental analyses.
Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) can be represented as graphs whose links and vertices iteratively process data and solve tasks sub-optimally. Complex Network Theory (CNT), merging statistical physics with graph theory, provides a method for interpreting neural networks by analysing their weights and neuron structures. However, classic works adapt CNT metrics that only permit a topological analysis as they do not account for the effect of the input data. In addition, CNT metrics have been applied to a limited range of architectures, mainly including Fully Connected neural networks. In this work, we extend the existing CNT metrics with measures that sample from the DNNs' training distribution, shifting from a purely topological analysis to one that connects with the interpretability of deep learning. For the novel metrics, in addition to the existing ones, we provide a mathematical formalisation for Fully Connected, AutoEncoder, Convolutional and Recurrent neural networks, of which we vary the activation functions and the number of hidden layers. We show that these metrics differentiate DNNs based on the architecture, the number of hidden layers, and the activation function. Our contribution provides a method rooted in physics for interpreting DNNs that offers insights beyond the traditional input-output relationship and the CNT topological analysis.
Search in test time is often used to improve the performance of reinforcement learning algorithms. Performing theoretically sound search in fully adversarial two-player games with imperfect information is notoriously difficult and requires a complicated training process. We present a method for adding test-time search to an arbitrary policy-gradient algorithm that learns from sampled trajectories. Besides the policy network, the algorithm trains an additional critic network, which estimates the expected values of players following various transformations of the policies given by the policy network. These values are then used for depth-limited search. We show how the values from this critic can create a value function for imperfect information games. Moreover, they can be used to compute the summary statistics necessary to start the search from an arbitrary decision point in the game. The presented algorithm is scalable to very large games since it does not require any search during train time. We evaluate the algorithm's performance when trained along Regularized Nash Dynamics, and we evaluate the benefit of using the search in the standard benchmark game of Leduc hold'em, multiple variants of imperfect information Goofspiel, and Battleships.
Temporal Domain Generalization (TDG) aims at learning models under temporally evolving data distributions and achieving generalization to unseen future data distributions following the evolving trend. Existing advanced TDG methods learn the evolving patterns through the collective behaviors observed at the population-level of instances, such as time-varying statistics and parameters, tending to overlook the impact of individual-level instance evolving processes on the decision boundary. However, a major obstacle is that datasets at different timestamps may comprise unrelated instances and there is no inherent existence of the instance-level evolving trajectories, which hinders us from learning how the decision boundary changes. To address the above challenges, we propose a Continuous-Time modelling Optimal Transport trajectories (CTOT) framework in this paper. Specifically, we utilize optimal transport to align the data distributions between each pair of adjacent source domains to construct instance evolving trajectories. Subsequently, they are modelled by a continuous-time model and extrapolated to generate future virtual instances, which help the model to adapt its decision boundary to the future domain. Extensive experiments on multiple classification and regression benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed CTOT framework. The code and appendix are both available on https://github.com/JinYujie99/CTOT.
Temporal knowledge graph extrapolation has become a prominent area of study interest in recent years. Numerous methods for extrapolation have been put forth, mining query-relevant information from history to generate forecasts. However, existing approaches normally do not discriminate between causal and non-causal effects in reasoning; instead, they focus on analyzing the statistical correlation between the future events to be predicted and the historical data given, which may be deceptive and hinder the model's capacity to learn real causal information that actually affects the reasoning conclusions. To tackle it, we propose a novel approach called Causal Subhistory Identification (CSI), which focuses on extracting the causal subhistory for reasoning purposes from a large amount of historical data. CSI can improve the clarity and transparency of the reasoning process and more effectively convey the logic behind conclusions by giving priority to the causal subhistory and eliminating non-causal correlations. Extensive experiments demonstrate the remarkable potential of our CSI in the following aspects: superiority, improvement, explainability, and robustness.
Partisan gerrymandering, i.e., manipulation of electoral district boundaries for political advantage, is one of the major challenges to election integrity in modern day democracies. Yet most of the existing methods for detecting partisan gerrymandering are narrowly tailored toward fully contested two-party elections, and fail if there are more parties or if the number of candidates per district varies. We propose a new method, applying nonparametric statistical learning to detect anomalies in the relation between (aggregate) votes and (aggregate) seats. Unlike in most of the existing methods, we propose to learn the standard of fairness in districting from empirical data rather than assume one a priori. Finally, we test the proposed methods against experimental data as well as real-life data from 17 countries employing the plurality (FPTP) system.