论文检索

Probabilistic Methods · Gaussian Processes

Aurélien Pion, Emmanuel Vazquez

Bayesian optimization (BO) selects evaluation points for expensive black-box objectives using Gaussian process (GP) predictive distributions. Kernel choice and hyperparameter selection can lead to miscalibrated predictive distributions, which can distort the exploration--exploitation trade-off. In the minimization setting, sampling criteria such as expected improvement (EI) depend on the predictive lower tail and can therefore be sensitive to miscalibration. This article studies goal-oriented calibration of GP predictive distributions below a low threshold $t$ in the noiseless setting, complementing standard GP modeling with hyperparameters selected by maximum likelihood. A framework for predictive reliability below $t$ is introduced, based on two notions of spatial calibration: occurrence calibration over the design space and thresholded $\mu$-calibration on the sublevel set $\lbrace x\in\mathbb{X}, f(x)\le t \rbrace$. Building on this framework, we propose tcGP, a post-hoc method that calibrates GP predictive distributions below $t$, and we establish a convergence result for the resulting EI-based global optimization algorithm. Experiments on standard benchmarks show improved lower-tail calibration and BO performance relative to standard GP models and global calibration GP models.

Rosen Yu, Nicholas Sung, Faez Ahmed

Multi-fidelity (MF) regression often operates in regimes of extreme data imbalance, where the commonly-used Gaussian-process surrogates struggle with cubic scaling costs and overfit to sparse high-fidelity observations, limiting efficiency and generalization in real-world applications. We introduce FIRE, a training-free MF framework that couples tabular foundation models (TFMs) to perform zero-shot in-context Bayesian inference via a high-fidelity correction model conditioned on the low-fidelity model's posterior predictive distributions. This cross-fidelity information transfer via distributional summaries captures heteroscedastic errors, enabling robust residual learning without model retraining. Across 31 benchmark problems spanning synthetic functions and real-world tasks (e.g., DrivAerNet, LCBench), FIRE delivers a stronger performance–time trade-off than seven state-of-the-art GP-based or deep learning MF regression methods, ranking highest in accuracy and uncertainty quantification with runtime advantages. Limitations include context window constraints and dependence on the quality of the pre-trained TFM’s.

General Machine Learning · Causality

Hugh Dance, Peter Orbanz, Arthur Gretton

Reliable uncertainty quantification for causal effects is crucial in various applications, but remains difficult in nonparametric models, particularly for continuous treatments. We introduce IMPspec, a Gaussian process (GP) framework for modeling uncertainty over interventional causal functions under continuous treatments, which can be represented using reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHSs). By using principled function class expansions and a spectral representation of RKHS features, IMPspec yields tractable training and inference, a spectral algorithm to calibrate posterior credible intervals, and avoids the underfitting and variance collapse pathologies of earlier GP-on-RKHS methods. Across synthetic benchmarks and an application in healthcare, IMPspec delivers state-of-the-art performance in causal uncertainty quantification and downstream causal Bayesian optimization tasks.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Alexander Shabalin, Viacheslav Meshchaninov, Dmitry Vetrov

Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generating images, audio, and video, but their adaptation to text remains challenging due to its discrete nature. Prior approaches either apply Gaussian diffusion in continuous latent spaces, which inherits semantic structure but struggles with token decoding, or operate in categorical simplex space, which respect discreteness but disregard semantic relation between tokens. In this paper, we propose Smoothing Diffusion on Token Embeddings (Smoothie), a novel diffusion method that combines the strengths of both approaches by progressively smoothing token embeddings based on semantic similarity. This technique enables gradual information removal while maintaining a natural decoding process. Experimental results on several sequence-to-sequence and unconditional generation tasks demonstrate that Smoothie outperforms existing diffusion-based models in generation quality. Furthermore, ablation studies show that our proposed diffusion space yields better performance than both the standard embedding space and the categorical simplex.

Junfeng Guo, Heng Huang

While real-world applications of reinforcement learning (RL) are becoming increasingly popular, the security of RL systems deserve more attention and exploration. In particular, recent work has revealed that RL agents are vulnerable to backdoor attacks, where a victim agent behaves normally under standard conditions but executes malicious actions when a specific trigger is activated. Existing backdoor defenses for RL either require access to the agent’s internal parameters, operate only at the model or trajectory level, or are limited to specific attack types. To ensure the security of RL agents, we propose PolicyGuard, a test-time step-level backdoor defense which leverages Gaussian Process (GP) posterior variance and adapts pseudo trajectories to enable uncertainty computation for individual time step. Besides, we also provide theoretical foundations to explain the efficacy of GP posterior variance. Extensive experiments across seven RL games demonstrate that PolicyGuard achieves state-of-the-art detection performance in most cases, with average AUROC of 0.856 for perturbation-based attacks and 0.859 for adversary-agent attacks.

Probabilistic Methods · Gaussian Processes

Wenyuan Zhao, Rui Tuo, Chao Tian

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a principled Bayesian framework for uncertainty estimation, but their computational complexity severely limits scalability to large datasets. We propose SIKA-GP, which accelerates GP inference using sparse inducing kernel approximations based on a dyadic ordered template basis, incurring only ${O}(\log M)$ complexity dependence on the number of inducing points. Our approach constructs compact and expressive kernel representations from sparsely activated bases, enabling efficient tensorized GPU computation and seamless integration with modern large-scale models. SIKA-GP can be naturally embedded into Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with sparse activations, yielding significant speedups in both training and inference without sacrificing predictive performance. The method naturally extends to deep feature learning, addressing the scalability challenges introduced by deep architectures and high-dimensional feature representations. Empirical results on vision and transformer-based language benchmarks demonstrate that our approach consistently delivers fast and accurate GP models, providing a principled path toward scalable kernel learning.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Chenyang Xu, Dezhen Wang, Lin Chen, Kepeng Lin, Hao Wang

Accelerating diffusion models via feature caching has evolved from static reuse to polynomial extrapolation, yet current "cache-then-forecast" strategies remain limited by rigid, hand-crafted approximation families (e.g., Taylor or Hermite bases) that often misalign with the complex, layer-specific non-stationarity of generative feature dynamics. This paper introduces EigenCache, a theoretically grounded framework that re-frames acceleration as a problem of covariance learning and experimental design. By modeling feature trajectories as time-indexed stochastic processes governed by learnable temporal kernels, we demonstrate that the statistically optimal feature predictor (Minimum Mean Squared Error) is the Gaussian Process posterior mean (Kriging), which strictly generalizes and outperforms previous fixed-basis expansions. Crucially, this probabilistic formulation couples prediction with uncertainty quantification via a closed-form variance certificate. Leveraging this, we derive an information-theoretic scheduling algorithm that selects computation anchors by maximizing the log-determinant of the posterior covariance—a submodular objective that admits a provably near-optimal greedy solution. EigenCache thus provides a unified, training-free foundation for efficient inference, offering not only superior reconstruction accuracy but also a rigorous mechanism for robust, uncertainty-aware compute allocation.

Giovanni Palla, Sudarshan Babu, Payam Dibaeinia, James Pearce, Donghui Li, Aly Khan, Theofanis Karaletsos, Jakub Tomczak

Computational modeling of single-cell gene expression is crucial for understanding cellular processes, but generating realistic expression profiles remains a major challenge. This difficulty arises from the count nature of gene expression data and complex latent dependencies among genes. Existing generative models often impose artificial gene orderings or rely on shallow neural network architectures. We introduce a scalable latent diffusion model for single-cell gene expression data, which we refer to as scLDM, that respects the fundamental exchangeability property of the data. Our VAE uses fixed-size latent variables leveraging a unified Multi-head Cross-Attention Block (MCAB) architecture, which serves dual roles: permutation-invariant pooling in the encoder and permutation-equivariant unpooling in the decoder. We enhance this framework by replacing the Gaussian prior with a latent diffusion model using Diffusion Transformers and linear interpolants, enabling high-quality generation with multi-conditional classifier-free guidance. We show its superior performance in a variety of experiments for both observational and perturbational single-cell data, as well as downstream tasks like cell-level classification.

Frida Viset, Anton Kullberg, Frederiek Wesel, Arno Solin

The Hilbert-space Gaussian process (HGP) approach offers a hyperparameter-independent basis function approximation for speeding up Gaussian process (GP) inference by projecting the GP onto $M$ basis functions. These properties result in a favorable data-independent $\mathcal{O}(M^3)$ computational complexity during hyperparameter optimization but require a dominating one-time precomputation of the precision matrix costing $\mathcal{O}(NM^2)$ operations. In this paper, we lower this dominating computational complexity to $\mathcal{O}(NM)$ with no additional approximations. We can do this because we realize that the precision matrix can be split into a sum of Hankel-Toeplitz matrices, each having $\mathcal{O}(M)$ unique entries. Based on this realization we propose computing only these unique entries at $\mathcal{O}(NM)$ costs. Further, we develop two theorems that prescribe sufficient conditions for the complexity reduction to hold generally for a wide range of other approximate GP models, such as the Variational Fourier features approach. The two theorems do this with no assumptions on the data and no additional approximations of the GP models themselves. Thus, our contribution provides a pure speed-up of several existing, widely used, GP approximations, without further approximations

Probabilistic Methods · Gaussian Processes

Hui Li, Huafeng Liu, Chenguang Li, Tianxiao Zhang, Yajun Yang, Liping Jing

Parametric partial differential equations (PDEs) serve as fundamental models across science and engineering, yet constructing fast and accurate surrogate models from sparse, irregularly sampled observations with reliable uncertainty quantification remains challenging. Existing approaches struggle to simultaneously handle variable observation patterns, preserve physics consistency, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. We introduce Bias-Spectrum Neural Processes (BSNP), a unified meta-learning framework that systematically integrates weak structural priors (translation equivariance, locality) with strong physical priors (governing equations and boundary conditions). BSNP addresses two critical obstacles: discretization overfitting through stochastic collocation that resamples residual evaluation points, and uncertainty collapse through mean-field enforcement that applies PDE constraints only to predictive means while preserving learned uncertainty. Comprehensive experiments on nonlinear Poisson equations, Burgers dynamics, and Navier-Stokes flows demonstrate that BSNP achieves superior accuracy and well-calibrated uncertainty quantification in sparse-data regimes.

Applications · Robotics

Rui Song, Tianhui Cai, Markus Gross, Yun Zhang, Walter Zimmer, Zhiyu Huang, Olaf Wysocki, Jiaqi Ma

3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) has been widely adopted for scene reconstruction, where training inherently constitutes a highly coupled and non-convex optimization problem. Recent works commonly incorporate geometric priors, such as LiDAR measurements, either for initialization or as training constraints, with the goal of improving photometric reconstruction quality. However, in large-scale outdoor scenarios, such geometric supervision is often spatially incomplete and uneven, which limits its effectiveness as a reliable prior and can even be detrimental to the final reconstruction. To address this challenge, we model partially observable geometry as a continuous energy field induced by geometric evidence and propose EnerGS. Rather than enforcing geometry as a hard constraint, EnerGS provides a soft geometric guidance for the optimization of Gaussian primitives, allowing geometric information to steer the optimization process without directly restricting the solution space. Extensive experiments on large-scale outdoor scenes demonstrate that, under both sparse multi-view and monocular settings, EnerGS consistently improves photometric quality and geometric stability, while effectively mitigating overfitting during 3DGS training.

Theory · Deep Learning

Erdem Koyuncu

We study compute reduction in neural networks through a unified partial versus full computation view, captured by one-shot magnitude pruning in the static regime and early exit in the adaptive regime. In an asymptotic single-neuron model, we prove a concentration theorem for one-shot magnitude pruning with explicit rates. We also introduce the conditional perceptron for early exit and show that its excess generalization error decays as a power of the compute gap, with an exponent that grows to infinity as the alignment between partial and full computations tends to one. We then extend the analysis to deep networks, characterizing how pruning-induced distortions accumulate with depth and deriving a corresponding compute–accuracy tradeoff for frozen-backbone early exit under a neural network Gaussian process model. Numerical simulations corroborate the predicted scaling laws.

Chaoda Song, Yiren Lu, Xinpeng Li, Yunlai Zhou, Yanyan Zhang, Yu Yin, Vipin Chaudhary

High dynamic range novel view synthesis (HDR-NVS) remains challenged by geometric artifacts and radiometric distortions under multi-exposure conditions, primarily due to existing methods ignoring exposure and over-relying on color cues. Inspired by the integrated processing of color and structure of the human visual system (HVS), we propose Expo-GS, a novel framework that decomposes HDR-NVS into three interpretable components, namely, Irradiance Field Training, Geometry Field Training, and Interactive Joint Training. Central to Expo-GS is the exposure-aware signed distance function (Expo-SDF), which dynamically reweights geometric supervision via localized exposure reliability estimation, suppressing noisy gradients from unstable regions while enhancing structure learning in well-exposed areas. Building on this, we design an interactive optimization strategy that synchronizes Gaussian primitive growth and pruning with evolving Expo-SDF cues, enabling exposure-aware density control and eliminating hallucinated structures near exposure transitions. Experiments show that Expo-GS significantly outperforms prior methods on both synthetic and real-world datasets. It achieves a peak PSNR of 39.06 dB under HDR settings and up to 41.38 dB in the LDR-OE configuration, excelling in preserving high-frequency textures and maintaining structural consistency.

Applications · Time Series

Zining Qin, Huiling qin, Chenhao Wang, Jianxiong Guo, Tian Wang, Weijia Jia

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in generative modeling, yet their application to time series forecasting remains suboptimal. Existing approaches apply uniform Gaussian noise across all time steps, assuming all frequency components should be corrupted at the same rate. However, energy distribution across frequencies in time series is highly non-uniform: when uniform noise is added, high-frequency components are disproportionately overwhelmed while low-frequency trends remain inadequately diffused. We propose EADiff, an energy-adaptive diffusion framework operating in the wavelet domain to address this frequency-energy imbalance. Our key insight is that high-energy components require stronger perturbation while low-energy details need gentler corruption to preserve informative structures. We introduce a learnable modulation mechanism that automatically adjusts noise levels for each frequency band on a per-instance basis. Built upon this adaptive scheduler, we design a conditional diffusion framework where low-frequency trends serve as generation conditions, and noise-level-aware loss weighting naturally emphasizes different frequency components according to their signal characteristics. This cohesive design enables the model to respect the intrinsic multi-scale structure throughout both forward and reverse processes. Extensive experiments demonstrate that EADiff consistently outperforms existing diffusion-based and state-of-the-art deterministic methods.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Xuyang Wang, Xinzhe Zhou, Xiaoming Duan, Jianping He

The trajectory prediction of N-body systems is of great significance and remains challenging with broad applications across various fields such as physics, chemistry and biology. Recent advances in generative models including flow matching and diffusion models have emerged as effective solutions to this problem, owing to their capacity to model the stochasticity and underlying distributions of complex system trajectories. However, existing approaches typically adopt trivial prior distributions that neglect the temporal correlations and spatial symmetries of N-body trajectories, which not only complicates the generation process but also limits model performance. To address these limitations, we propose GP-EquiFlow, an SE(3)-equivariant flow matching model incorporating vector-valued Gaussian processes. Based on observed trajectories, we employ vector-valued Gaussian processes to construct SE(3)-equivariant prior distributions, which exhibit enhanced consistency with the target data distribution in both spatial and temporal dynamics. Extensive experiments on N-body simulations and molecular dynamics demonstrate that the proposed GP-EquiFlow delivers more accurate predictions while requiring fewer sampling steps, underscoring the effectiveness of integrating Gaussian process-based SE(3)-equivariant prior distributions in geometric trajectory prediction.

Applications · Health / Medicine

Mehmet Yigit Balik, Harri Lähdesmäki

Single-cell RNA sequencing provides insights into gene expression at single-cell resolution, yet inferring temporal processes from these static snapshot measurements remains a fundamental challenge. Current approaches utilizing neural differential equations and flows are sensitive to overfitting and lack careful considerations of biological variability. In this work, we propose a generative framework that models population trends using a latent heteroscedastic Gaussian process (GP) approximated by Hilbert space methods. To address the absence of genuine cell trajectories, we leverage an optimal transport (OT) objective that aligns generated and observed population distributions. Our method explicitly captures biological heterogeneity by incorporating cell-specific latent time and cell type conditioning to disentangle temporal asynchrony and trajectories to different cell types. We demonstrate state-of-the-art performance on complex interpolation and extrapolation benchmarks and introduce a novel gradient-based strategy for inferring perturbation trajectories.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Yuehao Wang, Peihao Wang, Hanwen Jiang, Ziyi Yang, Qixing Huang, Zhangyang “Atlas” Wang

Diffusion models have shown remarkable performance on diverse generation tasks. Recent work finds that imposing representation alignment on the hidden states of diffusion networks can both facilitate training convergence and enhance sampling quality, yet the mechanism driving this synergy remains insufficiently understood. In this paper, we investigate the connection between self-supervised spectral representation learning and diffusion generative models through a shared perspective on perturbation kernels. On the diffusion side, samples (e.g., images, videos) are produced by reversing a stochastic noise-injection process specified by Gaussian kernels; on the spectral representation side, spectral embeddings emerge from contrasting positive and negative relations induced by random perturbation kernels. Motivated by this, we propose a self-supervised spectral representation alignment method to facilitate diffusion model training. In addition, we clarify how joint spectral learning can benefit diffusion training from a geometric perspective. Furthermore, we find that the optimization of the spectral alignment objective is in an equivalent form of diffusion score distillation in the representation space. Building on these findings, we integrate a spectral regularizer into diffusion training objectives to improve the performance of diffusion models on multiple datasets. Experiments across images and 3D point clouds show consistent gains in generation quality.

Optimization · Zero-order and Black-box Optimization

David Sweet, Siddhant Jadhav, Mehul Bafna

Bayesian optimization (BO) has traditionally solved black-box problems where function evaluation is expensive and, therefore, observations are few. Recently, however, there has been growing interest in applying BO to problems where function evaluation is cheaper and observations are more plentiful. In this regime, scaling to many observations $N$ is impeded by Gaussian-process (GP) surrogates: GP hyperparameter fitting scales as $\mathcal{O}(N^3)$ (reduced to roughly $\mathcal{O}(N^2)$ in modern implementations), and it is repeated at every BO iteration. Many methods improve scaling at acquisition time, but hyperparameter fitting still scales poorly, making it the bottleneck. We propose Epistemic Nearest Neighbors (ENN), a lightweight alternative to GPs that estimates function values and uncertainty (epistemic and aleatoric) from $K$-nearest-neighbor observations. ENN scales as $\mathcal{O}(N)$ for both fitting and acquisition. Our BO method, TuRBO-ENN, replaces the GP surrogate in TuRBO with ENN and its Thompson-sampling acquisition with $\mathrm{UCB} = \mu(x) + \sigma(x)$. For the special case of noise-free problems, we can omit fitting altogether by replacing $\mathrm{UCB}$ with a non-dominated sort over $\mu(x)$ and $\sigma(x)$. We show empirically that TuRBO-ENN reduces proposal time (i.e., fitting time + acquisition time) by one to two orders of magnitude compared to TuRBO at up to 50,000 observations.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Jannis Chemseddine, Gregor Kornhardt, Richard Duong, Gabriele Steidl

The default Gaussian latent in flow-based generative models poses challenges when learning certain distributions such as heavy-tailed ones. We introduce a general framework for learning data-adaptive latent distributions using one-dimensional quantile functions, optimized via the Wasserstein distance between noise and data. The quantile-based parameterization naturally adapts to both heavy-tailed and compactly supported distributions and shortens transport paths. Numerical results confirm the method’s flexibility and effectiveness achieved with negligible computational overhead.

François Bertholom, Khalid Oublal

Diffusion models achieve state-of-the-art performance in generative modeling but are limited by their reliance on Gaussian noise and the high computational cost of iterative sampling. Star-shaped diffusion addresses the former by introducing a non-Markovian forward process, yet this comes at the expense of temporal coherence in the reverse process. We propose a novel framework that resolves this trade-off by learning a Markovian projection of a star-shaped forward process, and its reversal. This design enables learning over a broad class of exponential models and recovers DDPM as a special case. It is particularly well-suited for knowledge distillation, allowing few-step or even single-step generation. Experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and flexibility of our approach across multiple generative tasks. Code is available at \url{https://anonymous.4open.science/w/MStar-Diffusion-B3EE/}.