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General Machine Learning · Clustering

Kaizheng Wang, Xiao Xu, Xun Yu Zhou

We study a multi-factor block model for variable clustering and connect it to regularized subspace clustering through a distributionally robust version of nodewise regression. To solve the latter problem, we derive a convex relaxation, provide a data-driven approach for selecting the size of the robust region, and develop an ADMM algorithm for efficient implementation. We validate our method in extensive numerical studies and demonstrate its superior performance.

Theory · Learning Theory

Mehryar Mohri, Yutao Zhong

The choice of loss function in classification involves a fundamental trade-off: smooth losses (like Cross-Entropy) enable fast optimization rates but yield slow square-root consistency bounds, while piecewise-linear losses (like Hinge) offer fast linear consistency rates but suffer from non-differentiability. We propose *Linear-Core (LC) Surrogates*, a new family of convex loss functions that resolve this tension by stitching a linear core to a smooth tail. We prove that these surrogates are differentiable everywhere while retaining strict linear $H$-consistency bounds, effectively combining the optimization benefits of smoothness with the statistical efficiency of margin-based losses. In the structured prediction setting, we show that this smoothness unlocks a massive computational and energy advantage: it allows for an unbiased stochastic gradient estimator that bypasses the quadratic complexity $O(|\mathcal{Y}|^2)$ of exact inference (e.g., Viterbi). Empirically, our method achieves a *23$\times$ speedup* over Structured SVMs on large-vocabulary sequence tagging tasks and demonstrates superior robustness to instance-dependent label noise, outperforming Cross-Entropy by *2.6\%* on corrupted CIFAR-10.

Probabilistic Methods · Everything Else

Anton Conrad, Eric Moulines, julien perez

In multi-target regression and multi-class classification, uncertainty is inherently multivariate: prediction regions must capture joint dependencies across correlated outputs. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free guarantees, yet extending it to vector-valued outputs remains challenging—scalar aggregation discards geometric structure, while optimal transport (OT) approaches are computationally demanding and sensitive to outliers. We introduce two conformal methods based on geometric quantiles and spatial ranks: Geometric Conformalized Quantile Regression (GCQR) constructs prediction regions from learned conditional geometric quantiles, while Geometric Rank Conformal Prediction (GRCP) uses the radial rank of vector-valued conformity scores as the nonconformity measure. We propose multiple estimators offering different tradeoffs between computational cost and adaptivity to feature-dependent heterogeneity, with scalable learning via partially input-convex neural networks. On multi-target regression and multi-class classification benchmarks, GCQR and GRCP attain near-nominal coverage with consistently tighter prediction regions than scalarized and multivariate baselines.

Deep Learning · Everything Else

Chentao Lu, Xuhao Ren, Dawei xu, Chuan Zhang, Liehuang Zhu

Federated learning (FL) allows clients to collaboratively train models without exposing private data, but practical FL is simultaneously challenged by data heterogeneity and model heterogeneity. Prior heterogeneous FL (HtFL) approaches often fail to handle fine-grained feature shifts, leading to weak representation alignment and limited cross-client knowledge transfer, which degrades both personalization and generalization. We propose FedARC, an HtFL framework that couples a shared lightweight extractor with client-specific fusion: a trainable projector integrates local and global embeddings, while adaptive residual compensation dynamically corrects feature-level mismatches. To further stabilize aggregation, FedARC performs semantic anchor alignment across clients, and we theoretically prove FedARC converges with a non-convex convergence rate $\mathcal{O}(1/T)$. Experiments on five public benchmarks show that FedARC outperforms nine state-of-the-art HtFL baselines by up to 2.63\% in average accuracy, while maintaining efficient communication and computation.

Theory · Reinforcement Learning and Planning

Ziyue Chu, Leonardo Stella

Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) has received increasing attention for solving complex decision-making tasks. Networked MARL approaches offer a decentralized solution for parameter sharing to accelerate training via value aggregation. However, existing federated aggregations rely on convex averaging that may fail to converge to global optima and cause learning rollback in the online learning setting. In this paper, we formally characterize the learning rollback phenomenon arising from aggregating value estimates with unequal uncertainty under heterogeneous online update depths. We propose a novel adaptive global consensus (AGC) mechanism for Q-value aggregation in decentralized MARL policy evaluation, which dynamically adjusts aggregation weights based on agents’ uncertainty. We establish theoretical guarantees on accelerated convergence and bounded learning variance with empirical validations, advancing the state-of-art MARL theory.

Theory · Everything Else

Tao Wang, Xiaoting Zhong

Distributional learning problems optimize discrepancies between probability measures, including optimal transport or Sinkhorn divergence, yet are typically optimized using Euclidean first-order methods in parameter space. We show this mismatch is structural rather than algorithmic. We introduce geometry-misalignment, a local condition number that measures distortion between Euclidean geometry and the intrinsic geometry induced by a distributional objective. For a broad class of problems, we establish lower bounds demonstrating that Euclidean first-order methods incur an unavoidable convergence slowdown proportional to misalignment, even under intrinsic strong convexity and smoothness. We further prove geometry-aware preconditioned methods attain matching upper bounds independent of misalignment, yielding a sharp separation between Euclidean optimization and geometry-aware optimization. Beyond convergence rates, we show geometry-misalignment induces an optimization-dependent excess risk term under finite budgets, directly linking optimization geometry with statistical efficiency. We develop a geometry-calibrated optimization framework that estimates misalignment and selectively activates geometry-aware updates when necessary. Experiments on distribution matching for domain adaptation validate the theory, with improvements concentrated in high-misalignment regimes and negligible overhead.

Optimization · Non-Convex

Kaiyi Ji

Although upper bound guarantees for bilevel optimization have been widely studied, progress on lower bounds has been limited due to the complexity of the bilevel structure. In this work, we focus on the smooth nonconvex-strongly-convex setting and develop new hard instances that yield nontrivial lower bounds under deterministic and stochastic first-order oracle models. In the deterministic case, we prove that any first-order zero-respecting algorithm requires at least $\Omega(\kappa^{3/2}\epsilon^{-2})$ oracle calls to find an $\epsilon$-accurate stationary point, improving the optimal lower bounds known for single-level nonconvex optimization and for nonconvex-strongly-convex min-max problems. In the stochastic case, we show that at least $\Omega(\kappa^{5/2}\epsilon^{-4})$ stochastic oracle calls are necessary, again strengthening the best known bounds in related settings. Our results expose substantial gaps between current upper and lower bounds for bilevel optimization and suggest that even simplified regimes, such as those with quadratic lower-level objectives, warrant further investigation toward understanding the optimal complexity of bilevel optimization under standard first-order oracles.

Optimization · Stochastic

Ahmet Alacaoglu, Jun-Hyun Kim

We analyze algorithms for solving stochastic variational inequalities (VI) without the bounded variance or bounded domain assumptions, where our main focus is min-max optimization with possibly unbounded constraint sets. We focus on two classes of problems: monotone VIs; and structured nonmonotone VIs that admit a solution to the *weak Minty VI*. The latter assumption allows us to solve structured nonconvex-nonconcave min-max problems. For both classes of VIs, to make the expected residual norm less than $\varepsilon$, we show an oracle complexity of $\widetilde{O}(\varepsilon^{-4})$, which is the best-known for constrained VIs. In our setting, this complexity had been obtained with the bounded variance assumption in the literature, which is not even satisfied for bilinear min-max problems with an unbounded domain. We obtain this complexity for stochastic oracles whose variance can grow as fast as the squared norm of the optimization variable.

Optimization · Stochastic

Kevin Kurian Thomas Vaidyan, Michael Friedlander, Ahmet Alacaoglu

We analyze two classical algorithms for solving additively composite convex optimization problems where the objective is the sum of a smooth term and a nonsmooth regularizer: proximal stochastic gradient method for a single regularizer; and the randomized incremental proximal method, which uses the proximal operator of a randomly selected function when the regularizer is given as the sum of many nonsmooth functions. We focus on relaxing the bounded variance assumption that is common, yet stringent, for getting last iterate convergence rates. We prove the $\widetilde{O}(1/\sqrt{T})$ rate of convergence for the last iterate of both algorithms under componentwise convexity and smoothness, which is optimal up to log terms. Our results apply directly to graph-guided regularizers that arise in multi-task and federated learning, where the regularizer decomposes as a sum over edges of a collaboration graph.

Optimization · Stochastic

Feng Zhu, Robert Heath, Aritra Mitra

Stochastic variance-reduced algorithms such as Stochastic Average Gradient (SAG) and SAGA, and their deterministic counterparts like the Incremental Aggregated Gradient (IAG) method, have been extensively studied in large-scale machine learning. Despite their popularity, existing analyses for these algorithms are disparate, relying on different proof techniques tailored to each method. Furthermore, the original proof of SAG is known to be notoriously involved, requiring computer-aided analysis. Focusing on finite-sum optimization with smooth and strongly convex objectives, our main contribution is to develop a single unified convergence analysis that applies to all three algorithms: SAG, SAGA, and IAG. Our analysis features two key steps: (i) establishing a bound on delays due to sub-sampling using simple concentration tools, and (ii) carefully designing a novel Lyapunov function that accounts for such delays. The resulting proof is short and modular, providing high-probability bounds for SAG and SAGA that can be seamlessly extended to non-convex objectives and Markovian sampling. As an immediate byproduct of our new analysis technique, we obtain the best known rates for the IAG algorithm, significantly improving upon prior bounds.

Theory · Optimization

Ioannis Anagnostides, Rohan Chauhan, Ioannis Panageas, Tuomas Sandholm, Jingming Yan

Performative prediction captures the phenomenon where deploying a predictive model shifts the underlying data distribution. While simple retraining dynamics are known to converge linearly when the performative effects are weak ($\rho < 1$), the complexity in the regime $\rho > 1$ was hitherto open. In this paper, we establish a sharp phase transition: computing an $\epsilon$-performatively stable point is PPAD-complete---and thus polynomial-time equivalent to Nash equilibria in general-sum games---even when $\rho = 1 + O(\epsilon)$. This intractability persists even in the ostensibly simple setting with a quadratic loss function and linear distribution shifts. One of our key technical contributions is to extend this PPAD-hardness result to general convex domains, which is of broader interest in the complexity of variational inequalities. Finally, we address the special case of strategic classification, showing that computing a strategic local optimum is PLS-hard.

Optimization · Convex

Junhyeong Lee, Sangjin Jin, Yongjae Lee

Decision-Focused Learning (DFL) trains predictors to improve downstream decision quality, but computing regret gradients typically requires differentiating through solvers or relying on surrogate losses, which can be computationally expensive or deviate from the true objective. We show that, under standard regularity with locally stable active constraints, the regret gradient admits a closed-form geometric characterization, equivalent to the prediction error projected onto the tangent space of active constraints, scaled by lo- cal curvature. This reveals that regret gradients can be obtained by filtering decision-irrelevant components from the MSE gradient, providing a simpler and more direct alternative to existing approaches. Based on this, we propose PEAR (Projected Error As Regret-gradient), which computes regret gradients via a reduced linear system over active constraints, avoiding differentiation through solver iterations or additional optimization solves. Experiments on LP benchmarks and a real-world QP task show that PEAR achieves the best decision quality among all baselines while being the most computationally efficient, with gains that persist under constraint shifts.

Optimization · Non-Convex

Maria Matveev, Vit Fojtik, Hung-Hsu Chou, Gitta Kutyniok, Johannes Maly

The remarkable generalization properties of overparameterized networks are often attributed to implicit biases, such as norm minimization at small learning rates and low sharpness in the Edge-of-Stability regime. In this work, we argue that a comprehensive understanding of the generalization performance of gradient descent requires analyzing the interaction between these various forms of implicit regularization. We empirically demonstrate that the learning rate interpolates between low parameter norm and low sharpness of the trained model. We furthermore prove that neither implicit bias alone minimizes the generalization error for diagonal linear networks trained on a simple regression task. These findings demonstrate that focusing on a single implicit bias is insufficient to explain good generalization, and they motivate a broader view of implicit regularization that captures the dynamic trade-off between norm and sharpness induced by non-negligible learning rates.

Probabilistic Methods · Everything Else

Kaizheng Wang, Ghifari Adam Faza, Fabio Cuzzolin, Siu Lun Chau, David Moens, Hans Hallez

Credal predictors are epistemic-uncertainty-aware models that produce a convex set of probabilistic predictions. They provide a principled framework for quantifying predictive epistemic uncertainty (EU) and have been shown to improve model robustness across a range of settings. However, most state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods primarily define EU as disagreement induced by random training initializations, which mainly reflects sensitivity to optimization randomness rather than uncertainty from more substantive sources. In response, we formulate EU as disagreement between models trained under different degrees of relaxation of the i.i.d. assumption between the training and test distributions. Building on this idea, we propose *CreDRO*, which learns an ensemble of plausible models via distributionally robust optimization. As a result, CreDRO captures EU arising not only from training randomness but also from informative disagreement due to potential train–test distribution shifts. Empirically, CreDRO consistently outperforms SOTA credal approaches on downstream tasks, including out-of-distribution detection on extensive benchmarks and selective classification in medical settings.

General Machine Learning · Everything Else

CHEN WANG, Yongli Hu, Huajie Jiang, Kan Guo, Tengfei Liu, Junbin Gao, Yanfeng Sun, Baocai Yin

We reconceptualize Personalized Multimodal Federated Learning (PMFL) by treating missing modalities as intrinsic structural identities that constrain each client to a distinct Riemannian submanifold, rather than deficiencies to be compensated. To resolve the tension between identity preservation and cross-client collaboration, we cast PMFL as an identity-aware potential game and seek a geometry-consistent equilibrium instead of a single full-modality global optimum. We propose GeoEvo, which realizes this equilibrium via Fisher--Riemannian evolutionary dynamics: Natural Evolution Strategies for curvature-adaptive local exploration and subspace-constrained particle swarm updates for symbiotic knowledge transfer. GeoEvo admits a Lyapunov potential and, with a monotone acceptance rule, guarantees potential dissipation; in non-convex regimes it achieves an $O(1/\sqrt{T})$ stationarity rate, implying convergence to first-order Nash equilibria, and empirically improves personalization and robustness across diverse modality-missing identities.

General Machine Learning · Causality

Shicheng Fan, Kun Zhang, Lu Cheng

Temporal causal representation learning methods assume that causal mechanisms switch instantaneously between discrete domains, yet real-world systems often exhibit *continuous* mechanism transitions. For example, a vehicle's dynamics evolve gradually through a turning maneuver, and human gait shifts smoothly from walking to running. We formalize this setting by modeling transitional mechanisms as convex combinations of finitely many *atomic mechanisms*, governed by time-varying mixing coefficients. Our theoretical contributions establish that both the latent causal variables and the continuous mixing trajectory are jointly identifiable. We further propose **TRACE**, a Mixture-of-Experts framework where each expert learns one atomic mechanism during training, enabling recovery of mechanism trajectories at test time. This formulation generalizes to intermediate mechanism states never observed during training. Experiments on synthetic and real-world data demonstrate that TRACE recovers mixing trajectories with up to 0.99 correlation, substantially outperforming discrete-switching baselines.

Optimization · Non-Convex

Jian-Feng Cai, Xueyang Quan, Yang Wang, Jiaxi Ying

Spectrally sparse signal reconstruction arises in a wide range of applications and can be formulated as a low-rank Hankel matrix completion problem. We develop a Jacobi-preconditioned gradient descent method that preserves the low per-iteration complexity of first-order algorithms while achieving linear convergence at a rate independent of the condition number. By introducing a generator that maps factor-based iterates to matrix space, we establish equivalence with manifold-based methods, enabling direct convergence analysis while avoiding the need to define distances under complex-symmetric factorization ambiguity. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art methods in both iteration count and computational time across a broad range of problem settings.

Xiaoting Yao, Na Zhang

Transaction cost optimization (TCO) of online portfolio selection is crucial in computing science, due to the significant impact of transaction costs in practical short-term trading. Moreover, sparsity of portfolio vector is often desired to enhance stability and decrease risk. However, there is a lack of models considering transaction costs and sparsity simultaneously in the literature. In this paper, we first propose a $K$-sparse TCO model that minimizes the negative return and transaction costs while keeping the portfolio vector being $K$-sparse. Noting that the model is NP-hard due to the $K$-sparse constraint, we bypass this difficulty by reformulating the sparse model to a nonsmooth difference of convex (DC) optimization problem. We show that both problems are equivalent by proving that the penalty parameter is large enough. Then, to overcome the difficulty caused by the nonsmoothness and the simplex constraint of the model, we develop a proximal subgradient algorithm (PSGA) to solve the DC problem and apply the alternating direction of multipliers (ADMM) to compute the proximity operator of the corresponding function. Furthermore, we establish the global convergence of the entire sequence generated by PSGA through showing the surrogate function satisfies the Kurdyka-Łojasiewicz (KL) property. In addition, by showing the KL exponent of the surrogate function is $1/2$, we establish the R-linear convergence rate of PSGA for any arbitrary initiaal point. Finally, we compare our proposed algorithm with other state-of-the-art strategies on four benchmark real-market data sets, with the numerical results showing that the proposed algorithm achieves lower risk while keeping higher return than classical TCO models.

Social Aspects · Privacy

Huikang Liu, Aras Selvi, Wolfram Wiesemann

We design a class of additive noise mechanisms that satisfy $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-differential privacy (DP) for scalar, real-valued query functions with known sensitivities, with a particular focus on moderate and low-privacy regimes. These mechanisms, which we call *mixture mechanisms*, are constructed by mixing multiple Gaussian distributions that share the same variance but differ in their means and mixture weights. The resulting distributions can be interpreted as convex combinations of a zero-mean Gaussian (as used in the analytic Gaussian mechanism) and additional Gaussians whose means depend on the sensitivity of the query function. We derive tight conditions on the variances required for $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-DP and provide efficient algorithms to compute them. Compared to the analytic Gaussian mechanism, our mechanisms yield substantially lower expected noise amplitudes ($l_1$-loss) and variances ($l_2$-loss for zero-mean distributions). In the low-privacy regime that motivates our design, our mechanisms approach optimality, mitigating nearly all of the optimality gap of the analytic Gaussian mechanism.

Optimization · Stochastic

Aleksandr Shestakov, Martin Takac, Eduard Gorbunov

Gradient clipping is widely used to stabilize stochastic gradient methods and is often theoretically motivated by heavy-tailed gradient noise, where even second moments may be infinite, seemingly contradicting empirical risk minimization where all moments are finite for a fixed dataset. We resolve this paradox by explicitly separating data sampling from optimization randomness: although moments are finite conditional on the dataset, heavy-tailed data induce dataset-dependent noise whose second moment typically grows with the dataset size $N$. In particular, when $\|\nabla f(x_\star,\xi)\|$ has tail index $\alpha \in (1,2)$, the quantity $\frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^N\|\nabla f(x_\star,\xi_i)\|^2$ scales as $N^{\frac{2}{\alpha}-1}$, leading to deteriorating convergence guarantees for standard SGD as $N$ increases. In contrast, we show that stochastic gradient descent with clipping avoids this growth and admits finite-sum convergence guarantees under heavy-tailed data for broad step-size and clipping schedules. We further derive generalization bounds for strongly convex smooth objectives and show that the tail behavior of gradients at the population minimizer is the key quantity linking optimization and generalization under heavy-tailed data.