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Reinforcement Learning · Batch/Offline

Alexander Nikulin, Ilya Zisman, Denis Tarasov, Nikita Lyubaykin, Andrei Polubarov, Igor Kiselev, Vladislav Kurenkov

Recently, latent action learning, pioneered by Latent Action Policies (LAPO), have shown remarkable pre-training efficiency on observation-only data, offering potential for leveraging vast amounts of video available on the web for embodied AI. However, prior work has focused on distractor-free data, where changes between observations are primarily explained by ground-truth actions. Unfortunately, real-world videos contain action-correlated distractors that may hinder latent action learning. Using Distracting Control Suite (DCS) we empirically investigate the effect of distractors on latent action learning and demonstrate that LAPO struggle in such scenario. We propose LAOM, a simple LAPO modification that improves the quality of latent actions by **8x**, as measured by linear probing. Importantly, we show that providing supervision with ground-truth actions, as few as 2.5% of the full dataset, during latent action learning improves downstream performance by **4.2x** on average. Our findings suggest that integrating supervision during Latent Action Models (LAM) training is critical in the presence of distractors, challenging the conventional pipeline of first learning LAM and only then decoding from latent to ground-truth actions.

General Machine Learning · Causality

Mateusz Olko, Mateusz Gajewski, Joanna Wojciechowska, Mikołaj Morzy, Piotr Sankowski, Piotr Milos

Neural causal discovery methods have recently improved in terms of scalability and computational efficiency. However, our systematic evaluation highlights significant room for improvement in their accuracy when uncovering causal structures. We identify a fundamental limitation: \textit{unavoidable likelihood score estimation errors disallow distinguishing the true structure},even for small graphs and relatively large sample sizes. Furthermore, we identify the faithfulness property as a critical bottleneck: (i) it is likely to be violated across any reasonable dataset size range, and (ii) its violation directly undermines the performance of neural penalized-likelihood discovery methods. These findings lead us to conclude that progress within the current paradigm is fundamentally constrained, necessitating a paradigm shift in this domain.

Applications · Time Series

Zhining Liu, Ze Yang, Xiao Lin, Ruizhong Qiu, Tianxin Wei, Yada Zhu, Hendrik Hamann, Jingrui He, Hanghang Tong

Time-series forecasting plays a critical role in many real-world applications. Although increasingly powerful models have been developed and achieved superior results on benchmark datasets, through a fine-grained sample-level inspection, we find that (i) no single model consistently outperforms others across different test samples, but instead (ii) each model excels in specific cases. These findings prompt us to explore how to adaptively leverage the distinct strengths of various forecasting models for different samples. We introduce TimeFuse, a framework for collective time-series forecasting with sample-level adaptive fusion of heterogeneous models. TimeFuse utilizes meta-features to characterize input time series and trains a learnable fusor to predict optimal model fusion weights for any given input. The fusor can leverage samples from diverse datasets for joint training, allowing it to adapt to a wide variety of temporal patterns and thus generalize to new inputs, even from unseen datasets. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of TimeFuse in various long-/short-term forecasting tasks, achieving near-universal improvement over the state-of-the-art individual models. Code is available at https://github.com/ZhiningLiu1998/TimeFuse.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Shuangfei Zhai, Ruixiang Zhang, Preetum Nakkiran, David Berthelot, Jiatao Gu, Huangjie Zheng, Tianrong Chen, Miguel Angel Bautista Martin, Navdeep Jaitly, Joshua M Susskind

Normalizing Flows (NFs) are likelihood-based models for continuous inputs. They have demonstrated promising results on both density estimation and generative modeling tasks, but have received relatively little attention in recent years. In this work, we demonstrate that NFs are more powerful than previously believed. We present TarFlow: a simple and scalable architecture that enables highly performant NF models. TarFlow can be thought of as a Transformer-based variant of Masked Autoregressive Flows (MAFs): it consists of a stack of autoregressive Transformer blocks on image patches, alternating the autoregression direction between layers. TarFlow is straightforward to train end-to-end, and capable of directly modeling and generating pixels. We also propose three key techniques to improve sample quality: Gaussian noise augmentation during training, a post training denoising procedure, and an effective guidance method for both class-conditional and unconditional settings. Putting these together, TarFlow sets new state-of-the-art results on likelihood estimation for images, beating the previous best methods by a large margin, and generates samples with quality and diversity comparable to diffusion models, for the first time with a stand-alone NF model. We make our code available at https://github.com/apple/ml-tarflow.

Applications · Chemistry, Physics, and Earth Sciences

Fanmeng Wang, Minjie Cheng, Hongteng Xu

Predicting molecular ground-state conformation (i.e., energy-minimized conformation) is crucial for many chemical applications such as molecular docking and property prediction. Classic energy-based simulation is time-consuming when solving this problem, while existing learning-based methods have advantages in computational efficiency but sacrifice accuracy and interpretability.In this work, we propose a novel and effective method to bridge the energy-based simulation and the learning-based strategy, which designs and learns a Wasserstein gradient flow-driven SE(3)-Transformer, called WGFormer, for ground-state conformation prediction. Specifically, our method tackles this task within an auto-encoding framework, which encodes low-quality conformations by the proposed WGFormer and decodes corresponding ground-state conformations by an MLP.The architecture of WGFormer corresponds to Wasserstein gradient flows --- it optimizes conformations by minimizing an energy function defined on the latent mixture models of atoms, thereby significantly improving performance and interpretability.Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms state-of-the-art competitors, providing a new and insightful paradigm to predict ground-state conformation.The code is available at https://github.com/FanmengWang/WGFormer.

General Machine Learning

Qian Peng, Yajie Bao, Haojie Ren, Zhaojun Wang, Changliang Zou

Conformal prediction is a powerful tool for constructing prediction intervals for black-box models, providing a finite sample coverage guarantee for exchangeable data. However, this exchangeability is compromised when some entries of the test feature are contaminated, such as in the case of cellwise outliers. To address this issue, this paper introduces a novel framework called *detect-then-impute conformal prediction*. This framework first employs an outlier detection procedure on the test feature and then utilizes an imputation method to fill in those cells identified as outliers. To quantify the uncertainty in the processed test feature, we adaptively apply the detection and imputation procedures to the calibration set, thereby constructing exchangeable features for the conformal prediction interval of the test label. We develop two practical algorithms, $\texttt{PDI-CP}$ and $\texttt{JDI-CP}$, and provide a distribution-free coverage analysis under some commonly used detection and imputation procedures. Notably, $\texttt{JDI-CP}$ achieves a finite sample $1-2\alpha$ coverage guarantee. Numerical experiments on both synthetic and real datasets demonstrate that our proposed algorithms exhibit robust coverage properties and comparable efficiency to the oracle baseline.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Jingtan Wang, Xiaoqiang Lin, Rui Qiao, Pang Wei Koh, Chuan-Sheng Foo, Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

Curating data for instruction tuning is crucial for enhancing the performance of large language models (LLMs). This work aims to select training data for instruction tuning to improve the LLM performance on specific tasks. Existing methods often rely on next-token prediction (NTP) loss as a proxy for target task performance due to the non-differentiable nature of performance evaluation metrics. They select training data points that are most helpful in reducing validation loss. However, there is a discrepancy between minimizing NTP loss and maximizing performance (e.g., code pass rate in code generation). To remedy this, we introduce a novel Non-differentiable evaluation metric-based InfluenCe Estimation (NICE), which leverages the policy gradient to select the training data that improves the performance. Moreover, NICE can perform data selection in the absence of labels (ground-truth responses) when the evaluation metrics do not require labels (e.g., a reward model can output reward scores without supervision from labels). Experimental results show that our approach outperforms existing data selection baselines that use NTP loss in diverse and realistic scenarios. Notably, subsets selected by NICE often produce models that outperform those trained on the full dataset. Our code is available at https://github.com/JTWang2000/NICE.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Peter Pao-Huang, Mitchell Black, Xiaojie Qiu

Generative modeling of graphs with spatial structure is essential across many applications from computer graphics to spatial genomics. Recent flow-based generative models have achieved impressive results by gradually adding and then learning to remove noise from these graphs. Existing models, however, use graph neural network architectures that are independent of the noise level, limiting their expressiveness. To address this issue, we introduce *Noise-Conditioned Graph Networks* (NCGNs), a class of graph neural networks that dynamically modify their architecture according to the noise level during generation. Our theoretical and empirical analysis reveals that as noise increases, (1) graphs require information from increasingly distant neighbors and (2) graphs can be effectively represented at lower resolutions. Based on these insights, we develop Dynamic Message Passing (DMP), a specific instantiation of NCGNs that adapts both the range and resolution of message passing to the noise level. DMP consistently outperforms noise independent architectures on a variety of domains including $3$D point clouds, spatiotemporal transcriptomics, and images.

Reinforcement Learning · Multi-agent

Whiyoung Jung, Sunghoon Hong, Deunsol Yoon, Kanghoon Lee, Woohyung Lim

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) struggles with coordination in sparse reward environments. Macro-actions —sequences of actions executed as single decisions— facilitate long-term planning but introduce asynchrony, complicating Centralized Training with Decentralized Execution (CTDE). Existing CTDE methods use padding to handle asynchrony, risking misaligned asynchronous experiences and spurious correlations. We propose the Agent-Centric Actor-Critic (ACAC) algorithm to manage asynchrony without padding. ACAC uses agent-centric encoders for independent trajectory processing, with an attention-based aggregation module integrating these histories into a centralized critic for improved temporal abstractions. The proposed structure is trained via a PPO-based algorithm with a modified Generalized Advantage Estimation for asynchronous environments. Experiments show ACAC accelerates convergence and enhances performance over baselines in complex MARL tasks.

Applications

Nicolás Astorga, Tennison Liu, Yuanzhang Xiao, Mihaela van der Schaar

Mathematical optimization is fundamental to decision-making across diverse domains, from operations research to healthcare. Yet, translating real-world problems into optimization models remains a difficult task, often demanding specialized expertise. This paper approaches the problem of $\textit{autoformulation}$: the automated creation of solver-ready optimization models from natural language problem descriptions.We identify three core challenges of autoformulation: $\textit{(1)}$ the vast, problem-dependent hypothesis space, $\textit{(2)}$ efficient and diverse exploration of this space under uncertainty, and $\textit{(3)}$ evaluation of formulation correctness against problem description.To address these challenges, we present a novel method leveraging $\textit{Large Language Models}$ (LLMs) with $\textit{Monte-Carlo Tree Search}$, exploiting the hierarchical nature of optimization modeling to generate and systematically explore possible formulations. To enhance search efficiency, we introduce symbolic pruning to eliminate trivially equivalent search paths (branches), and employ LLM-based evaluation of partial formulations to guide search.Empirical analysis on linear and mixed-integer programming benchmarks demonstrates our method's effectiveness, with significant performance gains from both LLM-based value estimation and symbolic pruning techniques.

Deep Learning · Theory

Neil Mallinar, Daniel Beaglehole, Libin Zhu, Adityanarayanan Radhakrishnan, Parthe Pandit, Misha Belkin

Neural networks trained to solve modular arithmetic tasks exhibit grokking, a phenomenon where the test accuracy starts improving long after the model achieves 100% training accuracy in the training process. It is often taken as an example of "emergence", where model ability manifests sharply through a phase transition. In this work, we show that the phenomenon of grokking is not specific to neural networks nor to gradient descent-based optimization. Specifically, we show that this phenomenon occurs when learning modular arithmetic with Recursive Feature Machines (RFM), an iterative algorithm that uses the Average Gradient Outer Product (AGOP) to enable task-specific feature learning with general machine learning models. When used in conjunction with kernel machines, iterating RFM results in a fast transition from random, near zero, test accuracy to perfect test accuracy. This transition cannot be predicted from the training loss, which is identically zero, nor from the test loss, which remains constant in initial iterations. Instead, as we show, the transition is completely determined by feature learning: RFM gradually learns block-circulant features to solve modular arithmetic. Paralleling the results for RFM, we show that neural networks that solve modular arithmetic also learn block-circulant features. Furthermore, we present theoretical evidence that RFM uses such block-circulant features to implement the Fourier Multiplication Algorithm, which prior work posited as the generalizing solution neural networks learn on these tasks. Our results demonstrate that emergence can result purely from learning task-relevant features and is not specific to neural architectures nor gradient descent-based optimization methods. Furthermore, our work provides more evidence for AGOP as a key mechanism for feature learning in neural networks.

Applications · Chemistry, Physics, and Earth Sciences

Benjamin Holzschuh, Qiang Liu, Georg Kohl, Nils Thuerey

We introduce PDE-Transformer, an improved transformer-based architecture for surrogate modeling of physics simulations on regular grids. We combine recent architectural improvements of diffusion transformers with adjustments specific for large-scale simulations to yield a more scalable and versatile general-purpose transformer architecture, which can be used as the backbone for building large-scale foundation models in physical sciences. We demonstrate that our proposed architecture outperforms state-of-the-art transformer architectures for computer vision on a large dataset of 16 different types of PDEs. We propose to embed different physical channels individually as spatio-temporal tokens, which interact via channel-wise self-attention. This helps to maintain a consistent information density of tokens when learning multiple types of PDEs simultaneously. We demonstrate that our pre-trained models achieve improved performance on several challenging downstream tasks compared to training from scratch and also beat other foundation model architectures for physics simulations.Our source code is available at https://github.com/tum-pbs/pde-transformer.

Theory · Online Learning and Bandits

Cyrille Kone, Emilie Kaufmann, Laura Richert

In this paper, we address the problem of identifying the Pareto Set under feasibility constraints in a multivariate bandit setting. Specifically, given a $K$-armed bandit with unknown means $\mu_1, \dots, \mu_K \in \mathbb{R}^d$, the goal is to identify the set of arms whose mean is not uniformly worse than that of another arm (i.e., not smaller for all objectives), while satisfying some known set of linear constraints, expressing, for example, some minimal performance on each objective. Our focus lies in fixed-confidence identification, for which we introduce an algorithm that significantly outperforms racing-like algorithms and the intuitive two-stage approach that first identifies feasible arms and then their Pareto Set. We further prove an information-theoretic lower bound on the sample complexity of any algorithm for constrained Pareto Set identification, showing that the sample complexity of our approach is near-optimal. Our theoretical results are supported by an extensive empirical evaluation on a series of benchmarks.

Reinforcement Learning · Online

Canzhe Zhao, Yutian Cheng, Jing Dong, Baoxiang Wang, Shuai Li

We investigate learning approximate Nash equilibrium (NE) policy profiles in two-player zero-sum imperfect information extensive-form games (IIEFGs) with last-iterate convergence guarantees. Existing algorithms either rely on full-information feedback or provide only asymptotic convergence rates. In contrast, we focus on the bandit feedback setting, where players receive feedback solely from the rewards associated with the experienced information set and action pairs in each episode. Our proposed algorithm employs a negentropy regularizer weighted by a "virtual transition" over the information set-action space to facilitate an efficient approximate policy update. Through a carefully designed virtual transition and leveraging the entropy regularization technique, we demonstrate finite-time last-iterate convergence to the NE with a rate of $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(k^{-\frac{1}{8}})$ under bandit feedback in each episode $k$. Empirical evaluations across various IIEFG instances show its competitive performance compared to baseline methods.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Rui Ye, shuo tang, Rui Ge, Yaxin Du, Zhenfei Yin, Siheng Chen, Jing Shao

LLM-based multi-agent systems (MAS) have shown significant potential in tackling diverse tasks.However, to design effective MAS, existing approaches heavily rely on manual configurations or multiple calls of advanced LLMs, resulting in inadaptability and high inference costs.In this paper, we simplify the process of building an MAS by reframing it as a generative language task, where the input is a user query and the output is a corresponding MAS.To address this novel task, we unify the representation of MAS as executable code and propose a consistency-oriented data construction pipeline to create a high-quality dataset comprising coherent and consistent query-MAS pairs.Using this dataset, we train MAS-GPT, an open-source medium-sized LLM that is capable of generating query-adaptive MAS within a single LLM inference. The generated MAS can be seamlessly applied to process user queries and deliver high-quality responses. Extensive experiments on 9 benchmarks and 5 LLMs show that the proposed MAS-GPT consistently outperforms 10+ baseline MAS methods on diverse settings, indicating MAS-GPT's high effectiveness, efficiency and strong generalization ability.The codes are released at \url{https://github.com/rui-ye/MAS-GPT}.

Social Aspects · Security

Yu-Wei Chen, Raghu Pasupathy, Jordan A Awan

This work identifies the first privacy-aware stratified sampling scheme that minimizes the variance for general private mean estimation under the Laplace, Discrete Laplace (DLap) and Truncated-Uniform-Laplace (TuLap) mechanisms within the framework of differential privacy (DP). We view stratified sampling as a subsampling operation, which amplifies the privacy guarantee; however, to have the same final privacy guarantee for each group, different nominal privacy budgets need to be used depending on the subsampling rate. Ignoring the effect of DP, traditional stratified sampling strategies risk significant variance inflation. We phrase our optimal survey design as an optimization problem, where we determine the optimal subsampling sizes for each group with the goal of minimizing the variance of the resulting estimator. We establish strong convexity of the variance objective, propose an efficient algorithm to identify the integer-optimal design, and offer insights on the structure of the optimal design.

Applications · Computer Vision

Yixuan Li, Changli Tang, Jimin Zhuang, Yudong Yang, Guangzhi Sun, Wei Li, Zejun MA, Chao Zhang

Human vision is dynamic and continuous. However, in video understanding with multimodal large language models (LLMs), existing methods primarily rely on static features extracted from images sampled at a fixed low frame rate of frame-per-second (FPS) $\leqslant$2, leading to critical visual information loss. In this paper, we introduce F-16, the first multimodal LLM designed for high-frame-rate video understanding. By increasing the frame rate to 16 FPS and compressing visual tokens within each 1-second clip, F-16 efficiently captures dynamic visual features while preserving key semantic information.Experimental results demonstrate that higher frame rates considerably enhance video understanding across multiple benchmarks, providing a new approach to improving video LLMs beyond scaling model size or training data. F-16 achieves state-of-the-art performance among 7-billion-parameter video LLMs on both general and fine-grained video understanding benchmarks, such as Video-MME and TemporalBench. Furthermore, F-16 excels in complex spatiotemporal tasks, including high-speed sports analysis (*e.g.*, basketball, football, gymnastics, and diving), outperforming SOTA proprietary visual models like GPT-4o and Gemini-1.5-pro.Additionally, we introduce a novel decoding method for F-16 that enables highly efficient low-frame-rate inference without requiring model retraining. We will release the source code, model checkpoints, and data at [https://github.com/bytedance/F-16](https://github.com/bytedance/F-16).

Deep Learning · Everything Else

Zhikang Chen, Abudukelimu Wuerkaixi, Sen Cui, Haoxuan Li, Ding Li, Jingfeng Zhang, Bo Han, Gang Niu, Houfang Liu, Yi Yang 等

Deep networks are prone to catastrophic forgetting during sequential task learning, i.e., losing the knowledge about old tasks upon learning new tasks. To this end, continual learning (CL) has emerged, whose existing methods focus mostly on regulating or protecting the parameters associated with the previous tasks. However, parameter protection is often impractical, since the size of parameters for storing the old-task knowledge increases linearly with the number of tasks, otherwise it is hard to preserve the parameters related to the old-task knowledge. In this work, we bring a dual opinion from neuroscience and physics to CL: in the whole networks, the pathways matter more than the parameters when concerning the knowledge acquired from the old tasks. Following this opinion, we propose a novel CL framework, learning without isolation (LwI), where model fusion is formulated as graph matching and the pathways occupied by the old tasks are protected without being isolated. Thanks to the sparsity of activation channels in a deep network, LwI can adaptively allocate available pathways for a new task, realizing pathway protection and addressing catastrophic forgetting in a parameter-effcient manner. Experiments on popular benchmark datasets demonstrate the superiority of the proposed LwI.

Theory · Deep Learning

Loek van Rossem, Andrew Saxe

Even when massively overparameterized, deep neural networks show a remarkable ability to generalize. Research on this phenomenon has focused on generalization within distribution, via smooth interpolation. Yet in some settings neural networks also learn to extrapolate to data far beyond the bounds of the original training set, sometimes even allowing for infinite generalization, implying that an algorithm capable of solving the task has been learned. Here we undertake a case study of the learning dynamics of recurrent neural networks trained on the streaming parity task in order to develop an effective theory of algorithm development. The streaming parity task is a simple but nonlinear task defined on sequences up to arbitrary length. We show that, with sufficient finite training experience, RNNs exhibit a phase transition to perfect infinite generalization. Using an effective theory for the representational dynamics, we find an implicit representational merger effect which can be interpreted as the construction of a finite automaton that reproduces the task. Overall, our results disclose one mechanism by which neural networks can generalize infinitely from finite training experience.

Deep Learning · Algorithms

Quan Xiao, Hui Yuan, A F M Saif, Gaowen Liu, Ramana Kompella, Mengdi Wang, Tianyi Chen

Diffusion models, which iteratively denoise data samples to synthesize high-quality outputs, have achieved empirical success across domains. However, optimizing these models for downstream tasks often involves nested bilevel structures, such as tuning hyperparameters for fine-tuning tasks or noise schedules in training dynamics, where traditional bilevel methods fail due to the infinite-dimensional probability space and prohibitive sampling costs. We formalize this challenge as a generative bilevel optimization problem and address two key scenarios: (1) fine-tuning pre-trained models via an inference-only lower-level solver paired with a sample-efficient gradient estimator for the upper level, and (2) training diffusion model from scratch with noise schedule optimization by reparameterizing the lower-level problem and designing a computationally tractable gradient estimator. Our first-order bilevel framework overcomes the incompatibility of conventional bilevel methods with diffusion processes, offering theoretical grounding and computational practicality. Experiments demonstrate that our method outperforms existing fine-tuning and hyperparameter search baselines.