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Deep Learning · Sequential Models, Time series

Lars Graf, Thomas Ortner, Stanisław Woźniak, Angeliki Pantazi

Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, lack adaptability to different sampling rates, struggle with generalization across varying context and target lengths and are computationally inefficient. We introduce FlowState, a novel TSFM architecture that achieves sampling-rate–equivariant forecasting through a unified design that pairs a state space model (SSM) encoder with a functional basis decoder (FBD). This design enables continuous-time modeling and dynamic time-scale adjustment, allowing FlowState to inherently generalize across all possible temporal resolutions, and dynamically adjust the forecasting horizons without retraining. We further propose an efficient pretraining strategy that improves robustness and accelerates training. Despite being one of the smallest TSFMs, FlowState achieves state-of-the-art results on the widely used GIFT-Eval benchmark, while demonstrating superior adaptability to unseen sampling rates. Our detailed analyses confirm the effectiveness of its components, and we demonstrate its unique ability to adapt to varying input sampling rates.

Optimization · Zero-order and Black-box Optimization

Bidipta Sarkar, Mattie Fellows, Juan Duque, Alistair Letcher, Antonio León Villares, Anya Sims, Clarisse Wibault, Dmitry Samsonov, Dylan Cope, Jarek Liesen 等

Evolution Strategies (ES) is a class of powerful black-box optimisation methods that are highly parallelisable and can handle non-differentiable and noisy objectives. However, naïve ES becomes prohibitively expensive at scale on GPUs due to the low arithmetic intensity of batched matrix multiplications with unstructured random perturbations. We introduce Evolution Guided GeneRal Optimisation via Low-rank Learning (EGGROLL), which improves arithmetic intensity by structuring individual perturbations as rank-$r$ matrices, resulting in a hundredfold increase in training speed for billion-parameter models at large population sizes, achieving up to 91\% of the throughput of pure batch inference. We provide a rigorous theoretical analysis of ES for high-dimensional parameter objectives, investigating conditions needed for ES updates to converge in high dimensions, revealing a linearising effect, and proving consistency between EGGROLL and ES as parameter dimension increases. Our experiments show that EGGROLL: (1) enables the stable pretraining of nonlinear recurrent language models that operate purely in integer datatypes, (2) is competitive with GRPO for post-training LLMs on reasoning tasks, and (3) does not compromise performance compared to ES in tabula rasa RL settings, despite being faster.

Theory · Probabilistic Methods

Santo Thies, Viktor Bengs, Timo Kaufmann, Sebastian Vollmer, Eyke Hüllermeier

Calibration, the alignment of predicted probabilities with true outcome frequencies, is essential for reliable decision-making. While extensively studied for classification and regression, calibration has not been formally addressed for probabilistic label ranking, where the goal is to predict a distribution over orderings of a label set. Naively treating rankings as classes ignores their structure and fails to capture important modalities such as pairwise and top-k predictions. We formalize calibration for label ranking and develop a hierarchy of notions covering full rankings, sub-rankings, and top-k rankings. We prove that full-rank calibration implies the others but not conversely, and sub-ranking and top-k calibration are incomparable. Empirically, we find popular label ranking models are often poorly calibrated, with substantial differences between sub-ranking and top-k metrics. Applying our framework to RLHF reward models, we find that calibration correlates strongly but not perfectly with benchmark accuracy, suggesting it captures a meaningful quality dimension beyond top-1 accuracy. These findings motivate future work on understanding the downstream effects of miscalibration and developing methods to correct it.

Chang Yu, Yuxuan Luo, Yixuan Du, Yuqing Zhou, Siyuan Li, Jingbo Zhou, jiawei jiang, Zhen Lei, Stan Z Li

Modeling complex dynamics from observational data is fundamental to scientific discovery and artificial intelligence. However, existing approaches ranging from Neural ODEs to diffusion models are often plagued by the entanglement of static state representations and instantaneous motion, leading to accumulated errors and off-manifold hallucinations where predicted trajectories violate intrinsic geometric constraints. To address this, we propose Geometric Flow Grounding, a unified framework that enforces dynamic evolution strictly along the tangent bundle of the learned data manifold via a differentiable Neural Tangent Projection Layer. By geometrically decoupling state representation from tangential dynamics, our method generalizes across diverse data regimes. In the context of scientific discovery, we demonstrate that the projection layer eliminates numerical aliasing in sparse dynamical systems and recovers interpretable gene regulatory motifs from single-cell data by disentangling states from developmental velocities. Bridging to trustworthy AI, we further repurpose the geometric projection residual as a zero-shot metric for deepfake video detection, identifying generative inconsistencies against the implicit flow of pre-trained world models. Our results establish manifold-constrained projection as a universal operator for both discovering natural laws and verifying synthetic content.

Applications · Chemistry, Physics, and Earth Sciences

Sung Moon Ko, Jaewan Lee, Sumin Lee, Soorin Yim, Sehui Han

Geometrical interpretations of deep learning models offer insightful perspectives into their underlying mathematical structures. In this work, we introduce a novel approach that leverages differential geometry, particularly concepts from Riemannian geometry, to integrate multiple models into a unified transfer learning framework. By aligning the Ricci curvature of latent space of individual models, we construct an interrelated architecture, namely Geometric Embedding Alignment via cuRvature matching in transfer learning (GEAR), which ensures comprehensive geometric representation across datapoints. This framework enables the effective aggregation of knowledge from diverse sources, thereby improving performance on target tasks. We evaluate our model on 23 molecular task pairs and demonstrate significant performance gains over existing benchmark models—achieving improvements of at least 14.4% under random splits and 8.3% under scaffold splits.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Fedor Rodionov, Abdelrahman Eldesokey, Michael Birsak, John Femiani, Bernard Ghanem, Peter Wonka

We introduce FloorplanQA, a diagnostic benchmark for evaluating spatial reasoning in large-language models (LLMs). FloorplanQA is grounded in structured representations of indoor scenes (e.g., kitchens, living rooms, bedrooms, bathrooms, and others), encoded symbolically in JSON or XML layouts. The benchmark covers core spatial tasks, including distance measurement, visibility, path finding, and object placement within constrained spaces. Our results across a variety of frontier open-source and commercial LLMs reveal that while models may succeed on shallow queries, they often fail to respect physical constraints and preserve spatial coherence, though they remain mostly robust to small spatial perturbations. FloorplanQA uncovers a blind spot in today’s LLMs: inconsistent reasoning about indoor layouts. We hope this benchmark inspires new work on language models that can accurately infer and manipulate spatial and geometric properties in practical settings.

Applications · Neuroscience, Cognitive Science

Wei Xiong, Jiangtong Li, Jie Li, Kun Zhu, Changjun Jiang

Electroencephalography foundation models (EEG-FMs) have advanced brain signal analysis, but the lack of standardized evaluation benchmarks impedes model comparison and scientific progress. Current evaluations rely on inconsistent protocols that render cross-model comparisons unreliable, while a lack of diagnostic analyses obscures the internal mechanisms driving transfer efficiency and scaling behaviors. To address this, we introduce **EEG-FM-Bench**, a unified system for the standardized evaluation of EEG-FMs. The benchmark integrates 14 datasets across 10 paradigms and incorporates diverse experimental settings, including multiple fine-tuning strategies, task organizations, and classifier configurations, supported by tools for gradient and representation analysis. Our experiments and analysis reveal several critical insights: (1) multi-task learning acts as a critical regularizer to mitigate overfitting in data-scarce EEG contexts; (2) pre-training efficiency is currently limited by gradient conflicts between reconstruction objectives and downstream tasks; (3) model scaling deviates from typical laws, as compact architectures with domain-specific inductive biases consistently outperform significantly larger models. This benchmark enables fair comparison and reproducible analysis, shifting the field from fragmented results to interpretable advances.

Wenxuan Zhou, Shujian Zhang, brice magdalou, John Lambert, Ehsan Amid, Richard Nock, Andrew Hard

Normative theories allow one to elicit key parts of a ML algorithm from first principles, which is crucial at a time of championed scrutiny for ML work. Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) cleverly bypasses reward modeling by making an explicit link with a specific normative model of human choice. Our paper elevates this connection to the full generality of DPO's normative framework. Getting there requires reworking social choice theory's textbook path for a better RLHF/ML fit. It elevates the connection to a remarkably broad viewpoint on preference optimization, considering the current panorama of DPO follow-ups. It also unveils unexpected riches for ML, chief among which the support for *non-convex* losses, the fact that *any* compliant ML analytical choice can be embedded with *any* human choice model, and a normative framework's umbrella wide enough to safeguard DPO's *extensions* (margins, length correction, ...). A *toy* experiment ``far away'' from the DPO crowd is given.

Fan Chen, Sinho Chewi, Constantinos Daskalakis, Alexander Rakhlin

We present algorithms for diffusion model sampling which obtain $\delta$-error in $\mathrm{polylog}(1/\delta)$ steps, given access to $\widetilde O(\delta)$-accurate score estimates in $L^2$. This is an exponential improvement over all previous results. Specifically, under minimal data assumptions, the complexity is $\widetilde O(d\mathrm{polylog}(1/\delta))$ where $d$ is the dimension of the data; under a non-uniform $L$-Lipschitz condition, the complexity is $\widetilde O(\sqrt{dL}\mathrm{polylog}(1/\delta))$; and if the data distribution has intrinsic dimension $d_\star$, then the complexity reduces to $\widetilde O(d_\star\mathrm{polylog}(1/\delta))$. Our approach also yields the first $\mathrm{polylog}(1/\delta)$ complexity sampler for general log-concave distributions using only gradient evaluations.

Mehryar Mohri

Standard Transformers excel at semantic modeling but struggle with rigid sequential logic and state tracking. Theoretical work establishes that self-attention is limited to $\AC^0$ (under hard attention) or $\TC^0$ (under soft attention), complexity classes that often fail to support robust length generalization on sequential problems without intermediate chain-of-thought \citep{hahn2020theoretical, merrill2022saturated}. In this work, we introduce \emph{Rational Transductors}, a dual-stream architecture that augments the Transformer with a matrix-valued recurrence derived from Weighted Finite Automata (WFA). By injecting rational state information into the attention mechanism via a \emph{Deep Rational Injection} scheme, our framework strictly generalizes Transformers to capture all Regular Languages, $\NC^1$-complete problems (such as Boolean Formula Evaluation), and fundamental separations like Parity and Modular Counting, while preserving $O(\log T)$ parallel training efficiency. Theoretical analysis and empirical results demonstrate that Rational Transductors solve the "Regular Gap," enabling robust length generalization on algorithmic tasks where standard Transformers fail, without the sequential computational bottlenecks of traditional RNNs.

General Machine Learning · Online Learning, Active Learning and Bandits

Yanchen Wu, Bo Li

Personalizing AI decision support for heterogeneous human decision-makers remains a key challenge. We study a collaboration workflow where AI provides a reduced prediction set via conformal prediction as an input for human, and human makes final decision. We use contextual bandits to learn the complex and intangible human decision function, where the optimal set size, governed by a significance parameter $\alpha$ (arms), varies across individuals and tasks (context). To address large arms spaces and high-dimensional contexts, we introduce the Adaptively Grouped Contextual Bandit (AGCB) framework, bypassing unreliable complex function online approximation in favor of directly exploiting Human-AI problem structure through two pillars: continuity-aware counterfactual reasoning that efficiently shares information across decisions, and a data-driven zooming mechanism that adaptively partitions the context space. The zooming mechanism performs a principled, native trade-off between intra-group estimation error and inter-group approximation bias, ensuring optimal granularity for both cumulative and simple regret objectives. Crucially, a single continuity assumption uniquely enables both the bias control for adaptive grouping and the robustness of our counterfactual updates. This leads to minimax-optimal regret rates. Empirical results confirm that AGCB significantly outperforms existing methods in heterogeneous, data-scarce environments.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Wanying Ren, Xin Song, Futing Wang, Guoxiu He, Aixin Sun

Parameter-based knowledge editing updates the internal knowledge of large language models (LLMs) via localized weight modifications and has attracted significant attention. However, most existing methods overlook fundamental theoretical limitations and are rarely evaluated under realistic, practice-oriented settings. In this paper, we first present a theoretical analysis based on the Representation Space Collapse Hypothesis, explaining how localized parameter edits can propagate along fragile directions in the representation space, inducing global interference and ultimately causing reasoning collapse. Building on this insight, we conduct a comprehensive empirical evaluation by systematically varying knowledge complexity, number of edits, evaluation dimensions, and baseline methods. Our results show that parameter-based editing methods consistently damage core LLM capabilities. In contrast, a simple retrieval-based baseline reliably outperforms all parameter-editing methods across all evaluated conditions. These findings highlight that preserving the fundamental capabilities of LLMs after knowledge editing should be a central concern for future research. Data and code are provided in the supplementary material.

Mingyue Xu, Gal Vardi, Itay Safran

We study *grokking* - the onset of generalization long after overfitting - in a classical ridge regression setting. We prove end-to-end grokking results for learning over-parameterized linear regression models using gradient descent with weight decay. Specifically, we prove that the following stages occur: (i) the model overfits the training data early during training; (ii) poor generalization persists long after overfitting has manifested; and (iii) the generalization error eventually becomes arbitrarily small. Moreover, we show, both theoretically and empirically, that grokking can be amplified or eliminated in a principled manner through proper hyperparameter tuning. To the best of our knowledge, these are the first rigorous quantitative bounds on the generalization delay (which we refer to as the "grokking time") in terms of training hyperparameters. Lastly, going beyond the linear setting, we empirically demonstrate that our quantitative bounds also capture the behavior of grokking on non-linear neural networks. Our results suggest that grokking is not an inherent failure mode of deep learning, but rather a consequence of specific training conditions, and thus does not require fundamental changes to the model architecture or learning algorithm to avoid.

Social Aspects · Fairness

Jiwoo Han, Moulinath Banerjee, Yuekai Sun

When deploying a single predictor across multiple subpopulations, we propose a fundamentally different approach: interpreting group fairness as a bargaining problem among subpopulations. This game-theoretic perspective reveals that existing robust optimization methods such as minimizing worst-group loss or regret correspond to classical bargaining solutions and embody different fairness principles. We propose relative improvement, the ratio of actual risk reduction to potential reduction from a baseline predictor, which recovers the Kalai–Smorodinsky solution. Unlike absolute-scale methods that may not be comparable when groups have different potential predictability, relative improvement provides axiomatic justification including scale invariance and individual monotonicity. We establish finite-sample convergence guarantees under mild conditions.

Shiyu Wang, Yuchen Fang, Juntong Ni, Ziyi Zhang, Baichuan Mo, Xinyue Zhong, Chengxin Wang, Zhou Ye, Yang Xiang

Real-world multivariate time series are inherently in flux: different variables evolve asynchronously and interact in complex, time-varying ways, yet accurate forecasting requires these dispersed signals to converge into a single unified prediction. This structural mismatch between dynamic, heterogeneous inputs and a unified forecasting objective poses a fundamental challenge for building general-purpose multivariate forecasting models, especially in zero-shot and large-scale settings. To this end, inspired by the idea that "all rivers run into the sea", we propose ConFlux, a general-purpose foundation model for multivariate time-series forecasting by learning to adaptively integrate cross-channel information under a unified forecasting objective. Specifically, ConFlux first reorders variables to reduce cross-variable entanglement, then aggregates adjacent variables into compact patches that can be processed by a Vision Transformer-style architecture. This design shortens the effective context, reduces attention complexity, and provides a unified token representation for pre-training and downstream tasks. Experiments on 25 public datasets show that ConFlux achieves state-of-the-art performance in zero-shot, fine-tuning, and from-scratch settings, while offering faster inference and lower memory usage.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Guang Yang, Changhao Guan, Chao Huang, Yufeng Chen, Kaiyu Huang

Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) achieves parameter-efficient fine-tuning by constraining model updates to a low-rank subspace and has been widely used in practice. However, LoRA typically employs a shared low-rank update across tokens, which limits its ability to fully exploit the adaptation subspace for tokens from different sequences. To address this issue, we propose an adaptive utilization of Low-Rank Adaptation (U-LoRA), which employs conditioned gating to explicitly learn effective token-level utilization of the limited low-rank adaptation subspace. Specifically, U-LoRA generates utilization coefficients along low-rank directions for each token and jointly coordinates and constrains them using sequence-level contextual information, thereby inducing more consistent adaptive patterns within a sentence. To further enhance training stability, we introduce a bias-corrected exponential moving average (EMA) historical prior that calibrates utilization signals across optimization steps, suppressing noise caused by batch-to-batch fluctuations. The effectiveness of our method arises from a better utilization of the existing low-rank subspace via input-conditioned strategies, rather than from expanding the subspace. Experiments on mathematical reasoning and natural language understanding benchmarks demonstrate that U-LoRA achieves competitive performance under comparable parameter budgets when with strong LoRA baselines and recent variants.

Social Aspects · Everything Else

Rounak Saha, Gurusha Juneja, Dayita Chaudhuri, Naveeja Sajeevan, Nihar Shah, Danish Pruthi

With growing concerns about reviewers using Large Language Models (LLMs) for writing peer reviews, several conferences and journals have enacted policies thatprohibit LLM usage except for polishing, paraphrasing, and grammar correction of otherwise human-written reviews. But, are these policies enforceable? To answer this question, we assemble a dataset of peer reviews simulating multiple levels of human-AI collaboration, and evaluate $5$ state-of-the-art detectors, including two commercial systems. Our analysis shows that all detectors misclassify a substantial fraction of LLM-polished reviews as AI-generated, thereby risking false accusations of academic misconduct. We further investigate whether peer-review-specific signals, including access to the paper manuscript and the constrained domain of scientific writing, can be leveraged to improve detection. While incorporating such signals yields measurable gains in some settings, we identify limitations in each approach and find that none meets the accuracy standards required for identifying AI use in peer reviews. If enforcement of policies is a priority, we recommend completely prohibiting AI use for writing peer reviews.

Probabilistic Methods · Variational Inference

Sylvia Liu, Valeria Vitelli, Carlo Mannino, Arnoldo Frigessi, Ida Scheel

We propose the Pseudo-Mallows distribution over the set of all permutations of $n$ items, to approximate the posterior distribution of the Bayesian Mallows model. The Bayesian Mallows model has been successfully used for recommender systems to learn personal preferences from highly incomplete users data. However current inference algorithms do not scale, preventing its use in real-time applications. The Pseudo-Mallows distribution is a product of univariate discrete Mallows-like distributions, where the quality of the approximation depends on the order of the $n$ items in the factorization sequence. In a variational setting, we optimize the variational order parameter by minimising a marginalized KL-divergence, conjecturing a certain form of the optimal variational order that depends on the data, and proposing an approximation algorithm for this discrete optimization. Empirical evidence and some theory support our conjecture. We demonstrate on clicking data that variational inference via the Pseudo-Mallows distribution allows much faster probabilistic preference learning compared to alternative MCMC-based options.

Applications · Computer Vision

Ziqing Zhang, Kai Liu, Zheng Chen, Xi Li, Yucong Chen, Bingnan Duan, Linghe Kong, Yulun Zhang

Real-world videos often extend over thousands of frames. Existing generative video super-resolution (VSR) approaches, however, face two persistent challenges when processing long sequences: (1) inefficiency due to the heavy cost of multi-step denoising for full-length sequences; and (2) poor consistency hindered by temporal decomposition that causes artifacts and discontinuities. To break these limits, we propose InfVSR, which reformulates VSR as an autoregressive-one-step-diffusion paradigm, and enables streaming inference with video diffusion priors. First, we adapt the pretrained DiT into a causal structure, maintaining both local and global coherence via rolling KV-cache and joint visual guidance. Second, we distill the diffusion process into a single step efficiently, with patch-wise pixel supervision and cross-chunk distribution matching. To fill the gap in long-form video evaluation, we build a new benchmark tailored for extended sequences and further introduce semantic-level metrics to comprehensively assess temporal consistency. Our method pushes the frontier of long-form VSR, achieves state-of-the-art quality with enhanced semantic consistency, and delivers up to 58x speed-up over existing methods such as MGLD-VSR. Code will be released soon.

Deep Learning · Large Language Models

Puning Yang, Junchi Yu, Qizhou Wang, Phil Torr, Bo Han, Xiuying Chen

Mitigating sensitive and harmful outputs is fundamental to ensuring safe deployment of LLMs. Existing approaches typically follow two paradigms: Knowledge Deletion (KD), which erases undesirable information during training, and Distinguishable Refusal (DR), which steers models away from using sensitive knowledge during inference. Despite rapid progress, KD-based unlearning struggles with biased deletion due to suppressing specific token sequences as a substitute for complete knowledge removal, whereas DR-based unlearning risks the re-emergence of harmful knowledge because the underlying knowledge remains intact. To address these issues, we propose Distinguishable Deletion ($\mathrm{D^2}$), a paradigm that restricts the response distribution in the latent space rather than specific tokens to erase undesirable knowledge, while distinguishing it from retained knowledge, enabling a refusal mechanism to handle unlearned inputs safely and coherently. To implement $\mathrm{D^2}$, we introduce an energy index that quantifies the presence of knowledge and the separation between unlearned and retained content. Mathematical and empirical analyses show that energy is both accurate and efficient, enabling Energy-based Unlearning Alignment (EUA) to enforce energy-boundary unlearning during training and apply an energy-based refusal mechanism at inference. Extensive experiments demonstrate that EUA significantly outperforms previous methods, indicating the superiority of $\mathrm{D^2}$.