Most existing time series forecasting models are trained with backpropagation, which often brings high computational cost and limited transparency, so it can be hard to understand why a model makes a given prediction. This paper presents FIPN, a forward self-organizing interpretable polynomial network for time series forecasting. FIPN grows its architecture layer by layer and avoids backpropagation. Each neuron couples a fuzzy-rule antecedent with a Fourier-enhanced polynomial consequent: fuzzy clustering softly partitions the input space and produces interpretable rule weights for local regimes, while the consequent operates directly on the original features and uses Fourier functions to capture periodic and frequency-related structure. Forward growth can lead to redundancy, collinearity, and overfitting as depth increases, so FIPN introduces regularized node scoring, node-level dropout, and persistent access to raw inputs at every layer to stabilize closed-form estimation and improve generalization. Experiments on long-horizon forecasting benchmarks show that FIPN achieves competitive accuracy with a compact model size, and the learned fuzzy rules provide consistent, structure-based explanations. These results suggest that forward self-organizing polynomial networks offer a practical balance among accuracy, efficiency, and interpretability for long-term time series forecasting.
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Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders
With the widespread availability of pre-trained diffusion models, there are many options for which models to use and how to use them together. Making these decisions depends highly on both the user's goals and the expertise of each model. Taking this into account, we propose coordinating models as one would a specialized workforce--through a fair yet efficient division of labor. Divide-and-Denoise uses multiple pre-trained diffusion models, each defined over the same space, to refine a noisy sample over time. At every timestep, we alternate between (i) dividing the sample into regions in a way that satisfies our game-theoretic criteria and (ii) denoising a region with the assigned model in a way that respects our alignment criteria. This leads to a new composite denoising process that evolves together with a division process. Since ground truth for how models should interact is typically not available in our setup, we measure how well Divide-and-Denoise coordinates a team of single-concept text-to-image diffusion models relative to a multi-concept model. Across several image quality metrics including the GenEval benchmark, our method generates images that capture the strengths of each model, outperforming baselines and resolving common failures like missing objects and mismatched attributes.
While Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities in solving complex tasks through the generation of long reasoning chains, this reliance on verbose generation results in significant latency and computational overhead. To address these challenges, we propose \textbf{CoSMo} (\textbf{Co}nsistency-Guided \textbf{S}plit-\textbf{M}erge \textbf{O}ptimization), a framework designed to eliminate structural redundancy rather than indiscriminately restricting token volume. Specifically, CoSMo utilizes a split-merge algorithm that dynamically refines reasoning chains by merging redundant segments and splitting logical gaps to ensure coherence. We then employ structure-aligned reinforcement learning with a novel segment-level budget to supervise the model in maintaining efficient reasoning structures throughout training. Extensive experiments across multiple benchmarks and backbones demonstrate that CoSMo achieves superior performance, improving accuracy by \textbf{3.3} points while reducing segment usage by \textbf{28.7\%} on average compared to reasoning efficiency baselines.
Probabilistic Methods · Everything Else
In multi-target regression and multi-class classification, uncertainty is inherently multivariate: prediction regions must capture joint dependencies across correlated outputs. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free guarantees, yet extending it to vector-valued outputs remains challenging—scalar aggregation discards geometric structure, while optimal transport (OT) approaches are computationally demanding and sensitive to outliers. We introduce two conformal methods based on geometric quantiles and spatial ranks: Geometric Conformalized Quantile Regression (GCQR) constructs prediction regions from learned conditional geometric quantiles, while Geometric Rank Conformal Prediction (GRCP) uses the radial rank of vector-valued conformity scores as the nonconformity measure. We propose multiple estimators offering different tradeoffs between computational cost and adaptivity to feature-dependent heterogeneity, with scalable learning via partially input-convex neural networks. On multi-target regression and multi-class classification benchmarks, GCQR and GRCP attain near-nominal coverage with consistently tighter prediction regions than scalarized and multivariate baselines.
Reinforcement Learning · Multi-agent
World models enable learning policies via latent imagination, offering benefits such as history compression and sample efficiency. The primary challenge in applying world models to multi-agent tasks is that modeling multi-agent dynamics in latent space requires integrating information from different agents, often creating spurious correlations between their latent states. Existing methods either reconstruct the observation for each agent or employ communication to maintain correlation during execution, failing to learn disentangled latent states that are crucial for effective decentralized control. To address this, we present the Disentangled Multi-Agent World Model (DMAWM). It facilitates learning decentralized policies in the latent space through a novel architecture comprising independent agent modules and a shared environment module. During real-environment execution, agent modules independently process local information to form a factorized latent representation. The environment module is then trained to mirror the factorized structure generated by the agent modules, effectively disentangling individual latent states from the interaction dynamics. Consequently, imaginary rollouts generated by the environment module more faithfully simulate decentralized execution dynamics, facilitating the transfer of policies from imagination to decentralized execution. Empirically, DMAWM outperforms existing model-based and model-free approaches in convergence speed and final performance, with additional visualization demonstrating its efficacy in capturing agent interactions.
General Machine Learning · Evaluation
Spatial intelligence is crucial for vision--language models (VLMs) in the physical world, yet many benchmarks evaluate largely unconstrained scenes where models can exploit 2D shortcuts. We introduce SSI-Bench, a VQA benchmark for spatial reasoning on constrained manifolds, built from complex real-world 3D structures whose feasible configurations are tightly governed by geometric, topological, and physical constraints. SSI-Bench contains 1,000 ranking questions spanning geometric and topological reasoning and requiring a diverse repertoire of compositional spatial operations, such as mental rotation, cross-sectional inference, occlusion reasoning, and force-path reasoning. It is created via a fully human-centered pipeline: ten researchers spent over 400 hours curating images, annotating structural components, and designing questions to minimize pixel-level cues. Evaluating 31 widely used VLMs reveals a large gap to humans: the best open-source model achieves 22.2% accuracy and the strongest closed-source model reaches 33.6%, while humans score 91.6%. Encouraging models to think yields only marginal gains, and error analysis points to failures in structural grounding and constraint-consistent 3D reasoning.
Being able to simulate the outcomes of actions in varied environments will revolutionize the development of generalist agents at scale. However, modeling these world dynamics, especially for dexterous robotics tasks, poses significant challenges due to limited data coverage and scarce action labels. As an endeavor towards this end, we introduce DreamDojo, a foundation world model that learns diverse interactions and dexterous controls from 44k hours of egocentric human videos. Our data mixture represents the largest video dataset to date for world model pretraining, spanning a wide range of daily scenarios with diverse objects and skills. To address the scarcity of action labels, we introduce continuous latent actions as unified proxy actions, enhancing interaction knowledge transfer from unlabeled videos. After post-training on small-scale target robot data, DreamDojo demonstrates a strong understanding of physics and precise action controllability. We also devise a distillation pipeline that accelerates DreamDojo to a real-time speed of 10.93 FPS and further improves consistency to the context. Our work enables several important applications based on generative world models, including live teleoperation, policy evaluation, and model-based planning. Systematic evaluation on multiple challenging out-of-distribution (OOD) benchmarks verifies the significance of our method for simulating open-world, contact-rich tasks, paving the way for general-purpose robot world models.
Deep Learning · Everything Else
Federated learning (FL) allows clients to collaboratively train models without exposing private data, but practical FL is simultaneously challenged by data heterogeneity and model heterogeneity. Prior heterogeneous FL (HtFL) approaches often fail to handle fine-grained feature shifts, leading to weak representation alignment and limited cross-client knowledge transfer, which degrades both personalization and generalization. We propose FedARC, an HtFL framework that couples a shared lightweight extractor with client-specific fusion: a trainable projector integrates local and global embeddings, while adaptive residual compensation dynamically corrects feature-level mismatches. To further stabilize aggregation, FedARC performs semantic anchor alignment across clients, and we theoretically prove FedARC converges with a non-convex convergence rate $\mathcal{O}(1/T)$. Experiments on five public benchmarks show that FedARC outperforms nine state-of-the-art HtFL baselines by up to 2.63\% in average accuracy, while maintaining efficient communication and computation.
Theory · Learning Theory
A significant gap exists between theory and practice in deep learning. Generalization and approximation error bounds are often derived for simplified models or are too loose to be informative. Many rely on the manifold hypothesis and on geometric regularity such as intrinsic dimension, curvature, and reach. Progress requires insight into data-manifold geometry and suitable benchmarks, yet existing options are polarized: analytic manifolds with known geometry but limited applicability, or real-world datasets where geometry is only coarsely estimable. We introduce a benchmarking framework for studying data geometry by repurposing and extending dSprites and COIL-20 with additional transformation dimensions and denser sampling, enabling accurate finite-difference estimates of curvature, reach, and volume that are otherwise difficult to estimate reliably and implement in practice. As applications, we assess bounds by Genovese et al. and Fefferman et al., and analyze how geometry evolves across network layers in $\beta$-VAEs, highlighting the behavior of current bounds and the value of controlled benchmarks for guiding and validating future theory. Code to reproduce the framework and experiments is included with the submission and will be released as open-source library upon publication.
Applications · Neuroscience, Cognitive Science
Current fMRI decoders face a performance-fidelity trade-off where efficient ID encoders outperform geometrically-aligned surface-based models. We argue this is an artifact of inefficient surface tokenization and the failure to use anatomy as a predictive signal. We present **NeurIPS**, a framework that improves surface-based decoding by reframing anatomical variation from a nuisance to a powerful inductive prior. NeurIPS unites two innovations: a **Selective ROI Spherical Tokenizer (SRST)** for efficient geometric encoding, and a **Guided Mixture of Experts (SG-MoE)** that explicitly models individual anatomy using cortical features. On the Natural Scenes Dataset, NeurIPS establishes a new state-of-the-art for surface decoders and achieves performance comparable to strong 1D baselines. This is achieved with unprecedented efficiency, as the model converges dramatically faster (**10 vs. 600 epochs**). This efficiency enables rapid adaptation to new subjects using only **20\%** of data and remains stable when scaling the training cohort (4 to 8 subjects). Ablations provide evidence that these gains are driven by the model's use of cortical features, not by memorizing subject IDs. By leveraging anatomical priors, NeurIPS provides a principled and scalable path toward robust, generalizable brain decoding.
Social Aspects · Alignment
Preference-based alignment methods (e.g., RLHF, DPO) typically optimize a single scalar objective, implicitly averaging over heterogeneous human preferences. In practice, systematic annotator and user-group disagreement makes mean-reward maximization brittle and susceptible to proxy over-optimization. We propose **Disagreement-Aware Alignment via Risk-Constrained Decoding (DARC)**, a retraining-free inference-time method that frames response selection as distributionally robust, risk-sensitive decision making. Given multiple preference samples or scalable disagreement proxies, DARC reranks candidates by maximizing a *KL-robust (entropic)* satisfaction objective, and provides simple deployment controls that cap or penalize the corresponding entropic risk premium relative to the mean, enabling explicit risk budgets without retraining. We provide theoretical characterization linking this decoding rule to principled pessimism and KL-based distributionally robust optimization. Experiments on alignment benchmarks show that DARC reduces disagreement and tail risk while maintaining competitive average quality under noisy, heterogeneous feedback.
Positive-Unlabeled (PU) learning is a weakly-supervised paradigm that trains a binary classifier from labeled positive and unlabeled instances. In PU risk estimation, the empirical risk consists of an unlabeled term and a positive term. In this paper, we observe that when labeled positives are scarce, the risk deviation is dominated by the generalization bound of the positive term, which is composed of a complexity term governed by Rademacher complexity and a concentration term governed by the uniform range bound, leading to estimator instability. Based on this observation, we theoretically derive the minimal sufficient learning threshold, defined as the smallest number of labeled positives required to achieve a target excess risk with high probability, and reveal its explicit dependence on both components. Inspired by this insight, we propose ScalePU, which incorporates variance regularization to induce a restricted sub-hypothesis space with reduced Rademacher complexity, and geometric regularization to encourage compact clustering of positive samples with a tighter effective range. Theoretical analysis demonstrates that both mechanisms effectively lower the threshold through improvements to different components of the bound. Experiments on eight benchmark datasets validate the effectiveness of ScalePU, with significant improvements under extreme label scarcity.
Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders
We propose a constrained latent optimization method for reward-guided generation that preserves white Gaussian noise characteristics with negligible overhead. Test-time latent optimization can unlock substantially better reward-guided generations from pretrained generative models, but it is prone to reward hacking that degrades quality and also too slow for practical use. In this work, we make test-time optimization both efficient and reliable by replacing soft regularization with hard white Gaussian noise constraints enforced via projected gradient ascent. Our method applies a closed-form projection after each update to keep the latent vector explicitly noise-like throughout optimization, preventing the drift that leads to unrealistic artifacts. This enforcement adds minimal cost: the projection matches the $O(N \log N)$ complexity of standard algorithms such as sorting or FFT and does not practically increase wall-clock time. In experiments, our approach reaches a comparable Aesthetic Score using only 30\% of the wall-clock time required by the SOTA regularization-based method, while preventing reward hacking.
Deep Learning · Generative Models and Autoencoders
Protein sequence generation for engineering requires samples that are biophysically plausible and, when targeting a family/domain, remain recognizable members while exploring within-family diversity. Current discrete generative models typically start from uniform or masked-token noise, which discards strong position-specific constraints induced by evolution and forces the model to reconstruct conserved residues from scratch, leading to weak family control and low foldability. We propose \emph{LineageFlow}, a simplex-valued flow-matching model that initializes generation from lineage priors derived from ancestral sequence reconstruction, turning generation into structured mutation from an evolved scaffold. Across diverse protein families, LineageFlow achieves family validity close to held-out natural sequences and improves predicted structural confidence over uniform-/mask-initialized baselines while maintaining substantial within-family novelty and diversity, even surpassing a large pretrained baseline trained on substantially more data. Finally, we introduce \emph{rerouting}, a single intermediate-time mutate--select--amplify intervention that enables objective-guided sampling without per-step predictor guidance and yields further gains in plausibility, including a zero-shot enzyme generation case study.
Deep Learning · Large Language Models
Compared with individual agents, large language model based multi-agent systems have demonstrated great capabilities across a wide range of tasks, including code generation, mathematical reasoning, and planning, etc. Despite their impressive performance, the effectiveness and robustness of these systems heavily rely on their communication topology, which is often fixed or generated in a single step. This restricts fine-grained structural exploration and flexible composition, leading to excessive token consumption for simple tasks or performance bottlenecks for complicated ones. To address this challenge, we introduce RADAR, a redundancy-aware and query-adaptive generative framework that actively reduce communication overhead. Inspired by conditional discrete graph diffusion models, we formulate communication topology synthesis as a step-by-step generation process, guided by the effective size of the graph. Comprehensive experiments on six benchmarks demonstrate that RADAR consistently outperforms recent baselines, achieving higher accuracy, lower token consumption, and greater robustness across diverse scenarios. Our source code and data are available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/RADAR-8430.
Applications · Health / Medicine
Spatial transcriptomics offers spatially resolved gene expression profiling within tissue sections, but its cost and limited throughput hinder large-scale deployment. To extend this capability to routine practice, recent computational methods aim to infer spatial gene expression directly from ubiquitous hematoxylin and eosin-stained histology slides. However, most existing models assume Cartesian or geometry-agnostic locality, despite the hexagonal sampling of widely used spot-array platforms, and point-wise regression objectives often yield over-smoothed gene expression profiles, obscuring gene-specific spatial heterogeneity. To address these, we propose HEXST, a geometry-aligned Transformer for spatial gene expression prediction from histology. HEXST operates directly on hexagonal spot coordinates to enable efficient local-to-global contextual modeling via tailored shifted-window attention mechanism and hexagonal rotary positional encoding. To enhance gene-wise spatial contrast, HEXST complements point-wise regression with a contrast-sensitive differential objective and transcriptomic priors from a pretrained single-cell foundation model during training. Across seven spatial transcriptomics datasets, HEXST consistently outperforms state-of-the-art models, providing accurate and robust spatial gene expression predictions while preserving gene-wise contrast and spatial heterogeneity.
General Machine Learning · Hardware and Software
The scaling of large language models (LLMs) is currently bottlenecked by the rigidity of distributed programming. While high-performance libraries like CuBLAS and NCCL provide optimized primitives, they lack the flexibility required for rapidly evolving model architectures. Conversely, existing tensor compilers fail to address the complex memory hierarchy of distributed clusters effectively. To bridge this gap, we propose DITRON, a scalable tile-level compiler that democratizes high-performance distributed kernel development. DITRON introduces a novel hierarchical programming abstraction spanning Core, Device, and Task levels to map tensor programs efficiently onto heterogeneous distributed hardware. This abstraction allows DITRON to support diverse parallelism strategies while abstracting away the complexity of inter-node and intra-node communication. Evaluated across large-scale clusters, DITRON achieves performance parity with or exceeding expert-tuned CUDA libraries, delivering speedups of 6%–30% on isolated kernels and 5%–30% on end-to-end inference in vLLM. Furthermore, DITRON demonstrates strong portability, achieving significant speedups on both NVIDIA and AMD platforms.
Applications · Neuroscience, Cognitive Science
Pre-trained vision language models do not have good intuitions about the physical world. Recent work has shown that supervised fine-tuning can improve model performance on simple physical tasks. However, fine-tuned models do not appear to learn robust physical rules that can generalize to new contexts. Based on research in cognitive science, we hypothesize that models need to interact with an environment to properly learn its physical dynamics. We train models that learn through interaction with the environment using reinforcement learning. While learning from interaction allows models to improve their within-task performance, it fails to produce models with generalizable physical intuitions. We find that models trained on one task do not reliably generalize to related tasks, even if the tasks share visual statistics and physical principles, and regardless of whether the models are trained through interaction.
Theory · Reinforcement Learning and Planning
Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) has received increasing attention for solving complex decision-making tasks. Networked MARL approaches offer a decentralized solution for parameter sharing to accelerate training via value aggregation. However, existing federated aggregations rely on convex averaging that may fail to converge to global optima and cause learning rollback in the online learning setting. In this paper, we formally characterize the learning rollback phenomenon arising from aggregating value estimates with unequal uncertainty under heterogeneous online update depths. We propose a novel adaptive global consensus (AGC) mechanism for Q-value aggregation in decentralized MARL policy evaluation, which dynamically adjusts aggregation weights based on agents’ uncertainty. We establish theoretical guarantees on accelerated convergence and bounded learning variance with empirical validations, advancing the state-of-art MARL theory.
Social Aspects · Safety
LLM agents are increasingly deployed in long-horizon, complex environments to solve challenging problems, but this expansion exposes them to long-horizon attacks that exploit multi-turn user–agent–environment interactions to achieve objectives infeasible in single-turn settings. To measure agent vulnerabilities to such risks, we present AgentLAB, the first benchmark dedicated to evaluating LLM agent susceptibility to adaptive, long-horizon attacks. Currently, AgentLAB supports five novel attack types including intent hijacking, tool chaining, task injection, objective drifting, and memory poisoning, spanning 28 realistic agentic environments, and 644 security test cases. Leveraging AgentLAB, we evaluate representative LLM agents and find that they remain highly susceptible to long-horizon attacks; moreover, defenses designed for single-turn interactions fail to reliably mitigate long-horizon threats. We anticipate that AgentLAB will serve as a valuable benchmark for tracking progress on securing LLM agents in practical settings.