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General Machine Learning · Evaluation

Xinnuo Xu, Rachel Lawrence, Kshitij Dubey, Atharva Pandey, Risa Ueno, Fabian Falck, Aditya Nori, Rahul Sharma, Amit Sharma, Javier Gonzalez

Recent Large Language Models (LLMs) have reported high accuracy on reasoning benchmarks. However, it is still unclear whether the observed results arise from true “reasoning” or from statistical recall of the training set. Inspired by the ladder of causation (Pearl, 2009) and its three levels (associations, interventions and counterfactuals), this paper introduces RE-IMAGINE: a framework to characterize a hierarchy of reasoning ability in LLMs, alongside an automated pipeline to generate problem variations at different levels of the hierarchy. By altering problems in an intermediate symbolic representation, RE-IMAGINE generates arbitrarily many problems that are not solvable using memorization alone. Moreover, the framework is general and can work across reasoning domains, including math, code, and logic. We demonstrate our framework on four widely-used benchmarks to evaluate several families of LLMs, and observe reductions in performance when the models are queried with problem variations. These assessments indicate a degree of reliance on statistical recall for past performance, and open the door to further research targeting skills across the reasoning hierarchy.

Theory · Learning Theory

Weiwei Liu

High-dimensional inference addresses scenarios where the dimension of the data approaches, or even surpasses, the sample size. In these settings, the regularized $M$-estimator is a common technique for inferring parameters. (Negahban et al.,2009) establish a unified framework for establishing convergence rates in the context of high-dimensional scaling, demonstrating that estimation errors are confined within a restricted set, and revealing fast convergence rates. The key assumption underlying their work is the convexity of the loss function. However, many loss functions in high-dimensional contexts are nonconvex. This leads to the question: if the loss function is nonconvex, do estimation errors still fall within a restricted set? If yes, can we recover convergence rates of the estimation error under nonconvex situations? This paper provides affirmative answers to these critical questions.

Deep Learning · Foundation Models

Meir Yossef Levi, Guy Gilboa

Contrastive Language-Image Pre-Training (CLIP) is highly instrumental in machine learning applications within a large variety of domains. We investigate the geometry of this embedding, which is still not well understood, and show that text and image reside on linearly separable ellipsoid shells, not centered at the origin. We explain the benefits of having this structure, allowing to better embed instances according to their uncertainty during contrastive training.Frequent concepts in the dataset yield more false negatives, inducing greater uncertainty.A new notion of conformity is introduced, which measures the average cosine similarity of an instance to any other instance within a representative data set. We show this measure can be accurately estimated by simply computing the cosine similarity to the modality mean vector. Furthermore, we find that CLIP's modality gap optimizes the matching of the conformity distributions of image and text.

Theory · Reinforcement Learning and Planning

Zhiyong Wang, Chen Yang, John C. S. Lui, Dongruo Zhou

In this work, we study offline reinforcement learning (RL) with zero-shot generalization property (ZSG), where the agent has access to an offline dataset including experiences from different environments, and the goal of the agent is to train a policy over the training environments which performs well on test environments without further interaction. Existing work showed that classical offline RL fails to generalize to new, unseen environments. We propose pessimistic empirical risk minimization (PERM) and pessimistic proximal policy optimization (PPPO), which leverage pessimistic policy evaluation to guide policy learning and enhance generalization. We show that both PERM and PPPO are capable of finding a near-optimal policy with ZSG. Our result serves as a first step in understanding the foundation of the generalization phenomenon in offline reinforcement learning.

Optimization · Discrete and Combinatorial Optimization

Alex Crane, Thomas Stanley, Blair D. Sullivan, Nate Veldt

We consider a framework for clustering edge-colored hypergraphs, where the goal is to cluster (equivalently, to *color*) objects based on the primary type of multiway interactions they participate in. One well-studied objective is to color nodes to minimize the number of *unsatisfied* hyperedges---those containing one or more nodes whose color does not match the hyperedge color. We motivate and present advances for several directions that extend beyond this minimization problem. We first provide new algorithms for maximizing *satisfied* edges, which is the same at optimality but is much more challenging to approximate, with all prior work restricted to graphs. We develop the first approximation algorithm for hypergraphs, and then refine it to improve the best-known approximation factor for graphs. We then introduce new objective functions that incorporate notions of balance and fairness, and provide new hardness results, approximations, and fixed-parameter tractability results.

Theory · Learning Theory

Juan Perdomo

Social predictions do not passively describe the future; they actively shape it. They inform actions and change individual expectations in ways that influence the likelihood of the predicted outcome. Given these dynamics, to what extent can social events be predicted? This question was discussed throughout the 20th century by authors like Merton, Morgenstern, Simon, and others who considered it a central issue in social science methodology. In this work, we provide a modern answer to this old problem. Using recent ideas from performative prediction and outcome indistinguishability, we establish that one can always efficiently predict social events accurately, regardless of how predictions influence data. While achievable, we also show that these predictions are often undesirable, highlighting the limitations of previous desiderata. We end with a discussion of various avenues forward.

Deep Learning · Self-Supervised Learning

Mengzhu Wang, houcheng su, Jiao Li, Chuan Li, Nan Yin, Li Shen, Jingcai Guo

Semi-supervised learning (SSL) has made notable advancements in medical image segmentation (MIS), particularly in scenarios with limited labeled data and significantly enhancing data utilization efficiency. Previous methods primarily focus on complex training strategies to utilize unlabeled data but neglect the importance of graph structural information. Different from existing methods, we propose a graph-based clustering for semi-supervised medical image segmentation (GraphCL) by jointly modeling graph data structure in a unified deep model. The proposed GraphCL model enjoys several advantages. Firstly, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to model the data structure information for semi-supervised medical image segmentation (SSMIS). Secondly, to get the clustered features across different graphs, we integrate both pairwise affinities between local image features and raw features as inputs. Extensive experimental results on three standard benchmarks show that the proposed GraphCL algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art semi-supervised medical image segmentation methods.

Applications · Chemistry, Physics, and Earth Sciences

Dapeng Jiang, Xiangzhe Kong, Jiaqi Han, Mingyu Li, Rui Jiao, Wenbing Huang, Stefano Ermon, Jianzhu Ma, Yang Liu

Cyclic peptides, characterized by geometric constraints absent in linear peptides, offer enhanced biochemical properties, presenting new opportunities to address unmet medical needs. However, designing target-specific cyclic peptides remains underexplored due to limited training data. To bridge the gap, we propose CP-Composer, a novel generative framework that enables zero-shot cyclic peptide generation via composable geometric constraints. Our approach decomposes complex cyclization patterns into unit constraints, which are incorporated into a diffusion model through geometric conditioning on nodes and edges. During training, the model learns from unit constraints and their random combinations in linear peptides, while at inference, novel constraint combinations required for cyclization are imposed as input. Experiments show that our model, despite trained with linear peptides, is capable of generating diverse target-binding cyclic peptides, reaching success rates from 38\% to 84\% on different cyclization strategies.

General Machine Learning

Rui Luo, Zhixin Zhou

Conformal prediction provides a robust framework for generating prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees, independent of the underlying data distribution. However, existing methods typically rely on a single conformity score function, which can limit the efficiency and informativeness of the prediction sets. In this paper, we present a novel approach that enhances conformal prediction for multi-class classification by optimally averaging multiple conformity score functions. Our method involves assigning weights to different score functions and employing various data splitting strategies. Additionally, our approach bridges concepts from conformal prediction and model averaging, offering a more flexible and efficient tool for uncertainty quantification in classification tasks. We provide a comprehensive theoretical analysis grounded in Vapnik–Chervonenkis (VC) theory, establishing finite-sample coverage guarantees and demonstrating the efficiency of our method. Empirical evaluations on benchmark datasets show that our weighted averaging approach consistently outperforms single-score methods by producing smaller prediction sets without sacrificing coverage.

Deep Learning · Sequential Models, Time series

Seunghan Lee, Taeyoung Park, Kibok Lee

Channel identifiability (CID) refers to the ability to distinguish among individual channels in time series (TS) modeling. The absence of CID often results in producing identical outputs for identical inputs, disregarding channel-specific characteristics. In this paper, we highlight the importance of CID and propose Channel Normalization (CN), a simple yet effective normalization strategy that enhances CID by assigning distinct affine transformation parameters to each channel. We further extend CN in two ways: 1) Adaptive CN (ACN) dynamically adjusts parameters based on the input TS, improving adaptability in TS models, and 2) Prototypical CN (PCN) introduces a set of learnable prototypes instead of per-channel parameters, enabling applicability to datasets with unknown or varying number of channels and facilitating use in TS foundation models. We demonstrate the effectiveness of CN and its variants by applying them to various TS models, achieving significant performance gains for both non-CID and CID models. In addition, we analyze the success of our approach from an information theory perspective. Code is available at [https://github.com/seunghan96/CN](https://github.com/seunghan96/CN).

Social Aspects · Privacy

Youssef Allouah, Rachid Guerraoui, John Stephan

Resilience against malicious participants and data privacy are essential for trustworthy federated learning, yet achieving both with good utility typically requires the strong assumption of a trusted central server. This paper shows that a significantly weaker assumption suffices: each pair of participants shares a randomness seed unknown to others. In a setting where malicious participants may collude with an untrusted server, we propose CafCor, an algorithm that integrates robust gradient aggregation with correlated noise injection, using shared randomness between participants.We prove that CafCor achieves strong privacy-utility trade-offs, significantly outperforming local differential privacy (DP) methods, which do not make any trust assumption, while approaching central DP utility, where the server is fully trusted. Empirical results on standard benchmarks validate CafCor's practicality, showing that privacy and robustness can coexist in distributed systems without sacrificing utility or trusting the server.

Probabilistic Methods · Monte Carlo and Sampling Methods

Kyurae Kim, Zuheng Xu, Jacob Gardner, Trevor Campbell

The performance of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers heavily depends on the tuning of the Markov kernels used in the path proposal. For SMC samplers with unadjusted Markov kernels, standard tuning objectives, such as the Metropolis-Hastings acceptance rate or the expected-squared jump distance, are no longer applicable. While stochastic gradient-based end-to-end optimization algorithms have been explored for tuning SMC samplers, they often incur excessive training costs, even for tuning just the kernel step sizes. In this work, we propose a general adaptation framework for tuning the Markov kernels in SMC samplers by minimizing the incremental Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the proposal and target paths. For step size tuning, we provide a gradient- and tuning-free algorithm that is generally applicable for kernels such as Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC). We further demonstrate the utility of our approach by providing a tailored scheme for tuning kinetic LMC used in SMC samplers. Our implementations are able to obtain a full schedule of tuned parameters at the cost of a few vanilla SMC runs, which is a fraction of gradient-based approaches.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Zheng Fang, Lichuan Xiang, Xu Cai, Kaicheng Zhou, Hongkai Wen

Spatial conditioning control offers a powerful way to guide diffusion‐based generative models. Yet, most implementations (e.g., ControlNet) rely on ad-hoc heuristics to choose which network blocks to control — an approach that varies unpredictably with different tasks. To address this gap, we propose FlexControl, a novel framework that equips all diffusion blocks with control signals during training and employs a trainable gating mechanism to dynamically select which control signal to activate at each denoising step. By introducing a computation-aware loss, we can encourage the control signal to activate only when it benefits the generation quality. By eliminating manual control unit selection, FlexControl enhances adaptability across diverse tasks and streamlines the design pipeline with computation-aware training loss in an end-to-end training manner. Through comprehensive experiments on both UNet and DiT architectures on different control methods, we show that our method can upgrade existing controllable generative models in certain key aspects of interest. As evidenced by both quantitative and qualitative evaluations, FlexControl preserves or enhances image fidelity while also reducing computational overhead by selectively activating the most relevant blocks to control. These results underscore the potential of a flexible, data‐driven approach for controlled diffusion and open new avenues for efficient generative model design. The code will soon be available at https://github.com/Daryu-Fan/FlexControl.

Applications · Computer Vision

Jiannian Wang, Yao Lu, Guangming Lu

Image steganography ensures secure information transmission and storage by concealing secret messages within images. Recently, the diffusion model has been incorporated into the generative image steganography task, with text prompts being employed to guide the entire process. However, existing methods are plagued by three problems: (1) the restricted control exerted by text prompts causes generated stego images resemble the secret images and seem unnatural, raising the severe detection risk; (2) inconsistent intermediate states between Denoising Diffusion Implicit Models and its inversion, coupled with limited control of text prompts degrade the revealed secret images; (3) the descriptive text of images(i.e. text prompts) are also deployed as the keys, but this incurs significant security risks for both the keys and the secret images.To tackle these drawbacks, we systematically propose the SSHR, which joints the Reference Images with the adaptive keys to govern the entire process, enhancing the naturalness and imperceptibility of stego images. Additionally, we methodically construct an Exact Reveal Process to improve the quality of the revealed secret images. Furthermore, adaptive Reference-Secret Image Related Symmetric Keys are generated to enhance the security of both the keys and the concealed secret images. Various experiments indicate that our model outperforms existing methods in terms of recovery quality and secret image security.

Applications · Language, Speech and Dialog

Jinyu Wang, Jingjing Fu, Rui Wang, Lei Song, Jiang Bian

Recent advancements in Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems have significantly enhanced the capabilities of large language models (LLMs) by incorporating external knowledge retrieval. However, the sole reliance on retrieval is often inadequate for mining deep, domain-specific knowledge and for performing logical reasoning from specialized datasets. To tackle these challenges, we present an approach, which is designed to extract, comprehend, and utilize domain knowledge while constructing a coherent rationale. At the heart of our approach lie four pivotal components: a knowledge atomizer that extracts atomic questions from raw data, a query proposer that generates subsequent questions to facilitate the original inquiry, an atomic retriever that locates knowledge based on atomic knowledge alignments, and an atomic selector that determines which follow-up questions to pose guided by the retrieved information. Through this approach, we implement a knowledge-aware task decomposition strategy that adeptly extracts multifaceted knowledge from segmented data and iteratively builds the rationale in alignment with the initial query and the acquired knowledge. We conduct comprehensive experiments to demonstrate the efficacy of our approach across various benchmarks, particularly those requiring multihop reasoning steps. The results indicate a significant enhancement in performance, up to 12.6\% over the second-best method, underscoring the potential of the approach in complex, knowledge-intensive applications.

Applications

Lei Zhang, Jiaxi Yang, Min Yang, Jian Yang, Mouxiang Chen, Jiajun Zhang, Zeyu Cui, Binyuan Hui, Junyang Lin

We introduce **SWE-Flow**, a novel data synthesis framework grounded in Test-Driven Development (TDD).Unlike existing software engineering data that rely on human-submitted issues, **SWE-Flow** automatically infers incremental development steps directly from unit tests, which inherently encapsulate high-level requirements.The core of **SWE-Flow** is the construction of a Runtime Dependency Graph (RDG), which precisely captures function interactions, enabling the generation of a structured, step-by-step *development schedule*.At each step, **SWE-Flow** produces a partial codebase, the corresponding unit tests, and the necessary code modifications, resulting in fully verifiable TDD tasks.With this approach, we generated 16,061 training instances and 2,020 test instances from real-world GitHub projects, creating the **SWE-Flow-Eval** benchmark.Our experiments show that fine-tuning open model on this dataset significantly improves performance in TDD-based coding.To facilitate further research, we release all code, datasets, models, and Docker images at [Github](https://github.com/Hambaobao/SWE-Flow).

Social Aspects · Fairness

Anissa Alloula, Charles Jones, Ben Glocker, Bartlomiej W. Papiez

Despite the constant development of new bias mitigation methods for machine learning, no method consistently succeeds, and a fundamental question remains unanswered: when and why do bias mitigation techniques fail? In this paper, we hypothesise that a key factor may be the often-overlooked but crucial step shared by many bias mitigation methods: the definition of subgroups. To investigate this, we conduct a comprehensive evaluation of state-of-the-art bias mitigation methods across multiple vision and language classification tasks, systematically varying subgroup definitions, including coarse, fine-grained, intersectional, and noisy subgroups. Our findings reveal that subgroup choice significantly impacts performance, with certain groupings paradoxically leading to worse outcomes than no mitigation at all. They suggest that observing a disparity between a set of subgroups is not a sufficient reason to use those subgroups for mitigation. Through theoretical analysis, we explain these phenomena and uncover a counter-intuitive insight that, in some cases, improving fairness with respect to a particular set of subgroups is best achieved by using a different set of subgroups for mitigation. Our work highlights the importance of careful subgroup definition in bias mitigation and presents it as an alternative lever for improving the robustness and fairness of machine learning models.

Applications · Health / Medicine

Dayang Wang, Srivathsa Pasumarthi Venkata, Ajit Shankaranarayanan, Greg Zaharchuk

Contrast-enhanced MRI enhances pathological visualization but often necessitates Pre-Contrast images for accurate quantitative analysis and comparative assessment. However, Pre-Contrast images are frequently unavailable due to time, cost, or safety constraints, or they may suffer from degradation, making alignment challenging. This limitation hinders clinical diagnostics and the performance of tools requiring combined image types. To address this challenge, we propose a novel staged, physics-grounded learning framework with a hyperintensity prior to synthesize Pre-Contrast images directly from Post-Contrast MRIs. The proposed method can generate high-quality Pre-Contrast images, thus, enabling comprehensive diagnostics while reducing the need for additional imaging sessions, costs, and patient risks. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first Pre-Contrast synthesis model capable of generating images that may be interchangeably used with standard-of-care Pre-Contrast images. Extensive evaluations across multiple datasets, sites, anatomies, and downstream tasks demonstrate the model’s robustness and clinical applicability, positioning it as a valuable tool for contrast-enhanced MRI workflows.

General Machine Learning · Causality

Tomer Meir, Uri Shalit, Malka Gorfine

Tailoring treatments to individual needs is a central goal in fields such as medicine. A key step toward this goal is estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects (HTE)—the way treatments impact different subgroups. While crucial, HTE estimation is challenging with survival data, where time until an event (e.g., death) is key. Existing methods often assume complete observation, an assumption violated in survival data due to right-censoring, leading to bias and inefficiency. Cui et al. (2023) proposed a doubly-robust method for HTE estimation in survival data under no hidden confounders, combining a causal survival forest with an augmented inverse-censoring weighting estimator. However, we find it struggles under heavy censoring, which is common in rare-outcome problems such as Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). Moreover, most current methods cannot handle instrumental variables, which are a crucial tool in the causal inference arsenal. We introduce Multiple Imputation for Survival Treatment Response (MISTR), a novel, general, and non-parametric method for estimating HTE in survival data. MISTR uses recursively imputed survival trees to handle censoring without directly modeling the censoring mechanism. Through extensive simulations and analysis of two real-world datasets—the AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 175 and the Illinois unemployment dataset we show that MISTR outperforms prior methods under heavy censoring in the no-hidden-confounders setting, and extends to the instrumental variable setting. To our knowledge, MISTR is the first non-parametric approach for HTE estimation with unobserved confounders via instrumental variables.

Theory · Learning Theory

Rongzhen Wang, Yan Zhang, Chenyu Zheng, Chongxuan Li, Guoqiang Wu

The success of large generative models has driven a paradigm shift, leveraging massive multi-source data to enhance model capabilities. However, the interaction among these sources remains theoretically underexplored. This paper provides a first attempt to fill this gap by rigorously analyzing multi-source training in conditional generative modeling, where each condition represents a distinct data source. Specifically, we establish a general distribution estimation error bound in average total variation distance for conditional maximum likelihood estimation based on the bracketing number.Our result shows that when source distributions share certain similarities and the model is expressive enough, multi-source training guarantees a sharper bound than single-source training.We further instantiate the general theory on conditional Gaussian estimation and deep generative models including autoregressive and flexible energy-based models, by characterizing their bracketing numbers. The results highlight that the number of sources and similarity among source distributions improve the advantage of multi-source training. Simulations and real-world experiments validate our theory.