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Probabilistic Methods · Variational Inference

Alessandro Mastrototaro, Jimmy Olsson

Being the most classical generative model for serial data, state-space models (SSM) are fundamental in AI and statistical machine learning. In SSM, any form of parameter learning or latent state inference typically involves the computation of complex latent-state posteriors. In this work, we build upon the variational sequential Monte Carlo (VSMC) method, which provides computationally efficient and accurate model parameter estimation and Bayesian latent-state inference by combining particle methods and variational inference. While standard VSMC operates in the offline mode, by re-processing repeatedly a given batch of data, we distribute the approximation of the gradient of the VSMC surrogate ELBO in time using stochastic approximation, allowing for online learning in the presence of streams of data. This results in an algorithm, online VSMC, that is capable of performing efficiently, entirely on-the-fly, both parameter estimation and particle proposal adaptation. In addition, we provide rigorous theoretical results describing the algorithm's convergence properties as the number of data tends to infinity as well as numerical illustrations of its excellent convergence properties and usefulness also in batch-processing settings.

Applications · Chemistry and Drug Discovery

Peijia Lin, Pin Chen, Rui Jiao, Qing Mo, Jianhuan Cen, Wenbing Huang, Yang Liu, Dan Huang, Yutong Lu

In addressing the challenge of Crystal Structure Prediction (CSP), symmetry-aware deep learning models, particularly diffusion models, have been extensively studied, which treat CSP as a conditional generation task. However, ensuring permutation, rotation, and periodic translation equivariance during diffusion process remains incompletely addressed. In this work, we propose EquiCSP, a novel equivariant diffusion-based generative model. We not only address the overlooked issue of lattice permutation equivariance in existing models, but also develop a unique noising algorithm that rigorously maintains periodic translation equivariance throughout both training and inference processes. Our experiments indicate that EquiCSP significantly surpasses existing models in terms of generating accurate structures and demonstrates faster convergence during the training process.

Theory · Learning Theory

Batiste Le Bars, Aurélien Bellet, Marc Tommasi, Kevin Scaman, Giovanni Neglia

This paper presents a new generalization error analysis for Decentralized Stochastic Gradient Descent (D-SGD) based on algorithmic stability. The obtained results overhaul a series of recent works that suggested an increased instability due to decentralization and a detrimental impact of poorly-connected communication graphs on generalization. On the contrary, we show, for convex, strongly convex and non-convex functions, that D-SGD can always recover generalization bounds analogous to those of classical SGD, suggesting that the choice of graph does not matter. We then argue that this result is coming from a worst-case analysis, and we provide a refined optimization-dependent generalization bound for general convex functions. This new bound reveals that the choice of graph can in fact improve the worst-case bound in certain regimes, and that surprisingly, a poorly-connected graph can even be beneficial for generalization.

Reinforcement Learning · Planning

Paul Mattes, Rainer Schlosser, Ralf Herbrich

One of the biggest challenges to modern deep reinforcement learning (DRL) algorithms is sample efficiency. Many approaches learn a world model in order to train an agent entirely in imagination, eliminating the need for direct environment interaction during training. However, these methods often suffer from either a lack of imagination accuracy, exploration capabilities, or runtime efficiency. We propose HIEROS, a hierarchical policy that learns time abstracted world representations and imagines trajectories at multiple time scales in latent space. HIEROS uses an S5 layer-based world model, which predicts next world states in parallel during training and iteratively during environment interaction. Due to the special properties of S5 layers, our method can train in parallel and predict next world states iteratively during imagination. This allows for more efficient training than RNN-based world models and more efficient imagination than Transformer-based world models. We show that our approach outperforms the state of the art in terms of mean and median normalized human score on the Atari 100k benchmark, and that our proposed world model is able to predict complex dynamics very accurately. We also show that HIEROS displays superior exploration capabilities compared to existing approaches.

Deep Learning · Robustness

Damien Teney, Jindong Wang, Ehsan Abbasnejad

Mixup is a highly successful technique to improve generalization by augmenting training data with combinations of random pairs. Selective mixup is a family of methods that apply mixup to specific pairs e.g. combining examples across classes or domains. Despite remarkable performance on benchmarks with distribution shifts, these methods are still poorly understood. We find that an overlooked aspect of selective mixup explains some of its success in a completely new light. The non-random selection of pairs affects the training distribution and improves generalization by means completely unrelated to the mixing. For example in binary classification, mixup across classes implicitly resamples the data to uniform class distribution - a classical solution to label shift. We verify empirically that this resampling explains some of the improvements reported in prior work. Theoretically, the effect relies on a ``regression toward the mean'', an accidental property we find in several datasets. Outcomes. We now better understand why selective mixup works. This lets us predict a yet-unknown failure mode and conditions where the method is detrimental. We also use the equivalence with resampling to design better variants that combine mixing and resampling effects.

Deep Learning · Algorithms

Lars Veefkind, Gabriele Cesa

Steerable convolutional neural networks (SCNNs) enhance task performance by modelling geometric symmetries through equivariance constraints on weights. Yet, unknown or varying symmetries can lead to overconstrained weights and decreased performance. To address this, this paper introduces a probabilistic method to learn the degree of equivariance in SCNNs. We parameterise the degree of equivariance as a likelihood distribution over the transformation group using Fourier coefficients, offering the option to model layer-wise and shared equivariance. These likelihood distributions are regularised to ensure an interpretable degree of equivariance across the network. Advantages include the applicability to many types of equivariant networks through the flexible framework of SCNNs and the ability to learn equivariance with respect to any subgroup of any compact group without requiring additional layers. Our experiments reveal competitive performance on datasets with mixed symmetries, with learnt likelihood distributions that are representative of the underlying degree of equivariance.

Social Aspects · Everything Else

Bram Wouters

With the rise of large language models (LLMs) and concerns about potential misuse, watermarks for generative LLMs have recently attracted much attention. An important aspect of such watermarks is the trade-off between their identifiability and their impact on the quality of the generated text. This paper introduces a systematic approach to this trade-off in terms of a multi-objective optimization problem. For a large class of robust, efficient watermarks, the associated Pareto optimal solutions are identified and shown to outperform existing robust, efficient watermarks.

Jiachen Li, Qiaozi Gao, Michael Johnston, Xiaofeng Gao, Xuehai He, Hangjie Shi, Suhaila Shakiah, Reza Ghanadan, William Wang

Prompt-based learning has been demonstrated as a compelling paradigm contributing to large language models' tremendous success (LLMs). Inspired by their success in language tasks, existing research has leveraged LLMs in embodied instruction following and task planning. In this work, we tackle the problem of training a robot to understand multimodal prompts, interleaving vision signals with text descriptions. This type of task poses a major challenge to robots' capability to understand the interconnection and complementarity between vision and language signals. In this work, we introduce an effective framework that learns a policy to perform robot manipulation with multimodal prompts from multi-task expert trajectories. Our methods consist of a two-stage training pipeline that performs inverse dynamics pretraining and multi-task finetuning. To facilitate multimodal understanding, we design our multimodal prompt encoder by augmenting a pretrained LM with a residual connection to the visual input and model the dependencies among action dimensions. Empirically, we evaluate the efficacy of our method on the VIMA-BENCH and establish a new state-of-the-art (10% improvement in success rate). Moreover, we demonstrate that our model exhibits remarkable in-context learning ability.

Applications · Physics

Sohei Arisaka, Qianxiao Li

Scientific computing is an essential tool for scientific discovery and engineering design, and its computational cost is always a main concern in practice. To accelerate scientific computing, it is a promising approach to use machine learning (especially meta-learning) techniques for selecting hyperparameters of traditional numerical methods. There have been numerous proposals to this direction, but many of them require automatic-differentiable numerical methods. However, in reality, many practical applications still depend on well-established but non-automatic-differentiable legacy codes, which prevents practitioners from applying the state-of-the-art research to their own problems. To resolve this problem, we propose a non-intrusive methodology with a novel gradient estimation technique to combine machine learning and legacy numerical codes without any modification. We theoretically and numerically show the advantage of the proposed method over other baselines and present applications of accelerating established non-automatic-differentiable numerical solvers implemented in PETSc, a widely used open-source numerical software library.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Fabian Falck, Ziyu Wang, Christopher Holmes

In-context learning (ICL) has emerged as a particularly remarkable characteristic of Large Language Models (LLM): given a pretrained LLM and an observed dataset, LLMs can make predictions for new data points from the same distribution without fine-tuning. Numerous works have postulated ICL as approximately Bayesian inference, rendering this a natural hypothesis. In this work, we analyse this hypothesis from a new angle through the *martingale property*, a fundamental requirement of a Bayesian learning system for exchangeable data. We show that the martingale property is a necessary condition for unambiguous predictions in such scenarios, and enables a principled, decomposed notion of uncertainty vital in trustworthy, safety-critical systems. We derive actionable checks with corresponding theory and test statistics which must hold if the martingale property is satisfied. We also examine if uncertainty in LLMs decreases as expected in Bayesian learning when more data is observed. In three experiments, we provide evidence for violations of the martingale property, and deviations from a Bayesian scaling behaviour of uncertainty, falsifying the hypothesis that ICL is Bayesian.

Deep Learning · Graph Neural Networks

Jaejun Lee, Minsung Hwang, Joyce Whang

While a number of knowledge graph representation learning (KGRL) methods have been proposed over the past decade, very few theoretical analyses have been conducted on them. In this paper, we present the first PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for KGRL methods. To analyze a broad class of KGRL models, we propose a generic framework named ReED (Relation-aware Encoder-Decoder), which consists of a relation-aware message passing encoder and a triplet classification decoder. Our ReED framework can express at least 15 different existing KGRL models, including not only graph neural network-based models such as R-GCN and CompGCN but also shallow-architecture models such as RotatE and ANALOGY. Our generalization bounds for the ReED framework provide theoretical grounds for the commonly used tricks in KGRL, e.g., parameter-sharing and weight normalization schemes, and guide desirable design choices for practical KGRL methods. We empirically show that the critical factors in our generalization bounds can explain actual generalization errors on three real-world knowledge graphs.

Optimization · Learning for Optimization

Yunzhuang Shen, Yuan Sun, Xiaodong Li, Zhiguang Cao, Andrew Eberhard, Guangquan Zhang

Column generation (CG) is a well-established method for solving large-scale linear programs. It involves iteratively optimizing a subproblem containing a subset of columns and using its dual solution to generate new columns with negative reduced costs. This process continues until the dual values converge to the optimal dual solution to the original problem. A natural phenomenon in CG is the heavy oscillation of the dual values during iterations, which can lead to a substantial slowdown in the convergence rate. *Stabilization* techniques are devised to accelerate the convergence of dual values by using information beyond the state of the current subproblem. However, there remains a significant gap in obtaining more accurate dual values at an earlier stage. To further narrow this gap, this paper introduces a novel approach consisting of 1) a *machine learning* approach for accurate prediction of optimal dual solutions and 2) an *adaptive stabilization* technique that effectively capitalizes on accurate predictions. On the graph coloring problem, we show that our method achieves a significantly improved convergence rate compared to traditional methods.

Applications · Time Series

William Toner, Luke Darlow

Despite their simplicity, linear models perform well at time series forecasting, even when pitted against deeper and more expensive models. A number of variations to the linear model have been proposed, often including some form of feature normalisation that improves model generalisation. In this paper we analyse the sets of functions expressible using these linear model architectures. In so doing we show that several popular variants of linear models for time series forecasting are equivalent and functionally indistinguishable from standard, unconstrained linear regression. We characterise the model classes for each linear variant. We demonstrate that each model can be reinterpreted as unconstrained linear regression over a suitably augmented feature set, and therefore admit closed-form solutions when using a mean-squared loss function. We provide experimental evidence that the models under inspection learn nearly identical solutions, and finally demonstrate that the simpler closed form solutions are superior forecasters across 72% dataset-horizon settings.

Deep Learning · Attention Mechanisms

Luka Ribar, Ivan Chelombiev, Luke Hudlass-Galley, Charlie Blake, Carlo Luschi, Douglas Orr

The computational difficulties of large language model (LLM) inference remain a significant obstacle to their widespread deployment. The need for many applications to support long input sequences and process them in large batches typically causes token-generation to be bottlenecked by data transfer. For this reason, we introduce **SparQ Attention**, a technique for increasing the inference throughput of LLMs by utilising memory bandwidth more efficiently within the attention layers, through selective fetching of the cached history. Our proposed technique can be applied directly to off-the-shelf LLMs during inference, without requiring any modification to the pre-training setup or additional fine-tuning. We show that SparQ Attention brings up to 8x savings in attention data transfers without substantial drops in accuracy, by evaluating Llama 2 and 3, Mistral, Gemma and Pythia models on a wide range of downstream tasks.

Reinforcement Learning · Multi-agent

Yannik Mahlau, Frederik Schubert, Bodo Rosenhahn

The combination of self-play and planning has achieved great successes in sequential games, for instance in Chess and Go. However, adapting algorithms such as AlphaZero to simultaneous games poses a new challenge. In these games, missing information about concurrent actions of other agents is a limiting factor as they may select different Nash equilibria or do not play optimally at all. Thus, it is vital to model the behavior of the other agents when interacting with them in simultaneous games. To this end, we propose Albatross: AlphaZero for Learning Bounded-rational Agents and Temperature-based Response Optimization using Simulated Self-play. Albatross learns to play the novel equilibrium concept of a Smooth Best Response Logit Equilibrium (SBRLE), which enables cooperation and competition with agents of any playing strength. We perform an extensive evaluation of Albatross on a set of cooperative and competitive simultaneous perfect-information games. In contrast to AlphaZero, Albatross is able to exploit weak agents in the competitive game of Battlesnake. Additionally, it yields an improvement of 37.6% compared to previous state of the art in the cooperative Overcooked benchmark.

Deep Learning · Graph Neural Networks

Xiyuan Wang, Pan Li, Muhan Zhang

Graph is a fundamental data structure to model interconnections between entities. Set, on the contrary, stores independent elements. To learn graph representations, current Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) primarily use message passing to encode the interconnections. In contrast, this paper introduces a novel graph-to-set conversion method that bijectively transforms interconnected nodes into a set of independent points and then uses a set encoder to learn the graph representation. This conversion method holds dual significance. Firstly, it enables using set encoders to learn from graphs, thereby significantly expanding the design space of GNNs. Secondly, for Transformer, a specific set encoder, we provide a novel and principled approach to inject graph information losslessly, different from all the heuristic structural/positional encoding methods adopted in previous graph transformers. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach, we introduce Point Set Transformer (PST), a transformer architecture that accepts a point set converted from a graph as input. Theoretically, PST exhibits superior expressivity for both short-range substructure counting and long-range shortest path distance tasks compared to existing GNNs. Extensive experiments further validate PST's outstanding real-world performance. Besides Transformer, we also devise a Deepset-based set encoder, which achieves performance comparable to representative GNNs, affirming the versatility of our graph-to-set method.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Xinyun Chen, Ryan Chi, Xuezhi Wang, Denny Zhou

Large language models (LLMs) have accomplished remarkable reasoning performance in various domains. However, in the domain of reasoning tasks, we discover a frailty: LLMs are surprisingly brittle to the ordering of the premises, despite the fact that such ordering does not alter the underlying task. In particular, we observe that LLMs achieve the best performance when the premise order aligns with the context required in intermediate reasoning steps. For example, in deductive reasoning tasks, presenting the premises in the same order as the ground truth proof in the prompt (as opposed to random ordering) drastically increases the model's accuracy. We first examine the effect of premise ordering on deductive reasoning on a variety of LLMs, and our evaluation shows that even if the model performance is decent on the optimal order, permuting the premise order can cause a performance drop of over 30%. In addition, we release the benchmark R-GSM, based on GSM8K, to examine the ordering effect for mathematical problem-solving, and we again observe a significant drop in accuracy, relative to the original GSM8K benchmark.

Deep Learning · Other Representation Learning

Hyomin Kim, Yunhui Jang, Jaeho Lee, Sungsoo Ahn

In this paper, we study hybrid neural representations for spherical data, a domain of increasing relevance in scientific research. In particular, our work focuses on weather and climate data as well as cosmic microwave background (CMB) data. Although previous studies have delved into coordinate-based neural representations for spherical signals, they often fail to capture the intricate details of highly nonlinear signals. To address this limitation, we introduce a novel approach named Hybrid Neural Representations for Spherical data (HNeR-S). Our main idea is to use spherical feature-grids to obtain positional features which are combined with a multi-layer perceptron to predict the target signal. We consider feature-grids with equirectangular and hierarchical equal area isolatitude pixelization structures that align with weather data and CMB data, respectively. We extensively verify the effectiveness of our HNeR-S for regression, super-resolution, temporal interpolation, and compression tasks.

Social Aspects · Privacy-preserving Statistics and Machine Learning

Shuai Tang, Steven Wu, Sergul Aydore, Michael Kearns, Aaron Roth

Recently, diffusion models have become popular tools for image synthesis due to their high-quality outputs. However, like other large models, they may leak private information about their training data. Here, we demonstrate a privacy vulnerability of diffusion models through a *membership inference (MI) attack*, which aims to identify whether a target example belongs to the training set when given the trained diffusion model. Our proposed MI attack learns quantile regression models that predict (a quantile of) the distribution of reconstruction loss on examples not used in training. This allows us to define a granular hypothesis test for determining the membership of a point in the training set, based on thresholding the reconstruction loss of that point using a custom threshold tailored to the example. We also provide a simple bootstrap technique that takes a majority membership prediction over ''a bag of weak attackers'' which improves the accuracy over individual quantile regression models. We show that our attack outperforms the prior state-of-the-art attack while being substantially less computationally expensive --- prior attacks required training multiple ''shadow models'' with the same architecture as the model under attack, whereas our attack requires training only much smaller models.

Social Aspects · Privacy-preserving Statistics and Machine Learning

Abdellah El Mrini, Edwige Cyffers, Aurélien Bellet

Decentralized Gradient Descent (D-GD) allows a set of users to perform collaborative learning without sharing their data by iteratively averaging local model updates with their neighbors in a network graph. The absence of direct communication between non-neighbor nodes might lead to the belief that users cannot infer precise information about the data of others. In this work, we demonstrate the opposite, by proposing the first attack against D-GD that enables a user (or set of users) to reconstruct the private data of other users outside their immediate neighborhood. Our approach is based on a reconstruction attack against the gossip averaging protocol, which we then extend to handle the additional challenges raised by D-GD. We validate the effectiveness of our attack on real graphs and datasets, showing that the number of users compromised by a single or a handful of attackers is often surprisingly large. We empirically investigate some of the factors that affect the performance of the attack, namely the graph topology, the number of attackers, and their position in the graph.