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427篇论文匹配“Monte Carlo and Sampling Methods”
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Theory · Probabilistic Methods

Zijing Ou, Chinmay Pani, Yingzhen Li

Discrete diffusion models have become highly effective across various domains. However, real-world applications often require the generative process to adhere to certain constraints. To this end, we propose a Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) framework that enables scalable inference-time control of discrete diffusion models through principled importance weighting and optimal proposal construction. Specifically, our approach derives tractable importance weights for a range of intermediate targets and characterises the optimal proposal, for which we develop two practical approximations: a first-order gradient-based approximation and an amortised proposal trained to minimise the log-variance of the importance weights. Empirical results across synthetic tasks, language modelling, biology design, and text-to-image generation demonstrate that our framework enhances controllability and sample quality, highlighting the effectiveness of SMC as a versatile recipe for scaling discrete diffusion models at inference time.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Tao Zhang, Jia-Shu Pan, Ruiqi Feng, Tailin Wu

Inspired by human SYSTEM 2 thinking, LLMs excel at complex reasoning tasks via extended Chain-of-Thought. However, similar test-time scaling for diffusion models to tackle complex reasoning remains largely unexplored. From existing work, two primary challenges emerge in this setting: (i) the dependence on an external verifier indicating a notable gap from intrinsic reasoning of human intelligence without any external feedback, and (ii) the lack of an efficient search algorithm. In this paper, we introduce the Verifier-free Test-time Scalable Diffusion Model (VFScale) to achieve scalable intrinsic reasoning, which equips number-of-sample test-time scaling with the intrinsic energy function of diffusion models as the verifier. Concretely, VFScale comprises two key innovations to address the aforementioned challenges. On the training side, VFScale consists of a novel MRNCL loss and a KL regularization to improve the energy landscape, ensuring that the learned energy function itself serves as a reliable verifier. On the inference side, VFScale integrates the denoising process with a novel hybrid Monte Carlo Tree Search (hMCTS) to improve search efficiency. On challenging reasoning tasks of Maze and Sudoku, we demonstrate the effectiveness of VFScale's training objective and scalable inference method. In particular, trained with Maze sizes of up to 6×6, our VFScale solves 88\% of Maze problems with much larger sizes of 15×15, while standard diffusion model completely fails. The code can be found at https://github.com/AI4Science-WestlakeU/VFScale.

Theory · Interpretability and Visualization

Tian Yu Liu, Stefano Soatto

The semantic similarity between sample expressions measures the distance between their latent `meaning'.These meanings are themselves typically represented by textual expressions. We propose a novel approach whereby the semantic similarity among textual expressions is based not on other expressions they can be rephrased as, but rather based on the imagery they evoke. While this is not possible with humans, generative models allow us to easily visualize and compare generated images, or their distribution, evoked by a textual prompt. Therefore, we characterize the semantic similarity between two textual expressions simply as the distance between image distributions they induce, or 'conjure.' We show that by choosing the Jeffreys divergence between the reverse-time diffusion stochastic differential equations (SDEs) induced by each textual expression, this can be directly computed via Monte-Carlo sampling. Our method contributes a novel perspective on semantic similarity that not only aligns with human-annotated scores, but also opens up new avenues for the evaluation of text-conditioned generative models while offering better interpretability of their learnt representations.

Applications · Language, Speech and Dialog

Heyang Gao, Zexu Sun, Erxue Min, Hengyi Cai, Shuaiqiang Wang, Dawei Yin, Xu Chen

Large Language Models (LLMs) as autonomous agents are increasingly tasked with solving complex, long-horizon problems. Aligning these agents via preference-based methods like Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) is a promising direction, yet it faces a critical granularity mismatch. Trajectory-level DPO provides stable signals but blur where credit should be assigned within long trajectories, whereas step-level DPO offers fine-grained supervision but can be statistically noisy and data-inefficient when Monte Carlo rollouts are limited, and can be hard to fully exploit multi-step structured behaviors that only reveal their effect over several actions. To balance this trade-off, we introduce **H**ierarchical **P**reference **L**earning (HPL), a hierarchical framework that optimizes LLM agents by leveraging preference signals at multiple, synergistic granularities. While HPL incorporates trajectory- and step-level DPO for global and local policy stability, its core innovation lies in group-level preference optimization guided by a dual-layer curriculum. Our approach first decomposes expert trajectories into semantically coherent action groups and then generates contrasting suboptimal groups to enable preference learning at a fine-grained, sub-task level. Then, instead of treating all preference pairs equally, HPL introduces a curriculum scheduler that organizes the learning process from simple to complex. This curriculum is structured along two axes: the group length, representing sub-task complexity, and the sample difficulty, defined by the reward gap between preferred and dispreferred action groups. Experiments on three challenging agent benchmarks show that HPL outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods. Our analyses demonstrate that the hierarchical DPO loss effectively integrates preference signals across multiple granularities, while the dual-layer curriculum is crucial for enabling the agent to solve a wide range of tasks, from simple behaviors to complex multi-step sequences.

Mahdi Salmani, Alireza Abdollahpoorrostam, Seyed-Mohsen Moosavi-Dezfooli

Traditional decision-based black-box adversarial attacks on image classifiers aim to generate adversarial examples by slightly modifying input images while keeping the number of queries low, where each query involves sending an input to the model and observing its output. Most existing methods assume that all queries have equal cost. However, in practice, queries may incur *asymmetric costs*; for example, in content moderation systems, certain output classes may trigger additional review, enforcement, or penalties, making them more costly than others. While prior work has considered such asymmetric cost settings, effective algorithms for this scenario remain underdeveloped. In this paper, we introduce asymmetric black-box attacks, a new family of decision-based attacks that generalize to the asymmetric query-cost setup. We develop new methods for boundary search and gradient estimation when crafting adversarial examples. Specifically, we propose *Asymmetric Search (AS)*, a more conservative alternative to binary search that reduces reliance on high-cost queries, and *Asymmetric Gradient Estimation (AGREST)*, which shifts the sampling distribution in Monte Carlo style gradient estimation to favor low-cost queries. We design efficient algorithms that reduce total attack cost by balancing different query types, in contrast to earlier methods such as *stealthy attacks* that focus only on limiting expensive (high-cost) queries. We perform both theoretical analysis and empirical evaluation on standard image classification benchmarks. Across various cost regimes, our method consistently achieves lower total query cost and smaller perturbations than existing approaches, reducing the perturbation norm by up to 40\% in some settings.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Minsi Ren, Wenhao Deng, Ruiqi Feng, Tailin Wu

Stochastic differential equation (SDE)-based generative models have achieved substantial progress in conditional generation via training-free differentiable loss-guided approaches. However, existing methodologies utilizing posterior sam- pling typically confront a substantial estimation error, which results in inaccurate gradients for guidance and leading to inconsistent generation results. To mitigate this issue, we propose that performing an additional backward denoising step and Monte-Carlo sampling (ABMS) can achieve better guided diffusion, which is a plug-and-play adjustment strategy. To verify the effectiveness of our method, we provide theoretical analysis and propose the adoption of a dual-evaluation frame- work, which further serves to highlight the critical problem of cross-condition interference prevalent in existing approaches. We conduct experiments across var- ious task settings and data types, mainly including conditional online handwritten trajectory generation, image inverse problems (inpainting, super resolution and gaussian deblurring), and molecular inverse design. Experimental results demon- strate that our approach consistently improves the quality of generation samples across all the different scenarios.

Optimization · Sampling and Optimization

Manish Acharya, David Hyde

The sliced Wasserstein distance (SW) reduces optimal transport on $\mathbb{R}^d$ to a sum of one-dimensional projections, and thanks to this efficiency, it is widely used in geometry, generative modeling, and registration tasks. Recent work shows that quasi-Monte Carlo constructions for computing SW (QSW) yield direction sets with excellent approximation error. This paper presents an alternate, novel approach: learning directions with Bayesian optimization (BO), particularly in settings where SW appears inside an optimization loop (e.g., gradient flows). We introduce a family of drop-in selectors for projection directions: **BOSW**, a one-shot BO scheme on the unit sphere; **RBOSW**, a periodic-refresh variant; **ABOSW**, an adaptive hybrid that seeds from competitive QSW sets and performs a few lightweight BO refinements; and **ARBOSW**, a restarted hybrid that periodically relearns directions during optimization. Our BO approaches can be composed with QSW and its variants (demonstrated by ABOSW/ARBOSW) and require no changes to downstream losses or gradients. We provide numerical experiments where our methods achieve state-of-the-art performance, and on the experimental suite of the original QSW paper, we find that ABOSW and ARBOSW can achieve convergence comparable to the best QSW variants with modest runtime overhead. We release code with fixed seeds and configurations to support faithful replication (see supplementary material).

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Kevin Rojas, Jiahe Lin, Kashif Rasul, Anderson Schneider, Yuriy Nevmyvaka, Molei Tao, Wei Deng

Diffusion language models (DLMs) enable parallel, order-agnostic generation with iterative refinement, offering a flexible alternative to autoregressive large language models (LLMs). However, adapting reinforcement learning (RL) fine-tuning to DLMs remains an open challenge because of the intractable likelihood. Pioneering work such as diffu-GRPO estimated token-level likelihoods via one-step unmasking. While computationally efficient, this approach is severely biased. A more principled foundation lies in sequence-level likelihoods, where the evidence lower bound (ELBO) serves as a surrogate. Yet, despite this clean mathematical connection, ELBO-based methods have seen limited adoption due to the prohibitive cost of likelihood evaluation. In this work, we revisit ELBO estimation and disentangle its sources of variance. This decomposition motivates reducing variance through fast, deterministic integral approximations along a few pivotal dimensions. Building on this insight, we introduce **Group Diffusion Policy Optimization (GDPO)**, a new RL algorithm tailored for DLMs. GDPO leverages simple yet effective *Semi-deterministic Monte Carlo* schemes to mitigate the variance explosion of ELBO estimators under vanilla double Monte Carlo sampling, yielding a provably lower-variance estimator under tight evaluation budgets. Empirically, GDPO achieves consistent gains over pretrained checkpoints and outperforms diffu-GRPO, one of the state-of-the-art baselines, on the majority of math, reasoning, and coding benchmarks.

General Machine Learning · Everything Else

Martin Zach, Youssef Haouchat, Michael Unser

We propose a statistical benchmark for diffusion-posterior-sampling (DPS) algorithms in linear inverse problems. Our test signals are discretized Lévy processes whose posteriors admit efficient Gibbs methods. These Gibbs methods provide gold-standard posterior samples for direct, distribution-level comparisons with DPS algorithms. They can also sample the denoising posteriors in the reverse diffusion, which enables the arbitrary-precision Monte Carlo estimation of various objects that may be needed in the DPS algorithms, such as the expectation or the covariance of the denoising posteriors. In turn, this can be used to isolate algorithmic errors from the errors due to learned components. We instantiate the benchmark with the minimum-mean-squared-error optimality gap and posterior-coverage tests and evaluate popular algorithms on the inverse problems of denoising, deconvolution, imputation, and reconstruction from partial Fourier measurements. We release the benchmark code at https://github.com/zacmar/dps-benchmark and invite the community to contribute and report results.

General Machine Learning · Probabilistic Methods

Leo Zhang, Peter Potaptchik, Jiajun He, Yuanqi Du, Arnaud Doucet, Francisco Vargas, Hai-Dang Dau, Saifuddin Syed

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are essential tools in computational statistics for sampling from unnormalised probability distributions, but can be fragile when targeting high-dimensional, multimodal, or complex target distributions. Parallel Tempering (PT) enhances MCMC's sample efficiency through annealing and parallel computation, propagating samples from tractable reference distributions to intractable targets via state swapping across interpolating distributions. The effectiveness of PT is limited by the often minimal overlap between adjacent distributions in challenging problems, which requires increasing the computational resources to compensate. We introduce a framework that accelerates PT by leveraging neural samplers---including normalising flows, diffusion models, and controlled diffusions---to reduce the required overlap. Our approach utilises neural samplers in parallel, circumventing the computational burden of neural samplers while preserving the asymptotic consistency of classical PT. We demonstrate theoretically and empirically on a variety of multimodal sampling problems that our method improves sample quality, reduces the computational cost compared to classical PT, and enables efficient free energy/normalising constant estimation.

Theory · Game Theory

Xuan Ding, Pengyu Tong, Ranjie Duan, Yunjian Zhang, Rui Sun, Yao Zhu

While large language models (LLMs) demonstrate impressive performance across various tasks, their deployment in real-world scenarios is still constrained by high computational demands. Layer-wise pruning, a commonly employed strategy to mitigate inference costs, can partially address this challenge. However, existing approaches generally depend on static heuristic rules and fail to account for the interdependencies among layers, thereby limiting the effectiveness of the pruning process. To this end, this paper proposes a game-theoretic framework that formulates layer pruning as a cooperative game in which each layer acts as a player and model performance serves as the utility. As computing exact Shapley values is computationally infeasible for large language models (LLMs), we propose using a lightweight surrogate network to estimate layer-wise marginal contributions. This network can predict LLM performance for arbitrary layer combinations at a low computational cost. Additionally, we employ stratified Monte Carlo mask sampling to further reduce the cost of Sharpley value estimation. This approach captures inter-layer dependencies and dynamically identifies critical layers for pruning. Extensive experiments demonstrate the consistent superiority of our method in terms of perplexity and zero-shot accuracy, achieving more efficient and effective layer-wise pruning for large language models.

General Machine Learning · Probabilistic Methods

Jiajun He, Paul Jeha, Peter Potaptchik, Leo Zhang, José Miguel Hernández Lobato, Yuanqi Du, Saifuddin Syed, Francisco Vargas

Inference-time control of diffusion models aims to steer model outputs to satisfy new constraints without retraining. Previous approaches have mostly relied on heuristic guidance or have been coupled with Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) for bias correction. In this paper, we propose a flexible alternative based on replica exchange, an algorithm designed initially for sampling problems. We refer to this method as CREPE (Controlling with REPlica Exchange). Unlike SMC, CREPE: (i) generates particles sequentially, (ii) maintains high diversity in the generated samples after a burn-in period, and (iii) enables online refinement or early termination. We demonstrate its versatility across various tasks, including temperature annealing, reward tilting, model composition and classifier-free guidance debiasing, with competitive performance compared to prior SMC methods.

Optimization · Zero-order and Black-box Optimization

David Stenger, Armin Lindicke, Alexander von Rohr, Sebastian Trimpe

Searching large and complex design spaces for a global optimum can be infeasible and unnecessary. A practical alternative is to iteratively refine the neighborhood of an initial design using local optimization methods such as gradient descent. We propose local entropy search (LES), a Bayesian optimization paradigm that explicitly targets the solutions reachable by the descent sequences of iterative optimizers. The algorithm propagates the posterior belief over the objective through the optimizer, resulting in a probability distribution over descent sequences. It then selects the next evaluation by maximizing mutual information with that distribution, using a combination of analytic entropy calculations and Monte-Carlo sampling of descent sequences. Empirical results on high-complexity synthetic objectives and benchmark problems show that LES achieves strong sample efficiency compared to existing local and global Bayesian optimization methods.

Deep Learning · Algorithms

Aayush Karan, Yilun Du

Frontier reasoning models have exhibited incredible capabilities across a wide array of disciplines, driven by posttraining large language models (LLMs) with reinforcement learning (RL). However, despite the widespread success of this paradigm, much of the literature has been devoted to disentangling truly novel behaviors that emerge during RL but are not present in the base models. In our work, we approach this question from a different angle, instead asking whether comparable reasoning capabilities can be elicited from base models at inference time by pure sampling, without any additional training. Inspired by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques for sampling from sharpened distributions, we propose a simple iterative sampling algorithm leveraging the base models' own likelihoods. Over different base models, we show that our algorithm offers substantial boosts in reasoning that nearly match and even outperform those from RL on a wide variety of single-shot tasks, including MATH500, HumanEval, and GPQA. Moreover, our sampler avoids the collapse in diversity over multiple samples that is characteristic of RL-posttraining. Crucially, our method does not require training, curated datasets, or a verifier, suggesting broad applicability beyond easily verifiable domains.

Optimization · Zero-order and Black-box Optimization

Amir Sadikov

Low-discrepancy point sets and digital sequences underpin quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for high-dimensional integration. We cast two long-standing QMC design problems as program synthesis and solve them with an LLM-guided evolutionary loop that mutates and selects code under task-specific fitness: (i) constructing finite 2D/3D point sets with low star discrepancy, and (ii) choosing Sobol’ direction numbers that minimize randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (rQMC) error on downstream integrands. Our two-phase procedure combines constructive code proposals with iterative numerical refinement. On finite sets, we rediscover known optima in small 2D cases and set new best-known 2D benchmarks for N ≥ 40, while matching known 3D optima up to the proven frontier (N ≤ 8) and reporting improved 3D benchmarks beyond. On digital sequences, evolving Sobol' parameters yields consistent reductions in rQMC mean-squared error for several 32-dimensional option-pricing tasks relative to widely used Joe–Kuo parameters, while preserving extensibility to any sample size and compatibility with standard randomizations. Taken together, the results demonstrate that LLM-driven evolutionary program synthesis can automate the discovery of high-quality QMC constructions, recovering classical designs where they are optimal and improving them where finite-N structure matters. Data and code are available at https://github.com/hockeyguy123/openevolve-star-discrepancy.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Junn Yong Loo, Leong Yu, Michelle Adeline, Julia Lau, Hwa Hui Tew, Arghya Pal, VISHNU MONN BASKARAN, Chee-Ming Ting, Raphaël Phan

Energy-based models (EBMs) are a powerful class of probabilistic generative models due to their flexibility and interpretability. However, relationships between potential flows and explicit EBMs remain underexplored, while contrastive divergence training via implicit Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling is often unstable and expensive in high-dimensional settings. In this paper, we propose Variational Potential (VAPO) Flow Bayes, a new energy-based generative framework that eliminates the need for implicit MCMC sampling and does not rely on auxiliary networks or cooperative training. VAPO learns an energy-parameterized potential flow by constructing a flow-driven density homotopy that is matched to the data distribution through a variational loss minimizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the flow-driven and marginal homotopies. This principled formulation enables robust and efficient generative modeling while preserving the interpretability of EBMs. Experimental results on image generation, interpolation, out-of-distribution detection, and compositional generation confirm the effectiveness of VAPO, showing that our method performs competitively with existing approaches in terms of sample quality and versatility across diverse generative modeling tasks.

Deep Learning · Algorithms

Aayush Karan, Yilun Du

Frontier reasoning models have exhibited incredible capabilities across a wide array of disciplines, driven by posttraining large language models (LLMs) with reinforcement learning (RL). However, despite the widespread success of this paradigm, much of the literature has been devoted to disentangling truly novel behaviors that emerge during RL but are not present in the base models. In our work, we approach this question from a different angle, instead asking whether comparable reasoning capabilities can be elicited from base models at inference time by pure sampling, without any additional training. Inspired by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques for sampling from sharpened distributions, we propose a simple iterative sampling algorithm leveraging the base models' own likelihoods. Over different base models, we show that our algorithm offers substantial boosts in reasoning that nearly match and even outperform those from RL on a wide variety of single-shot tasks, including MATH500, HumanEval, and GPQA. Moreover, our sampler avoids the collapse in diversity over multiple samples that is characteristic of RL-posttraining. Crucially, our method does not require training, curated datasets, or a verifier, suggesting broad applicability beyond easily verifiable domains.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Yinuo Ren, Wenhao Gao, Lexing Ying, Grant Rotskoff, Jiequn Han

We study inference-time scaling for diffusion models, where the goal is to adapt a pre-trained model to new target distributions without retraining. Existing guidance-based methods are simple but introduce bias, while particle-based corrections suffer from weight degeneracy and high computational cost. We introduce *DriftLite*, a lightweight, training-free particle-based approach that steers the inference dynamics on-the-fly with provably optimal stability control. DriftLite exploits a fundamental degree of freedom in the Fokker-Planck equation between the drift and particle potential, and yields two practical instantiations: *Variance- and Energy-Controlling Guidance (VCG/ECG)* for approximating the optimal drift with modest and scalable overhead. Across Gaussian mixture models, particle systems, and large-scale protein-ligand co-folding problems, DriftLite consistently reduces variance and improves sample quality over pure guidance and sequential Monte Carlo baselines. These results highlight a principled, efficient route toward scalable inference-time adaptation of diffusion models. Our source code is publicly available at https://github.com/yinuoren/DriftLite.

General Machine Learning · Probabilistic Methods

Hirohane Takagi, Atsushi Nitanda

This work introduces a new approximate proximal sampler that operates solely with zeroth-order information of the potential function. Prior theoretical analyses have revealed that proximal sampling corresponds to alternating forward and backward iterations of the heat flow. The backward step was originally implemented by rejection sampling, whereas we directly simulate the dynamics. Unlike diffusion-based sampling methods that estimate scores via learned models or by invoking auxiliary samplers, our method treats the intermediate particle distribution as a Gaussian mixture, thereby yielding a Monte Carlo score estimator from directly samplable distributions. Theoretically, when the score estimation error is sufficiently controlled, our method inherits the exponential convergence of proximal sampling under isoperimetric conditions on the target distribution. In practice, the algorithm avoids rejection sampling, permits flexible step sizes, and runs with a deterministic runtime budget. Numerical experiments demonstrate that our approach converges rapidly to the target distribution, driven by interactions among multiple particles and by exploiting parallel computation.

Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders

Yingzhi Xia, Setthakorn Tanomkiattikun, Liangli Zhen, ZAIWANG GU

Diffusion models (DMs) have recently shown remarkable performance on inverse problems (IPs). Optimization-based methods can fast solve IPs using DMs as powerful regularizers, but they are susceptible to local minima and noise overfitting. Although DMs can provide strong priors for Bayesian approaches, enforcing measurement consistency during the denoising process leads to manifold infeasibility issues. We propose Noise-space Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (N-HMC), a posterior sampling method that treats reverse diffusion as a deterministic mapping from initial noise to clean images. N-HMC enables comprehensive exploration of the solution space, avoiding local optima. By moving inference entirely into the initial-noise space, N-HMC keeps proposals on the learned data manifold. We provide a comprehensive theoretical analysis of our approach and extend the framework to a noise-adaptive variant (NA-NHMC) that effectively handles IPs with unknown noise type and level. Extensive experiments across four linear and three nonlinear inverse problems demonstrate that NA-NHMC achieves superior reconstruction quality with robust performance across different hyperparameters and initializations, significantly outperforming recent state-of-the-art methods. The code is available at https://github.com/NA-HMC/NA-HMC.