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Applications · Time Series

Xiaorui Wang, Fanda Fan, Chenxi Wang, Yuxuan Yang, Rui Tang, Kuoyu Gao, simiao pang, Yuanfeng Shang, Liu, Wanling Gao 等

Recent progress in time-series forecasting has led to rapidly increasing architectural complexity, yet many reported State-of-the-Art gains are statistically fragile or misattributed. We argue that progress requires a shift from model selection to modular attribution, identifying which components truly drive performance. We propose CombinationTS, a self-contained probabilistic evaluation framework that decomposes forecasting models into orthogonal modules—Input Transformation, Embedding, Encoder, and Decoder—and evaluates them under a shared evaluation condition space. By quantifying each component via marginalized effectiveness ($\mu$) and stability ($\sigma^2$), CombinationTS enables robust attribution beyond fragile point estimates. Through large-scale paired evaluation, we uncover the Identity Paradox: once the data view is well-designed, a parameter-free Identity encoder often matches or outperforms complex backbones. We further show that explicit structural priors introduced via input transformations yield a more favorable effectiveness–stability trade-off than increasing encoder complexity, establishing a principled baseline for architectural necessity. The code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/CombinationTS.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Xinhao Huang, You-Liang Huang, Zeyi Wen

While low-rank decomposition offers potential for LLM size reduction, its application is limited by considerable performance degradation. In this work, we identify and formalize a key overlooked issue in LLM decomposition: \textit{representation drift}. We show that approximation errors introduced by decomposition propagate and amplify non-linearly through the deep layers of the transformer architecture, progressively distorting internal representations and degrading downstream performance. To mitigate this, we introduce a conceptually simple but principled compensation mechanism, named ``\our'', that operates by suppressing error at its source. By learning to align the output distribution of decomposed transformer blocks with their original counterparts, our method effectively counteracts representation drift, achieving notable performance recovery with zero inference overhead. Extensive experiments across OPT, LLaMA-2, LLaMA-3, and QWen exhibit remarkable improvements in language modeling, common-sense reasoning, knowledge-based reasoning, and vision-language tasks. For instance, on LLaMA-3-8B and OPT-13B at 40% compression, perplexity is reduced by more than 70% while reasoning task accuracy improves by over 10%. Our code is available at this anonymous URL.

Applications · Computer Vision

Zhifeng Gu, Yuqi Wang, Bing WANG

Relative spatial relations provide a compact description of spatial structure, serving as a key component of relative spatial reasoning in 3D layout generation. Recent works leverage Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) to infer these relations, but the inferred relations are often unreliable and are resolved by post-hoc heuristics at the cost of semantic fidelity. In this paper, we propose R$^3$L, a general framework that improves the reliability and consistency of relative spatial reasoning for 3D layout generation. Our key motivation is that multi-hop reasoning requires repeated reference-frame shifts, which accumulate errors and lead to semantic and metric drift. To mitigate this, we propose invariant spatial decomposition to shorten relations chains, and consistent spatial imagination that uses an imagine-and-revise loop to encourage self-consistency during relation inference. We further design supportive spatial optimization that eases pose optimization by global-to-local coordinate re-parameterization. Extensive experiments across diverse scene types and instructions demonstrate that R$^3$L improves layout feasibility and semantic consistency. Notably, our analysis shows that resolving frame-induced inconsistencies during reasoning is crucial for reliable multi-hop relative spatial reasoning. Code will be released upon acceptance.

Deep Learning · Foundation Models

Yuxuan Lou, Kai Yang, Yang You

We present MoST (Mixture of Speech and Text), a novel multimodal large language model that seamlessly integrates speech and text processing through our proposed Modality-Aware Mixture of Experts (MAMoE) architecture. While current multimodal models typically process diverse modality representations with identical parameters—disregarding their inherent representational differences, we introduce specialized routing pathways that direct tokens to modality-appropriate experts based on input type. MAMoE simultaneously enhances modality-specific learning and cross-modal understanding through two complementary components: modality-specific expert groups that capture domain-specific patterns and shared experts that facilitate information transfer between modalities. Building on this architecture, we develop an efficient transformation pipeline that adapts the pretrained MoE language model through strategic post-training on ASR and TTS datasets, followed by fine-tuning with a carefully curated speech-text instruction dataset. A key feature of this pipeline is that it relies exclusively on fully accessible, open-source datasets to achieve strong performance and data efficiency. Comprehensive evaluations across ASR, TTS, audio language modeling, and spoken question answering benchmarks show that MoST consistently outperforms existing models of comparable parameter counts. Our ablation studies confirm that the modality-specific routing mechanism and shared experts design significantly contribute to performance gains across all tested domains. To our knowledge, MoST represents the first fully open-source speech-text LLM built on a Mixture of Experts architecture.

Theory · Reinforcement Learning and Planning

Onno Eberhard, Claire Vernade, Michael Muehlebach

Theoretical properties of reinforcement learning algorithms are most commonly studied under the Markov assumption. This is unrealistic, as most environments encountered in practice are either partially observable, or require function approximation that restricts the agent to access non-Markovian state features. We consider the problem of learning an optimal reactive policy in a finite environment under deterministic observations (or equivalently, hard state aggregation). We introduce a new algorithm, _Committed Q-learning_, and prove almost sure convergence to the optimal reactive policy under an intuitive assumption we call _rewire-robustness_. This assumption is strictly weaker than the $q_\star$-realizability condition used in prior work. Our algorithm is a variant of classical Q-learning in which the behavior policy commits to a single action upon entering a feature, and only resamples actions when the observed feature changes.

Social Aspects · Alignment

Zhiyuan Wang, Aniri -, Tianlong Chen, Yue Zhang, Heng Tao Shen, Xiaoshuang Shi, Kaidi Xu

Foundation models often generate unreliable answers, while heuristic uncertainty estimators fail to fully distinguish correct from incorrect outputs, causing users to accept erroneous answers without statistical guarantees. We address this through the lens of false discovery rate (FDR) control, ensuring that among all accepted predictions, the proportion of errors does not exceed a target risk level. To this end, we propose LEC, a principled framework that reframes selective prediction as a decision problem governed by a linear expectation constraint over selection and error indicators. Under this formulation, we derive a finite-sample sufficient condition that relies only on a held-out set of exchangeable calibration data, enabling the computation of an FDR-constrained, retention-maximizing threshold. Furthermore, we extend LEC to two-model routing systems: if the primary model's uncertainty exceeds its calibrated threshold, the input is delegated to a subsequent model, while maintaining system-level FDR control. Experiments on both closed-ended and open-ended question answering (QA) and vision question answering (VQA) demonstrate that LEC achieves tighter FDR control and substantially improves sample retention compared to prior approaches.

Deep Learning · Foundation Models

Huu Nguyen, Victor May, Harsh Raj, Marianna Nezhurina, Yishan Wang, Yanqi Luo, Vu Chien, Taishi Nakamura, Ken Tsui, Van Nguyen 等

We present MixtureVitae, an open‑access pretraining corpus built to minimize legal risk while providing strong downstream performance. MixtureVitae follows a permissive‑first, risk‑mitigated sourcing strategy that combines public‑domain and permissively licensed text (e.g., CC‑BY/Apache) with carefully justified low‑risk additions (e.g., government works and EU TDM‑eligible sources). MixtureVitae adopts a simple, single-stage pretraining recipe that integrates a large proportion of permissive synthetic instruction and reasoning data—signals typically introduced during post-training and generally scarce in permissive web corpora. We categorize all sources into a three-tier scheme that reflects varying risk levels and provide shard-level provenance metadata to enable risk-aware usage. In controlled experiments using the open‑sci‑ref training protocol (fixed architectures and hyperparameters; 50B and 300B token budgets across 130M–1.7B parameters), models trained on MixtureVitae consistently outperform other permissive datasets across a suite of standard benchmarks, and at the 1.7B-parameters/300B-tokens setting, they match FineWeb‑Edu and approach DCLM--demonstrating that the large fraction of reasoning and instruction data does not come at the cost of general-purpose language understanding. Performance is particularly strong on MMLU and on math and code benchmarks: a 1.7B model pretrained on 300B MixtureVitae tokens outperforms all strong non-permissive reference datasets and matches or exceeds smolLM2-Instruct, a strong 1.7B instruction‑tuned baseline on GSM8K, HumanEval, and MBPP, despite using over 36$\times$ fewer tokens (300B vs. $\approx$11T). Supported by a thorough decontamination analysis, these results show that permissive‑first data with high instruction and reasoning density, tiered by licensing and provenance-related risk, can provide a practical and risk-mitigated foundation for training capable LLMs, reducing reliance on broad web scrapes without sacrificing competitiveness. Dataset, source code for experiments reproduction and pre-trained models are available at https://github.com/ontocord/mixturevitae .

Applications · Computer Vision

Yuwen Ji, Donglin Wang, Yue Zhang

Text-to-motion (T2M) generation has emerged as a fundamental task. However, existing evaluation metrics often fail to accurately capture the semantic alignment between textual descriptions and generated 3D motions. In this work, we propose VeMo, a novel evaluation framework that leverages the zero-shot reasoning capabilities of Video-Language Models (VLMs) for T2M assessment. Our basic idea is: render the generated human motion into a skinned video, and then use a VLM for evaluation. To mitigate the information loss inherent in 3D-to-2D projections, we introduce an entropy-based uncertainty analysis that ensures the reliability of the evaluation scores. To address the lack of rigorous standards in the field, we contribute a meta-evaluation benchmark featuring manual annotations of coarse-grained alignment and fine-grained rationales. Extensive experiments demonstrate that VeMo significantly outperforms traditional metrics in human-alignment, offering a scalable and data-independent solution for the reliable assessment of T2M models.

Deep Learning · Everything Else

Luca Zhou, Bo Zhao, Rose Yu, Emanuele Rodolà

Model merging combines knowledge from separately fine-tuned models, yet success factors remain poorly understood. While recent work treats mergeability as an intrinsic property, we show with an architecture-agnostic framework that it fundamentally depends on both the merging method and the partner tasks. Using linear optimization over a set of interpretable pairwise metrics (e.g., gradient $L_2$ distance), we uncover properties correlating with post-merge performance across four merging methods. We find substantial variation in success drivers (46.7\% metric overlap; 55.3\% sign agreement), revealing method-specific "fingerprints". Crucially, however, \textit{subspace overlap} and \textit{gradient alignment} metrics consistently emerge as foundational, method-agnostic prerequisites for compatibility. These findings provide a diagnostic foundation for understanding mergeability and motivate future fine-tuning strategies that explicitly encourage these properties.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Bradley McDanel, Steven Li, Harshit Khaitan

The prefill stage in long-context LLM inference remains a computational bottleneck. Recent token-ranking heuristics accelerate inference by selectively processing a subset of semantically relevant tokens. However, existing methods suffer from unstable token importance estimation, often varying between layers. Evaluating token-ranking quality independently from heuristic-specific architectures is challenging. To address this, we introduce an Answer-Informed Oracle, which defines ground-truth token importance by measuring attention from generated answers back to the prompt. This oracle reveals that existing heuristics exhibit high variance across layers: rankings can degrade sharply at specific layers, a failure mode invisible to end-to-end benchmarks. The diagnosis suggests a simple fix: aggregate scores across layers rather than relying on any single one. We implement this as Cross-Layer Attention Aggregation (CLAA), which closes the gap to the oracle upper bound and reduces Time-to-First-Token (TTFT) by up to 39\% compared to the Full KV Cache baseline.

Reinforcement Learning · Multi-agent

Xinyue Peng, Yi Qian, Jiaojiao Lin, Wenjian Shao, Yanming Liu

As large language models (LLMs) continue to scale, it becomes increasingly challenging to grow model capacity under fixed computation budgets. We propose Path-Aligned Decompression Distillation (PADD), a framework for distilling knowledge from dense teachers without explicit routing into mixture-of-experts (MoE) students while learning high-quality routing policies. PADD organizes knowledge distillation into four stages in two phases: an initialization phase (Stage I) that builds diverse functionality in the student's experts through teacher neuron clustering and student-expert warmup, and a training phase (Stages II--IV) that integrates online adaptive distillation, path-refined policy optimization, and reward-augmented load balancing in a single training pipeline.Experiments on mathematical reasoning benchmarks demonstrate that PADD yields substantial gains over strong baselines at the same inference cost and that the MoE student can match or surpass its dense teacher. They also demonstrate effective teacher-to-student knowledge distillation and stable routing behavior.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Haokun Liu, Gyung Hyun Je, Marco Ciccone, Zhenlin Xu, Prasanth YSS, Colin Raffel

The widespread availability of fine-tuned LoRA modules for open pre-trained models has led to an interest in methods that can adaptively merge LoRAs to improve performance. These methods typically include some way of selecting LoRAs from a pool and tune merging coefficients based on a task-specific dataset. While adaptive merging methods have demonstrated improvements in some settings, no past work has attempted to recycle LoRAs found ``in the wild'' on model repositories like the Hugging Face Hub. To address this gap, we consider recycling from a pool of nearly 1,000 user-contributed LoRAs trained from the Llama 3.1 8B-Instruct language model. Our empirical study includes a range of adaptive and non-adaptive merging methods in addition to a new method designed via a wide search over the methodological design space. We demonstrate that adaptive merging methods can improve performance over the base model but provide limited benefit over training a new LoRA on the same data used to set merging coefficients. We additionally find not only that the specific choice of LoRAs to merge has little importance, but that using LoRAs with randomly initialized parameter values yields similar performance. This raises the possibility that adaptive merging from recycled LoRAs primarily works via some kind of regularization effect, rather than by enabling positive cross-task transfer. To better understand why past work has proven successful, we confirm that positive transfer is indeed possible when there are highly relevant LoRAs in the pool. We release the model checkpoints and code online.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Jingyuan Yan, Qingchen Liu, Qichao Ma, Jiahu Qin

Reinforcement Learning (RL) with Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) shows great promise for enhancing LLM reasoning, but remains challenged by sparse and unstable rewards in long-horizon tasks. Existing approaches to reward shaping struggle to balance semantic expressiveness, reliability, and computational efficiency: heuristic rules lack flexibility, while LLM-as-a-Judge incurs high computational cost and suffer from inconsistent and misaligned scoring signals in long-context settings. To address these challenges, we introduce GLARE, a neuro-symbolic reward framework that decouples semantic abstraction from credit assignment. Specifically, to leverage semantic understanding while preserving symbolic determinism, we first extract and symbolize trajectory events into a discrete representation. These events are then translated into Linear Temporal Logic (LTL) formulas, which are compiled into deterministic automata that track the agent's progress via state transitions. This mechanism yields dense and consistent reward signals, avoiding unstable direct scoring while significantly reducing computational cost. Empirical results on ALFWorld show that GLARE outperforms GRPO by 12.1\% in success rate, while achieving an 8.1\% improvement over conventional LLM-based judges using only 15\% of their computational cost.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Guowei Guan, Yurong Hao, Jiaming Zhang, Tiantong Wu, Fuyao Zhang, Tianxiang Chen, Longtao Huang, Cyril Leung, Wei Yang Bryan Lim

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) are pushing recommender systems (RecSys) toward content-grounded retrieval and ranking via cross-modal fusion. We find that while cross-modal consensus often mitigates conventional poisoning that manipulates interaction logs or perturbs a single modality, it also introduces a new attack surface where synchronised multimodal poisoning can reliably steer fused representations along stable semantic directions during fine-tuning. To characterise this threat, we formalise cross-modal interactive poisoning and propose VENOMREC, which performs Exposure Alignment to identify high-exposure regions in the joint embedding space and Cross-modal Interactive Perturbation to craft attention-guided coupled token–-patch edits. Experiments on three real-world multimodal datasets demonstrate that VENOMREC consistently outperforms strong baselines, achieving 0.73 mean ER@20 and improving over the strongest baseline by +0.52 absolute ER points on average, while maintaining comparable recommendation utility.

Theory · Reinforcement Learning and Planning

Egor Cherepanov, Daniil Zelezetsky, Aleksandr Panov, Aleksey Kovalev

Pixel-based reinforcement learning agents often fail under purely visual distribution shift even when latent dynamics and rewards are unchanged, but existing benchmarks entangle multiple sources of shift and hinder systematic analysis. We introduce KAGE-Env, a JAX-native 2D platformer that factorizes the observation process into independently controllable visual axes while keeping the underlying control problem fixed. By construction, varying a visual axis affects performance only through the induced state-conditional action distribution of a pixel policy, providing a clean abstraction for visual generalization. Building on this environment, we define KAGE-Bench, a benchmark of six known-axis suites comprising 34 train-evaluation configuration pairs that isolate individual visual shifts. Using a standard PPO-CNN baseline, we observe strong axis-dependent failures, with background and photometric shifts often collapsing success, while agent-appearance shifts are comparatively benign. Several shifts preserve forward motion while breaking task completion, showing that return alone can obscure generalization failures. Finally, the fully vectorized JAX implementation enables up to 33M environment steps per second on a single GPU, enabling fast and reproducible sweeps over visual factors.

Haixu Wu, Minghao Guo, Zongyi Li, Zhiyang Dou, Mingsheng Long, Kaiming He, Wojciech Matusik

Neural simulators promise efficient surrogates for physics simulation, but scaling them is bottlenecked by the prohibitive cost of generating high-fidelity training data. Pre-training on abundant off-the-shelf geometries offers a natural alternative, yet faces a fundamental gap: supervision on static geometry alone ignores dynamics and can lead to negative transfer on physics tasks. We present GeoPT, a unified pre-trained model for general physics simulation based on lifted geometric pre-training. The core idea is to augment geometry with synthetic dynamics, enabling dynamics-aware self-supervision without physics labels. Pre-trained on over one million samples, GeoPT consistently improves industrial-fidelity benchmarks spanning fluid mechanics for cars, aircraft, and ships, and solid mechanics in crash simulation, reducing labeled data requirements by 20-60% and accelerating convergence by 2$\times$. These results show that lifting with synthetic dynamics bridges the geometry-physics gap, unlocking a scalable path for neural simulation.

Theory · Online Learning and Bandits

Dhruv Sarkar, Abhishek Sinha

We propose an anytime online algorithm for learning a sequence of convex cost functions while approximately satisfying a sequence of convex constraints, without prior knowledge of the time horizon. Both the cost and constraint functions may be chosen adversarially over time. While this problem has recently been resolved in the setting where the time horizon is known, extending these guarantees to the anytime setting, without resorting to inefficient doubling tricks, has remained technically challenging. Our main contribution is the introduction of a time-varying yet horizon-oblivious Lyapunov function to track constraint violations. The use of such a time-varying Lyapunov function introduces new technical difficulties, as a key monotonicity property underlying prior analyses no longer holds. By developing a novel analytical technique, we show that our algorithm achieves $O(\sqrt{t})$ \regret~ and $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{t})$ cumulative constraint violation (\CCV) for all $t \geq 1$. We further extend our framework to the dynamic regret setting, obtaining bounds that adapt to the unknown path length of the comparator sequence. Finally, we present an adaptive algorithm for the optimistic setting, whose performance scales gracefully with the cumulative prediction error. We validate the practical effectiveness of our approach through numerical experiments on the online shortest path problem.

Applications · Health / Medicine

Jun Li, Mingxuan Liu, Jiazhen Pan, che liu, Wenjia Bai, Cosmin Bercea, Julia Schnabel

Clinical abnormality grounding for rare diseases is often hindered by data scarcity, rendering supervised fine-tuning infeasible and single-pass inference highly unstable. Thus, we propose Dynamic Decision Learning (DDL), a framework that enables frozen LVLMs to refine their decisions across language and visual spaces by optimizing instructions and consolidating predictions under visual perturbations, thereby improving localization quality and producing a consensus‑based reliability score that quantifies the model’s confidence. Results on brain‑imaging benchmarks, including a rare‑disease dataset with 281 pathology types across 3B-72B models, show that DDL improves mAP@75 by up to 105\% on rare‑disease cases and surpasses adaptation baselines and supervised fine‑tuning. Moreover, we show that DDL yields stronger calibration between consensus‑based reliability scores and localization accuracy under severe distribution shifts and increasing task difficulty. The code will be open-sourced.

Deep Learning · Attention Mechanisms

Andrew Lee, Yonatan Belinkov, Fernanda Viégas, Martin Wattenberg

Despite the central role of attention heads in Transformers, we lack tools to understand why a model attends to a particular token. To address this, we study the query-key (QK) space -- the bilinear joint embedding space between queries and keys. We present a contrastive covariance method to decompose the QK space into low-rank, human-interpretable components. It is when features in keys and queries align in these low-rank subspaces that high attention scores are produced. We first study our method both analytically and empirically in a simplified setting. We then apply our method to large language models to identify human-interpretable QK subspaces for categorical semantic features and binding features. Finally, we demonstrate how attention scores can be attributed to our identified features.

General Machine Learning · Causality

Tal Ellinson, Hadi Mohasel Afshar, Sally Cripps

Instance-wise feature selection is a valuable tool for interpreting labeled data and the predictions of black-box models. In contrast to global feature selection techniques, instance-wise methods dynamically identify important features for each instance. A growing number of methods learn a *selector*, which identifies important features, and a *predictor*, which uses these to make predictions. However, these pioneering methods face challenges including information leakage and lack of differentiability, which can slow training. In this paper, we present Hide&Seek, an end-to-end differentiable model for instance-wise feature selection. We jointly learn feature selection and prediction under a single objective without information leakage. Hide&Seek outperforms existing state-of-the-art models across a range of synthetic and real-data experiments and is fast to train. We achieve this by reformulating feature removal as a differentiable operation where instead of discretely removing features, we replace a proportion of each feature. Training is further stabilized via a parsimony-weight annealing framework.