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Theory · Game Theory

Linjian Meng, Wubing Chen, Wenbin Li, Tianpei Yang, Youzhi Zhang, Yang Gao

Nash equilibrium (NE) plays an important role in game theory. How to efficiently compute an NE in NFGs is challenging due to its complexity and non-convex optimization property. Machine Learning (ML), the cornerstone of modern artificial intelligence, has demonstrated remarkable empirical performance across various applications including non-convex optimization. To leverage non-convex stochastic optimization techniques from ML for approximating an NE, various loss functions have been proposed. Among these, only one loss function is unbiased, allowing for unbiased estimation under the sampled play. Unfortunately, this loss function suffers from high variance, which degrades the convergence rate. To improve the convergence rate by mitigating the high variance associated with the existing unbiased loss function, we propose a novel surrogate loss function named Nash Advantage Loss (NAL). NAL is theoretically proved unbiased and exhibits significantly lower variance than the existing unbiased loss function. Experimental results demonstrate that the algorithm minimizing NAL achieves a significantly faster empirical convergence rates compared to other algorithms, while also reducing the variance of estimated loss value by several orders of magnitude.

Social Aspects · Safety

Tan Songbai, Xuerui Qiu, Yao Shu, Gang Xu, Linrui Xu, Xiangyu Xu, HUIPING ZHUANG, Ming Li, Fei Yu

Invisible watermarking is widely used to protect digital images from unauthorized use. Accurate assessment of watermarking efficacy is crucial for advancing algorithmic development. However, existing statistical metrics, such as PSNR, rely on access to original images, which are often unavailable in text-driven generative watermarking and fail to capture critical aspects of watermarking, particularly visibility. More importantly, these metrics fail to account for potential corruption of image content. To address these limitations, we propose WMarkGPT, the first multimodal large language model (MLLM) specifically designed for comprehensive watermarked image understanding, without accessing original images. WMarkGPT not only predicts watermark visibility but also generates detailed textual descriptions of its location, content, and impact on image semantics, enabling a more nuanced interpretation of watermarked images. Tackling the challenge of precise location description and understanding images with vastly different content, we construct three visual question-answering (VQA) datasets: an object location-aware dataset, a synthetic watermarking dataset, and a real watermarking dataset. We introduce a meticulously designed three-stage learning pipeline to progressively equip WMarkGPT with the necessary abilities. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real watermarking QA datasets demonstrate that WMarkGPT outperforms existing MLLMs, achieving significant improvements in visibility prediction and content description. The datasets and code are released at https://github.com/TanSongBai/WMarkGPT.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Matthew Niedoba, Berend Zwartsenberg, Kevin Murphy, Frank Wood

We propose a simple, training-free mechanism which explains the generalization behaviour of diffusion models. By comparing pre-trained diffusion models to their theoretically optimal empirical counterparts, we identify a shared local inductive bias across a variety of network architectures. From this observation, we hypothesize that network denoisers generalize through localized denoising operations, as these operations approximate the training objective well over much of the training distribution. To validate our hypothesis, we introduce novel denoising algorithms which aggregate local empirical denoisers to replicate network behaviour. Comparing these algorithms to network denoisers across forward and reverse diffusion processes, our approach exhibits consistent visual similarity to neural network outputs, with lower mean squared error than previously proposed methods.

Applications · Everything Else

Zijie Qiu, Jiaqi Wei, Xiang Zhang, Sheng Xu, Kai Zou, Zhi Jin, ZhiQiang Gao, Nanqing Dong, Siqi Sun

De novo peptide sequencing is a critical task in proteomics. However, the performance of current deep learning-based methods is limited by the inherent complexity of mass spectrometry data and the heterogeneous distribution of noise signals, leading to data-specific biases. We present RankNovo, the first deep reranking framework that enhances de novo peptide sequencing by leveraging the complementary strengths of multiple sequencing models. RankNovo employs a list-wise reranking approach, modeling candidate peptides as multiple sequence alignments and utilizing axial attention to extract informative features across candidates. Additionally, we introduce two new metrics, PMD (**P**eptide **M**ass **D**eviation) and RMD (**R**esidual**M**ass **D**eviation), which offer delicate supervision by quantifying mass differences between peptides at both the sequence and residue levels. Extensive experiments demonstrate that RankNovo not only surpasses its base models used to generate training candidates for reranking pre-training, but also sets a new state-of-the-art benchmark. Moreover, RankNovo exhibits strong zero-shot generalization to unseen models—those whose generations were not exposed during training, highlighting its robustness and potential as a universal reranking framework for peptide sequencing. Our work presents a novel reranking strategy that fundamentally challenges existing single-model paradigms and advances the frontier of accurate de novo sequencing. Our source code is provided on GitHub.

General Machine Learning

Jingbang Chen, Xinyuan Cao, Alicia Stepin, Li Chen

We study learning-augmented binary search trees (BSTs) via Treaps with carefully designed priorities.The result is a simple search tree in which the depth of each item $x$ is determined by its predicted weight $w_x$.Specifically, each item $x$ is assigned a composite priority of $-\lfloor\log\log(1/w_x)\rfloor + U(0, 1)$ where $U(0, 1)$ is the uniform random variable. By choosing $w_x$ as the relative frequency of $x$, the resulting search trees achieve static optimality.This approach generalizes the recent learning-augmented BSTs [Lin-Luo-Woodruff ICML`22], which only work for Zipfian distributions, by extending them to arbitrary input distributions.Furthermore, we demonstrate that our method can be generalized to a B-Tree data structure using the B-Treap approach [Golovin ICALP'09]. Our search trees are also capable of leveraging localities in the access sequence through online self-reorganization, thereby achieving the working-set property. Additionally, they are robust to prediction errors and support dynamic operations, such as insertions, deletions, and prediction updates. We complement our analysis with an empirical study, demonstrating that our method outperforms prior work and classic data structures.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Rylan Schaeffer, Hailey Schoelkopf, Brando Miranda, Gabriel Mukobi, Varun Madan, Adam Ibrahim, Herbie Bradley, Stella Biderman, Sanmi Koyejo

Predictable behavior from scaling advanced AI systems is an extremely desirable property for engineers, companies, economists and governments alike, and while a well-established literature exists on how pretraining performance scales, predictable scaling behavior on downstream capabilities remains elusive. While many factors are certainly responsible, this paper shines a light on a significant factor that makes predicting scaling behavior on widely used multiple-choice question answering benchmarks challenging and illuminates a path towards making such downstream evaluations predictable with scale. Using five model families and twelve well-established multiple-choice benchmarks, we show that downstream performance is computed from negative log likelihoods via a sequence of transformations that progressively degrades the statistical relationship between performance and scale. We then reveal the mechanism causing this degradation: downstream metrics require comparing the correct choice against a small number of specific incorrect choices, meaning accurately predicting downstream capabilities requires predicting not just how probability mass concentrates on the correct choice with scale, but also how probability mass fluctuates on specific incorrect choices with scale. We empirically study how probability mass on the correct choice co-varies with probability mass on incorrect choices with increasing compute, suggesting that scaling laws for \textit{incorrect} choices might be achievable. Our work also explains why pretraining scaling laws are commonly regarded as more predictable than downstream capabilities and contributes towards establishing scaling-predictable evaluations of frontier AI models.

General Machine Learning · Representation Learning

Yunze Tong, Fengda Zhang, Zihao Tang, Kaifeng Gao, Kai Huang, Pengfei Lyu, Jun Xiao, Kun Kuang

Machine learning models often perform well on tabular data by optimizing average prediction accuracy. However, they may underperform on specific subsets due to inherent biases and spurious correlations in the training data, such as associations with non-causal features like demographic information. These biases lead to critical robustness issues as models may inherit or amplify them, resulting in poor performance where such misleading correlations do not hold. Existing mitigation methods have significant limitations: some require prior group labels, which are often unavailable, while others focus solely on the conditional distribution \(P(Y|X)\), upweighting misclassified samples without effectively balancing the overall data distribution \(P(X)\). To address these shortcomings, we propose a latent score-based reweighting framework. It leverages score-based models to capture the joint data distribution \(P(X, Y)\) without relying on additional prior information. By estimating sample density through the similarity of score vectors with neighboring data points, our method identifies underrepresented regions and upweights samples accordingly. This approach directly tackles inherent data imbalances, enhancing robustness by ensuring a more uniform dataset representation. Experiments on various tabular datasets under distribution shifts demonstrate that our method effectively improves performance on imbalanced data.

General Machine Learning · Causality

Ahmed Boughdiri, julie Josse, Erwan Scornet

The Risk Difference (RD), an absolute measure of effect, is widely used and well-studied in both randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies. Complementary to the RD, the Risk Ratio (RR), as a relative measure, is critical for a comprehensive understanding of intervention effects: RD can downplay small absolute changes, while RR can highlight them. Despite its significance, the theoretical study of RR has received less attention, particularly in observational settings. This paper addresses this gap by tackling the estimation of RR in observational data. We propose several RR estimators and establish their theoretical properties, including asymptotic normality and confidence intervals. Through analyses on simulated and real-world datasets, we evaluate the performance of these estimators in terms of bias, efficiency, and robustness to generative data models. We also examine the coverage and length of the associated confidence intervals. Due to the non-linear nature of RR, influence function theory yields two distinct efficient estimators with different convergence assumptions. Based on theoretical and empirical insights, we recommend, among all estimators, one of the two doubly-robust estimators, which, intriguingly, challenges conventional expectations.

Theory · Deep Learning

Thiziri Nait Saada, Alireza Naderi, Jared Tanner

Attention layers are the core component of transformers, the current state-of-the-art neural network architecture. Alternatives to softmax-based attention are being explored due to its tendency to hinder effective information flow. Even *at initialisation*, it remains poorly understood why the propagation of signals and gradients through these random networks can be pathological, resulting in issues known as (i) vanishing/exploding gradients and (ii) rank collapse *in depth*, i.e. when all tokens converge to a single representation along layers. While rank collapse in depth naturally arises from repeated matrix multiplications---a common pattern across various architectures---we identify an additional and previously unknown challenge unique to softmax attention layers: (iii) rank collapse *in width*, which occurs as the context length increases. Using Random Matrix Theory, we conduct a rigorous analysis that uncovers a spectral gap between the two largest singular values of the attention matrix as the cause of (iii), which in turn exacerbates (i) and (ii).Building on this insight, we propose a novel yet simple practical solution to mitigate rank collapse in width by removing the outlier eigenvalue(s). Our theoretical framework offers a fresh perspective on recent practical studies, such as (Ye et al., 2024; Ali et al., 2023), whose ad hoc solutions can now be interpreted as implicit efforts to address the spectral gap issue. This work provides valuable theoretical support for ongoing large-scale empirical research, bringing theory and practice one step closer in the understanding of transformers.

Applications · Everything Else

Boyu Zhang, Aocheng Shen, Bing Liu, Qiankun Zhang, Bin Yuan, Wang, Shenghao Liu, Xianjun Deng

We explore the potential of \emph{AI-enhanced combinatorial optimization theory}, taking online bipartite matching (OBM) as a case study.In the theoretical study of OBM, the \emph{hardness} corresponds to a performance \emph{upper bound} of a specific online algorithm or any possible online algorithms.Typically, these upper bounds derive from challenging instances meticulously designed by theoretical computer scientists.Zhang et al. (ICML 2024) recently provide an example demonstrating how reinforcement learning techniques enhance the hardness result of a specific OBM model.Their attempt is inspiring but preliminary.It is unclear whether their methods can be applied to other OBM problems with similar breakthroughs.This paper takes a further step by introducing DiMa, a unified and novel framework that aims at understanding the hardness of OBM problems based on denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs).DiMa models the process of generating hard instances as denoising steps, and optimizes them by a novel reinforcement learning algorithm, named \emph{shortcut policy gradient} (SPG).We first examine DiMa on the classic OBM problem by reproducing its known hardest input instance in literature.Further, we apply DiMa to two well-known variants of OBM, for which the exact hardness remains an open problem, and we successfully improve their theoretical state-of-the-art upper bounds.

Applications · Computer Vision

Kaifeng Gao, Jiaxin Shi, Hanwang Zhang, Chunping Wang, Jun Xiao, Long Chen

With the advance of diffusion models, today's video generation has achieved impressive quality. To extend the generation length and facilitate real-world applications, a majority of video diffusion models (VDMs) generate videos in an autoregressive manner, i.e., generating subsequent clips conditioned on the last frame(s) of the previous clip. However, existing autoregressive VDMs are highly inefficient and redundant: The model must re-compute all the conditional frames that are overlapped between adjacent clips. This issue is exacerbated when the conditional frames are extended autoregressively to provide the model with long-term context. In such cases, the computational demands increase significantly (i.e., with a quadratic complexity w.r.t. the autoregression step). In this paper, we propose **Ca2-VDM**, an efficient autoregressive VDM with **Ca**usal generation and **Ca**che sharing. For **causal generation**, it introduces unidirectional feature computation, which ensures that the cache of conditional frames can be precomputed in previous autoregression steps and reused in every subsequent step, eliminating redundant computations. For **cache sharing**, it shares the cache across all denoising steps to avoid the huge cache storage cost. Extensive experiments demonstrated that our Ca2-VDM achieves state-of-the-art quantitative and qualitative video generation results and significantly improves the generation speed. Code is available: https://github.com/Dawn-LX/CausalCache-VDM

Applications · Computer Vision

Rui Sun, Huayu Mai, Wangkai Li, Yujia Chen, Naisong Luo, Yuan Wang, Tianzhu Zhang

The critical challenge of semi-supervised semantic segmentation lies in how to fully exploit a large volume of unlabeled data to improve the model's generalization performance for robust segmentation. Existing methods mainly rely on confidence-based scoring functions in the prediction space to filter pseudo labels, which suffer from the inherent trade-off between true and false positive rates. In this paper, we carefully design an agent construction strategy to build clean sets of correct (positive) and incorrect (negative) pseudo labels, and propose the Agent Score function (AgScore) to measure the consensus between candidate pixels and these sets. In this way, AgScore takes a step further to capture homogeneous patterns in the embedding space, conditioned on clean positive/negative agents stemming from the prediction space, without sacrificing the merits of confidence score, yielding better trad-off. We provide theoretical analysis to understand the mechanism of AgScore, and demonstrate its effectiveness by integrating it into three semi-supervised segmentation frameworks on Pascal VOC, Cityscapes, and COCO datasets, showing consistent improvements across all data partitions.

Social Aspects · Fairness

Lee Cohen, Connie Hong, Jack Hsieh, Judy Hanwen Shen

In an era of increasingly capable foundation models, job seekers are turning to generative AI tools to enhance their application materials. However, unequal access to and knowledge about generative AI tools can harm both employers and candidates by reducing the accuracy of hiring decisions and giving some candidates an unfair advantage. To address these challenges, we introduce a new variant of the strategic classification framework tailored to manipulations performed using large language models, accommodating varying levels of manipulations and stochastic outcomes. We propose a "two-ticket" scheme, where the hiring algorithm applies an additional manipulation to each submitted resume and considers this manipulated version together with the original submitted resume. We establish theoretical guarantees for this scheme, showing improvements for both the fairness and accuracy of hiring decisions when the true positive rate is maximized subject to a no false positives constraint. We further generalize this approach to an $n$-ticket scheme and prove that hiring outcomes converge to a fixed, group-independent decision, eliminating disparities arising from differential LLM access. Finally, we empirically validate our framework and the performance of our two-ticket scheme on real resumes using an open-source resume screening tool.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Ting Jiang, Yixiao Wang, Hancheng Ye, Zishan Shao, Jingwei Sun, Jingyang Zhang, Zekai Chen, Jianyi Zhang, Yiran Chen, Hai Li

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in generative tasks but suffer from high computational costs due to their iterative sampling process and quadratic‐attention costs. Existing training-free acceleration strategies that reduce per-step computation cost, while effectively reducing sampling time, demonstrate low faithfulness compared to the original baseline. We hypothesize that this fidelity gap arises because (a) different prompts correspond to varying denoising trajectory, and (b) such methods do not consider the underlying ODE formulation and its numerical solution. In this paper, we propose **Stability-guided Adaptive Diffusion Acceleration (SADA)**, a novel paradigm that unifies step-wise and token-wise sparsity decisions via a single stability criterion to accelerate sampling of ODE-based generative models (Diffusion and Flow-matching). For (a), SADA adaptively allocates sparsity based on the sampling trajectory. For (b), SADA introduces principled approximation schemes that leverage the precise gradient information from the numerical ODE solver.Comprehensive evaluations on SD‐2, SDXL, and Flux using both EDM and DPM++ solvers reveal consistent $\ge 1.8\times$ speedups with minimal fidelity degradation (LPIPS $\leq 0.10$ and FID $\leq 4.5$) compared to unmodified baselines, significantly outperforming prior methods.Moreover, SADA adapts seamlessly to other pipelines and modalities: It accelerates ControlNet without any modifications and speeds up MusicLDM by \(1.8\times\) with \(\sim 0.01\) spectrogram LPIPS.Our code is available at: [https://github.com/Ting-Justin-Jiang/sada-icml](https://github.com/Ting-Justin-Jiang/sada-icml).

Deep Learning · Algorithms

Jiaze Xu, Shiyu Xia, Xu Yang, JIAQI LYU, Xin Geng

Appropriate parameter initialization strategies are essential for reducing the high computational costs of training large pretrained models in various task scenarios. Graph HyperNetwork (GHN), a parameter initialization method, has recently demonstrated strong performance in initializing models.However, GHN still faces several challenges, including limited effectiveness in initializing larger models, poor performance on smaller datasets, and the requirement of task-specific GHN training, where each new task necessitates retraining the GHN model, leading to increased computational and storage overhead.To overcome these challenges, motivated by the recently proposed Learngene framework, we propose a novel method called **T**ask-**A**ware **L**earngene (**TAL**). Briefly, our approach pretrains a TAL model under the guidance of a well-trained model and then performs multi-task tuning to obtain a shared TAL model that enables parameter prediction based on both model architectures and task-specific characteristics.Extensive experiments show the superiority of TAL.Models initialized with TAL outperform those initialized using GHN method by an average of 24.39\% in terms of accuracy across Decathlon datasets.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Prasanna Mayilvahanan, Thaddäus Wiedemer, Sayak Mallick, Matthias Bethge, Wieland Brendel

Scaling laws guide the development of large language models (LLMs) by offering estimates for the optimal balance of model size, tokens, and compute.More recently, loss-to-loss scaling laws that relate losses across pretraining datasets and downstream tasks have emerged as a powerful tool for understanding and improving LLM performance and generalization.In this work, we investigate which factors most strongly influence loss-to-loss scaling.Our experiments reveal that the pretraining data determines the scaling trend.In contrast, model size, optimization hyperparameters, tokenizer and even significant architectural differences, such as between transformer-based models like Llama and state-space models like Mamba, generally have limited impact.Consequently, practitioners should carefully curate pretraining datasets for optimal downstream performance, while architectures and other settings can be freely optimized for training efficiency.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Yiyang Fang, Jian Liang, Wenke Huang, He Li, Kehua Su, Mang Ye

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have achieved impressive progress in tasks such as visual question answering and visual understanding, but they still face significant challenges in emotional reasoning. Current methods to enhance emotional understanding typically rely on fine-tuning or manual annotations, which are resource-intensive and limit scalability. In this work, we focus on improving the ability of MLLMs to capture emotions during the inference phase. Specifically, MLLMs encounter two main issues: they struggle to distinguish between semantically similar emotions, leading to misclassification, and they are overwhelmed by redundant or irrelevant visual information, which distracts from key emotional cues. To address these, we propose Sharpening Emotion Perception in MLLMs (SEPM), which incorporates a Confidence-Guided Coarse-to-Fine Inference framework to refine emotion classification by guiding the model through simpler tasks. Additionally, SEPM employs Focus-on-Emotion Visual Augmentation to reduce visual redundancy by directing the attention of models to relevant emotional cues in images. Experimental results demonstrate that SEPM significantly improves MLLM performance on emotion-related tasks, providing a resource-efficient and scalable solution for emotion recognition.

Applications · Computer Vision

Adrian Rodriguez-Munoz, Manel Baradad, Phillip Isola, Antonio Torralba

We train representation models with procedural data only, and apply them on visual similarity, classification, and semantic segmentation tasks without further training by using visual memory---an explicit database of reference image embeddings. Unlike prior work on visual memory, our approach achieves full compartmentalization with respect to all real-world images while retaining strong performance. Compared to a model trained on Places, our procedural model performs within 1\% on NIGHTS visual similarity, outperforms by 8\% and 15\% on CUB200 and Flowers102 fine-grained classification, and is within 10\% on ImageNet-1K classification. It also demonstrates strong zero-shot segmentation, achieving an $R^2$ on COCO within 10\% of the models trained on real data. Finally, we analyze procedural versus real data models, showing that parts of the same object have dissimilar representations in procedural models, resulting in incorrect searches in memory and explaining the remaining performance gap.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Jean-Francois Ton, Muhammad Faaiz Taufiq, Yang Liu

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown impressive performance in complex reasoning tasks through the use of Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning, allowing models to break down problems into manageable sub-tasks. However, existing CoT evaluation techniques either require annotated CoT data or fall short of accurately assessing intermediate reasoning steps, leading to high rates of false positives. In this paper, we formalize CoT reasoning in LLMs through an information-theoretic lens. Specifically, our framework quantifies the `information gain' at each reasoning step, enabling the identification of failure modes in LLMs without the need for expensive annotated datasets. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach through extensive experiments on toy arithmetic, GSM8K and PRM800k datasets, where it significantly outperforms existing outcome-based methods by providing more accurate insights into model performance on individual tasks.

Deep Learning

Xi Wang, Laurence Aitchison

The scaling of the optimal AdamW weight decay hyperparameter with model and dataset size is critical as we seek to build larger models, but is poorly understood. We show that weights learned by AdamW can be understood as an exponential moving average (EMA) of recent updates. This gives critical insights for how to set the weight decay in AdamW, and how the weight decay should scale with model and dataset size. In particular, the key hyperparameter for an exponential moving average is the EMA timescale. Intuitively, the EMA timescale can be understood as the number of recent iterations the EMA averages over. We find that the optimal timescale, measured in epochs, is roughly constant as we change model and dataset size. Moreover, given a learning rate, there is a one-to-one mapping from the EMA timescale to the weight decay hyperparameter. Thus, if the optimal EMA timescale is constant, that implies that as the dataset size increases, the optimal weight decay should fall and as the model size increases, the optimal weight decay should increase (if we follow the muP recommendation for scaling the learning rate). We validate these scaling rules on ResNet-18 and Vision Transformers trained on CIFAR-10 and ImageNet, and on NanoGPT pre-training on OpenWebText. Finally, we found that as training progresses, muP's learning rate scaling breaks down for AdamW unless weight decay is scaled appropriately.